Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0310 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE
   GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEM...A STRONG
   ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS/MIDWEST. AHEAD
   OF THIS FRONT AND TO THE WEST OF A DRYLINE...WARM TEMPERATURES/LOW
   RH READINGS COMBINED WITH GUSTY WINDS WILL SUPPORT ANOTHER CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT. IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER SYSTEM...WINDS WILL
   DIMINISH OVER THE SWRN STATES. HOWEVER VERY LOW DEWPTS AND
   SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO LOW RH READINGS AND HIGH FIRE
   DANGER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN/NWRN TX...ERN/SRN NM
   AND SWRN/SCENTRAL OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH...WITH
   GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM
   DROUGHT.
   
   AHEAD OF A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST..AND IN
   ADVANCE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT...WARM/DRY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS
   WILL OCCUR OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE ADJACENT SRN
   ROCKIES. TO THE WEST OF A DEVELOPING DRYLINE...STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW
   COMBINED WITH STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED
   WSWLY WINDS FROM 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
   VERY DRY AIR...WITH DEWPTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS OVER ERN/SRN NM TO
   THE 20S OVER NWRN TX AND SWRN/SCENTRAL OK... ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES
   IN THE 60S TO 70S WILL SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT BY
   AFTERNOON. THE ERN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA IS ALONG THE EXPECTED
   POSITION OF THE DRYLINE BY MID-AFTERNOON /ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-35
   CORRIDOR/. THE NRN EDGE OF THE CRITICAL AREA IS ALONG THE EXPECTED
   POSITION OF THE ARCTIC COLD FRONT AROUND 18Z. WITH THE PASSAGE OF
   THIS COLD FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT RAPIDLY TO NLY DIRECTION WITH
   DRAMATIC COOLING EXPECTED /20 DEGREE DROP WITHIN AN HOUR/. EXPECTED
   RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT SHOULD ALLOW FOR CESSATION OF CRITICAL
   RH CONDITIONS BEFORE DARK ACROSS MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND THE TX
   PANHANDLE.
   
   ...PARTS OF ERN OK AND THE NRN TX...
   DEWPTS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE
   /40S-50S/. ALTHOUGH SLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-25 MPH...MIN RH
   READINGS SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 35 PERCENT PRECLUDING A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0312 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   DEEPENING OF AN UPPER TROUGH WILL TAKE PLACE OFF THE WRN COAST ON
   DAY TWO. DOWNSTREAM OF THIS TROUGH...MILD TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH
   READINGS COMBINED WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST OVER PORTIONS OF
   THE SW/SRN ROCKIES...LEADING TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS. A LARGE AREA OF POLAR HIGH PRESSURE WILL ENCOMPASS MOST
   OF THE REST OF THE COUNTRY...WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NO
   FIRE WEATHER RELATED CONCERNS.
   
   ...SW/SRN ROCKIES...
   MODERATE MID LEVEL WINDS WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF A
   DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH OFF THE WEST COAST. A THICK CANOPY OF CIRRUS
   EMANATING FROM THE SUBTROPICAL PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION IN
   ADVANCE OF THIS TROUGH LIMITING DAYTIME HEATING/MIXING. SUSTAINED
   WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE FROM 15-25 MPH...DUE MAINLY TO
   INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER
   THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. HOWEVER...COOLER TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE CLOUD
   COVER ARE EXPECTED TO KEEP MIN RH READINGS SLIGHTLY ABOVE CRITICAL
   LEVELS /15 PERCENT/.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
508 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-162200-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
508 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006

...CRITICAL WILDFIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CONCHO VALLEY
AND BIG COUNTRY...
...LIGHT FREEZING PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND OVER THE BIG
COUNTRY...NORTHERN CONCHO VALLEY AND NORTHERN HEARTLAND...

GULF MOISTURE HAD SPREAD THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS
MORNING. HOWEVER...DRIER AIR FROM SOUTHWEST TEXAS WILL SPREAD INTO
MOST OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...ON BREEZY SOUTHWEST
WINDS. THESE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST OVER THE BIG COUNTRY AND CONCHO
VALLEY...RESULTING IN CRITICAL WILDFIRE CONDITIONS IN THESE AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH WEST CENTRAL TEXAS
TONIGHT...WITH COLDER WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
SERIES OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PASS OVER THE FRONT
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...RESULTING IN PATCHY AREAS OF LIGHT
PRECIPITATION. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY MORNING WILL
COOL TO BELOW FREEZING...MAINLY OVER AREAS TO THE NORTH OF SAN
ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD LINE. WITH LIMITED MOISTURE...PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT. HOWEVER...EVEN LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR
PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE CAN MAKE BRIDGES SLICK AND HAZARDOUS.

HIGH TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE
FREEZING OVER ALL OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 AM CST THU FEB 16 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD OF OKLAHOMA
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD AND INTO NORTH TEXAS BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. INDICATION ARE THE FRONT WILL
BE LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM CHANDLER TO NORMAN TO CHICKASHA AND
HOBART BETWEEN 11 AND NOON. AHEAD OF THE FRONT VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE EXTREME FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. BY MID AFTERNOON THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE FROM ADA TO SULPHUR TO WALTERS AND VERNON
TEXAS. THE FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY
EVENING.

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL BE COMMON
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WITH HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 15 PERCENT IN
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TO 45 PERCENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WELL INTO THE 70S CREATING RAPID FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

ADDITIONALLY...A SUDDEN WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST ALONG WITH
WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. ANY ONGOING FIRES WILL EXHIBIT ERRATIC BEHAVIOR FURTHER
ENHANCING SAFETY CONCERNS.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF
WILDFIRES... ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA WHERE THE FIRE DANGER WILL BE THE GREATEST. REMEMBER THAT
WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF GRASSLANDS...
LIVESTOCK... FORESTS... AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... AND ALL OF
OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0152 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE SWD
   THROUGH THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION TODAY. FURTHER WEST...AN UPPER
   TROUGH WILL DEEPEN ALONG THE WEST COAST...PROVIDING FOR SCT
   PRECIPITATION OVER CA. IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS...SWLY MID LEVEL
   FLOW WILL INCREASE OVER THE DESERT SW/SRN ROCKIES. COPIOUS MID-HIGH
   CLOUD COVER WILL OVERSPREAD THIS REGION AHEAD OF WEST COAST UPPER
   SYSTEM LIMITING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND STRONGER WIND POTENTIAL AT
   THE SURFACE. THUS NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREAS ARE ANTICIPATED.
   
   ...NRN/ERN AZ...WRN NM...
   SWLY WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10-20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AS MID LEVEL WIND
   FIELDS STRENGTHEN AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE SRN
   GREAT BASIN. COPIOUS MID-HIGH CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
   DURING THE AFTERNOON LIMITING INSOLATION AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.
   LACK OF STRONGER WINDS DUE TO LIMITED MIXING ALONG WITH MIN RH
   READINGS AOA 15 PERCENT WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0153 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW AT UPPER LEVELS AND ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE AT LOW
   LEVELS WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN HALF OF THE NATION ON
   DAY TWO. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN OVER THE WEST
   COAST. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...MODERATE WIND FIELDS WILL AGAIN OCCUR
   OVER THE SWRN STATES. SURFACE WINDS ARE FCST TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER
   THAN ON DAY ONE...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER...LEADING
   TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN
   ROCKIES/SW.
   
   ...ERN AZ AND WRN/CENTRAL NM...
   TO THE WEST OF THE ARCTIC FRONT...AND EAST OF THE UPPER TROUGH OVER
   CA...A CORRIDOR OF MILD TEMPERATURES/GUSTY SWLY WINDS WILL BE EXIST.
   MID-HIGH CLOUD COVER IS ANTICIPATED TO BE LESS IN COVERAGE OVER THE
   AREA THAN ON DAY ONE. AS A RESULT..AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE FCST
   TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES WARMER. A CONTINUED DEEPENING TREND OF THE
   UPPER TROUGH OVER CA WILL LEAD TO GRADUAL INCREASE IN MID LEVEL WIND
   FIELDS. COUPLED WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SURFACE SWLY
   WINDS ARE FCST TO RANGE FROM 15-25 MPH. MIN RH READINGS WILL BE FROM
   15-20 PERCENT GIVEN DEWPTS IN THE TEENS/20S AND SEASONABLE
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S IN LOWER ELEVATIONS. THIS WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 02/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0304 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   STRONG SFC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SWD ACROSS THE PLAINS TODAY...AS
   BITTER ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO INVADE THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL
   BE VERY COLD ACROSS MUCH OF THE CNTRL CONUS...WITH EXPECTED MAX
   TEMPS AT LEAST 25 TO 35 DEGREES COLDER THAN NORMAL. MORNING WATER
   VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER JET MAX OFF WEST COAST...WHICH IS FORECAST
   TO MOVE ACROSS SRN CA/NRN AZ THIS AFTN.
   
   ...SRN AZ INTO WRN/CNTRL NM...
   STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/NM TODAY...WITH
   SUSTAINED VALUES OF 15-25 MPH. AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY AT THE LOW
   LEVELS...SO MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 20-25 PERCENT AT THE
   LOWER ELEVATIONS. SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST...AND
   THE BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY RESULT IN NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0307 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/CNTRL AND SRN NM/FAR WEST
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF ERN AZ
   AND NM ON SUNDAY. UPPER LOW ACROSS CNTRL CA WILL REMAIN CUT OFF FROM
   THE MAIN FLOW...WHILE SUBTROPICAL FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS THE
   SOUTHWEST. SHALLOW COLD AIR MASS EAST OF THE SRN ROCKIES WILL
   EVENTUALLY BE DISPLACED ON SUNDAY AS SFC LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS ACROSS
   CNTRL NM AND BAROCLINIC ZONE PROGRESSES EWD. THE WINDIER AND WARMER
   WEATHER WILL INCREASE THE WILDFIRE THREAT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/CNTRL AND SRN NM/FAR WEST
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL FACILITATE DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING ON
   SUNDAY...ALLOWING HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR TO BE TRANSPORTED TO THE SFC.
   WORST CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 AND
   WEST OF GUADALUPE PASS. ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM...STRONG
   INVERSION WILL NOT ALLOW DEEP MIXING. MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE
   60S ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA WITH RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT. THE
   LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE THE WILDFIRE
   THREAT.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0321 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN AZ/NRN AND CNTRL NM/FAR W
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW ROTATING ONSHORE
   NEAR THE SFO AREA. A BROAD CONFLUENCE ZONE IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE
   IMAGERY WITH A JET MAX MOVING AROUND THE UPPER LOW AND A BROAD SWLY
   SUBTROPICAL JET EXTENDING FROM BAJA INTO THE SRN PLAINS. MODERATELY
   STRONG MID/UPPER FLOW WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SWRN CONUS
   THROUGH TONIGHT. AT LOWER LEVELS...SFC LOW WILL DEEPEN ACROSS CNTRL
   NM WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SWD ACROSS CNTRL AZ/WRN NM.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN AZ/CNTRL AND SRN NM/FAR WEST
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   STRONG WINDS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONDITIONS DEVELOPING TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ AND NM.
   MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER 50S/60S AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN LOW
   RH VALUES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   WILL ALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER TO MIX TO 700MB OR ABOVE...WHERE WINDS
   WILL RANGE FROM 30-40 KT. COMBINED WITH THE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS...THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN WILDFIRE WILL BE INCREASED
   TODAY.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/19/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0326 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2006
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MODELS DIFFER ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER LOW NOW OVER CNTRL CA.
   HOWEVER...IT IS APPARENT THAT BROAD ZONAL FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE CONUS ON MONDAY. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE
   PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND W COAST WHERE UPPER FLOW IS BEING INFLUENCED
   BY CA STORM. ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BE MODIFYING ACROSS THE SCNTRL
   STATES AS S/SELY FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED AHEAD OF SRN PLAINS LOW
   PRESSURE SYSTEM.
   
   ...SERN NM/FAR W TX...
   AS LEE TROUGH DEEPENS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...W/SWLY SFC WINDS
   WILL INCREASE ON MONDAY. MAX TEMPS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 60S/MID
   70S ACROSS SERN NM AND FAR W TX...WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20
   PERCENT. IT APPEARS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP ON
   MONDAY AFTN...SO THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL UPGRADE
   IN THE NEXT OUTLOOK.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/19/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0220 AM CST MON FEB 20 2006
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN AZ/SRN AND CNTRL NM/FAR W
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BROAD ZONE OF W/SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE
   CONUS THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN BREEZY TO WINDY
   CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST. AT THE SFC...LOW PRESSURE
   WILL DEEPEN ACROSS NM AS FRONT MOVES EWD INTO THE TX S PLAINS BY
   THIS AFTN/EVENING.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN AZ/SRN AND CNTRL NM/FAR W
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SFC WINDS OF 15-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS/MINIMUM
   RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   MODEL SOLUTIONS STILL DIFFER ON THE EXACT HANDLING OF THE UPPER LOW
   ACROSS CNTRL CA. THE NAM SUGGESTS A CLOSED CIRCULATION WILL FORM
   WEST OF SANTA BARBARA BY EARLY TUE...WHILE THE GFS/ECMWF ARE MORE
   PROGRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM ALLOWING THE LOW TO SHEAR OUT AND MOVE
   ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN. IN EITHER CASE...STRONG /60-70KT/ MID
   LEVEL FLOW WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...SUPPORTING BREEZY TO
   WINDY CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ/NM AND FAR W TX. SFC WINDS
   WILL RANGE FROM 15-30 MPH AS THEY DID IN MANY LOCATIONS ON SUNDAY.
   MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL BELOW 20 PERCENT...AND AS LOW AS 10
   PERCENT IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. TEMPS WILL BE WARMER THAN OVER THE
   WEEKEND...WITH MAX VALUES IN THE 60S/70S.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/20/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0223 AM CST MON FEB 20 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SRN NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W AND NW
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER
   LOW OVER CA...THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY REMAIN PROGRESSIVE AS IT MOVES
   WITHIN FAST ZONAL FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST ON TUE. AS LEE
   TROUGH BECOMES ESTABLISHED AGAIN OVER THE PLAINS...SLY FLOW WILL
   DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS WHILE A WARM FRONT RETURNS NWD ACROSS
   THE GULF COAST STATES. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SRN CA IN
   RESPONSE TO MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W AND NW
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES
   BELOW 15 PERCENT/LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   LOW SFC DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS/TEENS WILL
   CONTRIBUTE TO MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING BELOW 15 PERCENT ON TUESDAY.
   IN ADDITION...MID LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 70-80 KT AS REMNANTS
   OF CA SYSTEM MOVE INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. TEMPS WILL CLIMB BACK TO
   NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL VALUES /MID 60S TO MID 70S/.
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL SUPPORT GUSTY SFC WINDS. THESE WEATHER
   CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH THE AMBIENT LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL INCREASE
   THE FIRE WEATHER THREAT ON TUE.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 02/20/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0306 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2006
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W AND NW
   TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE CNTRL
   AND SRN U.S. EAST OF THE ROCKIES. AN UPPER LOW ALONG THE PACIFIC
   COAST OVER SRN CA WILL MEANDER EASTWARD WITH OFFSHORE FLOW
   DEVELOPING TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...A LEE
   TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS. A ZONE OF STRONGER W/SW FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED NEAR
   THE MEXICO BORDER. FURTHER EAST...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE
   GULF COAST WITH LIGHT SOUTH WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM/PORTIONS OF FAR W AND NW
   TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / LONG-TERM DROUGHT
   
   LOW-MID LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG ACROSS SRN NM INTO NW TX
   AHEAD OF AN UPPER LOW OVR SRN CA. AFTERNOON BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
   WILL SUPPORT GUSTY SURFACE WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL
   WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MIN RH VALUES
   RANGING FROM 10 TO 15 PERCENT OVER MOST OF THE AREA. THESE
   FACTORS...ALONG WITH BELOW-NORMAL RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
   WEEKS...WILL PRODUCE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER THE AREA.
   THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR SOUTH THE CRITICAL THREAT
   WILL EXIST...DUE TO INCREASING SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING IN
   FROM THE PACIFIC/MEXICO. THIS MAY LEAD TO MARGINALLY LOW MIN RH
   VALUES FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS FAR SE NM/SW TX. HOWEVER...THE
   AXIS OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY BE ALIGNED HERE WITH SUSTAINED
   SPEEDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS.
   
   ...SWRN NM...
   TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 60S COMBINED WITH LOW MIN RH VALUES
   AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT WILL PRODUCE AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT OVER
   THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH ANTECEDENT DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT OVER THIS AREA...LOW AND MID-LEVEL WINDS ARE
   FORECAST TO DECREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON...SHIFTING FURTHER E/SE.
   SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH ARE LIKELY DURING THE TIME OF MAX
   TEMP/MIN RH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0353 AM CST TUE FEB 21 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW OVER SRN CA WILL CONTINUE ITS SLOW MOVEMENT EWD INTO
   THE SW DESERTS. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING FROM THE
   PACIFIC/MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG THE GULF
   COAST TO PRODUCE AREAS OF RAINFALL IN THE DEEP SOUTH. DECREASING LOW
   AND MID-LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH INCREASING RH ACROSS SRN NM AND WRN
   TX WILL QUELL THE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS OF THE PAST FEW DAYS.
   FURTHER WEST...RELATIVELY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL ANCHOR ITSELF OVER
   THE GREAT BASIN. A MODEST PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO SANTA ANA
   FLOW OVER SRN CA.
   
   ...SRN CA COASTAL RANGE...
   SANTA ANA CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
   PERIOD AS AN UPPER LOW SHIFTS EAST OF THE CO RIVER VALLEY. OFFSHORE
   FLOW WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH ALONG THE FOOTHILLS AND PASSES OF
   THE COASTAL RANGE. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 60S AND LOWER
   70S...WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 15 TO 20 PERCENT. THESE CONDITIONS
   WILL LEAD TO AN ENHANCED FIRE THREAT OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
   AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED
   DUE TO THE RELATIVELY MODEST FORECAST OF WIND SPEEDS AS WELL AS
   MARGINALLY HIGH DEAD FUEL MOISTURE CONDITIONS DUE TO PRECIPITATION
   THIS PAST WEEKEND.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/21/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0340 AM CST WED FEB 22 2006
   
   VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SW DESERTS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS
   EAST TODAY. RELATIVELY WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER
   THE GREAT BASIN. A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO MODEST
   OFFSHORE FLOW OVER SRN CA.
   
   ...SRN CA COASTAL RANGE...
   WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO
   CONTINUE ALONG THE FOOTHILLS AND PASSES OF THE COASTAL RANGE THROUGH
   THE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE
   60S AND LOWER 70S...WITH MIN RH VALUES AROUND 15 PERCENT BY LATE
   AFTERNOON. DESPITE THESE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS...MID-LEVEL
   WIND SUPPORT IS FORECAST TO QUICKLY WANE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE
   APPROACH OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OFF THE PACIFIC COAST.
   NEAR-SURFACE WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BELOW 20 MPH DURING THE TIME OF
   PEAK TEMPERATURES/MINIMUM HUMIDITY.
   
   ...ERN NM...
   ALTHOUGH MIN RH VALUES WILL BE LOW ONCE AGAIN...FROM 8 TO 15
   PERCENT...WINDS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY LIGHTER COMPARED TO TUESDAY.
   THE PASSAGE OF A WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGH AND CONSEQUENT WEAK HIGH
   PRESSURE RIDGING OVER THE ERN CO PLAINS WILL KEEP WIND SPEEDS IN THE
   5 TO 15 MPH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/22/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0341 AM CST WED FEB 22 2006
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   MODERATE TO HIGH RH ALONG WITH AREAS OF RAINFALL ARE FORECAST ACROSS
   MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS AND GULF COAST AS SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
   CONTINUES TO STREAM ENE FROM THE PACIFIC/MEXICO. AS A MID-LEVEL
   RIDGE MOVES ONSHORE ACROSS SRN CA...LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL WEAKEN OVER
   THE SOUTHWEST. ELSEWHERE...COOL CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/22/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 AM CST THU FEB 23 2006
   
   VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE MUCH OF THE
   CENTRAL CONUS...PROVIDING LIGHT SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH
   PLAINS. MODERATE RH LEVELS ALONG WITH AREAS OF RAINFALL ARE FORECAST
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS AND GULF COAST AS SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
   CONTINUES TO STREAM ENE FROM THE PACIFIC/MEXICO. FURTHER
   W...MID-LEVEL RIDGING OFF THE CA PACIFIC COAST WILL PROVIDE WEAK
   OFFSHORE FLOW OVER SRN CA. THOUGH CRITICALLY LOW RH VALUES ARE
   EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE SW...LOW AND MID-LEVEL WIND SPEEDS WILL
   BE UNDER 20 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0354 AM CST THU FEB 23 2006
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EWD TOWARDS THE E COAST...WHILE A
   LEE PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS ALONG THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. SW WINDS
   WILL INCREASE FROM ERN NM INTO NW OK. LOW AND MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL
   REMAIN WEAK ACROSS MUCH THE SWRN U.S. WITH OFFSHORE RIDGING IN
   PLACE.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE...
   A NARROW CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW RH AND STEEP
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES IS EXPECTED TO THE EAST OF A LOW PRESSURE
   TROUGH ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S...MIN
   RH VALUES WILL REACH 15 TO 2O PERCENT. ALTHOUGH DOWNSLOPING W/SW
   WINDS WILL BE STRONGER COMPARED TO THURSDAY...THERE IS UNCERTAINTY
   IN EXACTLY HOW MUCH STRONGER. AT THIS TIME...SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
   ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS...FROM 12 TO 20 MPH.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/23/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2006
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EWD TOWARDS THE E
   COAST...WHILE LOW PRESSURE FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES MOVES TOWARDS
   THE GREAT LAKES. S/SW WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON IN BETWEEN
   THE SYSTEMS ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
   DRIVE A COLD FRONT SWD ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS DURING THE
   EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. IN THE SWRN CONUS...LOW AND MID-LEVEL WINDS
   WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH OFFSHORE RIDGING IN PLACE.
   
   ...ERN KS/WRN MO...
   WIND SPEEDS WILL BE STRONG IN THE WARM SECTOR OF A LOW PRESSURE
   SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REACH
   20 TO 25 MPH WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON.
   HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AS DEW POINTS IN THE 20S
   ACROSS NERN OK ARE DRAWN N/NE. THIS WILL LIKELY KEEP MIN RH VALUES
   JUST ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS...IN THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF NERN NM INTO THE OK PANHANDLE...
   A NARROW CORRIDOR OF LOW RH...STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MODEST
   WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO THE EAST OF A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH THIS
   AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 60S AND MIN RH VALUES
   WILL REACH 12 TO 2O PERCENT. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN UNDER 20 MPH...AS AN AXIS OF STRONGER WINDS WILL BE
   COINCIDENT WITH THE LOW-LEVEL MOIST AXIS FURTHER EAST.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/24/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0352 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO A TROUGH IN THE ERN CONUS
   AND A RIDGE IN THE WEST. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TRAVELING ALONG THE
   GULF COAST WILL HELP MAINTAIN RAINFALL AND HIGH RH VALUES FROM ERN
   TX TO THE SERN STATES. A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BECOME
   CENTERED OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST PROVIDING COOL N/NE FLOW ACROSS THE
   CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. LOW AND MID-LEVEL WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT OVER THE
   SWRN CONUS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 02/24/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
315 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-250315-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
315 AM CST FRI FEB 24 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH BY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A
FEW GUSTS OVER 25 MPH. TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 60S COMBINED WITH
LOW DEWPOINTS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND
25 TO 30 PERCENT. THE STRONG WINDS WILL AID IN CURING THE DAMP
GROUNDS...WITH DETERIORATING FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AROUND SUNSET.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0219 AM CST SAT FEB 25 2006
   
   VALID 251200Z - 261200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A NWLY STORM TRACK WILL BRING A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH SEWD
   ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO NEW ENGLAND. AT THE SURFACE...A
   STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SWD ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO
   THE MIDWEST WITH COOL TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS. THE
   LEADING EDGE OF THIS COOLER AIR MASS WILL COMBINE WITH GULF MOISTURE
   TO PRODUCE MUCH NEEDED RAIN ACROSS ERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
   
   TO THE WEST...UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD WITH LIGHT WINDS AND WARM
   TEMPERATURES ACROSS SRN CA AND AZ.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0219 AM CST SAT FEB 25 2006
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS OVER THE WEST WILL SHIFT EWD SLIGHTLY...AS A STRONG
   PACIFIC SYSTEM APPROACHES THE W COAST WITH PROSPECTS OF HEAVY
   PRECIPITATION. OVER THE ERN U.S...UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
   AMPLIFY OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC AS THE TAIL END OF A COLD FRONT SWEEPS
   ACROSS SRN FL WITH SOME RAIN EXPECTED AND GUSTY NLY WINDS.
   
   MEANWHILE...SLY FLOW WILL RETURN ACROSS THE PLAINS AS HIGH PRESSURE
   CENTER SHIFTS E INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND WEAK LEE TROUGING OCCURS
   OVER ERN CO.
   
   ...SWRN KS / WRN OK / TX-OK PANHANDLES / NERN NM...
   UPPER RIDGING AND SLY WINDS WILL HELP TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE
   60S FROM THE TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK NWD INTO ERN CO AND WRN KS. RH
   LEVELS WILL BE LOW WITH VALUES RANGING FROM 15 PERCENT OVER ERN CO
   AND NM TO 20-30 PERCENT TX PANHANDLE / WRN OK / SW KS. SWLY WIND
   SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 15 MPH WILL BE LIKELY WITH SOME AREAS SEEING
   SUSTAINED 20 MPH.
   
   ...SRN CA / AZ / SRN NV...
   VERY LOW RH VALUES WILL EXIST ESPECIALLY OVER AZ WITH SINGLE DIGIT
   READINGS LIKELY AND WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S LOWLANDS AND 60S
   HIGH TERRAIN. SLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 10 MPH ACROSS THE
   REGION AS UPPER RIDGE BREAKS DOWN. DESPITE LACK OF STRONG
   WIND...VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND A DRY AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN
   PLACE WITH STRONG INSTABILITY DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   NLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BRING IN DRIER AIR INTO THE
   REGION AFTER A VERY WET DAY SATURDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
   QUICKLY SWD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SRN FL BY MIDDAY SUNDAY...WITH RAIN
   LIKELY. BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL BECOME LOCALLY STRONG AND
   GUSTY WITH SPEEDS UP TO 20-25 MPH. RH VALUES WILL BE LOWEST FROM THE
   CAROLINAS SWD INTO GA AL AND WRN FL PANHANDLE WITH VALUES OF 30-35
   PERCENT. DESPITE THIS...EFFECTS OF RECENT PRECIPITATION WILL HELP TO
   MITIGATE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/25/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0211 AM CST MON FEB 27 2006
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NWRN TX ACROSS OK AND INTO SWRN MO
   / NWRN AR...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AND WILL CAUSE
   TEMPERATURES TO RISE WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW. GRADIENT BETWEEN
   LOWERING PRESSURES ACROSS THE PLAINS AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SERN
   STATES WILL BE CAUSE STRONG SLY WINDS OVER THE SRN PLAINS...WITH
   MODERATE WIND SPEEDS OVER THE ERN OHIO VALLEY AND CAROLINAS. RH
   LEVELS WILL REMAIN LOW WITH THIS HIGH PRESSURE AREA...BUT MOISTURE
   WILL BEGIN RETURNING NWD AROUND WRN PERIPHERY OF HIGH ACROSS CENTRAL
   AND SRN TX. DRY AIR OVER SRN CA WILL BEGIN TO MOISTEN AS STRONG
   TROUGH ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST WILL BRINGING RAIN TO CA...DECREASING
   FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NWRN TX ACROSS OK AND INTO SWRN MO
   / NWRN AR...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG SWLY WINDS / WARM TEMPS AND MODERATELY
   LOW RH
   
   FIRE THREAT WILL INCREASE TODAY DUE TO STRONG SWLY WINDS AND WARMING
   TEMPERATURES. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WILL BE COMMON WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS. AREA FROM SWRN MO ACROSS OK AND INTO NWRN TX MAY SEE
   RH LEVELS DROP BELOW 30 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING...LOWER THAN
   FORECAST BY MOST MODELS...WITH LOWER VALUES FARTHER W INTO THE TX
   PANHANDLE AND ERN NM WHERE WINDS WILL BE A BIT LIGHTER. SOME HIGH
   CLOUDS MAY HAMPER HEATING IN AREAS BUT AGAIN STRONG WINDS WILL BE
   THE MAIN WX PARAMETER DRIVING THE CRITICAL AREA.
   
   ...CAROLINAS / SRN VA / ERN KY / NRN GA...
   WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY BECOME LOCALLY CRITICAL THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO
   MODERATE WINDS AND LOW RH. RH LEVELS WILL BE VERY LOW AND MAINLY IN
   THE TEENS DESPITE COOL TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM UPPER 40S OVER ERN
   KY AND WRN VA TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE CAROLINAS INTO NRN
   GA. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL AVERAGE 15-20 MPH ACROSS THE REGION AS
   WELL. GIVEN THESE PARAMETERS AS WELL AS LITTLE PRECIPITATION IN THE
   LAST TWO WEEKS...ESPECIALLY OVER SRN VA INTO NC...FIRE THREAT WILL
   BE ELEVATED TODAY.
   
   ...LOWER MS VALLEY INTO FL...
   PRESENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS QUITE DRY TODAY...BUT
   WINDS WILL BE LIGHT ESPECIALLY OVER ERN AREAS INCLUDING NRN FL. RH
   VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NRN FL AND THE FL
   PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS SRN AL AND GA. ALTHOUGH POTENTIAL FOR FIRE
   STARTS WILL BE ELEVATED GIVEN VERY LOW RH...RECENT PRECIPITATION
   ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL HELP MITIGATE FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL.
   
   ...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INCLUDING WRN NEB AND SERN WY...
   DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR A VERY WARM DAY TODAY...WITH
   TEMPERATURES NEARING 70 DEGREES OVER NERN CO INTO WRN NEB. RH VALUES
   WILL THUS DROP TO VERY LOW VALUES...FROM 10-15 PERCENT BY AFTERNOON.
   FURTHER...SUSTAINED WLY WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL
   OCCUR. ALTHOUGH DRY AND WINDY...FUELS ARE NOT VERY DRY DUE TO RECENT
   SNOW MELT.
   
   ...SRN CA INTO AZ...
   FIRE DANGERS REMAIN QUITE HIGH OVER SRN CA AS OF EARLY THIS
   MORNING...BUT THIS WILL CHANGE AS SWLY FLOW BRINGS IN PACIFIC
   MOISTURE. STILL THERE MAY BE A FEW HOURS OF STRONGER WINDS WITH LOW
   RH BEFORE MOISTURE LEVELS RISE...RESULTING IN RAIN. FARTHER E INTO
   AZ...RH WILL REMAIN VERY LOW BELOW 10-15 PERCENT AT PEAK HEATING
   WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 80S LOWER ELEVATIONS. WINDS WILL
   BE LIGHT MOST PLACES BUT MAY START GUSTING NEAR RIDGE TOPS IN
   VERTICAL PROXIMITY TO STRONGER FLOW ALOFT.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0308 AM CST MON FEB 27 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NERN NM / TX AND OK PANHANDLE...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD AS IT SHIFTS EWD INTO THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS. UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH VALUES WILL COVER
   A LARGE PORTION OF THE PLAINS STATES AS A RESULT WITH LOCALLY WINDY
   CONDITIONS. TO THE WEST...STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
   IMPACT THE PACIFIC COAST STATES AS WELL AS THE GREAT BASIN...AND
   WILL BRING RAIN INTO AZ AND UT LATE. LOCALLY STRONG WINDS WILL
   RESULT JUST AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH IN THE HIGH TERRAIN OF NERN AZ AND
   NM BEFORE MOISTENING OCCURS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NERN NM / TX AND OK PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WSWLY WINDS / VERY LOW RH / WARM
   TEMPERATURES
   
   UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND WITH
   INCREASING FLOW ALOFT AND STRONG HEATING...WINDS WILL INCREASE AT
   THE SURFACE. WLY FLOW OF 20-25 MPH IS EXPECTED WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN
   THE MOUNTAINS. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL HELP TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO
   THE 80S OVER THE ERN PLAINS AND INTO THE TX PANHANDLE...ALLOWING RH
   VALUES TO DROP TO 10-15 PERCENT. STRONG WINDS MAY CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
   WITH MODERATE RH RECOVERY...AS UPPER TROUGH COMES OUT AND PRESSURE
   FALLS TO THE EAST.
   
   ...NEB / KS / OK/ NWRN TX...
   IT WILL BE A WARM AND WINDY DAY OVER MOST OF THE CENTRAL AND SRN
   PLAINS TUESDAY WITH DOWNSLOPE FLOW ALOFT AND UPPER RIDGE AXIS
   OVERHEAD. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG OVER OK AS PREVIOUS DAY...WITH
   SPEEDS NEAR 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. FARTHER N...WINDS WILL
   BE SIMILAR WITH ABNORMALLY WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE 70S OVER KS
   AND WRN NEB. CRITICAL AREA OVER NM AND TX MAY BE EXPANDED FARTHER N
   AND E NEXT DAY 1 IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
   
   ...NERN AZ / WRN NM...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SW IN ASSOCIATION WITH UPPER TROUGH
   AS IT ATTEMPTS TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AREA.
   RH WILL REMAIN LOW FROM 15-20 PERCENT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH
   WILL LIE ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN TUE AFTERNOON. INCREASING
   MOISTURE WILL CAUSE MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS TO INCREASE OVER THE
   AREA...WHICH WILL TEND TO LIMIT HEATING. HOWEVER...GIVEN EXTREME
   DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN PLACE...THERE WILL BE AN ELEVATED THREAT OF
   FIRES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
   
   ...NRN FL INTO GA / CAROLINAS...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE ERN GULF AND
   FL...KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY. THE AIR MASS WILL MODERATE AND WARM
   INTO THE 70S...WITH RH VALUES DIPPING INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE.
   WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL CAUSE DEEPER MIXED LAYERS DURING THE DAY
   WHICH WOULD TEND TO HELP FIRE GROWTH. LIGHT WINDS WILL AGAIN BE THE
   MITIGATING FACTOR TO SPREAD POTENTIAL...WITH LOW TO MODERATE KBDI
   VALUES SUGGESTING THE SAME.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/27/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1145 AM CST MON FEB 27 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS FROM THE
UPPER 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH WILL PREVAIL ACROSS MUCH OF
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ALTHOUGH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ONLY DROP TO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE
DURING THE AFTERNOON...THE COMBINATION OF WARM TEMPERATURES AND
STRONG WINDS WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS... AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... AND ALL OF
OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2006
   
   VALID 281200Z - 011200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR CO FRONT RANGE / NERN NM / TX & OK
   PANHANDLES / SRN KS/ WRN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH
   INCREASING SWLY FLOW TO THE WEST AHEAD OF DE AMPLIFYING UPPER
   TROUGH. VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL THUS PREVAIL FROM NEB SWD
   INTO TX. RH LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RISE FROM ERN TX INTO FAR ERN OK
   AND INTO AR WITH PERSISTENT SLY FLOW OFF THE GULF. ELSEWHERE...HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE SERN STATES WITH CONTINUED LOW
   AFTERNOON RH BUT LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - CO FRONT RANGE / NERN NM / TX & OK
   PANHANDLES /...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: VERY WARM TEMPERATURES / LOW RH / MDT SWLY WINDS
   / DROUGHT
   
   IT WILL BECOME VERY WARM TODAY WITH MOST PLACES WITHIN THE CRITICAL
   AREA REACHING 80 DEGREES OR WARMER. SWLY FLOW WILL KEEP RH LEVELS
   LOW...RANGING FROM 10-15 PERCENT OVER CO AND NM TO 20-25 PERCENT
   ACROSS E CENTRAL KS AND OK. LOWERING PRESSURES ACROSS THE PLAINS
   WILL COMBINE WITH EXISTING HIGH TO THE SE TO CAUSE SWLY SUSTAINED
   WINDS AROUND 20 MPH. A FEW AREAS FROM SERN CO INTO THE TX PANHANDLE
   AND WRN OK MAY SEE RH LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS.
   
   ...NEB / NERN CO / NRN KS...
   NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TODAY...THE MITIGATING FACTORS
   BEING WEAKER WINDS WHERE IT HAS BEEN DRIEST. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS NOT
   BEEN MUCH PRECIPITATION RECENTLY...SOME AREAS SUCH AS SERN WY AND
   FAR WRN NEB HAVE HAD RECENT SNOW MELT WHICH HAS HELPED TO KEEP THE
   GROUND MOIST. THOSE AREAS WILL SEE VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WITH SPEEDS
   OF 20-30 MPH. EVEN SO...GIVEN EXTREME DRYING THAT WILL OCCUR
   TODAY...A GRASS FIRE CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALTHOUGH CHANCES ARE LESS
   THAN IN CRITICAL AREAS TO THE SOUTH.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR CONTINUED LOW RH VALUES OVER
   SRN AL FL GA AND THE CAROLINAS TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE 60S
   AND 70S. AVERAGE RH WILL BE FROM 20-25 PERCENT...EXCEPT INCREASING
   TO NEAR 35 PERCENT INLAND S FL. ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS IS VERY
   DRY...WINDS WILL NOT BE A PROBLEM AT UNDER 10 MPH. IN
   ADDITION...KBDI VALUES OVER THE REGION ARE NOT VERY HIGH SUGGESTING
   LIMITED THREAT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS SRN FL WITH VALUES OVER
   500...BUT RH VALUES WILL NOT BE EXCEPTIONALLY LOW THERE.
   
   ...NERN AZ INTO FAR WRN NM...
   WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH APPROACH OF UPPER TROUGH AND MAY COMBINE
   WITH LOW RH VALUES FOR PART OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS...BEFORE MOISTURE
   INCREASES. SWLY WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WILL BE COMMON ESPECIALLY IN THE
   HIGHER TERRAIN...WITH RH VALUES 15-20 PERCENT. INCREASING CLOUDS
   WILL TEND TO LIMIT POTENTIAL HOWEVER...WITH SOME RAIN FORECAST LATE
   IN THE DAY AS WELL.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0334 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM / MTNS OF FAR W TX / TX
   PANHANDLE / CNTRL AND WRN OK / SRN KS......
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   RIDGE ALOFT WILL DAMPEN ON WED AS LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   MOVES INTO THE NRN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL
   MOVE EWD OUT OF NEB INTO IL BY WED AFTERNOON...WITH A COLD FRONT /
   WIND SHIFT DRAPED SWWD ACROSS SRN MO INTO CENTRAL OK. ALONG AND
   AHEAD OF THIS FRONT WINDS WILL BE STRONG WITH SHIFTING WINDS
   ENHANCING FIRE THREAT. FARTHER N...IT WILL BE A BIT COOLER BUT VERY
   WINDY ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS.
   
   ELSEWHERE...RH WILL REMAIN LOW INLAND FL AND SRN GA WITH SFC RIDGE
   AXIS OVER FL.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM / MTNS OF FAR W TX / TX
   PANHANDLE / CNTRL AND WRN OK / SRN KS......
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG WINDS / LOW RH / WIND SHIFT WITH COLD
   FRONT NRN AREAS
   
   HIGH PRESSURE OF MARINE ORIGIN WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NRN ROCKIES INTO
   THE PLAINS. SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SWD INTO KS AND OK CAUSING
   WINDS TO SHIFT FROM SWLY TO NWLY WITH SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS. IT WILL BE VERY WARM AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND 80S. RH WILL THUS BE LOW AT 20-30
   PERCENT. TO THE SW...THE COLD FRONT WILL HAVE LESS INFLUENCE OVER NM
   AND NONE OVER SW TX...BUT INCREASED FLOW ALOFT WITH TROUGH WILL HELP
   PRODUCE STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS NEAR 2O MPH WITH MUCH HIGHER GUSTS
   INTO THE GUADALUPE MTNS. THERE WILL BE GOOD RH RECOVERY OVERNIGHT AS
   TEMPERATURES COOL BEHIND THE FRONT.
   
   ...SRN GA INTO FL...
   RH WILL BE LOW AGAIN AT 30-35 PERCENT MOST PLACES DUE TO HIGH
   PRESSURE. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...BUT MAY INCREASE OVER THE FL
   PANHANDLE AND POINTS NW LATE IN THE DAY WHICH WILL ALSO CAUSE RH
   LEVELS TO RISE A BIT. MARGINAL KBDI VALUES AND LIGHT WINDS SUGGEST
   MARGINAL OVERALL THREAT OF FIRE GROWTH/SPREAD.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 02/28/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2006

...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

IT WILL BE HOT IN THE WESTERN QUARTER OF OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON WHEN TEMPERATURES REACH THE MIDDLE
80S...ABOUT 30 DEGREES ABOVE LATE FEBRUARY NORMALS. WINDS WILL BLOW
AROUND 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RANGE 10 TO 15 PERCENT. A RED
FLAG WARNING IS EFFECTIVE THERE.

OTHER AREAS OF WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL
HAVE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 80 AND MINIMUM
HUMIDITY 20 TO 30 PERCENT. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.

EXERCISE EXTRA CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES.
REMEMBER THAT WILDFIRES CAN RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS... AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... AND ALL OF
OKLAHOMA.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
324 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-010300-
BENTON-CARROLL-WASHINGTON AR-MADISON-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-SEBASTIAN-
PUSHMATAHA-CHOCTAW-OSAGE-WASHINGTON OK-NOWATA-CRAIG-OTTAWA-PAWNEE-
TULSA-ROGERS-MAYES-DELAWARE-CREEK-OKFUSKEE-OKMULGEE-WAGONER-
CHEROKEE-ADAIR-MUSKOGEE-MCINTOSH-SEQUOYAH-PITTSBURG-HASKELL-
LATIMER-LE FLORE-
324 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2006

...FIRE WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER ALERT
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN ARKANSAS...
BENTON...CARROLL...WASHINGTON...MADISON...CRAWFORD...FRANKLIN AND
SEBASTIAN.

IN OKLAHOMA...
PUSHMATAHA...CHOCTAW...OSAGE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA...CRAIG...
OTTAWA...PAWNEE...TULSA...ROGERS...MAYES...DELAWARE...CREEK...OKFUSKEE...
OKMULGEE...WAGONER...CHEROKEE...ADAIR...MUSKOGEE...MCINTOSH...SEQUOYAH...
PITTSBURG...HASKELL...LATIMER AND LE FLORE.

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP
TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA BY THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MAY FALL EVEN LOWER IN AREAS TO THE WEST OF
HIGHWAY 75. THE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOUTH WINDS OF
10 TO 15 MPH WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE AFTER
SUNSET...HOWEVER HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE LIMITED TONIGHT.

A FIRE WEATHER ALERT IS ISSUED WHEN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED BUT ARE BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA. A FIRE WEATHER ALERT MAY ALSO
BE ISSUED TO RELAY STATE OR COUNTY FIRE INFORMATION...SUCH AS BURNING BANS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0400 AM CST WED MAR 01 2006
   
   VALID 011200Z - 021200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EASTERN NM/WEST TX/MUCH OF
   OK/SOUTHERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTHWEST AR...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER TROUGH WILL NEAR THE WEST COAST...WHILE
   SHORTWAVE IMPULSE TRAVERSES THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST.
   SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL QUICKLY ADVANCE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS
   INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PUSHING
   SOUTH/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS AND MID MISSOURI
   VALLEY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - EASTERN NM/WEST TX/MUCH OF
   OK/SOUTHERN KS/SOUTHWEST MO/NORTHWEST AR...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES WITH GUSTY WINDS AND/OR
   WIND SHIFT
   
   A HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST TODAY ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE
   SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS...LARGELY ATTRIBUTABLE TO VERY WARM
   TEMPERATURES IN CONJUNCTION WITH GUSTY WINDS AND/OR A WIND SHIFT.
   PREFRONTAL TROUGH/SOUTHWARD PUSHING COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN S/SW
   WINDS BECOMING NORTHERLY DURING THE DAY ACROSS THE OK/TX
   PANHANDLES...MUCH OF OK...AND SOUTHERN KS. WIND SPEEDS WILL
   GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 15-25 MPH...WITH STRONGER WIND SPEEDS BEHIND
   THE COLD FRONT...AS WELL AS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF EASTERN NM/EXTREME
   WEST TX. AMPLE MIXING/DOWNSLOPE TRAJECTORIES WILL LEAD TO NEAR
   RECORD TEMPERATURES IN THE PREFRONTAL WARM SECTOR ACROSS THE SOUTH
   CENTRAL PLAINS...WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 90
   IN SOME LOCALES.
   
   ...FL AND SOUTHERN GA...
   PROXIMITY OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICAL RH
   VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF INTERIOR FL AND SOUTHERN GA.
   HOWEVER...INCREASINGLY MOIST TRAJECTORIES WILL LIKELY YIELD SOME
   DEWPOINT/RH IMPROVEMENT TODAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN
   FL/SOUTHERN GA. RELATIVELY LIGHT WIND SPEEDS OF 10 MPH OR LESS AND
   MARGINAL KBDI VALUES SUGGEST LIMITED FIRE GROWTH/SPREAD POTENTIAL.
   
   ...NEB/EASTERN CO/NORTHERN KS...
   RATHER STRONG/GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS TODAY...WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 25-35 MPH AND GUSTS TO 40-45 MPH.
   ALTHOUGH A QUICK SPREAD OF ANY GRASSFIRES WOULD OCCUR GIVEN THE
   MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS AND LOW DAYTIME RH VALUES...GENERAL
   MITIGATING FACTOR WILL BE AVAILABLE FUELS IN CONTRAST TO AREAS
   FURTHER SOUTH.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CST WED MAR 01 2006
   
   VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER RIDGE WILL BECOME REESTABLISHED ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS ON
   THURSDAY...BETWEEN BROAD EASTERN CANADA/NORTHEAST STATES UPPER
   TROUGH AND UPPER TROUGH MOVING ONTO THE WEST COAST.
   ACCORDINGLY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD ACROSS THE
   PLAINS...WITH COLD FRONT ADVANCING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST
   STATES.
   
   IN WAKE OF COLD FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE CONSIDERABLY COOLER
   ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY...IN ADDITION
   TO CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.
   ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES...IMPROVED AFTERNOON RH VALUES ARE
   ANTICIPATED ACROSS FL/SOUTHERN GA THURSDAY AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD
   FRONT.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/01/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
348 AM CST WED MAR 1 2006

...GUSTY WEST AND SOUTHWEST WINDS AND DRY FUELS WILL CREATE AN
ELEVATED RISK OF GRASS FIRES TODAY...

A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL PRODUCE
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT SPEEDS BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...AND HUMIDITIES WELL BELOW 30 PERCENT...MAINLY ALONG
AND WEST OF INTERSTATE 35 TODAY. IN ADDITION...AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM AS HIGH AS THE LOW 90S IN THIS SAME REGION.
DESPITE THE RECENT WIDESPREAD AND BENEFICIAL RAINS...VEGETATION
CONTINUES TO REMAIN DEAD OR DORMANT. THESE METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS
WILL CAUSE THESE FUELS TO DRY OUT FURTHER WHICH WILL INCREASE THE
GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER TODAY.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR A MAJORITY OF THE AREA. AVOID
ANY ACTIVITIES THAT COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR
WELDING OR TOSSING LIT CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE
INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.