Texas Spring 2013

[vbhoutex]

What's to discuss in this thread when it is 53f with winds gusting to 30mph from the N?? Back over to the Winter thread for another week?

[Tireman4]

I love love this weather. Woo Hoo. My run was good, but I felt horrible.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

What's to discuss in this thread when it is 53f with winds gusting to 30mph from the North?? Back over to the Winter thread for another week?

So glad to have company.......you fellows wished this upon us.

[vbhoutex]

What's to discuss in this thread when it is 53f with winds gusting to 30mph from the North?? Back over to the Winter thread for another week?

So glad to have company.......you fellows wished this upon us.

[HockeyTx82]

Guys and girls,

The writing has been on the wall right there all along in front of us. How did we all miss this? Wxman57 is a cyclist, by doing so he is emitting more CO2, thus contributing to global warming! It all makes sense now, the earth is getting warming because of cyclists like wxman57! He's been leading us on that he is pulling the earth closer to the sun. I always had a feeling that was not possible, it's him and all of his cycling buddies. Of course I know that there are few runners on here, myself included, will the blame shift to us next?

http://www.kgw.com/news/local/Wash-reps ... 53321.html

http://images.bimedia.net/images/emailOrcutt.JPG

All joking aside sad to see winter to be "over" for the most part. Hoping for a true "spring" with all the rain and towering t-storms with cool rainy nights. Looking forward to good discussions ahead and maybe learning a new thing or two. Cheers!

[KatDaddy]

This morning's SPC disco:

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 AM CST SUN MAR 03 2013

VALID 061200Z - 111200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LATEST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SUGGEST SIGNIFICANT
TROUGHING WILL EVOLVE ACROSS THE SWRN U.S. DURING THE LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK. ECMWF IS FASTER THAN THE GFS REGARDING THE EJECTION OF A
STRONG SPEED MAX INTO THE SRN PLAINS OF OK/TX BY SUNDAY WHEREAS THE
GFS IS SLOWER AND FARTHER SOUTH WITH THIS FEATURE. WITH
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY INITIALLY EXPECTED TO BE SOMEWHAT
MARGINAL...TIMING DIFFERENCES OF THIS EJECTING SYSTEM WILL
ESPECIALLY LIMIT THE PREDICTABILITY OF ROBUST CONVECTION THIS
PERIOD.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

why do they type everything in CAPS? It is so hard to read.

[dhweather]

:uarrow: why do they type everything in CAPS? It is so hard to read.

Because they are screaming from the mountaintop.


I think it goes back to the old teletype communications they used back in the day. I believe they allowed all caps, a period and a slash, and that's it.


I thought there was a movement by NOAA to modernize this a few years ago, I guess it didn't happen.

[weatherdude1108]

Better than nothin.' That is, if we get anything -- AT ALL. Ho hum. The land of perpetual drought, interrupted by occasional flood.



000
FXUS64 KEWX 032155
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
326 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON IS PUSHING GROUPS OF MID TO
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS FROM WEST TEXAS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS. THESE CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT MID TO UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. EXPECT A WARMER
OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LOWS GENERALLY IN
THE 40S.

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDING ACROSS THE LEE SIDE OF THE
ROCKIES IS FORECASTED TO MOVE EAST AND ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL CREATE A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH A DRY LINE MOVING
FROM THE NORTHEAST PART OF MEXICO EASTWARD TO ABOUT HIGHWAY 71
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS TRANSLATE TO A HOT MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER 90S ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
TO MID 80S ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER...WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO CHANGE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS A DRY FRONT PUSHES
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. STRONG
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF TUESDAY AND A WIND ADVISORY IS
LIKELY TO BE ISSUED FOR THAT PERIOD IN THE FUTURE. EXPECT
SEASONAL NORMALS HIGHS TUESDAY WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN 30S WITH A
LIGHT FREEZE OVER PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY IN THE WAKE OF THE DRY
FROPA.

DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH MOISTURE
INCREASING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A WET PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS A
NORTHWEST PACIFIC STORM MOVES OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. SHOWED A MODEL BLEND SOLUTION WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE
WITH POPS ENDING LATE NEXT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. STORM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD GENERALLY BE AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH FOR AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH EAST. HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE
HILL COUNTRY.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A REG FLAG WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF
I-35 CORRIDOR THROUGH 8 PM CST THIS EVENING. A NEW RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THROUGH 7 PM MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR
EDWARDS...KINNEY...REAL...AND VAL VERDE COUNTIES DUE TO BREEZY AND
LOW HUMIDITIES CONDITIONS. THE FIRE WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
TEXAS TUESDAY...HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING. THE RED
FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM TUESDAY DUE TO A DRY
PACIFIC FRONT AND BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS.

[horselattitudesfarm]

Better than nothin.' That is, if we get anything -- AT ALL. Ho hum. The land of perpetual drought, interrupted by occasional flood.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
326 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

.DISCUSSION...

......DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH MOISTURE
INCREASING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A WET PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS A
NORTHWEST PACIFIC STORM MOVES OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. SHOWED A MODEL BLEND SOLUTION WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE
WITH POPS ENDING LATE NEXT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. STORM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD GENERALLY BE AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH FOR AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH EAST. HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE
HILL COUNTRY.

Its pretty sad when the wet conditions they are talking about only add up to a tenth of an inch of rain

[weatherdude1108]

Better than nothin.' That is, if we get anything -- AT ALL. Ho hum. The land of perpetual drought, interrupted by occasional flood.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
326 PM CST SUN MAR 3 2013

.DISCUSSION...

......DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH MOISTURE
INCREASING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A WET PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS A
NORTHWEST PACIFIC STORM MOVES OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY. SHOWED A MODEL BLEND SOLUTION WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE
WITH POPS ENDING LATE NEXT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. STORM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS COULD GENERALLY BE AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH FOR AREAS
WEST OF HIGHWAY 281 AND UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH EAST. HIGHEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE
HILL COUNTRY.

Its pretty sad when the wet conditions they are talking about only add up to a tenth of an inch of rain

That's what I was thinking! That is something more likely seen in an El Paso forecast. Of course I heard they measure their rain in 100ths of an inch.

If ewx starts to predict rain amounts in 100ths of an inch, we're beyond desperate. We're in trouble.

[Ntxw]

I hate HOT weather. But I have to admit dry, warm days with a breeze like today knowing a cooldown is coming makes it quite pleasurable for outdoor activities like fishing, sports, grilling etc!

[wxman57]

I hate HOT weather. But I have to admit dry, warm days with a breeze like today knowing a cooldown is coming makes it quite pleasurable for outdoor activities like fishing, sports, grilling etc!

Now you're coming around to the correct way of thinking (mine). You can't tell me that Saturday's weather (windy with a high in the low to mid 50s) was preferable to today's. Warm is good. Cold is bad.

Unfortunately, the GFS indicates another cool-down across Texas next week, with highs in the 50s and 60s.

[dhweather]

That projected storm path looks all to familiar.

Don't get your hopes up for significant rain amounts this weekend.

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

About to hit 90 degrees down this way. As much as I love winter, with two boys playing baseball this time of year and one sometime late into the evening with his high school team, I am ready for summer. Watching baseball wearing a jacket and at times a heavy one thanks to the "wind chill" is not baseball weather. Don't mind it one bit for football, but my idea of watching baseball is wearing shorts, short sleeves and if I want, sandals. Bring on the heat! Bring on the Texas Summer Thread! Do your magic WXman57!

[Ntxw]

Now you're coming around to the correct way of thinking (mine). You can't tell me that Saturday's weather (windy with a high in the low to mid 50s) was preferable to today's. Warm is good. Cold is bad.

Unfortunately, the GFS indicates another cool-down across Texas next week, with highs in the 50s and 60s.

Now now, I wouldn't take it that far . Key phrase in that is "knowing a cooldown is coming", I wouldn't mind a day or two of warmth if that's the case in spring. Come summer all those activities become negligent due to the bad air quality and hellish heat!

[dhweather]

all those activities become negligent due to the bad air quality and hellish heat!

You are right, something about 90+ every day for 100 days kinds kills outdoor fun.

[Portastorm]

About to hit 90 degrees down this way. As much as I love winter, with two boys playing baseball this time of year and one sometime late into the evening with his high school team, I am ready for summer. Watching baseball wearing a jacket and at times a heavy one thanks to the "wind chill" is not baseball weather. Don't mind it one bit for football, but my idea of watching baseball is wearing shorts, short sleeves and if I want, sandals. Bring on the heat! Bring on the Texas Summer Thread! Do your magic WXman57!

Yeah ... bring on summer ... you know, the season when named tropical systems roam the Gulf and sometimes threaten the Texas coast!

[cctxhurricanewatcher]

About to hit 90 degrees down this way. As much as I love winter, with two boys playing baseball this time of year and one sometime late into the evening with his high school team, I am ready for summer. Watching baseball wearing a jacket and at times a heavy one thanks to the "wind chill" is not baseball weather. Don't mind it one bit for football, but my idea of watching baseball is wearing shorts, short sleeves and if I want, sandals. Bring on the heat! Bring on the Texas Summer Thread! Do your magic WXman57!

Yeah ... bring on summer ... you know, the season when named tropical systems roam the Gulf and sometimes threaten the Texas coast!

Like that big drought buster named Don in 2011!

I like our odds of being unharmed again this summer. The flip side means by June, we might not be able to water our yards, wash our cars, and do much but take a shower and wash our clothes in what water we have left in our lake systems.

[Tireman4]

Like that big drought buster named Don in 2011!

Oh yeah. The High Pressure Ridge of Death ( why does not the Weather Channel name High Pressure Ridges in Summer...lol..he he) that completely ate Don. That was the wildest thing I have ever seen. I was like, "Wooahh, where did it go? Did I see what I just thought I saw?" LOL

Edit: You know for the newbies that have no idea what we are talking about, too bad no one has a radar image of that. Classic I tell ya, just classic....