DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION IN FLORIDA

[MWatkins]

NWS Miami thinks that mose of the severe dynamics will stay to our north...(ie central Florida to northern Florida) tomorrow but I'm not so sure. With all of the surface heating we're going to get (85F today and foreast for tomorrow) if the low develops as the GFS suggests...we'll have plenty of upper support for rotating storms trough most of the state tomorrow....even if mid-level temp are not as cold as you'd want to see.

Regardless...overnight...folks in central Florida should pay attention. I HATE situations like this when severe is possible after most people go to bed. Although long-track dangerous tornados are unlikely...a watch could go up overnight none the less.

MW

[Josephine96]

Hey MW.. I hate these situations too.. I was a 1998 tornado victim. That one woke me out of my sleep around 1 am eastern and I was lucky to survive.

I hope they wait till after sunrise to rock and roll if they do. I am a nervous 1 in Central Florida tonight wondering what could happen

[Josephine96]

Here is the HWO from Melbourne at 7:45pm

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
745 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
251100-
BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-LAKE-MARTIN-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE
-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 60 NM-
745 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY:

...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ACROSS LAKE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA...AND
ORANGE COUNTIES UNTIL 3 PM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

...THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ON
WEDNESDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND MOVE EASTWARD TOWARD THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA EARLY WEDNESDAY. RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO
2 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

AS THE LOW IN THE GULF MOVES EASTWARD TOWARD THE STATE...A LINE OF
STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

THROUGH WEDNESDAY...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED IN THE
FLOOD WATCH AREA...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES EXPECTED TO THE SOUTH.

THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH STORMS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...HAIL AND POSSIBLY
AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING TO DEVELOP.
RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA...PARTICULARLY THOSE LIVING IN THE MORE
FLOOD PRONE...LOWER LYING LOCATIONS...SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ACT
QUICKLY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR
BECOMES IMMINENT. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS...AND POSSIBLY WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE BY LISTENING TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS.

REMEMBER TO SET YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALERT TO ON...BEFORE GOING
TO SLEEP TONIGHT. ALSO BEING THAT THIS IS HAZARDOUS WEATHER AWARENESS
WEEK NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO REVIEW YOUR PERSONAL AND FAMILY SAFETY
ACTION PLAN.

[Guest]

NWS Miami thinks that mose of the severe dynamics will stay to our north...(ie central Florida to northern Florida) tomorrow but I'm not so sure. With all of the surface heating we're going to get (85F today and foreast for tomorrow) if the low develops as the GFS suggests...we'll have plenty of upper support for rotating storms trough most of the state tomorrow....even if mid-level temp are not as cold as you'd want to see.

Regardless...overnight...folks in central Florida should pay attention. I HATE situations like this when severe is possible after most people go to bed. Although long-track dangerous tornados are unlikely...a watch could go up overnight none the less.

MW

Though I have NOAA Weather Radio alarm that is louded than my dog's bark, I have been known to sleep through alerts. (My unit automatically turns itself on and off--when the warning message ends.) When the 10pm weather segment says something to the affect of isolated tornadoes possible overnight, I stay awake until the threat diminishes.

[Josephine96]

Hey Weather Guy.. I have been known to do that a lot since 1998. I have been awake through a lot of the night when they have predicted nasty storms.

I hate to keep bringing up 1998 but it flashes before me everytime nasty weather is here lol

[Guest]

Hey Weather Guy.. I have been known to do that a lot since 1998. I have been awake through a lot of the night when they have predicted nasty storms.

I hate to keep bringing up 1998 but it flashes before me everytime nasty weather is here lol

Ironically, in that same year, I was living in an apartment at the time with my family. I believe we had a tornado watch out, but mainly strong winds and large hail were occuring. Sitting out in the family room with the tv going and the lights on, watching weather coverage. CLICK! Power goes out, dark as night (lol!), and the stupid battery backup was beeping from the otherside of the room. I had to crawl over and shut the darn thing off.

[Josephine96]

Just wanted to let you guys know I am hearing a strange noise outside.. It's not raining that hard and there's very little wind. It's not really still out though..

It's probably just a car lol.. sorry.. just thought I'd post this

[MWatkins]

Though I have NOAA Weather Radio alarm that is louded than my dog's bark, I have been known to sleep through alerts. (My unit automatically turns itself on and off--when the warning message ends.) When the 10pm weather segment says something to the affect of isolated tornadoes possible overnight, I stay awake until the threat diminishes.

I don't blame you...especially in NE. We get maybe an f2 if conditions are just right...you can get the monsters up there.

MW