February 5-6: Super Tuesday Outbreak... 57 dead
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
High risk area expanded slightly, and the wind threat increased (I'd extend the HIGH as far east as Louisville for a 60H wind personally):
SPC AC 051939
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008
VALID 052000Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM AR INTO WRN KY...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK FROM
NERN TX INTO SWRN OH...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
INTO CENTRAL OH...
...AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR LONG-TRACK DAMAGING TORNADOES...IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...
LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS LEADING EDGE OF IMPRESSIVE
LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS BEGINNING TO INTERACT WITH DRYLINE OVER TX.
CU FIELD IS EXPANDING/DEEPENING ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND SEVERAL
HEALTHY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED OVER THE HILL/ELLIS/DALLAS COUNTY
AREA. JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE...SUBSTANTIAL SUNSHINE IS NOTED
ALONG AN AXIS ROUGHLY 100 MI WIDE INTO SERN OK. AIRMASS IS WARMING
NICELY ACROSS THIS REGION WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE NOW WELL INTO THE
70S. 18Z SOUNDINGS JUST DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE MS VALLEY INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST SUGGEST STRONG CAP HAS WEAKENED AND LIFTED...PER
SHV/LZK/JAN. AS THE LARGE SCALE ASCENT CONTINUES IT APPEARS THIS
CAP WILL LIFT AND BECOME NEGLIGENT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS THAT EXIST
WITHIN THE BROAD WARM SECTOR ACROSS AR INTO NRN LA WILL DEEPEN
BECOMING DISCRETE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WELL AHEAD OF THE
DRYLINE/COLD FRONT. THIS PROCESS MAY TAKE SOME TIME...BUT IT
APPEARS BY EARLY EVENING THE SEVERE THREAT WILL PROVE
EXTENSIVE...STRETCHING FROM THE ARKLATEX...NEWD INTO WRN TN/KY...SWD
INTO NRN LA/MS. GIVEN THE 110KT H5 JET THAT WILL EJECT ACROSS THIS
REGION THIS EVENING...EXTREME VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL ENHANCE
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. ALTHOUGH DISCRETE TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE
EXPECTED...STORM MERGERS AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW SHOULD ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY IF BOW-TYPE
STRUCTURES DEVELOP. THIS PROCESS MAY BECOME THE DOMINANT STORM MODE
LATE TONIGHT EAST OF THE MS RIVER. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES AND
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY SUPERCELLS MAINLY ACROSS
THE WRN HALF OF THE OUTLOOK.
..DARROW.. 02/05/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1950Z (2:50PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
SPC AC 051939
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008
VALID 052000Z - 061200Z
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM AR INTO WRN KY...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK FROM
NERN TX INTO SWRN OH...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
INTO CENTRAL OH...
...AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY
FOR LONG-TRACK DAMAGING TORNADOES...IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...
LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS LEADING EDGE OF IMPRESSIVE
LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS BEGINNING TO INTERACT WITH DRYLINE OVER TX.
CU FIELD IS EXPANDING/DEEPENING ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR AND SEVERAL
HEALTHY THUNDERSTORMS ARE LOCATED OVER THE HILL/ELLIS/DALLAS COUNTY
AREA. JUST EAST OF THE DRYLINE...SUBSTANTIAL SUNSHINE IS NOTED
ALONG AN AXIS ROUGHLY 100 MI WIDE INTO SERN OK. AIRMASS IS WARMING
NICELY ACROSS THIS REGION WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE NOW WELL INTO THE
70S. 18Z SOUNDINGS JUST DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE MS VALLEY INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST SUGGEST STRONG CAP HAS WEAKENED AND LIFTED...PER
SHV/LZK/JAN. AS THE LARGE SCALE ASCENT CONTINUES IT APPEARS THIS
CAP WILL LIFT AND BECOME NEGLIGENT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS THAT EXIST
WITHIN THE BROAD WARM SECTOR ACROSS AR INTO NRN LA WILL DEEPEN
BECOMING DISCRETE SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WELL AHEAD OF THE
DRYLINE/COLD FRONT. THIS PROCESS MAY TAKE SOME TIME...BUT IT
APPEARS BY EARLY EVENING THE SEVERE THREAT WILL PROVE
EXTENSIVE...STRETCHING FROM THE ARKLATEX...NEWD INTO WRN TN/KY...SWD
INTO NRN LA/MS. GIVEN THE 110KT H5 JET THAT WILL EJECT ACROSS THIS
REGION THIS EVENING...EXTREME VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL ENHANCE
THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. ALTHOUGH DISCRETE TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ARE
EXPECTED...STORM MERGERS AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW SHOULD ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY STRONG/DAMAGING WINDS...ESPECIALLY IF BOW-TYPE
STRUCTURES DEVELOP. THIS PROCESS MAY BECOME THE DOMINANT STORM MODE
LATE TONIGHT EAST OF THE MS RIVER. IN ADDITION TO TORNADOES AND
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY SUPERCELLS MAINLY ACROSS
THE WRN HALF OF THE OUTLOOK.
..DARROW.. 02/05/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1950Z (2:50PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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- Posts: 11430
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- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EL DORADO ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...WW 35...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY FROM
NE TX INTO WRN AR...AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS FORMING ALONG A
PRE-FRONTAL BAND NEAR MLU IN NRN LA. 18Z SOUNDINGS FROM LZK AND SHV
SHOW THAT THE CAP HAS WEAKENED FROM BELOW VIA ASCENT...AND THIS
TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN CONJUNCTION WITH A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING NEWD FROM NE TX/ERN OK TOWARD AR. THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S AND VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 400
M2/S2/ WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS INTO
EARLY TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
...THOMPSON
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 052006
WOU6
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
TORNADO WATCH 36 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-057-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-
119-125-135-137-139-141-145-147-060400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0036.080205T2010Z-080206T0400Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-060400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0036.080205T2010Z-080206T0400Z/
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 36 TORNADO AR LA 052010Z - 060400Z
AXIS..125 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW ELD/EL DORADO AR/ - 50E PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 110NM N/S /8NE TXK - 57NW SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
LAT...LON 35409394 35979105 32369105 31799394
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 36 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EL DORADO ARKANSAS TO 50 MILES EAST OF PINE BLUFF ARKANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 34...WW 35...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE BEGINNING TO INTENSIFY FROM
NE TX INTO WRN AR...AND ADDITIONAL CONVECTION IS FORMING ALONG A
PRE-FRONTAL BAND NEAR MLU IN NRN LA. 18Z SOUNDINGS FROM LZK AND SHV
SHOW THAT THE CAP HAS WEAKENED FROM BELOW VIA ASCENT...AND THIS
TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN CONJUNCTION WITH A LEAD
SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTING NEWD FROM NE TX/ERN OK TOWARD AR. THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID 60S AND VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH AOA 400
M2/S2/ WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS INTO
EARLY TONIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
...THOMPSON
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
WOUS64 KWNS 052006
WOU6
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
TORNADO WATCH 36 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-051-
053-057-059-063-065-067-069-073-079-085-095-099-103-105-115-117-
119-125-135-137-139-141-145-147-060400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0036.080205T2010Z-080206T0400Z/
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
LAC013-015-017-021-027-035-041-049-061-065-067-073-083-107-111-
119-123-060400-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0036.080205T2010Z-080206T0400Z/
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...
Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 36 TORNADO AR LA 052010Z - 060400Z
AXIS..125 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW ELD/EL DORADO AR/ - 50E PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 110NM N/S /8NE TXK - 57NW SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.
LAT...LON 35409394 35979105 32369105 31799394
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 36 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0159
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL/NERN TX...SERN OK...AND EXTREME SWRN AR
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 34...
VALID 052015Z - 052145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 34 CONTINUES.
19Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES A 1001 MB LOW OVER THE MO/OK/AR BORDERS WITH
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD TO A 1000 MB LOW OVER THE DFW
METROPLEX...THEN SWWD INTO THE BIG BEND REGION. A DRYLINE EXTENDED
SWD ALONG THE ESCARPMENT. AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT...18Z
RAOBS INDICATE A DEEPENING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH
INHIBITION WEAKENING CONSIDERABLY SINCE 12Z. STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE
RATES AND LWR-MID 60S DEW POINTS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO MLCAPES
1000-1500 J/KG.
STRONGER LARGE SCALE ASCENT WAS BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE WARM
SECTOR WITH RECENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT SWD ALONG
THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT INTO CNTRL TX AND NWD INTO SERN OK. SMALLER
SHOWERS WERE INCREASING WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX
REGION.
STRONGER FORCING AND SLIGHTLY MORE PARALLEL DEEP LAYER/MEAN WIND
VECTORS WITH RESPECT TO THE FRONT/DRYLINE WILL FAVOR MORE OF A
LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE. BUT...AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...MORE DISCRETE
CELLS WILL BE PSBL THROUGH LATE AFTN ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND EXTREME
SERN OK. LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY
STORM...MORE ISOLD WITH SWD EXTENT. BUT...RISK OF TORNADOES WILL
EXIST FARTHER E WHERE 0-1KM SRH VALUES WERE IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2.
..RACY.. 02/05/2008
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
31299738 33979629 34969571 35539479 34219468 33659422
33089413 31609553
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL/NERN TX...SERN OK...AND EXTREME SWRN AR
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 34...
VALID 052015Z - 052145Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 34 CONTINUES.
19Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES A 1001 MB LOW OVER THE MO/OK/AR BORDERS WITH
A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD TO A 1000 MB LOW OVER THE DFW
METROPLEX...THEN SWWD INTO THE BIG BEND REGION. A DRYLINE EXTENDED
SWD ALONG THE ESCARPMENT. AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT...18Z
RAOBS INDICATE A DEEPENING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH
INHIBITION WEAKENING CONSIDERABLY SINCE 12Z. STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE
RATES AND LWR-MID 60S DEW POINTS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO MLCAPES
1000-1500 J/KG.
STRONGER LARGE SCALE ASCENT WAS BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD THE WARM
SECTOR WITH RECENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT SWD ALONG
THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT INTO CNTRL TX AND NWD INTO SERN OK. SMALLER
SHOWERS WERE INCREASING WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE ARKLATEX
REGION.
STRONGER FORCING AND SLIGHTLY MORE PARALLEL DEEP LAYER/MEAN WIND
VECTORS WITH RESPECT TO THE FRONT/DRYLINE WILL FAVOR MORE OF A
LINEAR CONVECTIVE MODE. BUT...AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...MORE DISCRETE
CELLS WILL BE PSBL THROUGH LATE AFTN ACROSS THE ARKLATEX AND EXTREME
SERN OK. LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE LIKELY WITH ANY
STORM...MORE ISOLD WITH SWD EXTENT. BUT...RISK OF TORNADOES WILL
EXIST FARTHER E WHERE 0-1KM SRH VALUES WERE IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2.
..RACY.. 02/05/2008
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
31299738 33979629 34969571 35539479 34219468 33659422
33089413 31609553
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
First tornado warning!
TORNADO WARNING
LAC049-061-073-111-052115-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0001.080205T2017Z-080205T2115Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
217 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL JACKSON PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EAST CENTRAL LINCOLN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
WEST CENTRAL OUACHITA PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EASTERN UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 315 PM CST
* AT 217 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 18 MILES SOUTH
OF FARMERVILLE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES EAST OF RUSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 55 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JUST SOUTHEAST OF FARMERVILLE BY 235 PM CST...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA.
LAT...LON 3293 9205 3286 9206 3280 9202 3277 9202
3241 9245 3252 9262 3302 9234 3300 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 218DEG 48KT 3254 9246
$$
13
TORNADO WARNING
LAC049-061-073-111-052115-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0001.080205T2017Z-080205T2115Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
217 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL JACKSON PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EAST CENTRAL LINCOLN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
WEST CENTRAL OUACHITA PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
EASTERN UNION PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 315 PM CST
* AT 217 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 18 MILES SOUTH
OF FARMERVILLE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES EAST OF RUSTON...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 55 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JUST SOUTHEAST OF FARMERVILLE BY 235 PM CST...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CST TUESDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA.
LAT...LON 3293 9205 3286 9206 3280 9202 3277 9202
3241 9245 3252 9262 3302 9234 3300 9207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 218DEG 48KT 3254 9246
$$
13
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- Location: Fairfax, VA
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- Category 5
- Posts: 2165
- Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 4:00 pm
- Location: Fairfax, VA
Re: Re:
CrazyC83 wrote:Squarethecircle wrote:I think we should be able to change back the title soon.
We haven't had any tornado reports yet though...
SOON.
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- Professional-Met
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Biggest numbers yet: golf ball hail/70 mph
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
245 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
TXC139-213-257-349-052130-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080205T2130Z/
KAUFMAN TX-ELLIS TX-HENDERSON TX-NAVARRO TX-
245 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CST
FOR NORTH CENTRAL NAVARRO...NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON...EAST CENTRAL
ELLIS AND SOUTHERN KAUFMAN COUNTIES...
AT 245 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
COTTONWOOD...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTH OF KAUFMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
50 MPH.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
OAK GROVE AND SEVEN POINTS BY 250 PM CST...
KEMP AND MABANK BY 255 PM CST...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.
LAT...LON 3219 9662 3243 9649 3272 9609 3237 9607
3215 9660
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 238DEG 46KT 3241 9636
$$
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
245 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
TXC139-213-257-349-052130-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-080205T2130Z/
KAUFMAN TX-ELLIS TX-HENDERSON TX-NAVARRO TX-
245 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CST
FOR NORTH CENTRAL NAVARRO...NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON...EAST CENTRAL
ELLIS AND SOUTHERN KAUFMAN COUNTIES...
AT 245 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
COTTONWOOD...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTH OF KAUFMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
50 MPH.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
OAK GROVE AND SEVEN POINTS BY 250 PM CST...
KEMP AND MABANK BY 255 PM CST...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST TUESDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.
LAT...LON 3219 9662 3243 9649 3272 9609 3237 9607
3215 9660
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 238DEG 46KT 3241 9636
$$
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Re: Potential Mardi Gras Outbreak - February 4-6
Another t-warning
TORNADO WARNING
ARC003-LAC067-052130-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0038.080205T2037Z-080205T2130Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
237 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN MOREHOUSE PARISH IN NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WILMOT...WEST CROSSETT...NORTH
CROSSETT...HAMBURG...CROSSETT...
* UNTIL 330 PM CST
* AT 237 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
A TORNADO 27 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BEEKMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
BEEKMAN BY 305 PM CST...
JUST EAST OF CROSSETT BY 315 PM CST...
BERLIN BY 320 PM CST...
HAMBURG BY 325 PM CST...
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3332 9146 3314 9145 3269 9205 3280 9206
3287 9210 3302 9209 3305 9212 3312 9214
3323 9207 3331 9184
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 221DEG 46KT 3271 9226
$$
EEC
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
301 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 415 PM CST.
* AT 258 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRANDVIEW...OR 16 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KIMBERLING CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
INDIAN POINT AND KIMBERLING CITY BY 315 PM CST.
WEST BRANSON...BRANSON...6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF REEDS SPRING AND 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF HOLLISTER BY 320 PM CST.
ROCKAWAY BEACH BY 325 PM CST.
MERRIAM WOODS AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORSYTH BY 330 PM CST.
8 MILES NORTHWEST OF TANEYVILLE BY 335 PM CST.
THE TOWNS OF BLUE EYE...LAMPE...TABLE ROCK...SILVER DOLLAR CITY AND
WALNUT SHADE ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC STORM.
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
301 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 415 PM CST.
* AT 258 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRANDVIEW...OR 16 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF KIMBERLING CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
INDIAN POINT AND KIMBERLING CITY BY 315 PM CST.
WEST BRANSON...BRANSON...6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF REEDS SPRING AND 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF HOLLISTER BY 320 PM CST.
ROCKAWAY BEACH BY 325 PM CST.
MERRIAM WOODS AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORSYTH BY 330 PM CST.
8 MILES NORTHWEST OF TANEYVILLE BY 335 PM CST.
THE TOWNS OF BLUE EYE...LAMPE...TABLE ROCK...SILVER DOLLAR CITY AND
WALNUT SHADE ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC STORM.
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Re:
Squarethecircle wrote::uarrow: Soon they'll be coming out every twenty so minutes, maybe less.
Once we get there, we should only post the following:
-Those with strong wording (i.e. "this is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation") or ground-confirmed tornadoes or winds of 80 mph or more
-Those heading for a large population center
-Those involving one or more of our members
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- Contact:
- HarlequinBoy
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