Texas Summer-2015

[Ntxw]

DFW's dewpoint (and much of the eastern half the state) has gone up the past 24 hours. This means DFW will probably miss 100 again though today will feel worse with the higher humidity.

Well I was wrong here, it finally happened. DFW hit 100!

1906 and 1973 stands alone

[Tireman4]

We are 97...goodness me...when is the Fall coming...ughh.

[aggiecutter]

An early August cold front is on the way:

[vbhoutex]

We are 97...goodness me...when is the Fall coming...ughh.

Not soon enough!! 102f at my house for the 2nd day in a row. I have hit 100f or higher for 4 of 5 days now and the other one was 99f. Hoping for a pattern change to at least cool the temperature inot the 90s again. No rain for 22 days in a row either. Having to run sprinklers more than their regular schedule. ugh!! Now tell me about that cold front Aggiecutter. I think if we get any of it it will be a glancing blow from outflow boundaries if anything, at least in SE TX.

[vbhoutex]

We are 97...goodness me...when is the Fall coming...ughh.

Not soon enough!! 102f at my house for the 2nd day in a row. I have hit 100f or higher for 4 of 5 days now and the other one was 99f. Hoping for a pattern change to at least cool the temperature into the 90s again. No rain for 22 days in a row either. Having to run sprinklers more than their regular schedule. ugh!! Now tell me about that cold front Aggiecutter. I think if we get any of it it will be a glancing blow from outflow boundaries if anything, at least in SE TX.

[aggiecutter]

The EURO and GFS have been consistent with upcoming pattern change. There will be some relief at the end of this week. The following week will begin the wholesale pattern change in North America, which will be in line with that of a strong El-Nino:

[Tireman4]

The EURO and GFS have been consistent with upcoming pattern change. There will be some relief at the end of this week. The following week will begin the wholesale pattern change in North America, which will be in line with that of a strong El-Nino:

The r word.....RAIN!!!

[gpsnowman]

My goodness, I get back from Mexico where it never got above 75 degrees the entire trip with lows in the 50's only to start reading about an early August cold front with rain possible. Loving it. I thought for sure there would be more than 1 100 degree day in DFW while vacationing. Long live the "little boy"!!!!

[aggiecutter]

And a response from wxman57's spokesperson:

[weatherdude1108]

We are entering the climatological peak of Texas Summer this week. All we need to do is survive the next few weeks; then we transition to a more hospitable and wetter pattern.

Bob Rose:

Long-term climate records indicate we are entering now what is usually the hottest period of summer. In a typical summer, readings peak across Central Texas sometime in the first or second week of August. Meanwhile, we're also at what is typically the driest point of summer. Climate-wise, the chance for rain is lowest from the last week of July through the second week of August. Of course, this summer's weather so far has been anything but typical, so it will be interesting to see what surprises Mother Nature throws at us in August.

http://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-wea ... ather.aspx

[vbhoutex]

And we hit 100f at the Weatherbug site nearest the house again today. We are up to 5 days of "unofficial" century marks in a row. Still only a spot of a shower here and there. Less than an inch of rain so far during July. Since we are at the usual meteorological peak of summer for our area for about the next two weeks, I am hoping we will see a pattern change to a "cooler" regime soon. Sure am ready for it!!

[Brent]

We are 97...goodness me...when is the Fall coming...ughh.

Not soon enough.

[Ntxw]

That is about as El Nino a winter anomaly map as you can get. The question is, will the EPO be able to save us from the strong Nino overwhelming North America with warmth? Analog composites of moderate to strong ones favor colder Fall, however they diverge on winter as the big ones get warmer and generally torch December. Talking about North America as whole.

[weatherdude1108]

The weather guy on tv, Jim Spencer, here said that Camp Mabry officially got to 100 today. First time this year.

[weatherdude1108]

UGH!

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015/

WITH THE RIDGE AXIS WELL TO OUR WEST BY LATE THE WEEK...AND TROUGHING
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW DEEP N-NE FLOW
OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. MODELS ARE EVEN
SHOWING SOME NE SFC WINDS. WE CANT REALLY CALL THIS A COLD FRONT
HOWEVER AS GUIDANCE IS ACTUALLY BRINGING THE HOTTEST TEMPS OF THE
SUMMER SO FAR AS THEY CALL FOR DEWPOINTS DROPPING INTO THE 50S AND
MAX TEMPS WELL ABOVE 100. THIS SCENARIO SEEMS PLAUSIBLE BUT A LOT
WILL DEPEND ON HOW DRY THE AIR IS ALONG WITH CLOUD COVER ETC.
GETTING ANY SORT OF NORTH WINDS THIS TIME OF YEAR DEFINITELY
BRINGS THE POTENTIAL OF VERY HOT TEMPS. STILL TOO MANY QUESTIONS
IN MY MIND TO TOTALLY BUY OFF ON IT YET...BUT WORTH WATCHING MODEL
TRENDS THE NEXT FEW DAYS TO SEE IF THIS DRY AIR SURGE WILL IN FACT
MAKE IT INTO THE CWA AND CAUSE A BIG JUMP IN TEMPS.

[BrokenGlassRepublicn]

I have reached that point in the summer where I'm no longer in the mood for coffee in the morning because it is so hot.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

99 at TPB weather center but the dewpoint is 'low' at 60F. Normally around low 70's. I think i will see 101 102 by the end of the day here.

[weatherdude1108]

This isn't very encouraging either. Lived here most of my life, and this is still my very LEAST favorite time of year in Texas. I tolerate the heat, but have never enjoyed it.

I think I am starting to see mirages.

Anyway.

6-10 day temps


6-10 day precip


8-14 day temps


8-14 day precip

[gboudx]

Yep, looks like summer. I'm good if I can get a 3 mile jog on a tree covered nature trail without collapsing. What doesn't kill us makes us stronger right?

[Ntxw]

Worst 2 weeks of the year, climo stinks. I will never use the term "cool summer" and Texas in the same sentence again. It is either hot as hell, or it's wet and less hot. -EPO, -AO, -NAO means zilch this time of year (yes all three are present).