Texas Fall 2023
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
The Daily SOI has been negative since August 20th, the atmosphere is slowly coupling towards El Nino
3 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- jasons2k
- Storm2k Executive
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- Location: The Woodlands, TX
Texas Fall 2023
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
413 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2023
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...
At 413 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near The Woodlands, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include... Southwestern Conroe, Humble, Tomball, Jersey Village, Pinehurst, Aldine, Kingwood, Spring Branch North, The Woodlands, Greater Greenspoint, Spring, Spring Branch West, northwestern Northside / Northline, Oak Ridge North, Shenandoah, Magnolia, Stagecoach, Woodloch, Bush Intercontinental Airport, and The Woodlands Pavillion.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&

National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
413 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2023
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...
At 413 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near The Woodlands, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include... Southwestern Conroe, Humble, Tomball, Jersey Village, Pinehurst, Aldine, Kingwood, Spring Branch North, The Woodlands, Greater Greenspoint, Spring, Spring Branch West, northwestern Northside / Northline, Oak Ridge North, Shenandoah, Magnolia, Stagecoach, Woodloch, Bush Intercontinental Airport, and The Woodlands Pavillion.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
&&

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- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 152
- Joined: Tue Sep 05, 2023 10:04 pm
- Location: Arlington, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2023
Nice little isolated shower just tracked over NW Arlington. Probably the hardest it's rained all week although it only lasted a few minutes.
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- South Texas Storms
- Professional-Met
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- Location: Houston, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2023
Safe to say SA and DFW missed out on most of the rainfall with this event. Unfortunately that happens sometimes, and it especially sucks during bad droughts.
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- bubba hotep
- S2K Supporter
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- Location: Collin County Texas
Re: Texas Fall 2023
I'm hugging the Euro


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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
bubba hotep wrote:I'm hugging the Euro
https://m1o.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2023091612/240/qpf_acc-imp.us_sc.png
That looks a lot better than I expected. Earlier Tulsa was downplaying the wet pattern
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#neversummer
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
I had to go almost to Canada to find this! Hopefully, I brought back plenty for this winter.


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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
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- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Looks like we got .38 today around 4 when I was on a plane so got some rain today again.
At least about 1.60 total IMBY.
At least about 1.60 total IMBY.
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Well I guess that's it for at least a week. EWX discussion mentions the subtropical high returning though not as hot as before, could be back at least in the mid 90s by next weekend. 

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Resident Rain Miser
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
I am a weather hobbyist living 3.5 miles south of Downtown Austin and in no way or fashion should anything I say concerning forecasts be taken seriously. Please check your local NWS for accurate weather forecasting and conditions.
- bubba hotep
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- Joined: Wed Dec 28, 2016 1:00 am
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
JDawg512 wrote:Well I guess that's it for at least a week. EWX discussion mentions the subtropical high returning though not as hot as before, could be back at least in the mid 90s by next weekend.
Maybe even two weeks.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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- Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK
Re: Texas Fall 2023
bubba hotep wrote:https://www.spc.noaa.gov/public/state/images/TX_swody3.png
Is there a link for the other outlooks from the SPC in this format? Like, Wind, Hail, and Tornado threats?
0 likes
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
- CaptinCrunch
- S2K Supporter
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- Joined: Mon Nov 03, 2003 4:33 pm
- Location: Kennedale, TX (Tarrant Co.)
Re: Texas Fall 2023
Cpv17 wrote:JDawg512 wrote:Well I guess that's it for at least a week. EWX discussion mentions the subtropical high returning though not as hot as before, could be back at least in the mid 90s by next weekend.
Maybe even two weeks.
I'm expecting temps to be around normal to slighlty above for the rest of September. Normal high/lows for mid Sept is still around 90/66 and this weeks forecast is 92/72

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- Category 5
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- Location: Northwest Austin/Cedar Park, TX
Re: Texas Fall 2023
I was in Lubbock from Friday afternoon to Sunday morning. I hit a true GULLY WASHER north of Lampasas on Friday morning on my way up to Lubbock. I saw what was coming up a head with the line of scud clouds and slowed my speed. There were a couple cars passing me, then suddenly the rain started coming down in huge drops (almost like hail). The dropps got more intense until it was blinding. I put on my hazards, then the cars that passed me slowed down and put on their hazards. It was blinding even with the fast wipers going! I almost pulled over, but dropped to 40mph on a 75mph road. There were small torrents at the sides of the road, with brown grass from the heat and drought trying to soak it in.
Early Saturday morning around 3am, they got a complex of storms over my hotel. Caused some nuisance flooding. A local up there said it had rained every day for the last however many days(?). Didn't rain on Saturday. But there was standing water in places on several parts of the drive from Winters to Lubbock. On the drive back, that same area had so many rain lilies popping up at the based of the road cuts. Those rain lilly seeds are amazing how they can survive under the harshest heat and drought. Then when conditions are right, they sprout up. Tough plants!
I checked my gauge at home when I got back and I measured 1.5" if I did it right. The CoCoRaHS gauge 1" tube overflowed into the overflow tube. I emptied the inch, and poured what was in the overflow tube into the 1" tube through the funnel that is on there. That measured 0.5". So I THINK I got 1.5" from this event. Even though I've tried to keep it watered, it looks so much more healthy and lush now. The dry spots are gone and getting green. It was 67 this morning. I'll take it!
Early Saturday morning around 3am, they got a complex of storms over my hotel. Caused some nuisance flooding. A local up there said it had rained every day for the last however many days(?). Didn't rain on Saturday. But there was standing water in places on several parts of the drive from Winters to Lubbock. On the drive back, that same area had so many rain lilies popping up at the based of the road cuts. Those rain lilly seeds are amazing how they can survive under the harshest heat and drought. Then when conditions are right, they sprout up. Tough plants!
I checked my gauge at home when I got back and I measured 1.5" if I did it right. The CoCoRaHS gauge 1" tube overflowed into the overflow tube. I emptied the inch, and poured what was in the overflow tube into the 1" tube through the funnel that is on there. That measured 0.5". So I THINK I got 1.5" from this event. Even though I've tried to keep it watered, it looks so much more healthy and lush now. The dry spots are gone and getting green. It was 67 this morning. I'll take it!

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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Texas Fall 2023
Dewpoints in the 40's for most of DFW now, heat indexes 3 to 4 degrees below actual temperature. 90 did not feel hot in the shade.
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- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Speaking of Lubbock, some of my wife's relatives there said they got almost 5 inches of rain this last week. That's a ton of rain for that region of the South Plains, close to a third of their annual rainfall.
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- Tropical Storm
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
rwfromkansas wrote:Speaking of Lubbock, some of my wife's relatives there said they got almost 5 inches of rain this last week. That's a ton of rain for that region of the South Plains, close to a third of their annual rainfall.
We got 5 plus inches here near Albany Texas over that same time and another good soaking Saturday morning. All that dead brown looking grass we had is turning green again. It’s crazy to see the difference from jus a few weeks ago.
4 likes
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- Tropical Storm
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Fifty Rock wrote:rwfromkansas wrote:Speaking of Lubbock, some of my wife's relatives there said they got almost 5 inches of rain this last week. That's a ton of rain for that region of the South Plains, close to a third of their annual rainfall.
We got 5 plus inches here near Albany Texas over that same time and another good soaking Saturday morning. All that dead brown looking grass we had is turning green again. It’s crazy to see the difference from jus a few weeks ago.
The Albany ALBT2 site has reported 2.97 inches of rain so far this month through the 18th. That site is south of town at the water treatment plant. By the way, one of my grandfathers was born on a ranch on the Clear Fork of the Brazos northeast of town.
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- Iceresistance
- Category 5
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Re: Texas Fall 2023
Had some storms this morning
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Bill 2015 & Beta 2020
Winter 2020-2021
All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
Winter 2020-2021

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.
Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.
Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information
Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!
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