Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

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Hurricaneman
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Re: 2012 U.S Severe Weather Season

#21 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Feb 29, 2012 12:50 pm

cycloneye wrote:Photos of damage in Harveyville,Kansas.

Image

Image


This tronado wasn't warned which means we still have a long way to go in tornado forecasting
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 11 dead, more coming

#22 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 12:54 pm

Probs 80/60. SHOULD be PDS on those numbers.

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 48
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1135 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY
TENNESSEE
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1135 AM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 45...WW 46...WW 47...

DISCUSSION...BROKEN...PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF TSTMS /INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS/ OVER CNTRL KY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WATCH AREA...AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING
FOR ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD OF MIDLEVEL IMPULSE APPROACHING THE MID
MS/LOWER OH VALLEYS. WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL
LIMIT AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF
GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000-1500 J/KG. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE STRONG LOW-
AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...THE SETUP WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES /SOME STRONG/
AND POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.


...MEAD
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 11 dead, more coming

#23 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 12:58 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0183
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN/WRN OH...SERN IND...NRN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 291741Z - 292015Z

CNTRL/SRN/WRN OH...SERN IND...AND NRN KY WILL BE MONITORED THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS FOR THE POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF A WW. ONGOING
TORNADO WATCH 47 ACROSS SRN OH AND NRN KY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
ON SCHEDULE AT 18Z...THOUGH AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS
THIS AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

STRATIFORM RAIN AND EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS ACROSS SRN OH AND
NRN KY CONTINUE NORTH OF A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE LOCATED ACROSS
KY/TN. BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION OWING TO THE PRECIPITATION WILL
CONTINUE TO MITIGATE THE SVR THREAT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
ACROSS WW47. WHILE SFC TEMPERATURES MAY STRUGGLE TO SUBSTANTIALLY
INCREASE IF THIS ACTIVITY IS SLOW TO CLEAR...RELATIVELY MORE RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S/
ALONG THE OH RIVER WILL SUPPORT MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION DESPITE THE
ONGOING PRECIP. VIS SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE MORE ABUNDANT POCKETS
OF INSOLATION NORTH OF THE ONGOING ACTIVITY INTO PARTS OF
CNTRL/W-CNTRL OH AND ERN IND...WHERE STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES JUXTAPOSED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 50S ARE
CONTRIBUTING TO MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION. MODIFICATIONS TO THE 12Z
WILMINGTON OH RAOB TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT SFC TEMPS/DEWPOINTS
INDICATE SBCAPE ALREADY NEARING 500 J/KG FROM APPROXIMATELY
COLUMBUS-DAYTON-RICHMOND...WHERE ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION WILL
OCCUR AS BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTINUES IN COMBINATION
WITH ADDITIONAL INSOLATION.

DESPITE WEAK SFC CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT IN WRN IND...IT MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1900Z...ESPECIALLY OWING TO THE INCREASING INSTABILITY AND
STRENGTHENING DCVA IN CONJUNCTION WITH AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL
IMPULSE SWINGING AROUND AN UPPER-MIDWEST CLOSED LOW. STRONG
LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR IS IN PLACE...WITH
WILMINGTON OH VWP DATA INDICATING A SFC-3-KM BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDE
AROUND 55 KT. IF CONVECTION CAN DEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY...FAST-MOVING
LINE SEGMENTS AND POSSIBLY SUPERCELLS MAY ENSUE...WITH DMGG WIND
GUSTS THE PRIMARY CONCERN RESULTING FROM MAINLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW
THROUGH THE CLOUD LAYER. HOWEVER...THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR AND SOME SLIGHT CURVATURE OF THE HODOGRAPH JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE MAY SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR A TORNADO OR TWO...PARTICULARLY
FROM CNTRL OH SWD TO NRN KY INVOF THE RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. AS
SUCH...THE AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF A WW
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

..COHEN.. 02/29/2012


ATTN...WFO...RLX...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

LAT...LON 40688234 39348237 38558295 38578489 39838501 40968394
41018300 40688234
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#24 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 12:58 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0184
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1146 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AR...NRN LA...NRN MS...NWRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 291746Z - 291915Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY DEVELOP ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND
SWEEP EWD WITH WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES. A
WATCH IS LIKELY TO BE ISSUED BY 19-20Z.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT JUST W OF SHREVEPORT LA INTO
NERN AR AT 17Z. ALTHOUGH EXTENSIVE LOW CLOUDS EXIST OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA...THERE ARE POCKETS OF HEATING ESPECIALLY OVER CNTRL LA INTO
CNTRL MS. GRADUAL DESTABILIZATION AND LIFT ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD
RESULT IN A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

AMPLE DEEP LAYER FLOW EXISTS FOR FAST STORM MOTIONS AND SEVERE
WINDS...BUT LOW LEVEL FLOW IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE FRONT WILL BE
VEERED...WHICH MAY LIMIT TORNADO POTENTIAL SOMEWHAT...ESPECIALLY IF
MODE IS LINEAR. HOWEVER...BETTER LOW LEVEL SHEAR/BACKED FLOW WILL
REMAIN OVER ERN MS INTO NRN AL.

OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND AREA SOUNDINGS SHOW A PRONOUNCED CAPPING
INVERSION NEAR 700 MB...WHICH WILL LIMIT WARM SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
AWAY FROM THE FRONT. HOWEVER...NRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...FROM NRN
MS INTO NRN AL WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST RELATIVE THREAT OF THIS TYPE OF
DEVELOPMENT. IF THIS SHOULD OCCUR...THE TORNADO THREAT WOULD BE MORE
SUBSTANTIAL.

..JEWELL.. 02/29/2012


ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

LAT...LON 35278820 35178776 34848728 34528714 34238737 33918778
33058941 32469101 31999227 31819314 31999353 32539361
33429289 34319184 34899093 35198975 35298878 35278820
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#25 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 1:30 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0185
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OH...WRN WV

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 291824Z - 291900Z

A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED WITHIN THE NEXT HALF HOUR WITH
THE AFFECTED OFFICES.

DESTABILIZATION WILL CONTINUE IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL
AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR /REF. 18Z WILMINGTON OH SOUNDING/. FAST-MOVING
LINE SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS WILL POSE A THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS
AND PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES. SVR STORMS OVER KY WILL LIKELY MOVE
NEWD TOWARD WV DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG AN APPROACHING FRONT /REF MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 183/.

..COHEN.. 02/29/2012


ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...

LAT...LON 40548059 39348069 38288131 37768207 38188307 39318278
40918146 40548059
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#26 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 1:44 pm

Farther north - probs 50/30:

SEL9

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 49
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN KENTUCKY
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OHIO
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA
LAKE ERIE

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL
900 PM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
AKRON OHIO TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF HUNTINGTON WEST
VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 48...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON ON NRN AND ERN PERIPHERY OF ONGOING SVR
TSTMS OVER CNTRL KY. 18Z ILN SOUNDING INDICATES THAT AIR MASS HAS
BECOME UNCAPPED AHEAD OF COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS OH WITH SBCAPE
VALUES OF AROUND 800 J/KG. GIVEN THE VERY STRONG WIND FIELD /REF.
18Z ILN SOUNDING AND CURRENT VAD DATA/...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR LOW-TOPPED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES
AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26050.


...MEAD
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#27 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 1:47 pm

The cell approaching West Liberty, KY is very intense.
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#28 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 1:58 pm

WFUS51 KRLX 291854
TORRLX
KYC127-WVC099-291930-
/O.NEW.KRLX.TO.W.0001.120229T1854Z-120229T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
154 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LAWRENCE COUNTY IN KENTUCKY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...YATESVILLE LAKE STATE PARK...
LOUISA...BLAINE...
SOUTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN WEST VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 230 PM EST

* AT 146 PM EST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 22
MILES WEST OF MARTHA
...OR NEAR WEST LIBERTY...MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CHARLEY...ULYSSES...KIAHSVILLE...DUNLOW...FORT GAY AND EAST LYNN
LAKE.

.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO
THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EST WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 8298 3811 8287 3820 8243 3811 8232
3794 8231 3788 8241 3793 8251 3795 8252
3795 8256 3787 8262 3799 8291 3799 8296
3796 8300 3798 8303 3800 8303
TIME...MOT...LOC 1852Z 262DEG 45KT 3790 8319

$$

08
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#29 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 2:28 pm

WWUS53 KLMK 291926
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
226 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

KYC001-045-207-291945-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-120229T1945Z/
RUSSELL KY-ADAIR KY-CASEY KY-
226 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM EST /145 PM CST/
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CASEY...EASTERN ADAIR AND NORTHEASTERN RUSSELL
COUNTIES...

AT 123 PM CST...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH EXTREMELY STRONG ROTATION. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SYCAMORE FLAT...MOVING EAST AT 60
MPH.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL ALSO IMPACT...
MINTONVILLE AND ARGYLE...
WARE AND BETHELRIDGE...

FUNNEL CLOUDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A LARGE DAMAGING TORNADO. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!


TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN LOUISVILLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3708 8509 3717 8513 3725 8472 3724 8471
3716 8482 3712 8490 3706 8491
TIME...MOT...LOC 1926Z 262DEG 52KT 3714 8500

$$
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#30 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 2:28 pm

Do I see a debris ball with that storm?
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#31 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 29, 2012 2:29 pm

Updated discussion of todays event.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

VALID 291630Z - 011200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF TENNESSEE
AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WESTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHERN GEORGIA...NORTHERN ALABAMA AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY...SOUTHWARD INTO PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
NORTHERN GULF STATES...EASTWARD INTO SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS...

CORRECTED WORDING AND TYPO IN LAST SENTENCE FOR GREATER CLARITY

...OH/TN VALLEYS/NRN GULF STATES INTO SRN MID ATLC COAST...
SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING OF THE DEEP/OCCLUDING UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
SURFACE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED AS IT DEVELOPS EASTWARD INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...MODELS INDICATE THAT DEEP LAYER
FLOW AND SHEAR WILL REMAIN STRONG /50-60+ KT/ THROUGH MUCH OF ITS
WARM SECTOR...WHERE BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER SHOULD ALLOW SUFFICIENT
INSOLATION FOR MIXED LAYER CAPE OF 500 TO 1000 J/KG. COINCIDENT
WITH THIS DESTABILIZATION...GUIDANCE ALSO INDICATES THAT A SHORT
WAVE IMPULSE...PIVOTING AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE
ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL LOW...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION THROUGH THE 18-21Z TIME FRAME... ROUGHLY ALONG A
NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST PRE-COLD FRONTAL AXIS THROUGH THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS. AS THIS OCCURS...RENEWED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED...PROBABLY BOTH IN BROKEN LINES AND
DISCRETE CELLS.

THE JUXTAPOSITION OF THE SOUTHERN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FORCING AND BETTER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY DURING THE PEAK AFTERNOON
HEATING STILL APPEARS LIKELY TO BE CENTERED ACROSS THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY...JUST SOUTH OF A LINGERING ONGOING INITIAL BAND OF STORMS
EXTENDING ACROSS WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY. THIS MAY
PROVIDE THE FOCUS THE MOST CONCENTRATED SEVERE THREAT... INCLUDING
THE RISK FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS LARGE ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO THE RISK FOR
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

ADDITIONAL...BUT PERHAPS MORE WIDELY SCATTERED...STRONG/SEVERE STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS PROBABLE NORTH OF ONGOING ACTIVITY...THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WARM SECTOR TO THE NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER...WHICH
SHOULD GRADUALLY SHRINK FROM WEST TO EAST...TOWARD THE
APPALACHIANS...AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO OCCLUDE. LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS...PRE-FRONTAL FORCING FOR
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...WHERE DESTABILIZATION ALONG A
RETREATING WARM FRONT AND LEE SURFACE TROUGH MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT
FOR NEW STRONG/SEVERE STORM ACTIVITY. AT THE SAME
TIME...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS PROBABLY WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE
SOUTHWARD SHIFTING FRONT INTO THE NORTHERN GULF STATES...BEFORE
DESTABILIZATION AND LARGE-SCALE ASCENT DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT.

..KERR.. 02/29/2012
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#32 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 29, 2012 2:33 pm

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
228 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 300 PM EST

* AT 224 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF RUSSELL SPRINGS...OR 23 MILES
NORTHWEST OF MONTICELLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

IN ADDITION...UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CAINS STORE...MAGNUM...POINTER...STAB...HOGUE...SCIENCE HILL...
PULASKI...DABNEY...BOBTOWN...WOODSTOCK...SHOPVILLE ...VALLEY OAK...
BANDY...BENT AND EUBANK.
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#33 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 2:46 pm

Parents got home right before the storm hit, they said the tornado sirens were going off (good, they work!) and they saw a funnel cloud pass by just to the north.
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#34 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 3:03 pm

Live Weather Coverage...

WAVE Louisville...

http://www.wave3.com/
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#35 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 29, 2012 3:05 pm

TORNADO WARNING
KYC147-199-231-292045-
/O.NEW.KJKL.TO.W.0007.120229T1958Z-120229T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
258 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL MCCREARY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 345 PM EST

* AT 256 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JAMESTOWN...OR 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MONTICELLO...AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

IN ADDITION...HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SOMERSET...FAUBUSH...STEUBENVILLE...NAOMI...MILL SPRINGS...
BETSEY...NANCY...TRIMBLE...FRAZER...PULASKI COUNTY PARK...KIDDER...
QUINTON...BRONSTON...SOMERSET PULASKI AIRPORT...GENERAL BURNSIDE
S.P....BURNSIDE...TATEVILLE...ELIHU...FERGUSON AND SLOANS VALLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3692 8496 3695 8496 3696 8495 3696 8490
3699 8485 3705 8491 3709 8491 3710 8442
3688 8440 3688 8503
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 264DEG 53KT 3694 8504

$$

RAY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORNADO WARNING
KYC109-125-199-203-292030-
/O.NEW.KJKL.TO.W.0006.120229T1954Z-120229T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
254 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN LAUREL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
NORTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN ROCKCASTLE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 330 PM EST

* AT 252 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SCIENCE HILL...OR 6 MILES NORTH OF
SOMERSET...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

IN ADDITION...UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT VERNON...LONDON...DABNEY...BOBTOWN...WOODSTOCK...SHOPVILLE...
BANDY...VALLEY OAK...BEE LICK...WILLAILLA...QUAIL...OTTOWA...LEVEL
GREEN...BROMO...SPIRO...WABP...BLOSS...HANSFORD...MARETBURG AND
CEDARVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3730 8464 3735 8457 3736 8455 3734 8451
3735 8450 3736 8449 3739 8400 3712 8398
3711 8466
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 259DEG 47KT 3718 8457

$$

RAY
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Tireman4
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#36 Postby Tireman4 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 3:11 pm

Live Weather Coverage

Lexington, Kentucky


Lex18....

http://www.lex18.com/weather-264/
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cycloneye
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#37 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 29, 2012 3:31 pm

TORNADO WARNING
KYC051-109-125-203-292100-
/O.NEW.KJKL.TO.W.0008.120229T2025Z-120229T2100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
325 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...
SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY...
NORTHERN LAUREL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL ROCKCASTLE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 400 PM EST

* AT 319 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WOOD CREEK LAKE...OR 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF
LONDON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EAST BERNSTADT...MERSHONS...TEMPLER...CRUISE...OAKLEY...VICTORY...
EBERLE...ATLANTA...PARROT...PEOPLES...GREENMOUNT...DEESE...
MCWHORTER...CORNELIUS...MOORES CREEK...LANGNAU...BOND...CRAWFORD...
GREEN HILL AND ANNVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 8384 3727 8372 3718 8372 3717 8423
3731 8424
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 263DEG 40KT 3723 8414

$$

RAY
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cycloneye
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#38 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 29, 2012 3:44 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
331 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN MCCREARY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
SOUTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 400 PM EST

* AT 328 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SUNNYBROOK...OR 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ALBANY...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

IN ADDITION...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POWERSBURG...HIDALGO...SLICKFORD...COOPER...MOUNT PISGAH...
BURFIELD...OIL VALLEY...PARMLEYSVILLE...GREAT MEADOWS CAMPSITES...
BARRIER...GRIFFIN...ROCKEYBRANCH...COOPERSVILLE...KIDDS CROSSING...
SLAVENS...DENNEY...RITNER...CO-OPERATIVE AND BLUE HERON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3660 8487 3661 8497 3662 8500 3668 8501
3669 8503 3673 8502 3676 8501 3684 8449
3659 8449
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 256DEG 46KT 3665 8497

$$

RAY
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Re: Severe weather outbreak - February 29 - 13 dead

#39 Postby cycloneye » Wed Feb 29, 2012 4:14 pm

TORNADO WARNING
KYC147-231-235-292130-
/O.NEW.KJKL.TO.W.0010.120229T2055Z-120229T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
355 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MCCREARY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
EAST CENTRAL WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
CENTRAL WHITLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 430 PM EST

* AT 352 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CO-OPERATIVE...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
WHITLEY CITY...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

IN ADDITION...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WHITLEY CITY...WILLIAMSBURG...BLUE HERON...STEARNS...MARSHES
SIDING...WIBORG...PARKERS LAKE...STRUNK...PINE KNOT...BEULAH
HEIGHTS...HONEYBEE...HOLLYHILL...CUMBERLAND FALLS S.P....DUCKRUN...
BOUNTY...AYERS...JELLICO CREEK...KRUPP...REDBIRD AND LIBERTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 8410 3663 8411 3661 8471 3684 8464
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 261DEG 48KT 3667 8460

$$

RAY
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CrazyC83
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#40 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Feb 29, 2012 4:22 pm

Harrisburg: AT LEAST EF4
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