180
WFUS54 KBMX 262038
TORBMX
ALC015-029-262115-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0021.110326T2038Z-110326T2115Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
338 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL CALHOUN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTHEASTERN CLEBURNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 415 PM CDT
* AT 333 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR JACKSONVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PIEDMONT...MARS HILLS...MUSCADINE...LIBERTY HILL AND OAK LEVEL.
Severe Weather Deep South 3/26/2011 Moderate Risk
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658
WFUS52 KFFC 262044
TORFFC
GAC021-079-207-262130-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0009.110326T2044Z-110326T2130Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
444 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BIBB COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
* UNTIL 530 PM EDT
* AT 440 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES NORTH OF
ROBERTA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PAYNE
CITY AND MACON.
WFUS52 KFFC 262044
TORFFC
GAC021-079-207-262130-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0009.110326T2044Z-110326T2130Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
444 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BIBB COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
* UNTIL 530 PM EDT
* AT 440 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES NORTH OF
ROBERTA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO PAYNE
CITY AND MACON.
0 likes
090
WFUS54 KBMX 262107
TORBMX
ALC021-117-262145-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0022.110326T2107Z-110326T2145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL CHILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT
* AT 403 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILTON...OR 7 MILES WEST OF
MONTEVALLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTEVALLO...CALERA...COLUMBIANA...WILTON...UNIVERSITY OF
MONTEVALLO...MAYLENE...AMERICAN VILLAGE...SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT...
MINOOKA PARK AND CAMP BRANCH.
WFUS54 KBMX 262107
TORBMX
ALC021-117-262145-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0022.110326T2107Z-110326T2145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
407 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL CHILTON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT
* AT 403 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF WILTON...OR 7 MILES WEST OF
MONTEVALLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTEVALLO...CALERA...COLUMBIANA...WILTON...UNIVERSITY OF
MONTEVALLO...MAYLENE...AMERICAN VILLAGE...SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT...
MINOOKA PARK AND CAMP BRANCH.
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858
WFUS54 KBMX 262139
TORBMX
ALC037-117-121-262215-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0023.110326T2139Z-110326T2215Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
439 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN COOSA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTH CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHWESTERN TALLADEGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 515 PM CDT
* AT 433 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 5
MILES EAST OF CALERA. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER
RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS STORM MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TALLADEGA SPRINGS...BLUE SPRINGS...MARBLE VALLEY...FAYETTEVILLE...
STRICKLAND CROSSROADS...WAXAHATCHEE AT LAY LAKE...SHELBY...AL 145
AND CR 46...SPRING CREEK AT LAY LAKE AND SHELBY SHORES AT LAY LAKE.
WFUS54 KBMX 262139
TORBMX
ALC037-117-121-262215-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0023.110326T2139Z-110326T2215Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
439 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN COOSA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTH CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
SOUTHWESTERN TALLADEGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 515 PM CDT
* AT 433 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 5
MILES EAST OF CALERA. A TORNADO MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME. DOPPLER
RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS STORM MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TALLADEGA SPRINGS...BLUE SPRINGS...MARBLE VALLEY...FAYETTEVILLE...
STRICKLAND CROSSROADS...WAXAHATCHEE AT LAY LAKE...SHELBY...AL 145
AND CR 46...SPRING CREEK AT LAY LAKE AND SHELBY SHORES AT LAY LAKE.
0 likes
943
WFUS52 KTAE 262148
TORTAE
GAC177-273-287-321-262215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0008.110326T2148Z-110326T2215Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
548 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT
* AT 543 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR LEESBURG...OR 22 MILES SOUTH OF
AMERICUS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SCRUTCHINS...STARKSVILLE...MOSSY DELL...PHILEMA...CHOKEE...
OAKFIELD...WORTH...SIBLEY...DAKOTA AND WARWICK.
WFUS52 KTAE 262148
TORTAE
GAC177-273-287-321-262215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0008.110326T2148Z-110326T2215Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
548 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT
* AT 543 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR LEESBURG...OR 22 MILES SOUTH OF
AMERICUS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SCRUTCHINS...STARKSVILLE...MOSSY DELL...PHILEMA...CHOKEE...
OAKFIELD...WORTH...SIBLEY...DAKOTA AND WARWICK.
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943
WFUS52 KTAE 262148
TORTAE
GAC177-273-287-321-262215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0008.110326T2148Z-110326T2215Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
548 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT
* AT 543 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR LEESBURG...OR 22 MILES SOUTH OF
AMERICUS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SCRUTCHINS...STARKSVILLE...MOSSY DELL...PHILEMA...CHOKEE...
OAKFIELD...WORTH...SIBLEY...DAKOTA AND WARWICK.
WFUS52 KTAE 262148
TORTAE
GAC177-273-287-321-262215-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0008.110326T2148Z-110326T2215Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
548 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL TERRELL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 615 PM EDT
* AT 543 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR LEESBURG...OR 22 MILES SOUTH OF
AMERICUS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SCRUTCHINS...STARKSVILLE...MOSSY DELL...PHILEMA...CHOKEE...
OAKFIELD...WORTH...SIBLEY...DAKOTA AND WARWICK.
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076
WFUS52 KFFC 262150
TORFFC
GAC081-093-262230-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0010.110326T2150Z-110326T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
550 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CRISP COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT
* AT 544 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES WEST OF
CORDELE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
RICHWOOD...WENONA...EAST CRISP...TREMONT AND TIPPETTVILLE.
WFUS52 KFFC 262150
TORFFC
GAC081-093-262230-
/O.NEW.KFFC.TO.W.0010.110326T2150Z-110326T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
550 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CRISP COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
SOUTHEASTERN DOOLY COUNTY IN CENTRAL GEORGIA
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT
* AT 544 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES WEST OF
CORDELE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
RICHWOOD...WENONA...EAST CRISP...TREMONT AND TIPPETTVILLE.
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875
WFUS52 KTAE 262216
TORTAE
GAC177-287-321-262245-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0009.110326T2216Z-110326T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
616 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 645 PM EDT
* AT 611 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR PHILEMA...OR 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CORDELE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WARWICK...SIBLEY AND DAKOTA
WFUS52 KTAE 262216
TORTAE
GAC177-287-321-262245-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0009.110326T2216Z-110326T2245Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
616 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN TURNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
* UNTIL 645 PM EDT
* AT 611 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR PHILEMA...OR 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CORDELE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WARWICK...SIBLEY AND DAKOTA
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360
WFUS52 KTAE 262225
TORTAE
GAC239-262300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0010.110326T2225Z-110326T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
625 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
QUITMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GEORGETOWN...
* UNTIL 700 PM EDT
* AT 622 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR GEORGETOWN...OR NEAR EUFAULA...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
GEORGETOWN
WFUS52 KTAE 262225
TORTAE
GAC239-262300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.TO.W.0010.110326T2225Z-110326T2300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
625 PM EDT SAT MAR 26 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
QUITMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF GEORGETOWN...
* UNTIL 700 PM EDT
* AT 622 PM EDT...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR GEORGETOWN...OR NEAR EUFAULA...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH.
* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
GEORGETOWN
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0286
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0832 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CENTRAL MS...SRN AR AND NRN LA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 63...
VALID 270132Z - 270230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 63 CONTINUES.
A NEW WW IS BEING CONSIDERED TO REPLACE PARTS OF WW 63...GIVEN THE
UPCOMING 03Z EXPIRATION.
AT 01Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED TSTMS CONTINUING TO INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM NWRN MS INTO FAR SERN AR WITH
ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS FARTHER WSW NEAR TO JUST N OF A COLD FRONT INVOF
THE AR/LA BORDER. THIS LATTER ACTIVITY IS BECOMING UNDERCUT AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER NWRN AL WITH A SWD MOVING COLD FRONT
EXTENDING THROUGH ERN MS /JUST S OF CBM/ TO WEST CENTRAL MS AND THEN
WWD INVOF THE LA/AR BORDER.
THE INITIAL ONGOING ACTIVITY SHOULD POSE PRIMARILY A HAIL
THREAT...AS IT IS DEVELOPING IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WHERE
MLCAPE IS GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG. IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP AND
REMAIN ALONG THE COLD FRONT OR WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...THEN THERE
EXISTS A POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO. THIS THREAT APPEARS TO BE
GREATEST OVER THE MS AND NERN LA PORTIONS OF WW 63...WHERE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR IS GREATER /I.E. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE MORE BACKED TO
SWLY/...THAN COMPARED TO FARTHER W ACROSS E TX/WRN LA WHERE WINDS
HAVE BEGUN TO VEER.
FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A WLY 70-75 KT
MIDLEVEL JET ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND LOW LEVEL WAA WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT ELEVATED TSTMS. HOWEVER...GIVEN RECENT RADAR
TRENDS...SURFACE BASED STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
COLD FRONT IN FAR NRN LA/SRN AR...AND EVENTUALLY INTO MS.
..PETERS.. 03/27/2011
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0832 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CENTRAL MS...SRN AR AND NRN LA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 63...
VALID 270132Z - 270230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 63 CONTINUES.
A NEW WW IS BEING CONSIDERED TO REPLACE PARTS OF WW 63...GIVEN THE
UPCOMING 03Z EXPIRATION.
AT 01Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED TSTMS CONTINUING TO INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM NWRN MS INTO FAR SERN AR WITH
ADDITIONAL UPDRAFTS FARTHER WSW NEAR TO JUST N OF A COLD FRONT INVOF
THE AR/LA BORDER. THIS LATTER ACTIVITY IS BECOMING UNDERCUT AS THE
COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER NWRN AL WITH A SWD MOVING COLD FRONT
EXTENDING THROUGH ERN MS /JUST S OF CBM/ TO WEST CENTRAL MS AND THEN
WWD INVOF THE LA/AR BORDER.
THE INITIAL ONGOING ACTIVITY SHOULD POSE PRIMARILY A HAIL
THREAT...AS IT IS DEVELOPING IN THE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WHERE
MLCAPE IS GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG. IF STORMS CAN DEVELOP AND
REMAIN ALONG THE COLD FRONT OR WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...THEN THERE
EXISTS A POTENTIAL FOR A TORNADO. THIS THREAT APPEARS TO BE
GREATEST OVER THE MS AND NERN LA PORTIONS OF WW 63...WHERE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR IS GREATER /I.E. LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE MORE BACKED TO
SWLY/...THAN COMPARED TO FARTHER W ACROSS E TX/WRN LA WHERE WINDS
HAVE BEGUN TO VEER.
FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A WLY 70-75 KT
MIDLEVEL JET ACROSS THE TN VALLEY AND LOW LEVEL WAA WILL CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT ELEVATED TSTMS. HOWEVER...GIVEN RECENT RADAR
TRENDS...SURFACE BASED STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NEAR THE
COLD FRONT IN FAR NRN LA/SRN AR...AND EVENTUALLY INTO MS.
..PETERS.. 03/27/2011
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
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