Texas Spring 2023

[dpep4]

Looks like the show is starting with the Decatur and Gainesville storms?

[Texas Snowman]

 https://twitter.com/collinmyerswx/status/1631388376019476480

[Texas Snowman]

 https://twitter.com/collinmyerswx/status/1631396670523973658

[txtwister78]

 https://twitter.com/NWStornado/status/1631398499190284288

[ElectricStorm]

Just had a nice thunder here in Norman with this light shower. On the far northern edge of the marginal, but we could get a rogue severe storm or two.

[ElectricStorm]

All around pretty high probs on the new tor watch

[HockeyTx82]

All around pretty high probs on the new tor watch

HRRR shows mainly a line hitting DFW now, cells are moved out. Are they expecting more discrete cells or is the high all around impact covering both the line and maybe cells to the east?

[ElectricStorm]

All around pretty high probs on the new tor watch

HRRR shows mainly a line hitting DFW now, cells are moved out. Are they expecting more discrete cells or is the high all around impact covering both the line and maybe cells to the east?

I believe it's for both but the line itself will probably be a decent QLCS spin up producer, as well as any embedded supercells in there.

[Iceresistance]

Raining here now.

[Gotwood]

All around pretty high probs on the new tor watch

HRRR shows mainly a line hitting DFW now, cells are moved out. Are they expecting more discrete cells or is the high all around impact covering both the line and maybe cells to the east?

Timing seems to be off for sure.

[rwfromkansas]

Lots of parents pulling kids. No after-school activities.

I admit...doesn't feel like a moderate risk day. But, the squall line may be intense.

[Gotwood]

Lots of parents pulling kids. No after-school activities.

I admit...doesn't feel like a moderate risk day. But, the squall line may be intense.

So far it’s a bust

[cstrunk]

Lots of parents pulling kids. No after-school activities.

I admit...doesn't feel like a moderate risk day. But, the squall line may be intense.

So far it’s a bust

While I'm still not super high on the discrete tornadic threat, it's still way to early to talk bust.

[Ntxw]

Lots of parents pulling kids. No after-school activities.

I admit...doesn't feel like a moderate risk day. But, the squall line may be intense.

So far it’s a bust

While I'm still not super high on the discrete tornadic threat, it's still way to early to talk bust.

The line that comes through will probably verify the wind and some hail. People often assume enhanced and moderate are discretionary for tornados, but the higher confidence in wind qualifies.

[txtwister78]

Lots of parents pulling kids. No after-school activities.

I admit...doesn't feel like a moderate risk day. But, the squall line may be intense.

So far it’s a bust

QLCS spin up's are still possible within the line. SPC probs within the watch are high as it relates to that threat as opposed to the much lower EF2 or higher risk (significant tornado threat), but regardless all it takes is one and so hopefully folks won't let their guard down as the main line is still a few hours west.

[ElectricStorm]

Looks like a pretty nasty hail core about to hit Sherman

[cycloneye]

Gorilla.

 https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/status/1631411306002542592

[cstrunk]

Storms in Deep East Texas are starting to get "the look" to me.

[Gotwood]

So far it’s a bust

While I'm still not super high on the discrete tornadic threat, it's still way to early to talk bust.

The line that comes through will probably verify the wind and some hail. People often assume enhanced and moderate are discretionary for tornados, but the higher confidence in wind qualifies.

Speaking in terms of timing and intensity.

[ElectricStorm]

First tornado warning of the day is up for a possible QLCS spin up on the main line further west.