HERE WE GO!!!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0527
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/WRN KS
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
VALID 141844Z - 141945Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
THE THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANTLY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS IS INCREASING OVER
PARTS OF SWRN KS INCLUDING THE DODGE CITY AREA. INFLOW INTO DISCRETE
SUPERCELLS EVOLVING OVER MEADE AND GRAY/FORD COUNTIES IS LIKELY
BECOMING SURFACE BASED PER MODIFIED RUC/OBSERVED SOUNDINGS. SBCAPE
VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG AMIDST STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
RAPID INTENSIFICATION WITH THESE STORMS. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR --
0-1 KM SRH OF 297 M2/S2 PER HAVILAND KS PROFILER THAT ALSO INDICATES
A LARGE AMOUNT OF STREAMWISE VORTICITY CONCENTRATED IN THE LOWEST
0.5 KM AGL -- COULD SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. ADDITIONAL
CLUSTERS OF STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS FARTHER NORTH ACROSS THE WW
AREA WILL POSE MAINLY A LARGE/VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT AND PERHAPS A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES BEFORE A MORE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT FOR SFC-BASED SUPERCELLS ARRIVES WITHIN A FEW HOURS.
..COHEN.. 04/14/2012
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...
LAT...LON 39769757 38909763 38019832 37219905 37100046 38360029
39739966 39959850 39769757
Plains Tornado Outbreak 4/14-15
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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brunota2003
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- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
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Dodge City, KS NWS is under a tornado warning, cell is right ontop of them pretty much:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
148 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
* UNTIL 215 PM CDT
* AT 146 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 3 MILES
WEST OF DODGE CITY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FT. DODGE AND WRIGHT AND DODGE CITY.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
148 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
* UNTIL 215 PM CDT
* AT 146 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 3 MILES
WEST OF DODGE CITY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FT. DODGE AND WRIGHT AND DODGE CITY.
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Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
The cell in Clark County is hooking up...
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NOTICE: I cannot give an expert analysis. Most of my "observations" are made visually with the help of only vital information provided by public advisories.
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brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
Cells are firing up south of the Oklahoma panhandle and moving northward.
Last edited by brunota2003 on Sat Apr 14, 2012 2:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
http://www.ksn.com/content/weather/liveradar.aspx
Coverage from Wichita covering Kansas - they were LEGENDARY during the Greensburg outbreak...
Coverage from Wichita covering Kansas - they were LEGENDARY during the Greensburg outbreak...
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brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
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Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
(3:03 PM) DDC continues Tornado Warning for Clark [KS] till 2:15 PM CDT ...AT 156 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF ACRES. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
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Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
Nuckolls County storm is wrapping up as well!
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NOTICE: I cannot give an expert analysis. Most of my "observations" are made visually with the help of only vital information provided by public advisories.
-
brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
Dodge City cell:
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
206 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
KSC057-083-141915-
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120414T1915Z/
HODGEMAN KS-FORD KS-
206 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL FORD AND
SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...
AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 6 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WRIGHT. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN FORD AND SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES.
THE TORNADO THREAT NO LONGER APPLIES TO DODGE CITY. AREAS NORTH OF
WRIGHT ARE AT HIGHEST RISK.
Well, that's one way to let us know they are safe.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
206 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
KSC057-083-141915-
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120414T1915Z/
HODGEMAN KS-FORD KS-
206 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL FORD AND
SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...
AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A POSSIBLE TORNADO 6 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WRIGHT. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. LARGE
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN FORD AND SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES.
THE TORNADO THREAT NO LONGER APPLIES TO DODGE CITY. AREAS NORTH OF
WRIGHT ARE AT HIGHEST RISK.
Well, that's one way to let us know they are safe.
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Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Spann says STP now up to 7 in SW Oklahoma. Worried about that area for later and as those potential storms move towards OKC.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
WWUS53 KDDC 141912
SVSDDC
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
212 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
KSC057-083-141915-
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120414T1915Z/
HODGEMAN KS-FORD KS-
212 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL FORD AND
SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...
AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN FORD AND SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES.
DOPPLER RADAR CONFIRMS A TORNADO JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY 283
ALONG THE FORD AND HODGEMAN COUNTY LINE. ADDITIONAL PUBLIC REPORTS
OF TORNADO SIGHTINGS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT
WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA. GO TO A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR!
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3785 10017 3805 10007 3804 9957 3802 9957
3780 9986
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 227DEG 37KT 3793 9984
HAIL 2.75IN
$$
RUSSELL
SVSDDC
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
212 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
KSC057-083-141915-
/O.CON.KDDC.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-120414T1915Z/
HODGEMAN KS-FORD KS-
212 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH CENTRAL FORD AND
SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM CDT...
AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY
STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE IS ALSO EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHERN FORD AND SOUTHERN HODGEMAN COUNTIES.
DOPPLER RADAR CONFIRMS A TORNADO JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY 283
ALONG THE FORD AND HODGEMAN COUNTY LINE. ADDITIONAL PUBLIC REPORTS
OF TORNADO SIGHTINGS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT
WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA. GO TO A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR!
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3785 10017 3805 10007 3804 9957 3802 9957
3780 9986
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 227DEG 37KT 3793 9984
HAIL 2.75IN
$$
RUSSELL
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Texas Snowman
- Storm2k Moderator
- Posts: 6179
- Joined: Fri Jan 25, 2008 11:29 am
- Location: Denison, Texas
Accuweather reporting confirmed tornado on ground south of Dodge City.
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The above post and any post by Texas Snowman is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
-
Dave
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 13442
- Age: 74
- Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:57 pm
- Location: Milan Indiana
- Contact:
(3:17 PM) NWS DODGE CITY KS - DDC issues Tornado Warning for Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Pawnee [KS] till 2:45 PM CDT ...* AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
WFUS53 KDDC 141916
TORDDC
KSC047-057-083-145-141945-
/O.NEW.KDDC.TO.W.0004.120414T1916Z-120414T1945Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
216 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WEST CENTRAL PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 245 PM CDT
* AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANSTON...GRAY AND BURDETT.
DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3782 9983 3795 9999 3826 9970 3827 9951
3815 9934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 227DEG 37KT 3795 9982
HAIL <.50IN
$$
RUSSELL
TORDDC
KSC047-057-083-145-141945-
/O.NEW.KDDC.TO.W.0004.120414T1916Z-120414T1945Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
216 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
EASTERN HODGEMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST KANSAS...
WEST CENTRAL PAWNEE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 245 PM CDT
* AT 210 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
VERY STRONG ROTATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CONFIRMED TORNADO 8 MILES
NORTHWEST OF SPEARVILLE. THIS TORNADIC STORM WAS MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HANSTON...GRAY AND BURDETT.
DOPPLER RADAR AS WELL AS PUBLIC SIGHTING OF TORNADOS HAVE CONFIRMED
A LONG TRACK TORNADO IS IN PROGRESS. THOSE NEAR HANSTON AND BURDETT
AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST RURAL AREAS OF HODGEMAN COUNTY SHOULD TAKE
TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS CONFIRMED WITH THIS STORM. TAKE COVER NOW.
MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO
THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.
&&
LAT...LON 3782 9983 3795 9999 3826 9970 3827 9951
3815 9934
TIME...MOT...LOC 1914Z 227DEG 37KT 3795 9982
HAIL <.50IN
$$
RUSSELL
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: Plains Tornado Outbreak: High Risk on 4/14-15 at OK,KS,NEB
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0528
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN THROUGH ERN NEB AND SWRN IA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
VALID 141915Z - 142045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...AND VERY
LARGE HAIL WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING OVER ERN AND SRN NEB.
SEVERE THREAT IS BEGINNING TO SHIFT INTO SWRN IA...AND WW MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER EAST OR ANOTHER WW MIGHT BE ISSUED.
PRIMARY TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE EVOLVING OVER EXTREME SRN NEB
NEXT COUPLE HOURS...AS SFC BASED SUPERCELLS LIFT NORTH INTO NEB
COUNTIES BORDERING THE KS STATE LINE. LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS THE LLJ SHIFTS NWD DURING THE EVENING. THE
SUPERCELL IN NERN NEB HAS BEEN MAINLY A HAIL PRODUCER...BUT MAY NOT
BE FAR FROM SURFACE BASED SUGGESTING A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
OTHER NEAR SFC BASED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING FARTHER EAST INTO SWRN
IA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EAST OF THETA-E AXIS AND PRIMARY LLJ AND IS
ALSO CLOSE TO THE ERN EDGE OF THE STRONGER SFC BASED INSTABILITY.
ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES INTO THE EVENING AS THE LLJ DEVELOPS NEWD AND BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE INCREASES.
..DIAL.. 04/14/2012
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...GID...
LAT...LON 42159628 41819460 41069442 40079617 40109913 41439774
42159628
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CDT SAT APR 14 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SRN THROUGH ERN NEB AND SWRN IA
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 165...
VALID 141915Z - 142045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 165 CONTINUES.
THREAT FOR TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...AND VERY
LARGE HAIL WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING OVER ERN AND SRN NEB.
SEVERE THREAT IS BEGINNING TO SHIFT INTO SWRN IA...AND WW MAY NEED
TO BE EXTENDED FARTHER EAST OR ANOTHER WW MIGHT BE ISSUED.
PRIMARY TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO BE EVOLVING OVER EXTREME SRN NEB
NEXT COUPLE HOURS...AS SFC BASED SUPERCELLS LIFT NORTH INTO NEB
COUNTIES BORDERING THE KS STATE LINE. LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS THE LLJ SHIFTS NWD DURING THE EVENING. THE
SUPERCELL IN NERN NEB HAS BEEN MAINLY A HAIL PRODUCER...BUT MAY NOT
BE FAR FROM SURFACE BASED SUGGESTING A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
OTHER NEAR SFC BASED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING FARTHER EAST INTO SWRN
IA. THIS ACTIVITY IS EAST OF THETA-E AXIS AND PRIMARY LLJ AND IS
ALSO CLOSE TO THE ERN EDGE OF THE STRONGER SFC BASED INSTABILITY.
ENVIRONMENTAL PARAMETERS SHOULD GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES INTO THE EVENING AS THE LLJ DEVELOPS NEWD AND BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE INCREASES.
..DIAL.. 04/14/2012
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...GID...
LAT...LON 42159628 41819460 41069442 40079617 40109913 41439774
42159628
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