Memorial Day Weekend Outbreak 2008

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
wbug1

Re: Severe weather today/tomorrow?

#161 Postby wbug1 » Thu May 22, 2008 3:15 pm

Denvernews 7 channel says 100 injuries,1 dead following CO tornados. Photo of a mangled Windsor, CO, looks like strong EF3. Probably lot's more news on this.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#162 Postby KWT » Thu May 22, 2008 3:17 pm

Oh 100 injuries is pretty bad, I just hope none are serious because I don't want to see the death toll rising anymore from what it already is.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

#163 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 22, 2008 3:18 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: Severe weather today/tomorrow?

#164 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu May 22, 2008 3:20 pm

First tornado warning in Kansas.

TORNADO WARNING
KSC063-109-222115-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0013.080522T2015Z-080522T2115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
315 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 415 PM CDT

* AT 312 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF THE MONUMENT ROCKS...MOVING NORTH AT 54 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MONUMENT AND OAKLEY AROUND 335 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 75 AND 79.

A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO HAS BEEN OBSERVED OR INDICATED
BY RADAR. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AND COVER UP.

LAT...LON 3913 10108 3913 10073 3874 10072 3873 10098
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 170DEG 47KT 3885 10088
0 likes   

wbug1

Re: Severe weather today/tomorrow?

#165 Postby wbug1 » Thu May 22, 2008 3:21 pm

New TS cells developed and moving over areas hit by tornado. 2 inch hail reported in Windsor, CO again and tornado warning the cell.. OK, time to go for a walk.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#166 Postby KWT » Thu May 22, 2008 3:23 pm

edit---info already posted on previous page!

Still looking like a long day ahead of us!
Last edited by KWT on Thu May 22, 2008 3:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

Re: Severe weather today/tomorrow?

#167 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 22, 2008 3:34 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:First tornado warning in Kansas.

TORNADO WARNING
KSC063-109-222115-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0013.080522T2015Z-080522T2115Z/



10 points for the NWS - excellent forecast.

Anyone an idea what are the cape-values for the warned area ?
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

#168 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 22, 2008 3:46 pm

Caps blown off at Denver and Dodge City
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Severe weather today/tomorrow?

#169 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 22, 2008 3:50 pm

Bunkertor wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:First tornado warning in Kansas.

TORNADO WARNING
KSC063-109-222115-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0013.080522T2015Z-080522T2115Z/



10 points for the NWS - excellent forecast.

Anyone an idea what are the cape-values for the warned area ?


I believe it is something outrageous like 5000 in the southern areas, but even up there probably about 2000.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#170 Postby KWT » Thu May 22, 2008 3:51 pm

Update on the tornado warning in KS below:


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
342 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 340 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR THE
MONUMENT ROCKS...MOVING NORTH AT 53 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
9 MILES WEST OF GRINNELL AROUND 410 PM CDT...

Seems like there is alot of activity going off across much of the USA right now, esp obviously in the central parts.

Cape values in the southern regions are between 3000-4500 according to the forecasters, so some very high levels.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#171 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 22, 2008 3:58 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
255 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

KSC063-222130-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-080522T2130Z/
GOVE KS-
355 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR WESTERN
GOVE COUNTY...

AT 354 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE MONUMENT ROCKS...MOVING
NORTH AT 44 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GRINNELL AROUND 420 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 77 AND 88.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING. AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3912 10055 3870 10057 3869 10079 3871 10080
3914 10080
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 180DEG 38KT 3886 10064

$$

KILLINGSWORTH
0 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High tornado risk today/tonight

#172 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu May 22, 2008 4:02 pm

Another new Tornado Warning in NW Kansas...
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: High tornado risk today/tonight

#173 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 22, 2008 4:05 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0973
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0402 PM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NE...KS...TX...OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 335...336...

VALID 222102Z - 222200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 335...336...CONTINUES.

MOST INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 335
ATTM WHERE PARTICULARLY INTENSE SUPERCELLS WERE TRACKING NNEWD
ACROSS PARTS OF HASKELL...FINNEY...SCOTT AND GOVE COUNTIES. THESE
CELLS APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING IN GENERALLY PRISTINE ENVIRONMENT WHERE
INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED MESOCYCLONES
AND TORNADIC THREAT...ESPECIALLY NEAR DISCRETE CELLS...AND WITH
CELLS NEAR/CROSSING WARM FRONT...NORTH OF GOVE/SHERIDAN COUNTY
CONVECTION.

ACTIVITY ACROSS NWRN KS APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN AFFECTED BY WWD MOVING
OUTFLOW FROM STORMS FARTHER EAST. HOWEVER...INTENSELY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT NEAR DRYLINE/WARM FRONT INTERSECTION OVER CHEYENNE
COUNTY IN NW KS...AND INTO DUNDY COUNTY NEB...COULD SUPPORT TORNADIC
SUPERCELL IN THIS REGION NEXT HOUR.

FARTHER SOUTH...ACROSS WATCH 336...A FEW STORM UPDRAFTS HAVE
INITIATED ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE ERN TX PNHDL. OTHER THAN DEEP
MIXING ALONG THE DRYLINE...FORCING TO AID ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTENANCE THIS AREA IS SUBTLE/WEAK. HOWEVER...MODEL
SOUNDINGS ACROSS WATCH 336 REVEAL LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
LEFT GIVEN CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS. THIS IS DESPITE GENERALLY
WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /700MB TEMPS 10C-12C/. GIVEN SATELLITE
AND RADAR TRENDS...AND LATEST GUIDANCE...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY
INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS WATCH 336 OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 05/22/2008


ATTN...WFO...ICT...FWD...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...SJT...GLD...LUB...AMA...

40340199 40330100 40279912 38219900 38219844 36939837
33279793 33340032 37700101 37720145 38300157 38280200
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

Re: Severe weather today/tomorrow?

#174 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 22, 2008 4:08 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Bunkertor wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:First tornado warning in Kansas.

TORNADO WARNING
KSC063-109-222115-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0013.080522T2015Z-080522T2115Z/



10 points for the NWS - excellent forecast.

Anyone an idea what are the cape-values for the warned area ?


I believe it is something outrageous like 5000 in the southern areas, but even up there probably about 2000.


Found some : In and around the high risk area 2-2500 in the mixed layer and 3,5 - 4000 on the surface. Don´t know what´s the relavant number.
0 likes   

User avatar
Texas Snowman
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 6151
Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
Location: Denison, Texas

Re: High tornado risk today/tonight

#175 Postby Texas Snowman » Thu May 22, 2008 4:11 pm

Storms beginning to pop on the dryline east of Amarillo.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

New MD issued

#176 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 22, 2008 4:12 pm

Image
VALID 222102Z - 222200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 335...336...CONTINUES.

MOST INTENSE TSTM DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING ACROSS TORNADO WATCH 335
ATTM WHERE PARTICULARLY INTENSE SUPERCELLS WERE TRACKING NNEWD
ACROSS PARTS OF HASKELL...FINNEY...SCOTT AND GOVE COUNTIES. THESE
CELLS APPEAR TO BE OCCURRING IN GENERALLY PRISTINE ENVIRONMENT WHERE
INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED MESOCYCLONES
AND TORNADIC THREAT...ESPECIALLY NEAR DISCRETE CELLS...AND WITH
CELLS NEAR/CROSSING WARM FRONT...NORTH OF GOVE/SHERIDAN COUNTY
CONVECTION.

ACTIVITY ACROSS NWRN KS APPEARS TO HAVE BEEN AFFECTED BY WWD MOVING
OUTFLOW FROM STORMS FARTHER EAST. HOWEVER...INTENSELY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT NEAR DRYLINE/WARM FRONT INTERSECTION OVER CHEYENNE
COUNTY IN NW KS...AND INTO DUNDY COUNTY NEB...COULD SUPPORT TORNADIC
SUPERCELL IN THIS REGION NEXT HOUR.

FARTHER SOUTH...ACROSS WATCH 336...A FEW STORM UPDRAFTS HAVE
INITIATED ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS THE ERN TX PNHDL. OTHER THAN DEEP
MIXING ALONG THE DRYLINE...FORCING TO AID ADDITIONAL STORM
DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTENANCE THIS AREA IS SUBTLE/WEAK. HOWEVER...MODEL
SOUNDINGS ACROSS WATCH 336 REVEAL LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS
LEFT GIVEN CURRENT SURFACE CONDITIONS. THIS IS DESPITE GENERALLY
WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /700MB TEMPS 10C-12C/. GIVEN SATELLITE
AND RADAR TRENDS...AND LATEST GUIDANCE...THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL LIKELY
INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS WATCH 336 OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

#177 Postby Bunkertor » Thu May 22, 2008 4:15 pm

New MD should be issued for whole MS
0 likes   

Ed Mahmoud

Re: High tornado risk today/tonight

#178 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu May 22, 2008 4:30 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
327 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN LARAMIE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WYOMING...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CHEYENNE...

* UNTIL 400 PM MDT

* AT 325 PM MDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO 10 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CHEYENNE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 53 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CHEYENNE BY 335 PM...
WARREN AF BASE AND NORTH CHEYENNE BY 340 PM...
WHITAKER BY 355 PM...
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: High tornado risk today/tonight

#179 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 22, 2008 4:39 pm

TORNADO WARNING
COC123-222215-
/O.NEW.KBOU.TO.W.0011.080522T2129Z-080522T2215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
329 PM MDT THU MAY 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN WELD COUNTY IN NORTHEAST COLORADO

* UNTIL 415 PM MDT

* AT 327 PM MDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A
TORNADO NEAR JOHNSONTOWN...ALONG COUNTY ROAD 17. THIS STORM WAS
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 28 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WINDSOR...
SEVERANCE...ROCKPORT...PURCELL...PIERCE...NUNN...NATURAL FORT REST
AREA...MILLIKEN...LUCERNE...LA SALLE...KERSEY...JOHNSTOWN...GILL...
GALETON...EVANS...EATON...CARR...BARNESVILLE...AULT AND GREELEY.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.


THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SAFE SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN
THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR
HANDS.

THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACED THE PREVIOUS TORNADO WARNING IN
EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN WELD COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4026 10494 4099 10494 4100 10440 4043 10428
4034 10439
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 151DEG 24KT 4061 10454

$$
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34001
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#180 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu May 22, 2008 4:57 pm

Coverage: http://www.ksn.com/ (click on the box at the upper-right)
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 55 guests