Texas Fall 2018

[Ralph's Weather]

Missing rain most of the past few days by a couple miles. The past 15 minutes have made up for that with over an inch. Some of the heaviest rain I have seen since 2015. Yard has gone from parched to a lake.

[Brent]

Absolutely pouring here this is pure tropical rains

[gpsnowman]

Started here in Irving about 15 minutes ago. Nothing heavy, but some good T&L though.
Edit: Nice and heavy now. Also, saw the local forecast earlier; Sunday and Monday will have much less humidity and lows in the upper 60's. Can I get an Amen?

[bubba hotep]

Absolutely pouring here this is pure tropical rains

Nice slow moving storm!

[weatherdude1108]

Glad you're ok Haris! Stay safe!

Pouring here with some lightning and thunder. I think I'm downstream of what you got.

[weatherdude1108]

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1042 PM CDT Fri Sep 7 2018

.UPDATE... /Revised PoPs back upward along the Hwy 281 corridor/
As the afternoon and early evening models were largely in error in
showing a decreasing trend over our central and most populous
counties, focus for convection that was shifting slowly north and
west reversed course after several outflow boundaries were generated.
This places new rounds of convection between Hwy 281 and I-35 from
San Antonio to Austin, with the area extending SW from San Antonio along
I-35. Features have been hard to detect, but one concerning feature
noticed is the appearance of an mcv associated with a slow moving
cluster of cells moving north into Frio County. Should this continue
to develop, rapid refresh mesoscale models will probably escalate
the rain potential and a short-fused watch will have to be
considered. These new rounds of convection, while showing abrupt
changes in trends, still remain mostly disorganized and short-lived.
Will continue to consider the larger scale forcing to be the arrival
of the front which should ultimately take over a few hours after
midnight with convection being more concentrated on the post frontal
side (or slightly west of the areas of new evening convection) by
daybreak.

[Haris]

This was the cell .

BTW I picked up 1.24" ! Total for the week now 6.13" .


And yes , I was coming out of the car and lightning stuck down the street a few feet away . My perspective of storms have changed again

[weatherdude1108]

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
409 AM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY...

.Locally heavy rainfall may lead to flash flooding through Sunday
for areas along and west of Interstate 35 corridor. A slow moving
frontal boundary will push across the Hill Country and Edwards
Plateau throughout the day. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms are expected ahead of the frontal boundary. The
frontal boundary is then forecast to push across the Rio Grande
Plains this evening. An upper level disturbance across the
Southern U.S. Plains will also serve to enhance shower and
thunderstorm development late tonight into Sunday.

Storm total amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible with isolated
amounts up to 7 inches. The heavy rains should become more
isolated Sunday afternoon, allowing the flash flood concerns to
decrease.

TXZ171>173-183>192-202>206-217>219-228-082115-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FF.A.0004.180908T0909Z-180909T1400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Kinney-Uvalde-Medina-Bexar-
Comal-Maverick-Zavala-Frio-Dimmit-
Including the cities of Llano, Burnet, Georgetown, Del Rio,
Rocksprings, Leakey, Kerrville, Bandera, Fredericksburg, Boerne,
Blanco, San Marcos, Austin, Bracketville, Uvalde, Hondo,
San Antonio, New Braunfels, Eagle Pass, Crystal City, Pearsall,
and Carrizo Springs
409 AM CDT Sat Sep 8 2018

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of south central Texas,
including the following areas, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet,
Comal, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Gillespie, Hays, Kendall, Kerr,
Kinney, Llano, Maverick, Medina, Real, Travis, Uvalde, Val
Verde, Williamson, and Zavala.

* Through Sunday morning

* Widespread rain from abundant tropical moisture and a slow
moving frontal boundary are expected today along and west of
Interstate 35. Then later this evening into Sunday, the focus
for locally heavy rains moves into the I-35 corridor and Rio
Grande Plains. Storm totals of 1 to 3 inches are possible with
isolated amounts up to 7 inches.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

[weatherdude1108]

Got an inch last night. Up to 2.75 inches.

[Haris]

Flash Flood watch!

[EnnisTx]

Deluge here in Arlington. Gutters on the house are overflowing! Yes their clean! Picked up an unbelievable 2.3 inches in 30 minutes....

[EnnisTx]

Deluge here in Arlington. Gutters on the house are overflowing! Yes their clean! Picked up an unbelievable 2.3 inches in 30 minutes....

It hasn't let up much. Flash flood warning in effect.

[Haris]

[Brent]

looks like training over the metroplex... just started here

[rwfromkansas]

Got .70 in north Fort Worth. A lot more than yesterday. Lol. Up to 2.50 total IMBY, though the airport has struggled.

[srainhoutx]

Saturday afternoon briefing from Jeff:

NWS has issued a Flash Flood Watch for the NW 1/3rd of SE TX from 700pm this evening until 700am Sunday. This watch includes the following counties: Houston, Grimes, Madison, Brazos, Burleson, and Washington.

A slow moving frontal boundary currently along the I-35 corridor will progress slowly into the extreme NW portions of SE TX this evening and slow down even more. Significant amounts of tropical moisture will be pooling over the region tonight and help to focus rounds of showers and thunderstorms with excessive rainfall along a line from near Brenham to Madisonville. While low level inflow is not particularly strong…it is there and enough to help focus the rainfall and feed moisture northward. Will have to watch closely for any cold pool generation and outflow boundaries that could expand the area of heavy rains southward early Sunday…should this happen the flash flood watch would need to be extended southward toward the US 59 corridor.

Rainfall amounts across the watch area tonight will average 1-3 inches with isolated totals of 5 inches possible.

Sunday-Monday:
Weakening frontal boundary and axis of heavy rainfall will sag southward into the central portions of the area either along the US 59 or I-10 corridors. Heavy rainfall will again be possible especially across the central portions of the area Sunday afternoon and evening and a Flash Flood Watch may be needed.

Sunday night into Monday the frontal boundary washes out and becomes a coastal trough which will help focus heavy rainfall across our southern areas (mainly SE of US 59) into Monday. Again flash flooding will be possible. Storm totals Sunday and Monday will likely average 1-3 inches over the area with isolated totals of 4-6 inches possible.

This is an evolving weather situation and will require close monitoring over the next 48 hours as the pattern favors heavy rainfall over the region.

[Haris]

becoming increasingly concerned for dangerous flash flooding for San Antonio tonight!

[rwfromkansas]

DFW now effectively back to normal for the year.

[weatherdude1108]

Rained just a tiny bit this morning, nothing measurable. Nothing since except a couple sprinkles. Thought it was going to be a washout flood the way the weather service hyped it.

It did feel nice this evening eating out on a patio at 76 degrees.

[Brent]

forgot to check the rain gauge when I got home but today was like the perfect steady rain for hours

More of that please