Texas Spring 2016

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JDawg512
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#21 Postby JDawg512 » Sun Feb 28, 2016 1:55 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
gpsnowman wrote:
gboudx wrote:Yes bring on the Spring allergy season. Can't wait to start suffering. :(

The last week of January and the first two+ weeks of February I was absolutely miserable with allergies. Have had them my entire life and tried almost every form of pill and inhalers available, with only temporary relief. Hating needles I decided to bite the bullet and start getting shots in my rear end starting in 2008. Cortisone steroid shots that last for about a year. The first few years it worked like magic. Hardly one allergy attack each winter/spring. The last couple years the positive effects tended to wane. With that, compounded with having to pay the majority of the cost thanks to "new" insurance, I decided to purchase a bottle of OTC Zyrtec and a box of CVS cold and sinus. About 10 days have passed and I must say, so far, these have worked wonders. The Zyrtec is once a day and the CVS brand I took early on but haven't needed lately. I hope and pray this continues on into the spring season.

Your allergies sound like mine. Of course this year they had to morph into a sinus infection. Now that I am over that all I do is drain, drain, drain. Guess I'll try the zyrtec otc since others haven't worked. :double:
I am not liking the drier and warmer than normal we are having. If it lasts long enough it will do another 2011 where dry and hot begets dry and hot and then along comes drought which begets drought. UGH!! :x :x



I've recently been on antibiotics for a sinus infection. Not sure if they have completely cleared it out yet but at least I have a doctor's appointment this week so will find out one way or the other.

I don't wait at all anymore, as soon as I notice it's changed from just regular allergies to a sinus infection I go to my ear, nose and throat specialist. I never had a problem with sinus infections until a few years ago when I waited 3 months before going and by then my sinus cavities were so bad I ended up having surgery where he went in and had to scrape them out because the skin tissue was infected. To my defense, I didn't know how a sinus infection felt like until then because I had never experienced those symptoms. I assumed when it started that it was just a prolonged bout of allergies but the way my face started feeling changed and I experienced vicious headaches right behind my eyes and the forehead. Let me tell you, I've had kidney stone surgery back in 2007 and if I had to choose between recovering from one of those two surgeries, I'd pick kidney. I've never been so miserable in my life after the sinus surgery so I don't take chances now that I distinctly know when a sinus infection starts to pop up. I don't ever want to go through that horribleness again.

Right now it's the Red Oak pollen that's getting to me. I don't remember a time when I've seen them pollinate in Febuary.

Moving on to weather... It doesn't look like this progressive pattern wants to give way. This mornings EWX discussion only had a slight shot of storms Tuesday morning then once again like January and February we can't get enough moisture return before the next front arrives. The models are split next week with the Euro continuing the drier progressive pattern and I tend to side with the Euro these days.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#22 Postby KatDaddy » Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 am

More Spring-like weather through the week and next weekend with highs in the 70s. The SPC has a slight risk area over OK tonight and a large slight risk area Tuesday across portions of the Lower MS, TN, and OH valleys eastward into the Central and S Appalachians. A marginal risk also exists for E, SE, and S TX on Tuesday. Currently only a slight chance of thunderstorms Tuesday for the Houston-Galveston areas but its possible there may be a few strong storms. Nice weather to continue through the rest of the week and weekend with only a slight chance of showers Thursday. This morning's Houston-Galveston AFD mentions a slow moving potent storm system next week.

FOR WHAT IT IS WORTH THE EXTENDED MODELS HAVE BEEN HIGHLIGHTING A POTENT STORM COMPLEX TO SWING THROUGH
DESERT SW/NW MEXICO ARRIVING IN TX TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY MAR 8/9/10 AND THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GFS/ECMWF CONTINUE THIS
TREND...MAY SEE SOME HEAVY RAINFALL IN TX WITH THIS SLOW MOVING UPPER TROUGH...STAY TUNED.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#23 Postby Portastorm » Mon Feb 29, 2016 10:18 am

The GFS has been honking for days about that March 8-10 time frame for Texas and a major-league storm system. While the Euro isn't quite so aggressive, it has been showing a full latitude trough developing over the western CONUS and gradually moving east. One way or another we're going to enter into a stormy pattern for the state in 10-15 days.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#24 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 10:55 am

Portastorm wrote:The GFS has been honking for days about that March 8-10 time frame for Texas and a major-league storm system. While the Euro isn't quite so aggressive, it has been showing a full latitude trough developing over the western CONUS and gradually moving east. One way or another we're going to enter into a stormy pattern for the state in 10-15 days.


Maybe highs in the 50's with the rain, Porta?
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#25 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 11:47 am

Tireman4 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:The GFS has been honking for days about that March 8-10 time frame for Texas and a major-league storm system. While the Euro isn't quite so aggressive, it has been showing a full latitude trough developing over the western CONUS and gradually moving east. One way or another we're going to enter into a stormy pattern for the state in 10-15 days.


Maybe highs in the 50's with the rain, Porta?


Well, maybe not. GFS says mid 70s, new Parallel Euro says highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Not quite 50s.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#26 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 12:03 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Tireman4 wrote:
Portastorm wrote:The GFS has been honking for days about that March 8-10 time frame for Texas and a major-league storm system. While the Euro isn't quite so aggressive, it has been showing a full latitude trough developing over the western CONUS and gradually moving east. One way or another we're going to enter into a stormy pattern for the state in 10-15 days.


Maybe highs in the 50's with the rain, Porta?


Well, maybe not. GFS says mid 70s, new Parallel Euro says highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. Not quite 50s.


Well that just sticks a fork in everything. My gracious. Sigh. My Spring Break is toast anyway. Lots and lots of writing and running. :(
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#27 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 12:31 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
Well that just sticks a fork in everything. My gracious. Sigh. My Spring Break is toast anyway. Lots and lots of writing and running. :(


The fork got stuck in winter weeks ago. Not much cold left in Texas this winter. Back when I was training for biathlons, I used to run in mid afternoon in June. Best time to run! My lungs hurt in cool weather. I cut my ride short (only 30 miles) yesterday because I was too cold. Had leg warmers and a long-sleeve jersey on, but the strong wind and 69F temp, combined with all the clouds made it somewhat unpleasant, not to mention my legs felt dead after a hard 40-mile ride on Saturday.

There might be some decent rain next Tuesday evening across East TX, possibly some severe weather, too. 00Z Parallel EC indicates that the heavier rain will be east of a line from Dallas to Austin and north of Houston.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#28 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 12:41 pm

wxman57 wrote:

The fork got stuck in winter weeks ago. Not much cold left in Texas this winter. Back when I was training for biathlons, I used to run in mid afternoon in June. Best time to run! My lungs hurt in cool weather. I cut my ride short (only 30 miles) yesterday because I was too cold. Had leg warmers and a long-sleeve jersey on, but the strong wind and 69F temp, combined with all the clouds made it somewhat unpleasant, not to mention my legs felt dead after a hard 40-mile ride on Saturday.


Oh you are a funny one. Now, I will admit this. When I ran in high school and college, I will tell you that the heat did not bother me. Not at all. At 50, it wallops me. Just tears me a new one. Cold running for me is the best. Again, there are hot and cold runners. Too bad we cannot get a good soaking rain coming up.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#29 Postby TeamPlayersBlue » Mon Feb 29, 2016 1:58 pm

Extra day for Leap year adding to the length of our winter, just rubbing in our faces.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#30 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 2:15 pm

12Z EC has 1-2" of rain in the D-FW area next Tuesday evening. Up to 3" north of the Red River in OK. The line really gets going once it reaches Louisiana. Very little rain for SE TX next week. We'll see how the new EC handles the rain soon. That upgraded ECMWF is slated to replace the current EC next Monday.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#31 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 2:16 pm

TeamPlayersBlue wrote:Extra day for Leap year adding to the length of our winter, just rubbing in our faces.


Yeah, an extra day of mid to upper 70s added to February. I think we should move leap day to June - June 31st. That way all 3 main summer months will be 31 days. More hot days. ;-)
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#32 Postby hriverajr » Mon Feb 29, 2016 2:44 pm

Tireman4 wrote:
wxman57 wrote:

The fork got stuck in winter weeks ago. Not much cold left in Texas this winter. Back when I was training for biathlons, I used to run in mid afternoon in June. Best time to run! My lungs hurt in cool weather. I cut my ride short (only 30 miles) yesterday because I was too cold. Had leg warmers and a long-sleeve jersey on, but the strong wind and 69F temp, combined with all the clouds made it somewhat unpleasant, not to mention my legs felt dead after a hard 40-mile ride on Saturday.


Oh you are a funny one. Now, I will admit this. When I ran in high school and college, I will tell you that the heat did not bother me. Not at all. At 50, it wallops me. Just tears me a new one. Cold running for me is the best. Again, there are hot and cold runners. Too bad we cannot get a good soaking rain coming up.


I am wondering if WXman is a mammal hahahh j/k
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#33 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 3:01 pm

hriverajr wrote:I am wondering if WXman is a mammal hahahh j/k


In my younger years, I wanted to become a herpatologist (studies reptiles). I do appear to have some reptillian qualities.

Still waiting on the 12Z EC parallel run...

Hmm, I like this Christmas ornament:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#34 Postby hriverajr » Mon Feb 29, 2016 3:02 pm

wxman57 wrote:
hriverajr wrote:I am wondering if WXman is a mammal hahahh j/k


In my younger years, I wanted to become a herpatologist (studies reptiles). I do appear to have some reptillian qualities.

Still waiting on the 12Z EC parallel run...


:notworthy:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#35 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 3:42 pm

wxman57 wrote:
hriverajr wrote:I am wondering if WXman is a mammal hahahh j/k


In my younger years, I wanted to become a herpatologist (studies reptiles). I do appear to have some reptillian qualities.

Still waiting on the 12Z EC parallel run...

Hmm, I like this Christmas ornament:
Image


Well that explains a lot. No wonder. LOL.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#36 Postby Portastorm » Mon Feb 29, 2016 3:52 pm

:uarrow:

We'll add it to your Christmas list for next year. As I see it, you've been Naughty so far.
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#37 Postby wxman57 » Mon Feb 29, 2016 4:36 pm

Portastorm wrote::uarrow:

We'll add it to your Christmas list for next year. As I see it, you've been Naughty so far.


Still no 12Z EC parallel run. The 00Z EC Parallel 45-day meteogram for D-FW has 5 members forecasting snow there. One has about 2" on Wednesday of this week. 3 others have 1/2" to an inch on Wednesday. The mean has about 4.2" of rain in Houston in March - and about the same for Dallas. 4" for Austin in March.

There's a Snow Miser ornament, too:
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#38 Postby Brent » Mon Feb 29, 2016 7:51 pm

The GFS through 384 hours doesn't have a single frame of below normal temps here... and all of it after the next couple days is a blowtorch and starting next week all the way east to the Atlantic coast... higher anomalies exist in some frames in the metros on the east coast than here.

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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#39 Postby Ntxw » Mon Feb 29, 2016 8:25 pm

CPC is highlighting a heavy rain/flood threat for the eastern half of the state in the March 8-10+/- time frame
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Re: Texas Spring 2016

#40 Postby wxman57 » Tue Mar 01, 2016 9:06 am

Brent wrote:The GFS through 384 hours doesn't have a single frame of below normal temps here... and all of it after the next couple days is a blowtorch and starting next week all the way east to the Atlantic coast... higher anomalies exist in some frames in the metros on the east coast than here.


Ah, a dream come true. The month of March just sounds warmer than February.

Euro parallel run meteogram has a low of 50 in Houston tonight then steady warming. Weak front next Tuesday drops lows into the upper 50s (briefly). Highs in the mid 70s to 80 over the next 10 days - then warming up.
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