Severe weather? Southern Plains - March 29/30 - MDT risk

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#21 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu Mar 29, 2007 10:20 pm

I just heard on the news one tornado spotter saw a tornado that was as wide as 2 football fields! What's that in miles/meters?[/quote]

that would be in yards.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6666
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#22 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Mar 29, 2007 10:21 pm

fact789 wrote:I just heard on the news one tornado spotter saw a tornado that was as wide as 2 football fields! What's that in miles/meters?


that would be in yards.[/quote]
I don't use yards! :lol: I go by just meters and miles since the system we use is different.
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#23 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Mar 29, 2007 10:25 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:250 mph? That would be an EF5 and it would be a repeat of May 3, 1999...

Even if that tornado was 250 mph, it would still not compare to the May 3rd, 1999 tornado which had winds of 318 mph...just shy of being the first F6.

I just heard on the news one tornado spotter saw a tornado that was as wide as 2 football fields! What's that in miles/meters?
one football field is 100 yards wide...so two would be 200 years wide. So, if we do the math, we find that...

2 football fields = 200 yards = 183 meters = About 600 feet = .11 miles (.18 kilometers)

So basically this tornado was about 1/10th of a mile wide (or about 1/5th of a kilometer wide). Decent size, but really nothing extremely large.
0 likes   

User avatar
Cyclenall
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6666
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 10:01 pm
Location: Ontario, Canada

#24 Postby Cyclenall » Thu Mar 29, 2007 11:29 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:250 mph? That would be an EF5 and it would be a repeat of May 3, 1999...

Even if that tornado was 250 mph, it would still not compare to the May 3rd, 1999 tornado which had winds of 318 mph...just shy of being the first F6.

I just heard on the news one tornado spotter saw a tornado that was as wide as 2 football fields! What's that in miles/meters?
one football field is 100 yards wide...so two would be 200 years wide. So, if we do the math, we find that...

2 football fields = 200 yards = 183 meters = About 600 feet = .11 miles (.18 kilometers)

So basically this tornado was about 1/10th of a mile wide (or about 1/5th of a kilometer wide). Decent size, but really nothing extremely large.

Thanks for figuring the math out. For some reason I thought 2 football fields was quite large but really it's nothing when you put it into miles. :lol:
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#25 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Mar 30, 2007 6:44 am

MDT risk for extreme southern Texas into a piece of Mexico. 15% tornado as well.

SPC AC 300545

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 AM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS MUCH OF SWRN TX...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SOUTH TX INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...

00Z MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH
ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE SRN ROCKIES TROUGH THIS MORNING...THEN
EJECTING NEWD AS MID-HIGH LEVEL FLOW INCREASES ON DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF
ELONGATED UPPER LOW. THIS LOW LATITUDE FEATURE WILL CERTAINLY FOCUS
DEEP CONVERGENCE ALONG TIGHTENING BAROCLINIC ZONE FOR A SIGNIFICANT
EPISODE OF DEEP CONVECTION FROM SWRN TX...NEWD INTO KS/MO.

...TX/OK...

SELY FLOW IS DEEPENING ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY INTO WEST TX
EARLY THIS MORNING IN RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SERN AZ.
LLJ SHOULD BECOME TIGHTLY FOCUSED ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU BY
MORNING ENHANCING LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION/ASCENT TO THE WEST OF
SHARPENING FRONTAL ZONE. IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE EARLY
ACROSS THIS REGION FROM THE TRANS PECOS INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS.
RAPID EXPANSION WITH AN UPWARD EVOLUTION INTO A VERY LARGE MCS-TYPE
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM SHOULD THEN SPREAD DOWNSTREAM EVENTUALLY
DEVELOPING ACROSS MOST OF NORTH TX INTO OK. ALONG THE SRN FRINGES
OF THIS POTENTIALLY MASSIVE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM THERE WILL BE AN
OPPORTUNITY FOR A NARROW WEDGE OF STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER
HEATING...ROUGHLY ALONG AN AXIS FROM THE SRN TRANS PECOS...NEWD
TOWARD SJT. AS A RESULT...SFC-BASED INSTABILITY SHOULD INCREASE
MARKEDLY PRIOR TO THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...APPROACHING 2000 J/KG.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS STRONGLY SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS
WITH SFC DEW POINTS RISING THROUGH THE UPPER 60S AND STRONG DEEP
LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVENTUALLY
OVERTURN THIS HIGHER ZONE OF INSTABILITY AS SFC BOUNDARY SHIFTS SEWD
ACROSS WCNTRL TX INTO THE HILL COUNTRY. VERY LARGE HAIL MAY
ACCOMPANY THESE SWRN TX STORMS WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR TORNADOES
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU.

NWD EXTENT OF SEVERE WILL BE HIGHLY CONDITIONAL DUE TO THE LIMITED
AMOUNT OF BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING/DESTABILIZATION PRIOR TO
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. AS LLJ STRENGTHENS ACROSS NCNTRL TX INTO
CNTRL OK...WIDESPREAD DEEP CONVECTION WILL QUICKLY DESTROY AIRMASS
AND MAINTAIN WEAK LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT.

...ERN CNTRL PLAINS TO MID MS VALLEY...

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE DURING THE DAY WHERE SFC
HEATING ENHANCES BUOYANCY...ESPECIALLY NEAR SE-NW ORIENTED WARM
FRONT. THIS ACTIVITY WILL THEN SPREAD NORTH INTO INCREASINGLY
HOSTILE AIRMASS WHERE UPDRAFTS SHOULD STRUGGLE TO GENERATE MORE THAN
MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL OR PERHAPS GUSTY WINDS.

A SECONDARY INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION WILL THEN SPREAD NEWD IN
RESPONSE TO SHORTWAVE EJECTING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS. WEAK
INSTABILITY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL LIMIT SEVERE THREAT WITH
THIS RENEWED DEVELOPMENT.

..DARROW/TAYLOR.. 03/30/2007

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1142Z (7:42AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#26 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Mar 30, 2007 6:45 am

The numbers today may be a bit low as the MDT risk extends into Mexico.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#27 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Mar 30, 2007 8:25 am

Any way to find out about tornadoes in Mexico?
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#28 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Mar 30, 2007 10:53 am

Strong - likely tornadic - cell near Austin, TX now.

http://www.keyetv.com has coverage...
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

#29 Postby Bunkertor » Fri Mar 30, 2007 4:41 pm

Something big moving towards Waco.
0 likes   

User avatar
HarlequinBoy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1400
Age: 34
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
Location: Memphis

#30 Postby HarlequinBoy » Fri Mar 30, 2007 4:56 pm

0436 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SW OGLESBY 31.35N 97.59W
03/30/2007 CORYELL TX PUBLIC

TWO HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#31 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Mar 30, 2007 5:01 pm

HarlequinBoy wrote:0436 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SW OGLESBY 31.35N 97.59W
03/30/2007 CORYELL TX PUBLIC

TWO HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED.


Could have been an unseen tornado.
0 likes   

User avatar
HarlequinBoy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1400
Age: 34
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
Location: Memphis

#32 Postby HarlequinBoy » Fri Mar 30, 2007 5:27 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
HarlequinBoy wrote:0436 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SW OGLESBY 31.35N 97.59W
03/30/2007 CORYELL TX PUBLIC

TWO HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED.


Could have been an unseen tornado.


Yupp, possibly.

I think this report is from the same storm.

AT 459 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LORENA...OR ABOUT
7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HEWITT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THE
PUBLIC REPORTED TREES UPROOTED NEAR MOODY WITHIN THE LAST 15
MINUTES.
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: snownado and 24 guests