
Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
The squall line of storms weakened as they.came through the Northeast Florida area, so for this round of storms, we appear to have escaped any severe wx for now. Now we await for the next batch of potential shortwave energy (squall line/ or convective complex) that will move in later overnight/ pre dawn hours of Sunday.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0017.html PDS tornado watch
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
The probs on that PDS watch
. Winter nocturnal outbreaks are so scary. This could be a doozy of a night followed by a very rough day tomorrow.

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- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
psyclone wrote:The probs on that PDS watch. Winter nocturnal outbreaks are so scary. This could be a doozy of a night followed by a very rough day tomorrow.
Yes indeed. Especially tomorrow. Models showing a potential powerful squall line which will be developing ahead from a deepening mid/upper level low pressure system which will be moving into Northern Alabama by 18Z tomorrow. This squall line looks to really pack a punch as it moves through Georgia and North and Central Florida during the day tomorrow. I am very fearful of many tornado reports for tomorrow, and straight line wind damage as well. Also hail reports will be numerous.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
northjaxpro wrote:psyclone wrote:The probs on that PDS watch. Winter nocturnal outbreaks are so scary. This could be a doozy of a night followed by a very rough day tomorrow.
Yes indeed. Especially tomorrow. Models showing a potential powerful squall line which will be developing ahead from a deepening mid/upper level low pressure system which will be moving into Northern Alabama by 18Z tomorrow. This squall line looks to really pack a punch as it moves through Georgia and North and Central Florida during the day tomorrow. I am very fearful of many tornado reports for tomorrow, and straight line wind damage as well. Also hail reports will be numerous.
Tomorrow, there is Football in Atlanta

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- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
Models are showing that the worst of the weather should move through the Atlanta metro area from 12Z-18Z, so that would be mostly during the pre-game activities. But, it is possible the timing of the storms may come a bit later. It is possible the worst ciuld occur during the game. Hopefully everyone will be safe heading to the game or at the site. Great to have the game played indoors. Also the final game ever to be played in the old Georgia Dome tomorrow.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
Tornado warning now for Wayne County, GA ( Baxley, GA) . Severe thunderstorms now approaching the Tallahassee area. A very wicked squall line extending from Panama City, FL to Savannah, GA.
Tornado Watch is in effect for all of South Georgia until 10:00 a.m.
Tornado Watch is in effect for all of South Georgia until 10:00 a.m.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
SPC talking about upgrading to a high risk for tornadoes some strong and long tracked
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0106.html

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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
SPC talking about upgrading to a high risk for tornadoes some strong and long trackedhttp://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0106.html
It sounds like they are pretty serious about upgrading to a High Risk. This would be the first High Risk since 2014, if I am not mistaken.
In addition, I have to wonder how many High Risks there have been in Florida.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
Personally, looking at the dynamic set-up this morning and the helicity analysis for this morning, I have to really express my deep and profound concerns for high likelihood for tornadoes will be today across the region, especially South Gergia and North Florida region.
I think SPC needs to elevate to very high risk for today. I have not seen such a volatile and hostile set-up for this area for severe wx and tornadoes in a long time. Very dangerous situation today for our region.
I think SPC needs to elevate to very high risk for today. I have not seen such a volatile and hostile set-up for this area for severe wx and tornadoes in a long time. Very dangerous situation today for our region.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
Tornado warning now for Ware and Pierce Counties of Southeast Georgia. This includes the cities of Homerville and Waycross.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
I believe it's the first high risk for FL but I could be wrong.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html High Risk with 30% hatched for tornadoes
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html High Risk with 30% hatched for tornadoes

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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
Yall stay safe over there. Dangerous tornado outbreak is looking increasingly likely today.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
NWS. just reported that tornado did touchdown just south of Alma, GA and radar is currently indicating a tornado just southeest of Waycross.
The report of the tornado near Alma is just coming across, so too early yet about reports of injuries and God forbid, casualties. We should get some word about this shortly.
The report of the tornado near Alma is just coming across, so too early yet about reports of injuries and God forbid, casualties. We should get some word about this shortly.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- northjaxpro
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- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017
Tornado Warning just issued for Valdosta, Ga area (Lownes County)
Update: Tornado Warning now has moved east to Brantley County, which includes the city of Hoboken. The tornadic cell closing in on the I-95 corridor.
Update: Tornado Warning now has moved east to Brantley County, which includes the city of Hoboken. The tornadic cell closing in on the I-95 corridor.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sun Jan 22, 2017 8:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
- northjaxpro
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Re: Severe weather Jan 20-23,2017

Deadly tornado outbreak is in progress.
EDIT: 11 dead and 23 injured as of 9:00 a.m. Also, reports of tornado that touched down near Albany, GA.

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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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