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Macrocane
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3581 Postby Macrocane » Wed Jan 13, 2010 2:35 pm

Today the lowest temperature registered in El Salvador was 7.2 °C (45 °F) in Las Pilas (in the northern part of the country), in San Salvador the temperature this morning was 13.9 °C (57 °F). Northerly winds will be on a weakening trend beginning tonight and temperatures have already begun to rise as you can see. The last special report was issued today.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3582 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 13, 2010 4:21 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
506 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

PRC021-047-061-105-127-135-140000-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0007.100113T2106Z-100114T0000Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-COROZAL PR-NARANJITO PR-TOA ALTA PR-GUAYNABO PR-
SAN JUAN PR-
506 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...COROZAL...NARANJITO...TOA ALTA...GUAYNABO AND SAN JUAN

* UNTIL 800 PM AST

* AT 501 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED AREAS OF SHOWERS WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN REDEVELOPING AND SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS
THESE AREAS. ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE NOW NEARING AN INCH OR
MORE WITH THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE
THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.


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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3583 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 13, 2010 5:38 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
629 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

PRC033-051-137-140130-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0008.100113T2229Z-100114T0130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DORADO PR-CATANO PR-TOA BAJA PR-
629 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
DORADO...CATANO AND TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 930 PM AST

* AT 628 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED AREAS OF SHOWERS WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN REDEVELOPING AND SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTH NORTHEAST ACROSS
THESE AREAS. ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE NOW NEARING AN INCH OR
MORE WITH THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE
THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3584 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 13, 2010 7:11 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
800 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

PRC021-047-061-105-127-135-140300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0009.100114T0000Z-100114T0300Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-COROZAL PR-NARANJITO PR-TOA ALTA PR-GUAYNABO PR-
SAN JUAN PR-
800 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS REISSUED AND EXPANDED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...COROZAL...NARANJITO...TOA ALTA...GUAYNABO AND SAN JUAN

* UNTIL 1100 PM AST

* AT 0750 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED AREAS OF SHOWERS WITH VERY
HEAVY RAIN CONTINUING TO REDEVELOP AND SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTH
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREAS. ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE NOW
BETWEEN AN INCH TO TWO INCHES WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE
THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3585 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 13, 2010 8:26 pm

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
913 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

PRC017-054-091-143-145-140415-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0010.100114T0113Z-100114T0415Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
FLORIDA PR-VEGA ALTA PR-BARCELONETA PR-MANATI PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
913 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR RAPID RIVER RISES IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
FLORIDA...VEGA ALTA...BARCELONETA...MANATI AND VEGA BAJA

* UNTIL 1215 AM AST

* AT 908 PM AST DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN
REDEVELOPING AND MOVING ACROSS THESE AREAS. IN ADDITION LOCAL
EMERGENCY MANAGER ALSO REPORTED AREAS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...
AND WITH RIVERS AND STREAMS QUICKLY RISING TO HIGH LEVELS DUE TO
THE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE HEADWATERS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3586 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 13, 2010 8:54 pm

The flood advisories and warnings continue to come out.

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC143-140445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0001.100114T0150Z-100114T0445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
950 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITY

IN PUERTO RICO
VEGA ALTA

* UNTIL 1245 AM AST

* AT 940 PM AST...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIAL FROM VEGA ALTA
REPORTED ROAD 620 COMPLETELY FLOODED DUE TO SURGE OF WATERS FROM RIO
MAVILLA AND RIO CIBUCO. RIO CIBUCO AT ROAD 620 IN CANDELARIA SECTOR
WAS OF OF ITS BANKS. THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THIS MUNICIPALITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.


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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3587 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jan 13, 2010 10:09 pm

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1030 PM AST WED JAN 13 2010

.UPDATE...BUSY NIGHT SHIFT ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WAS OBSERVED SINCE 4PM THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
PUERTO RICO...WHICH PRODUCED SEVERAL URBAN FLOODING...AND SOME
RIVERS WENT NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE MOST AFFECTED AREAS
INCLUDED THE SAN JUAN METROPOLITAN AREA. ANOTHER LINE OF SHOWERS
EXTENDED FEW MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTH COAST OF PUERTO RICO.
MOST LIKELY...THE NORTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL BRING THIS ACTIVITY OVER
THE ALREADY SATURATED AREAS. THEREFORE...EXIST THE POSSIBILITY THAT
THE AREAS ALREADY AFFECTED BY URBAN FLOODING WILL EXPERIENCE MORE
FLOODING IN THESE AREAS OVERNIGHT. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR CONDITIONS ACROSS TJSJ AND TJBQ DUE TO PASSING
SHOWERS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO AT LEAST THROUGH
14/12Z. ELSEWHERE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3588 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 5:46 am

Good morning to all on this rainy thursday in Puerto Rico.Already rainfall records for January have been broken.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
549 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

.SYNOPSIS...THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING
CLOUDY AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY AND
FRIDAY. SLOWLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND AS THIS BOUNDARY LIFT NORTHWARD AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL
ISLANDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT GENERALLY SHOWERY CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
ACROSS MUCH OF PUERTO RICO FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AS THE TAIL
END OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAIN DRAPED NEAR/ACROSS THE
ISLAND. RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO...WHERE THE DAILY RECORD RAINFALL
TOTALS IN SAN JUAN HAVE ALREADY BEEN BROKEN FOR TWO CONSECUTIVE
DAYS (SEE CLIMATE SECTION BELOW). BOTH THE NAM AND GFS HAVE BEEN
FAIRLY CONSISTENT LIFTING THIS BOUNDARY AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS ON
SATURDAY AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...WITH THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXPECTED TO STAY WELL TO
OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...GFS IS HINTING THAT MOISTURE MAY FEED UP INTO
THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OF THIS SECOND FRONT...AND ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS...BRINGING INCREASED SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VI AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...FOCUS FOR THE
NEXT TWO DAYS WILL BE MAINLY LOCALIZED URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING WHICH LIKELY PLAGUE SECTIONS OF NORTHERN PUERTO RICO.

CONDITIONS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS TODAY...AS THEY WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE EAST OF THIS OLD
FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND CONSEQUENTLY ENJOY VERY NICE WEATHER.
HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY BRING SOME RAINFALL TO AT LEAST
THE NORTHERN VI TOMORROW AND SATURDAY...AS IT BEGINS TO SHIFT A
LITTLE FURTHER EASTWARD BEFORE HEADING NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION...MVFR VIS AND CIGS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE DAY AT
JSJ/JBQ TODAY WITH OFF AND ON SHRAS. REST OF THE TAF SITES SHOULD
REMAIN VFR WITH LIMITED SHRA ACTIVITY. TKPK COULD SEE SOME VOLCANIC
ASH AS STEERING WINDS REMAIN FROM THE EAST SOUTHEAST. WILL AWAIT
VIS DATA LATER THIS MORNING TO SEE EXTENT OF ASH PLUME.

&&

.MARINE...ROUGH SEA CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
LOCAL OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY...WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND
SLOWLY DECREASING NORTHERLY SWELLS. INCREASING SEAS ARE EXPECTED
TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS A BATCH OF NORTH NORTHEASTERLY SWELL MOVES
ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES.

&&

.CLIMATE...A RECORD RAINFALL OF 2.56 INCHES FELL AT THE LMM
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO YESTERDAY. THIS BROKE
THE OLD RECORD OF 1.85 SET BACK IN 1959.

AFTER THE THIRD DRIEST DECEMBER ON RECORD...JANUARY 2010 ALREADY
RANKS AMONG THE TOP TEN WETTEST JANUARY ON RECORD WITH NEARLY SIX
INCHES OF RAIN AND COUNTING. JANUARY IS HISTORICALLY THE THIRD
DIREST MONTH OF THE YEAR.

TODAY WILL MARK THE SECOND CONSECUTIVE DAY OF RECORD RAINFALL AT
THE LMM INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN. AS OF 540 AM...A RECORD
1.28 INCHES OF RAIN HAD ALREADY ACCUMULATED AT THE LMM
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN...WITH THE PREVIOUS RECORD BEING
1.13 INCHES SET BACK IN 1996.

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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3589 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 6:55 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
745 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

PRC013-017-027-039-047-051-054-065-081-091-101-135-137-141-143-145-
141445-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0013.100114T1145Z-100114T1445Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-FLORIDA PR-MOROVIS PR-TOA ALTA PR-UTUADO PR-
VEGA ALTA PR-LARES PR-DORADO PR-BARCELONETA PR-CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-
MANATI PR-VEGA BAJA PR-TOA BAJA PR-ARECIBO PR-
745 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...COROZAL...FLORIDA...MOROVIS...TOA ALTA...UTUADO...VEGA
ALTA...LARES...DORADO...BARCELONETA...CAMUY...HATILLO...
MANATI...VEGA BAJA...TOA BAJA AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 1045 AM AST

* AT 740 AM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN IN
THE ADVISORY AREA WITH RAINFALL RATES APPROACHING AN INCH PER HOUR
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE ADVISORY AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3590 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 8:39 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
921 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

PRC021-031-033-061-087-127-137-141645-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-100114T1645Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-GUAYNABO PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-
TOA BAJA PR-
921 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...GUAYNABO...CAROLINA...CATANO...SAN JUAN...LOIZA AND
TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 1245 PM AST

AT 915 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO VERY
HEAVY RAIN IN THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE
INCH PER HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES CAN
BE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND FOR THAT
REASON THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED
UNTIL 1245 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3591 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 10:15 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1037 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

PRC013-017-027-039-047-051-054-065-081-091-101-135-137-141-143-145-
141745-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-100114T1745Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-COROZAL PR-FLORIDA PR-MOROVIS PR-TOA ALTA PR-UTUADO PR-
VEGA ALTA PR-LARES PR-DORADO PR-BARCELONETA PR-CAMUY PR-HATILLO PR-
MANATI PR-VEGA BAJA PR-TOA BAJA PR-ARECIBO PR-
1037 AM AST THU JAN 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...COROZAL...FLORIDA...MOROVIS...TOA ALTA...UTUADO...VEGA
ALTA...LARES...DORADO...BARCELONETA...CAMUY...HATILLO...
MANATI...VEGA BAJA...TOA BAJA AND ARECIBO

* UNTIL 145 PM AST

AT 1030 AM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE RAIN IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE HALF OF AN
INCH PER HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
FOR THAT REASON THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN
EXTENDED UNTIL 145 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3592 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 11:46 am

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1234 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

PRC021-031-033-061-087-127-137-141945-
/O.EXT.TJSJ.FA.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-100114T1945Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-GUAYNABO PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-SAN JUAN PR-LOIZA PR-
TOA BAJA PR-
1234 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS EXTENDED THE

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...GUAYNABO...CAROLINA...CATANO...SAN JUAN...LOIZA AND
TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 345 PM AST

AT 1230 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE RAIN IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF AROUND ONE HALF OF AN
INCH PER HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND
FOR THAT REASON THE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY HAS BEEN
EXTENDED UNTIL 345 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3593 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 12:33 pm

January 2010 breaks rainfall records in San Juan,Puerto Rico

Wow,its only the 14th of January and 2010 has started as a lion in the rainfall stats in Puerto Rico.

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/sju/?n=record100114

A record rainfall of 2.56 inches fell at the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport in San Juan Puerto Rico on January 13, 2010. This broke the old record of 1.85 inches set back in 1959. Additionally, as of 7 am AST January 14, 2010, a record 2.15 inches of rain had already accumulated at the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport. This surpasses the old record rainfall total of 1.13 inches set back in 1996.

Image

After the 3rd driest December on record, January 2010 is shaping up to be one of the wettest Januaries ever in San Juan. As of 7 am AST January 14th, 6.63 inches of rain had already accumulated at the Luis Muñoz Marin International Airport so far this month. This represents the 5th wettest January on record, and is less than one inch away from the all time record of 7.60 inches which fell back in 1977.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather thread

#3594 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 12:57 pm

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC021-033-061-127-137-142045-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0002.100114T1747Z-100114T2045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
147 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON
GUAYNABO
CATANO
SAN JUAN
TOA BAJA

* UNTIL 445 PM AST

* AT 145 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THESE MUNICIPALITIES. ALSO EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIAL REPORTED FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING ACROSS SECTOR OF JUANA
MATOS IN CATANO. AT LEAST THROUGH 445 PM AST...RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE AREAS.
THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.


Image
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica -January rainfall record in PR

#3595 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 2:30 pm

Afternoon Discussion by San Juan NWS

The rainy,fresh breezes winter-like weather will continue in Puerto Rico,but will not reach the rest of the Eastern Caribbean islands.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
252 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...INCREASING THE LOCAL PRESSURE
GRADIENT...AS WELL AS FORCING AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE
REST OF THE LOCAL WATERS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS CONTINUED TO AFFECT THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
MORE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF
PUERTO RICO. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO A MORE EASTERLY
COMPONENT LATER TONIGHT THEREFORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER WILL
AFFECT THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT ISLANDS
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

AN OLD COLD FRONT NORTH OF THE ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE
SOUTHWARD AS A STRONGER POLAR SURGE PROGRESSES ACROSS THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC AND REINFORCES THE OLD BOUNDARY. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AND FAIRLY INTACT THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
SATURDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO
INDUCE INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MVFR VIS AND CIGS FOR THE REST OF
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS TJSJ...TIST...TJPS AND TJBQ. THE
REST OF THE TAF SITES SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY VFR WITH LIMITED PERIODS
OF MVFR IN LIGHT SHRA. TJSJ 12Z SOUNDING INDICATED A LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW ALL THE WAY FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 15K
FEET...BECOMING FROM THE WEST AND STRONGER ALOFT.


&&

.MARINE...ALTHOUGH CHOPPY SEAS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
AT LEAST THE INCOMING WEEKEND...THE CURRENT CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
NEAR SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS AND ALL PASSAGES WILL BE BELOW SCA
CRITERIA. SCA WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFF SHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.

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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - January rainfall record in PR

#3596 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 3:57 pm

Flash Flood Watch issued for northern half of Puerto Rico

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
447 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

PRZ001-002-004>006-008>010-150900-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0001.100114T2047Z-100115T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-NORTH CENTRAL-
CENTRAL INTERIOR-NORTHWEST-WESTERN INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...
DORADO...COAMO...COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...
AGUADILLA...ISABELA...HATILLO...QUEBRADILLAS...UTUADO...
SABANA GRANDE...LARES...ADJUNTAS...HORMIGUEROS...MOCA...AGUADA...
LUYANDO
447 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO
RICO...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CENTRAL
INTERIOR...EASTERN INTERIOR...MAYAGUEZ AND VICINITY...NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...NORTHWEST...SAN JUAN AND VICINITY AND
WESTERN INTERIOR.

* THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING

* CONSIDERABLE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH
HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE REGION WILL COMBINE WITH
DIURNAL AND LOCAL EFFECTS...AND CONTINUE TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF AND EAST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. ALTHOUGH
CONTINUOUS HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED...LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE AREA WILL CAUSE SHOWERS TO FORM IN THE
MOIST AIR...AND WITH LIGHT LOWER LEVEL WINDS...THESE SHOWERS
WILL MOVE SLOWLY IF AT ALL...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
PUERTO RICO.


* WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS AND RIVERS RUNNING AT HIGH
LEVELS...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL ONLY AGGRAVATE THE
SITUATION AND LEAD TO FLOODING OF ROADS...LOW LYING AREAS...
WITH CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR RIVERS AND STREAMS TO QUICKLY COME
OUT OF THEIR BANKS OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. IN ADDITION
THE HEAVY RAIN COULD EVENTUALLY CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR YOUR
CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - January rainfall record in PR

#3597 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 5:56 pm

FLASH FLOOD WARNING
PRC029-037-053-085-089-103-119-150045-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.W.0003.100114T2243Z-100115T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
643 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE EL YUNQUE REGION INCLUDING...THE
FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES

IN PUERTO RICO
LAS PIEDRAS
LUQUILLO
NAGUABO
CEIBA
CANOVANAS
FAJARDO
RIO GRANDE

* UNTIL 845 PM AST

* AT 640 PM AST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE EL YUNQUE REGION. RADAR ESTIMATES
SHOW OVER 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO HAVE FALLEN TODAY OVER
THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS...WITH SEVERAL USGS RIVER GAGES INDICATING
RIVER FLOODING OCCURRING ON THE LOWER SLOPES. EMERGENCY OFFICIALS
HAVE REPORTED FLOODING ON ROADS 956 IN RIO GRANDE AND HIGHWAY 53 IN
FAJARDO...HOWEVER ALL RIVERS AND LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD BE
CONSIDERED LIKELY TO FLOOD THIS EVENING.

MUDSLIDES WILL BECOME A CONCERN ACROSS THESE AREAS DUE TO THE LONG
DURATION OF THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID STEEP TERRAIN AND NEVER TRY
TO CROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 1826 6591 1834 6590 1835 6589 1836 6565
1822 6568

$$

RA

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SANJUAN
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather Thread

#3598 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jan 14, 2010 9:38 pm

Updated night Discussion by NWS of San Juan

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1029 PM AST THU JAN 14 2010

.UPDATE...
AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST NORTH OF THE ISLANDS CONTINUED TO
DRIFT SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST ATLANTIC.
THIS IS PUSHING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE ALONG A FRONTAL SHEAR
LINE...ACROSS THE PUERTO RICO AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS...WITH
A COOL LOW LEVEL NORTHEAST WIND FLOW NOW PREVAILING ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN. LATEST GFS MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO
SUGGEST THAT THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED CLOUDINESS WILL
STALL AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT
24-36 HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE WHILE LIFTING BACK TOWARDS
THE NORTH. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS
ALONG BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE NORTHERN VIRGIN
ISLANDS...WITH CONTINUED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE
ISLANDS. THE COOL NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW...ALONG LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE WILL MAINTAIN FAIRLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE AREA
AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY. LATEST UPPER AIR SOUNDING WAS ALSO MOIST
AND CAPPED BELOW 600 MILLIBARS...AND DRY AND STABLE ABOVE.

EXPECT STRATIFORM CLOUDINESS TO PREVAIL WITH PREVAILING LIGHT
RAIN...AND INTERMITTENT PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN SOME AREAS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO
RICO...AND IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
IN ADDITION RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN AT HIGH LEVELS ACROSS MUCH
OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO. THIS ALONG WITH SATURATED
SOILS WILL LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP
TERRAIN. THEREFORE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
AT LEAST FRIDAY MORNING. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE TO INHERITED
FORECAST GRIDS..WHICH HAD GOOD HANDLE ON PRESENT AND EXPECTED
CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...REVAILING IFR CONDITIONS IN -RA TO PERSIST AT TJSJ...TJNR
AND TJBQ THROUGH NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL PICK UP TOMORROW AT
TJBQ TO THE 20KT RANGE REMAINING OUT OF THE NE. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
WITH ABOUT 10-15 KT OF LLWS POSSIBLE NEAR NORTHERN SLOPES OF PR NEXT
12 HOURS. PASSING LOW SCUD LIKE CLDS AND RA WILL ALSO RESTRICT
OVR AND AROUND THE MOUNTAIN TOPS OF PR. VA TO REMAIN WELL TO THE
EAST OF LOCAL AREA.

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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather Thread

#3599 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jan 15, 2010 8:24 am

Morning discussion by San Juan NWS

Good morning to all.The rainy and windy conditions will continue today in Puerto Rico.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
326 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2010

.SYNOPSIS...STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS PUERTO RICO WILL
MAINTAIN CLOUDY AND SHOWERY CONDITIONS THROUGH TONIGHT. SLOWLY
IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SAT AND SUN AS FRONT DISSIPATES
AND MID-UPPER LVL RIDGING BUILDS OVERHEAD.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STATIONARY FRONT STUCK ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND
STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL GUARANTEE ANOTHER CLOUDY AND
SHOWERY DAY ACROSS MUCH OF PR BUT ESPECIALLY SO FOR AREAS NORTH OF
THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL. THE PERSISTENT 20-25 KT NE UPSLOPE FLOW
SHOULD ENHANCE PRECIP AMTS ALG THE NORTHERN SLOPES TODAY WHILE
ALSO RESULTING IN ECHO TRAINING. THE 00Z NAM MODEL HAS A MORE
BULLISH SCENARIO INDICATING WIDESPREAD 1-3 INCH TOTALS ACROSS MUCH
OF PR AS IT SHOWS A WAVE RIDING WWD ALG THE FRONT. ATTM...NOT
QUITE CONFIDENT ON THIS SOLUTION AS THE MODEL OVERFORECASTED
TOO MUCH RAINFALL YESTERDAY FOR AREAS THAT DID NOT SEE MUCH.
BELIEVE WILL SEE LIGHTER AMTS WITH BASIN AVG AMTS BETWEEN HALF AND
ONE INCH. WHILE IT IS OBVIOUS THAT IT WILL BE CLOUDY AND SHOWERY
TODAY AM NOT ALL THAT CONFIDENT IN THE HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING
POTENTIAL. DUE TO SWOLLEN RIVERS AND SATURATED CONDITIONS WILL
EXTEND WATCH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THINGS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE SOMEWHAT ON SAT AS MODELS SHOW NWD
AMPLIFICATION OF MID-UPPER LEVEL HIGH ACROSS THE AREA RESULTING IN
DRIER CONDITIONS. OF NOTE IS THE 15/00Z ECMWF WHICH KEEPS THE
SHOWERY CONDITIONS THROUGH SAT NIGHT (A DAY AND HALF LONGER) THAN
THE REST OF THE GUIDANCE. BY TUE...ALL GUIDANCE SHOWS STRONG
CAPPING THAT SHOULD INHIBIT CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
TJSJ...TJBQ AND TIST THROUGH AT LEAST 15/23Z...WITH TEMPORARY IFR
CONDS POSSIBLE. PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS REMAINDER
OF TAF SITES...WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS
TNCM...TISX...TJPS AND TJMZ THROUGH 15/23Z. VA EMISSIONS CONTINUING
FROM MONTSERRAT BUT WILL REMAIN S OF LOCAL TAF SITES AS FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ENE FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.


&&

.MARINE...SEAS OF 2.3 METERS (8FT) BEING OBSERVED AT BUOY 41043
EARLY THIS MORNING WHILE LATEST NAH GUIDANCE INDICATES SEAS
INCREASING UP 10 FT ACROSS ATLC WATERS DUE TO A COMBINATION OF
MODERATE LONG PERIOD NNE SWELLS AND 8 FT NE WIND WAVES. CONDITIONS
WILL REMAIN ROUGH THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AND IT IS LIKELY THAT
SCA MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDED FURTHER OUT.
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Re: Caribbean - Centralamerica - Tropical Weather Thread

#3600 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jan 15, 2010 9:57 am

FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1033 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2010

PRC143-145-152030-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.W.0002.100115T1433Z-100115T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VEGA ALTA PR-VEGA BAJA PR-
1033 AM AST FRI JAN 15 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
VEGA ALTA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...
VEGA BAJA MUNICIPALITY IN PUERTO RICO...

* UNTIL 430 PM AST FRIDAY

* AT 1025 AM AST...AN EMERGENCY MANAGER IN VEGA ALTA REPORTED THAT
ROAD 620 FROM MARICAO TO FATIMA WAS IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING. IN
ADDITION...THE EMERGENCY MANAGER ALSO REPORTED THE RIO CIBUCO AND
RIO MAVILLA WAS APPROACHING BANKFULL...AND DUE TO CONTINUED
PERIODS OF MODERATE RAINFALL EXPECTED DURING THE REST OF THIS
MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
METEOROLOGISTS ARE FORECASTING THE RIVERS TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. RESIDENTS AND MOTORISTS NEAR
THESE RIVERS AND THEIR TRIBUTARIES SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
FLOODING THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS AS
AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 430
PM AST.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.
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