Historic outbreak Sunday: The aftermath

[wx247]

New watch will be coming out soon for the Metroplex northeastward toward Ft. Smith, Arkansas. Threat continues here overnight. Cells across N. Texas definitely are getting their act together.

[CrazyC83]

I wonder when/if they will go up to a PDS?

[wx247]

I wonder when/if they will go up to a PDS?

No reason to yet. This situation is nothing out of the ordinary so far.

[wxmann_91]

Things are pickign up a bit here. The southern half ot he state is really starting to get some good supercells going.

The tornado threat looks to be diminishing which is good so I can sleep without worry tonight. I'm just north of Tulsa...

Tornado threat is NOT diminishing for your area. New storms should fire to the west, and given good helicity values and marginal instability, any storms rooted in the boundary layer could produce. Sure, SPC has a severe tstorm watch out... oh wait didn't Evansville occur during a severe tstorm watch? Gist is conditions will get more favorable, interestingly, during the middle of the night, as the best lift comes along, from 6-12Z, so do not let down your guard.

Where'd you get that?

The info I saw (granted its been 2 hours) showed a weaking lift pattern and a linear line of storms with the odds of embedded tornadic activity being quite low

If this has changed I'd like a link...I dont have a weather radio so I may keep one of my PC's up and on NOAA...

I do not know where you are getting the best info, but that doesn't make sense, sense weakening lift steers away from a linear line of storms. Look at the sups in northwest TX. More will develop in southern OK as the night progresses. Be aware and vigilent, as wx247 mentioned, weather can be fickle.

[wx247]

First tornado warning is out for Southern LeFlore County Oklahoma... this is dopple radar indicated. Warnings are now flying across Southern Oklahoma.

[jhamps10]

First TORANDO WARNING!!!!!

WFUS54 KTSA 090512
TORTSA
OKC079-090545-
/O.NEW.KTSA.TO.W.0001.060309T0512Z-060309T0545Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1112 PM CST WED MAR 8 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN LE FLORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 1145 PM CST

* AT 1110 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
OVER MCCURTAIN COUNTY...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL
AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY.

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW! IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS!

LAT...LON 3456 9465 3440 9455 3456 9440 3463 9439

$$

Let the real problems begin!!!!

[CrazyC83]

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL
AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY - sounds like an F0 if it forms. However, we may not luck out with every tornado that could form tonight! All we can do is pray that they stay in cornfields and not in communities!

[wx247]

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL
AREAS OF THE INDICATED COUNTY - sounds like an F0 if it forms. However, we may not luck out with every tornado that could form tonight! All we can do is pray that they stay in cornfields and not in communities!

There is no way to know if there will even be a tornado, let alone an F0.

In addition... a new Tornado Watch has been issued across Central Texas... this stays north of Houston, but does include Austin.

Also, we should be getting a new watch for the Arklatex soon.

[wx247]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST WED MAR 8 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHERN TEXAS

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST

* AT 1129 PM CST...A TORNADO WAS DETECTED BY DOPPLER RADAR 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BELLEVUE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. ANOTHER
POSSIBLE TORNADO WAS INDICATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BELLEVUE.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BELLEVUE...BUFFALO SPRINGS AND
VASHTI.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT... THIS STORM LIKELY CONTAINS
DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS OR LARGER.

TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE HARD TO
SEE. TAKE COVER NOW. IF A BASEMENT IS NOT AVAILABLE...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND
VEHICLES FOR REINFORCED SHELTER. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

[CrazyC83]

Keywords: if it forms.

I saw the new Tornado Watch 44, and yes, Tornado Watch 45 should be issued soon for the Arklatex area. They should also consider at least a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the area around the mouth of the Ohio River...

[CrazyC83]

It could be a long Thursday...I wouldn't be surprised to see major activity from central Michigan all the way to the Gulf of Mexico as it expands out and daytime heating becomes a factor as well...

[Johnny]

Looks like things are getting their act together and then some out towards Austin and San Antonio. I don't see any reason why these won't hold together once approaching Southeast, Texas. It looks like we will get hit by a good squall line in the early morning hours. Of course I'm a weather junkie so I won't be getting much sleep tonight. lol

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/paulradar.pl?FWS

[wx247]

Things get interesting... read this

Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1137 PM CST WED MAR 8 2006

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-091745-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1137 PM CST WED MAR 8 2006


...A LATE-NIGHT TORNADO EPISODE IS POSSIBLE...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA....ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-44 IN OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET....AFTER 3AM.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...LE FLORE...PUSHMATAHA...
AND CHOCTAW COUNTIES.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
ONSET...NOW.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-44 IN OKLAHOMA AND
AND ALL OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE BOUNDARY WAS DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. AS A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM SWEEPS OUT
INTO THE PLAINS OVERNIGHT A PRIMARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A SECONDARY SMALL SCALE LOW
CENTER IS EXPECTED TO TRACK DOWN THE BOUNDARY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
THE ATMOSPHERE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE TONIGHT AHEAD
OF THE SURFACE LOWS AND WIND PROFILES WILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR IN THE REGION OVERNIGHT WITH
SUPERCELLS AND LINE SEGMENTS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCUR
WITH THE STORMS.

IF THE SOUTHERN BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO EXIST OVERNIGHT...IT WOULD BECOME
THE FOCUS FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL STORMS WITH THE RISK OF A STRONG
TORNADO. ANY SHIFT EITHER NORTH OF SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL ALSO
SHIFT THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT AND ALL INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SITUATION CLOSELY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND STORM SPOTTERS SHOULD BE READY OF AN EXTENDED
PERIOD OF ACTIVATION TONIGHT AND BE READY FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE.

[jhamps10]

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1139 PM CST WED MAR 8 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN MONTAGUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 1215 AM CST

* AT 1136 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 8 MILES WEST OF NOCONA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60
MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
NOCONA BY 1145 PM

TAKE COVER IN A BASEMENT...OR ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME IN AN
INTERIOR CLOSET OR BATHROOM. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS FOR COVER.

IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE LIKELY
WITH THIS STORM.

[CrazyC83]

Only God knows what I will wake up to, and what lies ahead on Thursday! March 9th could be a day to remember for a long time...for those in the regions to be affected, stay safe and pray for the best!

[CrazyC83]

Tornado Watch 45 now out, basically replacing Watch 42 in the Red River Valley area...

[wx247]

Storms firing real time right over Oklahoma City! Hail now falling...

[therock1811]

Downtown OKC under the gun right now, Severe Thunderstorm WARNING in effect until 12:45am CT.

Additionally, a Tornado WARNING has just come across for Love County, OK:

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1159 PM CST WED MAR 8 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LOVE COUNTY IN SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 1245 AM CST

* AT 1159 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING TORNDAO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RUBOTTOM...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RUBOTTOM...LEON AROUND 1205 AM CST
CENTRAL LAKE MURRAY AROUND 1220 AM CST

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 10 AND 24.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT... THIS STORM LIKELY CONTAINS
DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS OR LARGER.

TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT BECAUSE THEY ARE HARD TO
SEE. TAKE COVER NOW. IF A BASEMENT IS NOT AVAILABLE...MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND
VEHICLES FOR REINFORCED SHELTER. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

[therock1811]

GRLevel3 just indicated a TVS near Sulphur, Oklahoma. It is gone but did anyone else catch it? I still got meso sigs all over OK and TX.

[jhamps10]

Nope