Texas Summer 2021

[Ntxw]

115F in Portland, 106F in Seattle.

Dallas and Houston...79F

[cstrunk]

After 0.3" last Monday and missing out on spotty showers since, I was able to cash in with 0.39" today. Very abnormal weather pattern across the US.

[Iceresistance]

115F in Portland, 106F in Seattle.

Dallas and Houston...79F

It’s normally the opposite on the Temperatures! This is crazy!

[Haris]

Excuse me

[Cpv17]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/F6mFyvb/ecmwf-deterministic-tx-total-precip-inch-5788800.png [/url]
[url]https://i.ibb.co/brqbR3r/ecmwf-ensemble-avg-tx-total-precip-inch-5767200.png [/url]


Excuse me

If you think that’s a lot, check out the latest 12z Euro.

[TheProfessor]

72 and rain here in Wichita, we've had some big storms here already my first few weeks. I'm loving the Central Plains already!

Edit: I have an idea what winter might bring to the Central and Southern Plains this year, but I'll probably wait until the fall to share my ideas and see where we stand with ENSO. My only hint is that a 2nd year Nina may not be the end of the world this year.

[captainbarbossa19]

[url]https://i.ibb.co/F6mFyvb/ecmwf-deterministic-tx-total-precip-inch-5788800.png [/url]
[url]https://i.ibb.co/brqbR3r/ecmwf-ensemble-avg-tx-total-precip-inch-5767200.png [/url]


Excuse me

If you think that’s a lot, check out the latest 12z Euro.

I hate to say this, but we really need a break soon. I am trying to have a pond worked on and this rain is making it impossible to do anything. Also, I can't get my grass cut.

[Iceresistance]

115F in Portland, 106F in Seattle.

Dallas and Houston...79F

Now officially 116°F reported in Portland, 117°F in Salem Yesterday . . .

[rwfromkansas]

Well, I am going to Turks and Caicos for the first real trip in two years. And of course, now a hurricane may hit despite climo saying early July is safe. Ugh. Looks like it should hit way south of the islands, but not with my luck. Hoping for the best. Looks like it should be passed when I go next Tuesday…I hope.

[jasons2k]

Here is an update on SE Texas weather from Jeff Lindner:

A weak frontal boundary will approach the area from the north and northeast late Friday and then stall across the region over the upcoming holiday weekend. Moisture levels will pool over the area as a continued influx of Gulf moisture on SE winds will be found south of this boundary. Scattered to numerous clusters of showers and thunderstorms are likely to develop and given the nearly saturated moisture column heavy rainfall is likely. Weak steering winds aloft will also promote slow storm motions and hourly rainfall rates of 1-3 inches per hour will be possible. Unlike recent days where there was not defined low level focus, there will be a frontal boundary in the region and this could help to focus heavy rainfall over the weekend.

Rainfall amounts of 2-3 inches are expected from Friday-Monday with isolated totals of 4-6 inches and potentially even higher. Main threat is high duration short term rainfall rates and resulting street flooding, although rises on creeks and bayous will be possible should any particular watershed see sustained heavy rainfall or multiple rounds.

Wet weather pattern will continue into early and even mid next week over the region with a height weakness aloft and continued influx of Gulf moisture.

[gpsnowman]

Dumping rain in Las Colinas right now. Got dark all of a sudden then the rain started. Nice storm.

[bubba hotep]

Wow! This was unexpected. One of the best light shows of the summer with lots of intense CTG lightning out there!

[Lagreeneyes03]

What's the chance of a great pattern flip and we end up in August/September with extreme heat?

[captainbarbossa19]

What's the chance of a great pattern flip and we end up in August/September with extreme heat?

With Texas weather, it's always a possibility. However, I think we should have average weather until at least mid to late August.

[Brent]

What's the chance of a great pattern flip and we end up in August/September with extreme heat?

Hopefully zero

You never know in Texas but as long as the background is so wet it's unlikely on a wide scale anyway

[Cpv17]

What's the chance of a great pattern flip and we end up in August/September with extreme heat?

Hopefully zero

You never know in Texas but as long as the background is so wet it's unlikely on a wide scale anyway

Yeah that’s what I was thinking too. Looks like someone in Texas could be dealing with some flooding this week. Been seeing some massive totals being cranked out on the CMC and Euro.

[Ntxw]

What's the chance of a great pattern flip and we end up in August/September with extreme heat?

There are no signs of the stagnant pattern letting up. What's happening is we're getting a little warm during transient crossing of the upper level ridge between the west and Atlantic. It doesn't have staying power because of soil moisture and the stubbornness of the upper pattern. Exceptional drought tugs the monster ridges to our west which keeps troughing in place over the C-US. We are experiencing a more typical SE US summer vs a southern plains one.

Euro and ensembles advertises more of the same through mid July.

[TheProfessor]

What's the chance of a great pattern flip and we end up in August/September with extreme heat?

There are no signs of the stagnant pattern letting up. What's happening is we're getting a little warm during transient crossing of the upper level ridge between the west and Atlantic. It doesn't have staying power because of soil moisture and the stubbornness of the upper pattern. Exceptional drought tugs the monster ridges to our west which keeps troughing in place over the C-US. We are experiencing a more typical SE US summer vs a southern plains one.

Euro and ensembles advertises more of the same through mid July.

It helps that the Northern Plains are in a drought as well and so you see extensions of the ridge, which has allowed for some NW flow setups in the Central and Southern Plains. It would not surprise me if we saw a few more Summer MCS.

[gpsnowman]

Walked out of work and forgot is was early July. 83 degrees at early evening will do that. Loving every minute of it.

[Iceresistance]

Walked out of work and forgot is was early July. 83 degrees at early evening will do that. Loving every minute of it.

Got up to the lower 80s here as well, dew points are in the Mid 50s right now, It’s perfect for some fireworks tonight & maybe tomorrow!

I almost forgot it was July in Temperatures. Normally it’s very hot or very Muggy