Texas Spring 2019

[rwfromkansas]

Dreading that ridge. Hopefully it doesn’t stick here permanently for another three weeks or so.

[gpsnowman]

Dreading that ridge. Hopefully it doesn’t stick here permanently for another three weeks or so.

Or longer. The rain cooled air with clouds will cease to exist for several days. I don't trust the high 80's forecasted. Without precipitation, I fear the 90's will slowly creep into upcoming outlooks. To quote Elvis, "What else is there for me to do but cry?" Ok, it's not that bad but heat is slowly getting here.

[Haris]

I may be totally off on this one, but it seems like the SPC could have gotten away with keeping the Moderate Risk yesterday, like the past several days out they were predicting (without upgrading). Not sure if it was a "High Risk" day based on the less widespread reality(?) (like storms not initiating where they were predicted to initiate, etc).

But that said, I'm not a severe weather expert, and you never know what the weather is going to do. A lot of factors go into the SPC's forecasts, and they have a lot of data coming at them. Very fluid and dynamic with a lot of mesoscale and micro-scale influences.

I've seen Marginal Risk days here end up with a severe thunderstorm watch and twisters reported nearby.

Just throwing it out there for discussion purposes.

Better to be safe than sorry in any case.

I think there was a graphic out there that they invented another category "Extreme" and it was in white. Unreal.

Meanwhile, boy the storms sure fell about at the DFW metro. What was that all about? But I'm looking forward to a long dry spell and the heat ridge. I'm ready to get that pool to a comfortable temperature and swim.

With all due to respect, and you certainly have a right to your opinion, I am just curious... How do you wish that having lived in TX? Lol. 2011 forever changed my perspective. I take and appreciate every rain drop. And we are hot all of June, July, August and Sep. No reason to bring it on any earlier. As always, my humble opinion from a fellow Texan.

[Brent]

I may be totally off on this one, but it seems like the SPC could have gotten away with keeping the Moderate Risk yesterday, like the past several days out they were predicting (without upgrading). Not sure if it was a "High Risk" day based on the less widespread reality(?) (like storms not initiating where they were predicted to initiate, etc).

But that said, I'm not a severe weather expert, and you never know what the weather is going to do. A lot of factors go into the SPC's forecasts, and they have a lot of data coming at them. Very fluid and dynamic with a lot of mesoscale and micro-scale influences.

I've seen Marginal Risk days here end up with a severe thunderstorm watch and twisters reported nearby.

Just throwing it out there for discussion purposes.

Better to be safe than sorry in any case.

I think there was a graphic out there that they invented another category "Extreme" and it was in white. Unreal.

Meanwhile, boy the storms sure fell about at the DFW metro. What was that all about? But I'm looking forward to a long dry spell and the heat ridge. I'm ready to get that pool to a comfortable temperature and swim.

With all due to respect, and you certainly have a right to your opinion, I am just curious... How do you wish that having lived in TX? Lol. 2011 forever changed my perspective. I take and appreciate every rain drop. And we are hot all of June, July, August and Sep. No reason to bring it on any earlier. As always, my humble opinion from a fellow Texan.

Before i moved here in 2014 i always found it funny when yall acted crazy about rain(growing up in Alabama where we averaged over 50 inches a year and rarely had a long dry spell) but now I've figured it out because it can go away any moment for awhile

[Tireman4]

I may be totally off on this one, but it seems like the SPC could have gotten away with keeping the Moderate Risk yesterday, like the past several days out they were predicting (without upgrading). Not sure if it was a "High Risk" day based on the less widespread reality(?) (like storms not initiating where they were predicted to initiate, etc).

But that said, I'm not a severe weather expert, and you never know what the weather is going to do. A lot of factors go into the SPC's forecasts, and they have a lot of data coming at them. Very fluid and dynamic with a lot of mesoscale and micro-scale influences.

I've seen Marginal Risk days here end up with a severe thunderstorm watch and twisters reported nearby.

Just throwing it out there for discussion purposes.

Better to be safe than sorry in any case.

I think there was a graphic out there that they invented another category "Extreme" and it was in white. Unreal.

Meanwhile, boy the storms sure fell about at the DFW metro. What was that all about? But I'm looking forward to a long dry spell and the heat ridge. I'm ready to get that pool to a comfortable temperature and swim.

With all due to respect, and you certainly have a right to your opinion, I am just curious... How do you wish that having lived in TX? Lol. 2011 forever changed my perspective. I take and appreciate every rain drop. And we are hot all of June, July, August and Sep. No reason to bring it on any earlier. As always, my humble opinion from a fellow Texan.

I agree with Haris on this. 2011 was the toughest year ever on Texas...( at least in a long time)

[weatherdude1108]

I think there was a graphic out there that they invented another category "Extreme" and it was in white. Unreal.

Meanwhile, boy the storms sure fell about at the DFW metro. What was that all about? But I'm looking forward to a long dry spell and the heat ridge. I'm ready to get that pool to a comfortable temperature and swim.

With all due to respect, and you certainly have a right to your opinion, I am just curious... How do you wish that having lived in TX? Lol. 2011 forever changed my perspective. I take and appreciate every rain drop. And we are hot all of June, July, August and Sep. No reason to bring it on any earlier. As always, my humble opinion from a fellow Texan.

I agree with Haris on this. 2011 was the toughest year ever on Texas...( at least in a long time)

Yes, 100% agree. I've lived in Texas since I was a very young kid in 1976. 2011 was THE Texas Summer of all my Summers here. BRUTAL, that I never wish to happen again. I am all for delaying the heat for as long as possible! This is the time of year when I start going into depression, kind of like people do up north during the long Winters there. Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) I think(?). But I get SAD during the Texas Summers.

[Rgv20]

TOASTY!!

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
415 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019

...Very High Heat Index Values Expected Today...

.The combination of very high temperatures and elevated humidity
values across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley will
result in very high heat index values across Zapata, Starr and
southern Hidalgo Counties this afternoon.

TXZ248-252-253-221715-
/O.NEW.KBRO.HT.Y.0001.190522T1800Z-190522T2300Z/
Zapata-Starr-Southern Hidalgo-
Including the cities of Zapata, Rio Grande City, Roma, McAllen,
Edinburg, Pharr, Mission, and Weslaco
415 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Brownsville has issued a Heat
Advisory, which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM CDT
this evening.

* TEMPERATURE...Heat index values will increase into the 111 to
115 degree range during the afternoon and early evening hours
today.

* IMPACTS...Heat Stroke or Heat Exhaustion is possible with
prolonged heat exposure and physical activity.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the heat index...a measure of how
it feels when temperature and humidity are combined...equals or
exceeds 111 degrees for 2 hours or more during the day.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible...reschedule strenuous activities to the early morning
or the late evening hours. Know the signs and symptoms of heat
exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting
clothing when possible and drink plenty of water.

&&

$$

[rwfromkansas]

The one good thing about the summer is our neighborhood pool. I do like that, but we pay out the nose in HOA fees for it.

[weatherdude1108]

TOASTY!!

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
415 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019

...Very High Heat Index Values Expected Today...

.The combination of very high temperatures and elevated humidity
values across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley will
result in very high heat index values across Zapata, Starr and
southern Hidalgo Counties this afternoon.

TXZ248-252-253-221715-
/O.NEW.KBRO.HT.Y.0001.190522T1800Z-190522T2300Z/
Zapata-Starr-Southern Hidalgo-
Including the cities of Zapata, Rio Grande City, Roma, McAllen,
Edinburg, Pharr, Mission, and Weslaco
415 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Brownsville has issued a Heat
Advisory, which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM CDT
this evening.

* TEMPERATURE...Heat index values will increase into the 111 to
115 degree range during the afternoon and early evening hours
today.

* IMPACTS...Heat Stroke or Heat Exhaustion is possible with
prolonged heat exposure and physical activity.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Heat Advisory is issued when the heat index...a measure of how
it feels when temperature and humidity are combined...equals or
exceeds 111 degrees for 2 hours or more during the day.

Take extra precautions if you work or spend time outside. When
possible...reschedule strenuous activities to the early morning
or the late evening hours. Know the signs and symptoms of heat
exhaustion and heat stroke. Wear light weight and loose fitting
clothing when possible and drink plenty of water.

&&

$$

UGH!
I remember doing some work for a water well driller after college back in the late 90s down in the valley. It was in June in the McAllen area, and there was no breeze. I was wearing jeans, a long sleeve shirt, hard hat, and was shoveling auger cuttings . All this while being hung over from the night before.lol That part was my own fault. My clothes were soaked in sweat. I thought I was going to die! I almost threw up and passed out, but somehow made it through without that, all-the-while the driller yelling at me to hurry up. It was a low point, and I had some college pride, but the driller set me straight, and I survived! Made me stronger. Character-building.

[Portastorm]

You people mentioning 2011 ... I thought I told y'all we won't be talking about that year again?!

2011: The Year of Hell on Earth (at least in Texas)

[bubba hotep]

16z special FWD sounding has CAPE pushing 5,000 and SCP of 28 lol

Good thing our friendly warm layer is holding strong to prevent any convection....

[weatherdude1108]

Sean Kelly on KXAN is a little too enthusiastic IMO about the rain going away, and saying that we don't need any more rain for several weeks. Ugh. He's WRONG. After this kind of consistent pattern with the winds/breezes the way they have been, the top soil will need rain in a week with the rate of transpiration of vegetation going on, being used to the plentiful water we have had. Then he's smirking with a sigh of relief at the fact that the CPC is predicting below normal precip and above normal temps, and no more rain for the next couple weeks.

It's like everyone forgets how quickly the pattern can turn (like it just did), and that we have at least four months of this to look forward to.smh

I'm with Haris in that I cherish every drop of rain we can get, knowing we don't live in the southeast (although they're getting the hot and dry worse than we are right now.lol).

It's nice to have full lakes going into Summer, but to say bring on the hot and dry??

Ok, rant done.lol

https://www.kxan.com/weather/forecast/t ... 1010837543

[Brent]

Surprise! PDS Tornado Watch for Wichita Falls up into Central Oklahoma

[bubba hotep]

Surprise! PDS Tornado Watch for Wichita Falls up into Central Oklahoma

Marginal Risk this morning now in a PDS! Potential was there but CI seemed somewhat unlikely. SPC has a tough job.

[newtotex]

Surprise! PDS Tornado Watch for Wichita Falls up into Central Oklahoma

Marginal Risk this morning now in a PDS! Potential was there but CI seemed somewhat unlikely. SPC has a tough job.

Really hope people in those areas take the PDS watch seriously. Given the "bust" (using that term lightly), or, perceived one this week, hoping people don't let their guards down

[Tireman4]

You people mentioning 2011 ... I thought I told y'all we won't be talking about that year again?!

2011: The Year of Hell on Earth (at least in Texas)

Oh yeah, I forgot Porta..forgive me sir

[Tireman4]

he Storm Prediction Center has placed a POTENTIAL DANGEROUS SITUATION TORNADO WATCH for CENTRAL/SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA .... This includes Oklahoma City Metro and nearby Wichita Falls Metro.

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwest and Central Oklahoma
Western North Texas

* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 230 PM
until 1000 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Isolated intense thunderstorms are expected to affect the
watch area this afternoon and early evening. Any storm that
persists will pose a risk of strong tornadoes, very large hail, and
damaging winds.

[rwfromkansas]

Strange. The big storms aren’t in that watch.

[Cpv17]

Sean Kelly on KXAN is a little too enthusiastic IMO about the rain going away, and saying that we don't need any more rain for several weeks. Ugh. He's WRONG. After this kind of consistent pattern with the winds/breezes the way they have been, the top soil will need rain in a week with the rate of transpiration of vegetation going on, being used to the plentiful water we have had. Then he's smirking with a sigh of relief at the fact that the CPC is predicting below normal precip and above normal temps, and no more rain for the next couple weeks.

It's like everyone forgets how quickly the pattern can turn (like it just did), and that we have at least four months of this to look forward to.smh

I'm with Haris in that I cherish every drop of rain we can get, knowing we don't live in the southeast (although they're getting the hot and dry worse than we are right now.lol).

It's nice to have full lakes going into Summer, but to say bring on the hot and dry??

Ok, rant done.lol

https://www.kxan.com/weather/forecast/t ... 1010837543

Monsoonal gyre might bring us some relief. We’ll have to wait and see, but I do like our chances as long as that SE ridge holds.

[Brent]

Strange. The big storms aren’t in that watch.

SPC just not having a good week