We need rain!

#21 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Fri Apr 07, 2006 1:24 pm

this is interesting feature near the Dry tortugas, west of the Keys

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/fp1_090.shtml
look athe precip map

PTrackerLA · #22 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 12:37 pm

Let's see, we missed all the rain on Friday night and now what looked to be a decent shot at rain next weekend has fizzled because the system will be too far north. Basically no chance of rain for the next 10 days at least around here. This is getting ridiculous.

NWS Lake Charles:
RAIN CHANCES FOR THE WEEKEND APPEARING LESS AND LESS LIKELY WITH
EAST PAC TROF NOW PROGGED TO LIFT WELL NORTH OF THE AREA BY GFS
AND ECMWF. 00Z DGEX WAS THE ONLY OUTLIER HERE...AND NOW 06Z RUN HAS
COME INTO LINE WITH THE OTHERS. WILL LEAVE 20 POP ALONE FOR NOW
WITH GFS SHOWING A FAIRLY DECENT LEAD VORT MAX CROSSING THE AREA
SATURDAY...BUT THE OVERRIDING THEME OF THIS FORECAST WAS...AND
STILL IS...DRY AND WARM.

Lindaloo · #23 Postby **Lindaloo** » Sun Apr 09, 2006 3:21 pm

We received about 3 minutes of rain from that system. Why are we so darn dry? Is it because of La Nina? Usually we have this in June or July, not April and CERTAINLY not for this length of time!! :grr:

#24 Postby **gboudx** » Tue Apr 11, 2006 10:02 am

After some early spring rains, things have been getting drier and drier in DFW. NWS mentions it today as a disturbing trend. Same thing happened last year. Our normal rainy season failed to produce rain. At least we got something to fill-up some reservoirs though. It could be worse.

#25 Postby **terstorm1012** » Tue Apr 11, 2006 3:00 pm

http://origin.www.erh.noaa.gov/ctp/hydro/drought/

Pennsylvania Drought Watch

#26 Postby **BreinLa** » Tue Apr 11, 2006 4:04 pm

Gosh just went outside at my office and looked up the Magnolia Trees look awful leaves are all yellow and droopy, some blooms on them, we really need some rain and I do not see us getting any anytime soon

Yankeegirl · #27 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Tue Apr 11, 2006 6:32 pm

We need rain here too... I forgot what rain is.... :roll:

HurricaneHunter914 · #28 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Tue Apr 11, 2006 9:59 pm

Drought like conditions continue here, it doesn't seem like there will be rain. I mean my plants are so thirsty they drink all of the morning dew before 10:00 am.

PTrackerLA · #29 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 12:17 pm

Time for the rain dance everyone. We have a 50% chance of rain now tomorrow, easily the best shot in at least a month! The NWS has also raised our chances for next week as well. Let's hope all this holds true.

This Afternoon: Partly cloudy, with a high around 87. South wind around 10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 68. South wind between 10 and 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Friday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Increasing clouds, with a high around 81. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low near 60. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 83. North wind around 5 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Southeast wind around 5 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 85. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 65. South wind around 5 mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy, with a high around 85. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low near 67.

Tuesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 82. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high around 81. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

PTrackerLA · #30 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 3:46 pm

Seems like we'll either see a good rain or we won't. The NWS doesn't seem overly confident. Let's just hope their being cautious as we're now in an extreme drought.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
334 PM CDT THU APR 20 2006

.DISCUSSION...
ONE MORE QUIET WEATHER DAY BEFORE THINGS COULD GET INTERESTING.

WILL BE KEEPING SCATTERED POPS IN THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY...BUT
STILL HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS BEING A LARGE RAIN MAKER. SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE MORE LIKELY THE FURTHER NORTH AND EAST YOU
GO...SO NOT PLANNING ON ANY ADDITIONAL WORDING FOR SEVERE THREAT
AT THIS POINT.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 3-5 DEGREES COOLER THIS WEEKEND BEHIND
THE FRONT.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN COMES IN LATE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY. STILL
EARLY TO SAY EXACTLY HOW MUCH RAIN WE WILL GET...BUT AT LEAST
THERE IS SOMETHING TO LOOK FORWARD TO TO HELP ALLEVIATE THE
DROUGHT. LATEST DROUGHT INDICATORS FROM CPC NOW SHOW THE ENTIRE
REGION IN AN EXTREME DROUGHT.

southerngale · #31 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 4:16 pm

PTrackerLA wrote: LATEST DROUGHT INDICATORS FROM CPC NOW SHOW THE ENTIRE
REGION IN AN EXTREME DROUGHT.

Dang...they just updated it. Extreme SE TX is in Extreme now too. Not really surprised as we have a fresh burn ban this morning. geez...I hope we get some rain out of this system! It's been fizzling out or just missing us with each opportunity lately.

And look at Deep South Texas - Exceptional. Man, oh man!

Lindaloo · #32 Postby **Lindaloo** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 4:56 pm

I thought La Nina was dying and neutral was returning?

PTrackerLA · #33 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Thu Apr 20, 2006 5:24 pm

I don't remember ever being in an Extreme drought before. All I can say is please let it rain tomorrow, I don't care if it's severe as long as water falls from the sky! My water bill is outrageous trying to keep my yard and plants looking healthy and I know the farmers are suffering.

PTrackerLA · #34 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 10:24 am

Looks like we're finally going to see SOME rain. Severe thunderstorm watch just issued so I don't' think this line will weaken any. It's moving fast but we might be able to squeak out .50" of rain which would be much needed.

#35 Postby **BreinLa** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 10:29 am

Well it better rain I have been dancing for over a week hehehehehe

PTrackerLA · #36 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 10:30 am

It's working, but don't stop now :lol:

. Amazing to think this will be our first thunderstorm since February!

CajunMama · #37 Postby **CajunMama** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 10:56 am

The rain is coming baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaby!

#38 Postby **baygirl_1** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 11:25 am

Okay, don't hog it in LA, y'all. Please send some over towards south AL. We need the rain, too. Our yard looks so sad right now. So, share that water!! :lol:

#39 Postby **BreinLa** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 1:03 pm

yipee the dust has settled a bit at least

PTrackerLA · #40 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Fri Apr 21, 2006 1:06 pm

It was quick but at least we got some rain. Hopefully we'll have more chances next week.

We need rain!

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