Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
6SpeedTA95
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1206
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#201 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:45 pm

Dryline right over I35 right now.
0 likes   

6SpeedTA95
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1206
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#202 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:46 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
6SpeedTA95 wrote:Everyone in Missouri needs to be on alert, this could get bad for them late this evening and into the overnight hours.


Very true, and nocturnal outbreaks can be devastating.

Does Tulsa have good coverage?

OKC >*

Tulsa channel 8 is decent. I'm streaming OKC right now though they're the best on the planet.
0 likes   


CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#204 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:46 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:Dryline right over I35 right now.


Yep, looks like OKC should be all clear soon...but eastern OK/KS will be going into big time storms...
0 likes   

dtrain44
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 141
Joined: Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:45 am
Location: Norman, OK

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#205 Postby dtrain44 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:47 pm

Tulsa has pretty good TV mets and does pretty well to let people know when to be serious. It helps that things are kicking off around news time, so the word will get out pretty quickly. Tulsa has some good radio outlets as well. Channel 6 is pretty good in T-Town as well: for a while, they had the three best mets in town.
0 likes   

6SpeedTA95
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1206
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Oklahoma
Contact:

#206 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:47 pm

Cells starting to go up fast south and east of the OKC area. That area has not had the mixing the rest of the area has had, I would expect anything that goes up to become severe very quickly.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re:

#207 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:49 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:Cells starting to go up fast south and east of the OKC area. That area has not had the mixing the rest of the area has had, I would expect anything that goes up to become severe very quickly.


I'd say along a line from Sherman to Muskogee could be a big threat in the next little while...
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#208 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:51 pm

TORNADO WARNING
ARC053-069-085-119-125-172230-
/O.NEW.KLZK.TO.W.0031.071017T2148Z-071017T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
448 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN GRANT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL LONOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
WESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 446 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SHERIDAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WHITE HALL AROUND 500 PM CDT...
PINE BLUFF ARSENAL AROUND 505 PM CDT...
REDFIELD AROUND 510 PM CDT...

&&

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN LITTLE ROCK.

LAT...LON 3460 9225 3449 9186 3409 9204 3415 9248
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 209DEG 40KT 3421 9225

$$


56

Headed for Pine Bluff...
0 likes   

6SpeedTA95
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1206
Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
Location: Oklahoma
Contact:

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#209 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:53 pm

Sun's out right now.
0 likes   

User avatar
HarlequinBoy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1400
Age: 34
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
Location: Memphis

#210 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:56 pm

I don't think any AR stations are streaming?

I was watching a KS City one earlier for the Warrensurg area storm. She wasn't very good, IMO.
0 likes   

User avatar
HarlequinBoy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1400
Age: 34
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
Location: Memphis

#211 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Oct 17, 2007 4:58 pm

Tornado Warning (SE LA)
Livingston
St. Helena
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

#212 Postby RL3AO » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:01 pm

8 tornado warnings in 5 states (MO, IN, LA, KS, AR)
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#213 Postby Bunkertor » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:01 pm

6SpeedTA95 wrote:Dryline right over I35 right now.


What does I-35 mean ? Interstate ?
0 likes   

User avatar
HarlequinBoy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1400
Age: 34
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
Location: Memphis

#214 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:02 pm

Tornado Warning (SE OK Storm)
Eastern Choctaw
Central Pushmataha

Tornado Warning (NE TX Storm)
Northern Nacogdoches
Southern Rusk

Tornado Warning (Another SE LA Storm)
St. Tammany
Washington
Last edited by HarlequinBoy on Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:13 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#215 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:08 pm

Bunkertor wrote:
6SpeedTA95 wrote:Dryline right over I35 right now.


What does I-35 mean ? Interstate ?


Yep Interstate.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#216 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:09 pm

Tornado reported near Hampton, AR at 4:46 pm
0 likes   

User avatar
HarlequinBoy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1400
Age: 34
Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
Location: Memphis

#217 Postby HarlequinBoy » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:12 pm

Tornado Warning (Southern AR Storm.. same storm that spawned the tornado mentioned above)
Northwest Bradley County
Cleveland County

Tornado Warning (SW MO Storm)
Barry
SE Newton

Tornado Warning (SE OK Storm)
West McCurtain County
Last edited by HarlequinBoy on Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Bunkertor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3397
Joined: Tue May 09, 2006 3:48 pm

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#218 Postby Bunkertor » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:15 pm

Thing picking up as i see - does anyone have a streaming summary available...
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains?

#219 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:19 pm

Bunkertor wrote:Thing picking up as i see - does anyone have a streaming summary available...


Can't find any at the moment.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#220 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Oct 17, 2007 5:20 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2097
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0515 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN LA...WRN MS...ERN AR AND FAR SWRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 172215Z - 180015Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND REDEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING
WITH A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED.

SURFACE MAP SHOWS DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER 70S HAVE SPREAD AS FAR N
AS SWRN TN...WITH MID 70S ACROSS SRN LA. DEEP MOIST PROFILES ARE IN
PLACE...WITH 20Z LZK SOUNDING SHOWING LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
DESPITE COOL TEMPERATURES ONLY IN THE LOWER 70S F. AREA VAD WIND
PROFILES INDICATE WIND SHEAR IS INCREASING AS UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS
EWD...WITH EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES NOW OVER 200 M2/S2 INTO WRN MS.

A PERSISTENT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 40-50 KT ALONG WITH FAVORABLE
VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A
FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES THE MAIN THREAT.

..JEWELL.. 10/17/2007


ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...

30659231 34509156 35429111 35789080 35929014 35848938
35478891 34718906 32368944 30878970 30148974 30049003
29979055 30019157
0 likes   


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: IamKelleyP and 17 guests