Major tornado outbreak next Thursday?

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CrazyC83
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#181 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 1:41 pm

If an article is created, it will be at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_6-7_ ... o_Outbreak
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#182 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 1:52 pm

Watch 155 should be a PDS as well, IMO.
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#183 Postby tidesong » Thu Apr 06, 2006 1:53 pm

This is going to be nasty, isn't it?

One of my best friends' family lives in Missouri. I pulled him aside and pleaded him to give them a call and let them know this isn't their routine maybe-we'll-get-some-hail kind of day. When he saw the seriousness in my eyes, I think he understood.
Last edited by tidesong on Thu Apr 06, 2006 1:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#184 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 1:55 pm

tidesong wrote:This is going to be nasty, isn't it?

One of my best friends' family lives in Missouri. I pulled him aside and pleaded him to give them a call and let them know this isn't their routing maybe-we'll-get-some-hail kind of day. When he saw the seriousness in my eyes, I think he understood.


It will likely make Sunday look like a few isolated tornadoes. The key here: preparation. They saw what happened Sunday (28 tragically lost their lives) and they better be prepared now, since we could see the biggest outbreak in many years...
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#185 Postby senorpepr » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:00 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Watch 155 should be a PDS as well, IMO.


I respectfully disagree. While a tornado watch is definately needed, the PDS descripted I don't see with the lack of prime ingredients. However, I do expect a PDS watch to the E of 154.
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#186 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:02 pm

I was just trying to go by the risk numbers and the overall picture. It is definitely borderline there...we just see it differently, but you would know better :)

Watch 154 is a PDS though.
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#187 Postby senorpepr » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:05 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:I was just trying to go by the risk numbers and the overall picture. It is definitely borderline there...we just see it differently, but you would know better :)

Watch 154 is a PDS though.


Regarding the risk numbers... that's something they don't really focus on a great deal and those numbers are occasionally skewed too high.
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#188 Postby Pebbles » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:10 pm

Heya senor pepr can you chime in on the Friday outbreak thread. Leaving at 4AM so trying to gather all the info I can now and after tonights model runs. *Snugs* missed ya and soon we can once again be saying MORE RECON BABY! :P
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#189 Postby CentralMO-TVwx » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:17 pm

senorpepr

You think the watch to the east will be a PDS? I just got off a conference call with the NWS in Kansas City and they are kind of being blah-blah about this whole event. They think once these supercells cross the state line from Kansas into Missouri and get a few counties in they will weaken considerably to almost a non-event for central MO...not sure I completely agree.
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#190 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:26 pm

There going to be suprized. Sundays event was only a moderate risk this one is a high for two days.
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#191 Postby snoopj » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:30 pm

Reading the NWS statements out of KC/Pleasant Hill, they seem to believe this is going to be severe in nature, but really a wind/hail event.

"MEANWHILE...A STRONG SURFACE DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTH OF SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE...WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE INTO CENTRAL KANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON...SERVING AS THE FOCUS FOR EXPLOSIVE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM. CLEARING SKIES ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN KANSAS...COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR...WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL...DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES."

--snoopj
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#192 Postby CentralMO-TVwx » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:33 pm

No, I agree. KC has been keeping the hyped wording up in public statements, but in the conference call I just got a different feeling...

Any thoughts on a watch to the east???
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#193 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Apr 06, 2006 2:54 pm

Storms starting to fire over Nebraska now
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#194 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:02 pm

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#195 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:19 pm

High Risk expanded south and east...really scary stuff.
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another outbreak

#196 Postby ORKAN » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:24 pm

Hi all


Another outbreak this season.... It seems you are under fire once again.
I'm watching storms over USA for about 2 years, but now I'm a little bit worried about this situation. Record number of tornadoes and now high risk issued

to many people lost their lives

take care I'll pray for you
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#197 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:33 pm

They should have a Tornado Warning for Eastern Pawnee and Central Osage County...
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#198 Postby badger70 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:39 pm

Live coverage coming out of OK City.

http://www.kfor.com

Edit: Funnel cloud!
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#199 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:45 pm

Tornado Warning - Osage County

Looks like it is on the ground!
Last edited by CrazyC83 on Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#200 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 3:48 pm

OKC113-062130-
/O.NEW.KTSA.TO.W.0032.060406T2044Z-060406T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
344 PM CDT THU APR 6 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
OSAGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 341 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 16 MILES WEST OF
HOMINY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...HOMINY...
WYNONA...PAWHUSKA...BARNSDALL...OKESA...BIGHEART AND HULAH.

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW! IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS!

LAT...LON 3650 9675 3631 9666 3653 9600 3700 9603

$$
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