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- Category 5
- Posts: 15941
- Age: 57
- Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
- Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 15941
- Age: 57
- Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
- Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)
- Yankeegirl
- Category 5
- Posts: 3417
- Age: 49
- Joined: Sun May 23, 2004 11:59 pm
- Location: Cy-Fair, Northwest Houston
- Contact:
FLOOD WATCH
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-262300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
413 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
...FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS EXTENDED UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY...
...INCREASINGLY DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION DEVELOPING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS EXTENDED THE FLOOD
WATCH THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE WATCH
INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT
BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON.
AFTER ANOTHER BRIEF BREAK IN THE RAINFALL THIS EVENING...EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE ANOTHER BRIEF BREAK SATURDAY EVENING.
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
TEXAS FROM THE WEST COMBINED WITH BOUNDARIES AND DEEP MOISTURE ALREADY
IN PLACE WILL LEAD TO THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. DURING
THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS FOCUSED ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10 WHERE WIDESPREAD 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN WITH LOCALIZED 10 PLUS INCHES.
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST
TO EXTEND FURTHER INLAND. THIS WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO MORE
WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING AS WELL AS THE URBAN TYPE FLOODING MANY
LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY SEEN.
LOCATIONS NORTH OF A BRENHAM TO LIVINGSTON LINE CAN EXPECT WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH LOCALIZED 5 INCH AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. AREAS SOUTH OF THAT LINE CAN EXPECT WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCH
AMOUNTS WITH LOCALIZED 6 TO 8 INCH PLUS AMOUNTS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION WHERE TRAINING HEAVY STORMS DEVELOP.
THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
LEAD TO A SERIOUS FLOOD THREAT FOR THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS. CONDITIONS MAY NOT IMPROVE UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SIMILAR
SETUP IS ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING
WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY!! THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO
CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED
QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS
OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS FLOOD THREAT.
TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-262300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
413 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
...FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS EXTENDED UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY...
...INCREASINGLY DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION DEVELOPING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS EXTENDED THE FLOOD
WATCH THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE WATCH
INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...
IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
AUSTIN...BRAZORIA...BRAZOS...BURLESON...CHAMBERS...COLORADO...FORT
BEND...GALVESTON...GRIMES...HARRIS...HOUSTON...JACKSON...LIBERTY...
MADISON...MATAGORDA...MONTGOMERY...POLK...SAN JACINTO...TRINITY...
WALKER...WALLER...WASHINGTON...AND WHARTON.
AFTER ANOTHER BRIEF BREAK IN THE RAINFALL THIS EVENING...EXPECT
PRECIPITATION TO BEGIN DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATER
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON HOURS BEFORE ANOTHER BRIEF BREAK SATURDAY EVENING.
STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES FORECAST TO MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
TEXAS FROM THE WEST COMBINED WITH BOUNDARIES AND DEEP MOISTURE ALREADY
IN PLACE WILL LEAD TO THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. DURING
THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION HAS FOCUSED ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10 WHERE WIDESPREAD 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
ALREADY FALLEN WITH LOCALIZED 10 PLUS INCHES.
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST
TO EXTEND FURTHER INLAND. THIS WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO MORE
WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING AS WELL AS THE URBAN TYPE FLOODING MANY
LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY SEEN.
LOCATIONS NORTH OF A BRENHAM TO LIVINGSTON LINE CAN EXPECT WIDESPREAD
1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS...WITH LOCALIZED 5 INCH AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. AREAS SOUTH OF THAT LINE CAN EXPECT WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCH
AMOUNTS WITH LOCALIZED 6 TO 8 INCH PLUS AMOUNTS NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION WHERE TRAINING HEAVY STORMS DEVELOP.
THE GROUND IS ALREADY SATURATED AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
LEAD TO A SERIOUS FLOOD THREAT FOR THE SOUTHERN 2/3 OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS. CONDITIONS MAY NOT IMPROVE UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SIMILAR
SETUP IS ANTICIPATED ON SUNDAY.
A FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...KEEP INFORMED
AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING
WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.
REMEMBER...DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY!! THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO
CROSS SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED
QUICKLY. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS...ABANDON IT AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND
IMMEDIATELY. RAPIDLY RISING WATER MAY ENGULF YOUR VEHICLE AND ITS
OCCUPANTS AND SWEEP THEM AWAY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS FLOOD THREAT.
0 likes
- PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5277
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
Wow just what we need, check out these forecast discussions...
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION DEVELOPING FOR SATURDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
NO BIG SURPISES IN THE OFFING THIS FORECAST PACKAGE - WE ARE GOING
TO SEE SOME RAIN. THE CWA LARGELY CLEAR OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS THIS
AFTN AS MOST OF THE STORMS ARE FOCUSED ALONG THE OFFSHORE BOUNDARY.
SOME LIGHT/MODERATE RAINS LINGERING ALONG THE COAST AND DEVELOPING
OVER THE FAR NERN ZONES BUT THEY ARE NOT CAUSING THAT MUCH CONCERN
ATTM. SFC ANALYSES INDICATING THAT A SFC LOW MAY BE TRYING TO FORM
OVER THE LOWER/MIDDLE TX COAST. THIS MAY BE A PROBLEM FOR TOMORROW
AS THIS COULD PUSH THE OFFSHORE BOUNDARY INLAND AS THE NEXT STRONG
S/W MOVES INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT/EARLY TOMORRW. WITH THIS FEAT-
URE ACTING AS A FOCUS AND THE GROUNDS OVER MOST OF SE TX SATURATED
WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A POTENTIALLY SERIOUS FLOOD SITUATION LATER
TONIGHT/TOMORROW SHOULD THE MODELS VERIFY. FURTHER TO THE WEST...
MORE KINKS IN THE MACHINERY ARE LOOMING. STRONG STORMS (SPURRED BY
AFTN HEATING) DEVELOPING AROUND THE UPPER LOW MAY THROW A FEW MORE
BOUNDARIES THIS WAY. FFA WILL REMAIN UP AND ABOUT THROUGH TOMORROW
6 PM NEEDLESS TO SAY. BUT WOULD NOT BE AT ALL SURPRISED IF THE FFA
WILL BE EXTENDED INTO SUNDAY AS PROGS CONTINUE WITH THIS SAME (AND
NOW QUITE FAMILIAR) WX PATTERN - UPPER TROFFINESS LINGERING AS PWS
HOVER AT/ABOVE 2" AND ADDITIONAL S/WS MAKE TRACK ACROSS THE STATE.
GUIDANCE HINTING THAT WE COULD MAYBE START TO SEE SOME DRYING LATE
MONDAY (PWS ACTUALLY PROGGED TO DROP BELOW 2"!) BUT THE UPPER TROF
LOOKS TO HANG ON JUST A BIT LONGER. EXTENDED GFS DOING A FLIP FLOP
FOR NEXT WEEKEND (AS ANOTHER UPPER TROF APPEARS TO DEEPEN OVER THE
SRN PLAINS) BUT ECMWF PAINTING A MORE SERENE PICTURE WITH FLATTISH
UPPER RIDGE BEING THE DOMINANT FEATURE. 41/47
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
.DISCUSSION...TODAYS THEME SONGS TO DESCRIBE "YELLOW SUBMARINE" AND
"RAIN RAIN GO AWAY". LARGE COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS
PUSHED OFF THE LOUISIANA COAST THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS ARE THE RESULT
OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES THAT
CONTINUE TO FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. HAVE ISSUED FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
TONIGHT AND WILL PROBABLY SEE ONE FOR TOMORROW. THIS PATTERN LOOKS
TO HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE LOOKING TO SEE MORE RIVER
LOCATIONS MOVING INTO FLOOD.
THE OUTLOOK SHOWS A TENDENCY TOWARDS THINGS DRYING OUT SLOWLY
THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FLOOD SITUATION DEVELOPING FOR SATURDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
NO BIG SURPISES IN THE OFFING THIS FORECAST PACKAGE - WE ARE GOING
TO SEE SOME RAIN. THE CWA LARGELY CLEAR OF THE HEAVIEST RAINS THIS
AFTN AS MOST OF THE STORMS ARE FOCUSED ALONG THE OFFSHORE BOUNDARY.
SOME LIGHT/MODERATE RAINS LINGERING ALONG THE COAST AND DEVELOPING
OVER THE FAR NERN ZONES BUT THEY ARE NOT CAUSING THAT MUCH CONCERN
ATTM. SFC ANALYSES INDICATING THAT A SFC LOW MAY BE TRYING TO FORM
OVER THE LOWER/MIDDLE TX COAST. THIS MAY BE A PROBLEM FOR TOMORROW
AS THIS COULD PUSH THE OFFSHORE BOUNDARY INLAND AS THE NEXT STRONG
S/W MOVES INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT/EARLY TOMORRW. WITH THIS FEAT-
URE ACTING AS A FOCUS AND THE GROUNDS OVER MOST OF SE TX SATURATED
WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A POTENTIALLY SERIOUS FLOOD SITUATION LATER
TONIGHT/TOMORROW SHOULD THE MODELS VERIFY. FURTHER TO THE WEST...
MORE KINKS IN THE MACHINERY ARE LOOMING. STRONG STORMS (SPURRED BY
AFTN HEATING) DEVELOPING AROUND THE UPPER LOW MAY THROW A FEW MORE
BOUNDARIES THIS WAY. FFA WILL REMAIN UP AND ABOUT THROUGH TOMORROW
6 PM NEEDLESS TO SAY. BUT WOULD NOT BE AT ALL SURPRISED IF THE FFA
WILL BE EXTENDED INTO SUNDAY AS PROGS CONTINUE WITH THIS SAME (AND
NOW QUITE FAMILIAR) WX PATTERN - UPPER TROFFINESS LINGERING AS PWS
HOVER AT/ABOVE 2" AND ADDITIONAL S/WS MAKE TRACK ACROSS THE STATE.
GUIDANCE HINTING THAT WE COULD MAYBE START TO SEE SOME DRYING LATE
MONDAY (PWS ACTUALLY PROGGED TO DROP BELOW 2"!) BUT THE UPPER TROF
LOOKS TO HANG ON JUST A BIT LONGER. EXTENDED GFS DOING A FLIP FLOP
FOR NEXT WEEKEND (AS ANOTHER UPPER TROF APPEARS TO DEEPEN OVER THE
SRN PLAINS) BUT ECMWF PAINTING A MORE SERENE PICTURE WITH FLATTISH
UPPER RIDGE BEING THE DOMINANT FEATURE. 41/47
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
400 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
.DISCUSSION...TODAYS THEME SONGS TO DESCRIBE "YELLOW SUBMARINE" AND
"RAIN RAIN GO AWAY". LARGE COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS
PUSHED OFF THE LOUISIANA COAST THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS ARE THE RESULT
OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AND A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES THAT
CONTINUE TO FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. HAVE ISSUED FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
TONIGHT AND WILL PROBABLY SEE ONE FOR TOMORROW. THIS PATTERN LOOKS
TO HOLD THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE LOOKING TO SEE MORE RIVER
LOCATIONS MOVING INTO FLOOD.
THE OUTLOOK SHOWS A TENDENCY TOWARDS THINGS DRYING OUT SLOWLY
THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK.
0 likes
- southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Yep, extended the flood watch here as well...getting used to that every 12 hours or so for the last several days.
BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
350 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES IS CONTINUING THE
FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA FOR TONIGHT...
COUNTIES IN TEXAS INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE...HARDIN...JASPER...
JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...AND TYLER. PARISHES IN LOUISIANA ARE
VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...
SAINT LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFF DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...SAINT
MARTIN...VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE AREA
REMAINS UNDER A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE TROPICAL AIRMASS...WITH
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF NEAR 5 INCHES. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN FELL
THURSDAY...WITH ISOLATED AREAS RECEIVING AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES.
REMEMBER...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA. CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE
READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS
SOURCES FOR LATER STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS FLOOD WATCH.
BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
350 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2004
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES IS CONTINUING THE
FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA FOR TONIGHT...
COUNTIES IN TEXAS INCLUDED IN THE WATCH ARE...HARDIN...JASPER...
JEFFERSON...NEWTON...ORANGE...AND TYLER. PARISHES IN LOUISIANA ARE
VERNON...RAPIDES...AVOYELLES...BEAUREGARD...ALLEN...EVANGELINE...
SAINT LANDRY...CALCASIEU...JEFF DAVIS...ACADIA...LAFAYETTE...SAINT
MARTIN...VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY.
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE AREA
REMAINS UNDER A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE TROPICAL AIRMASS...WITH
SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH ISOLATED TOTALS
OF NEAR 5 INCHES. WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN FELL
THURSDAY...WITH ISOLATED AREAS RECEIVING AS MUCH AS 8 INCHES.
REMEMBER...A FLOOD WATCH MEANS FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA. CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE
READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...OR IF A WARNING IS
ISSUED. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER WEATHER NEWS
SOURCES FOR LATER STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS FLOOD WATCH.
0 likes
- PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5277
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
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