SE TX / SW LA - Heavy rains this week-Tues. and Fri???

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KatDaddy
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#181 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Mar 10, 2007 8:05 pm

Thanks Jeff. You forecast is much appreciated and respected for SE TX.
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#182 Postby ncupsscweather » Sat Mar 10, 2007 8:31 pm

Severe Weather Hitting Northern Texas

Northern Texas Radar Loop
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#183 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Mar 10, 2007 9:12 pm

ncupsscweather wrote:Severe Weather Hitting Northern Texas

Northern Texas Radar Loop
yes, there have been many hail reports up there this evening:

Image

Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2348 150 CLAUDE ARMSTRONG TX 3511 10136 (AMA)
0000 88 11 ESE SUBLETTE HASKELL KS 3742 10066 DIME HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. A COUPLE OF STONES THE SIZE OF NICKELS FELL AS WELL. (DDC)
0008 100 8 W GROOM CARSON TX 3520 10125 QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT INTERSTATE 40 EXIT 102 (AMA)
0012 100 2 S PANHANDLE CARSON TX 3532 10138 SOUTH OF PANHANDLE ON HIGHWAY 207 (AMA)
0016 88 15 SE ULYSSES GRANT KS 3743 10116 MOSTLY DIME SIZE BUT A FEW STONES WERE NICKEL SIZE. (DDC)
0039 100 10 E JOHNSON CITY STANTON KS 3757 10157 NICKEL SIZE HAIL FELL AT ABOUT 635 PM FOLLOWED BY QUARTER SIZE STONES AT 639 PM. (DDC)
0105 88 PAMPA GRAY TX 3555 10096 LOCAL MEDIA RELAYED REPORT OF NICKEL HAIL IN PAMPA (AMA)
0106 125 MIAMI ROBERTS TX 3569 10064 HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL (AMA)
0120 88 ASHTOLA DONLEY TX 3501 10104 (AMA)
0138 75 TURPIN BEAVER OK 3687 10088 (AMA)
0147 100 1 S LIBERAL SEWARD KS 3703 10094 (DDC)
0149 75 3 SE CANADIAN HEMPHILL TX 3588 10035 PENNY SIZE HAIL (AMA)


http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html

BTW: I also read a NWS report of gusts to 65mph from one of those storms. However, the SPC does not have that listed yet I guess. (8:42pm update - The SPC just added that wind report).
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Sat Mar 10, 2007 9:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#184 Postby ncupsscweather » Sat Mar 10, 2007 9:31 pm

Thanks for the report, I know a couple of them storms where looking nasty earlier as they pushed just E of Amarillo,Tx.

I seen one cell where the dBZ where in between 65 and 70. Rain was pooring with that storm cell. Looking not quite that strong now, but the last time I checked there was still several " Severe Thunderstorm Warnings " out.
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#185 Postby Yankeegirl » Sat Mar 10, 2007 10:04 pm

So is this in any way related to what we might be getting tomorrow night?
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#186 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Mar 10, 2007 10:16 pm

Yankeegirl wrote:So is this in any way related to what we might be getting tomorrow night?
yes, this is the start of it.
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#187 Postby ncupsscweather » Sat Mar 10, 2007 10:19 pm

[img]Image[/img]


Looks so I know the National Weather Service has a statement out earlier about the chance of Heavy Rains and Possible Severe Weather around Texas Sunday.
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#188 Postby jasons2k » Sat Mar 10, 2007 10:58 pm

Image

Image
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#189 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:02 am

[img]Image[/img]

Storm's begining to pop up more over N. Texas
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#190 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:17 am

With now 17 severe reports tonight, I am quite surprised that there was no "slight risk" ever issued for the Texas Panhandle region today (or a severe T-storm watch).

Should be interesting to see what their next Day 1/2 outlooks look like though when they are issued later tonight/tomorrow morning...
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#191 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:20 am

Ya I am with you I am suprised to that they didn't issue a Severe Thunderstorm Watching. These storm continue to keep fireing up more and more just S of Amarillo, Texas. I haven't looked at the latest storm reports yet though.
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#192 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:24 am

03/10/2007 0830 PM

Estelline, Hall County.

Thunderstorm wind damage, reported by law enforcement.


Trailers damaged and a few injuries reported. Number of
injuries are unknown at this time.
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#193 Postby jasons2k » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:47 am

Image
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#194 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:53 am

Radar is showing possible Tornado E of Petersburg, Texas. The image about is also showing 3 vortex signature's.

National Weather service hasn't issued any warnings with this system but radar is showing signs of a possible tornado. Guess we will have to wait and see if they issue anything.
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#195 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 12:57 am

Radar has now back off on it. Now just showing chance for Hail.
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#196 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:03 am

Check out the latest wind report from Childress, TX:

N 20 G 55 MPH
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#197 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:06 am

Latest DAY 1 Outlook from the SPC:

Image

Looks like severe weather will continue in west and central TX tomorrow. The big question though will be the Day 2 outlook. It should be interesting to see if the slight risk zone is possibly shifted east for the Monday (Day 2) outlook.

Update: The day 2 outlook is still just a "see text" from the SPC. However, as we have seen, this doesn't mean much. We will have to see how this evolves in the coming days.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Sun Mar 11, 2007 9:17 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#198 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:13 am

Here is Weather Undergrounds 2 Day Outlook not much is really different for the Day 1 Outlook.

[img]Image[/img]

Like I say this is Weather Undergrounds Day 2 Outlook and not the SPC Day 2 Outlook
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#199 Postby ncupsscweather » Sun Mar 11, 2007 1:21 am

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the United States
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1204 AM CST SUN MAR 11 2007

TXC075-191-110615-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-070311T0615Z/
CHILDRESS TX-HALL TX-
1204 AM CST SUN MAR 11 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM CST
FOR EASTERN HALL AND WESTERN CHILDRESS COUNTIES...

AT 1159 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LAKEVIEW TO 11 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ESTELLINE TO ABOUT 5 MILES NORTH OF NORTHFIELD MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE TELL...
LAKEVIEW...ESTELLINE AND CHILDRESS.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM. TAKE COVER IN A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 7 4 5 1 2 9 0.

LAT...LON 3469 10077 3432 10073 3432 10023 3471 10021

$$

KW
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#200 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Mar 11, 2007 9:36 am

Image
^^latest day 1 outlook.^^

The newest Day 2 outlook should be out in a few hours.
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