Texas Spring 2021
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Getting some pea sized hail now.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Just got a second round of small hail for the night with the leading edge of this line. It actually started hailing before it started raining. Not bad considering the relatively low dbz for hail. Storms tonight had a little more oomph than I thought
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
We got 0.5" last night. 20 to 30 minute storm with heavy rain and some wind gusts. A little pea-sized hail mixed in for about 15 seconds. Bertram had significant damage to historic buildings. NWS going out later to assess if twister or straight line winds.
https://www.kxan.com/news/local/hill-co ... ium=mobile
https://www.kxan.com/news/local/hill-co ... ium=mobile
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- jasons2k
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Texas Spring 2021
I got .28" out of storms that rolled through here about 4:30am. I missed the heaviest part of the line and it moved through quickly. I saw a decent amount of lightning and heard some thunder, but I was half awake on-and-off until it passed.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Got close to 2" last night with a very impressive light show.
I wouldn't be surprised to see eastern portions of DFW get upgraded tomorrow.
I wouldn't be surprised to see eastern portions of DFW get upgraded tomorrow.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
bubba hotep wrote:Got close to 2" last night with a very impressive light show.
I wouldn't be surprised to see eastern portions of DFW get upgraded tomorrow.
If the 0z NAM is to be believed, it should be the whole metro.
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
If 12z hi-res guidance follows on 6z then I wouldn't be surprised to see another upgrade to ENH for portions of Texas later today.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
bubba hotep wrote:If 12z hi-res guidance follows on 6z then I wouldn't be surprised to see another upgrade to ENH for portions of Texas later today.
Agreed. 0-1km srh values on the nam look to crank up to near 300 across the eastern half of the metro around 9pm which makes me think the spin up tornado threat may be a bit undersold.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
ENHANCED risk in Central Texas, also includes DFW . . .
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
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Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Still a little dry over DFW, but dewpoints seem to be increasing pretty quickly with 55-60 not too far to the south.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
rwfromkansas wrote:Still a little dry over DFW, but dewpoints seem to be increasing pretty quickly with 55-60 not too far to the south.
Very noticeable increase in humidity just in the last couple hours. Bring on some good storms!! Nothing severe though, just a light and sound show with heavy rain please.
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Seems to be a faint line just south of DFW going north. Maybe that's the warm front bringing humidity. Some kind of boundary I think. I got .80 the other day, but I want more. Just no massive hail. We are in pretty bad drought so need another inch or two to help keep it from getting worse.
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Enhanced risk now includes SW Texas
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
The hail hatched area is a bit odd to me.
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Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
Location: Ponder, TX (all observation posts are this location unless otherwise noted)
- cheezyWXguy
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
HockeyTx82 wrote:The hail hatched area is a bit odd to me.
The fact that it’s shifted left on the 30% area suggests to me that they expect lower coverage and higher intensity before things fill in more
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- Iceresistance
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Re: Texas Spring 2021
Supercell with a hook showing on radar without a T-Storm/Tornado Warning over Brady, TX
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Spring 2021
Iceresistance wrote:Supercell with a hook showing on radar without a T-Storm/Tornado Warning over Brady, TX
Looks to be making a right turn along the warm front. That area may have locally enhanced low level flow supportive of a tornado.
1 likes
Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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