Severe weather outbreak possible? November 7-9

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#41 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:02 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
457 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 545 PM CST

* AT 455 PM CST...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO 6 MILES

SOUTHWEST OF FORT COBB...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ALBERT...BINGER...FORT COBB

RESERVOIR...FORT COBB AND LOOKEBA.



THE TORANDO IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE WESTERN EDGE OF FORT COBB.
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#42 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:08 pm

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#43 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:12 pm

DATE: NOV 7 174800 EST
TYPE TSTM WND GUST
MAG: M92 MPH
COUNTY: WASHITA
STATE: OK
SOURCE: ASOS
DETAILS: KCSM MEASURED WINDS OF 80 KNTS
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#44 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:14 pm

CADDO OK-
513 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST FOR NORTHERN

CADDO COUNTY...
AT 513 PM CST...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO NEAR
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN FORT COBB RESERVOIR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ALBERT...BINGER...FORT COBB
RESERVOIR AND LOOKEBA.
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#45 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:18 pm

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#46 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:21 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2291
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CST MON NOV 07 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS AND A PORTION OF NERN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 072258Z - 080030Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES MAY UNDERGO SOME INCREASE EARLY THIS EVENING.

A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM A SURFACE LOW NEAR PONCA CITY OK ENEWD
THROUGH SERN KS AND CNTRL MO. A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM THE LOW
SWWD INTO SWRN OK. THE WARM FRONT MAY LIFT A LITTLE FARTHER NWD THIS
EVENING ALLOWING A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR WITH 500 J/KG
MLCAPE TO ADVECT INTO SERN KS. A LINE OF STORMS HAS DEVELOPED FROM
N-CNTRL OK NNEWD TO NEAR EMPORIA KS AND IS MOVING EAST AT AROUND 15
KT. THE STORMS WILL REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN 40 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND
SIZEABLE HODOGRAPHS SUPPORTIVE OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND
LEWP/BOWING STRUCTURES. STRONGEST STORMS ARE CURRENTLY NEAR THE
TRIPLE POINT IN KAY COUNTY OF N-NCNTRL OK...AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE ENEWD INTO SERN KS THIS EVENING. OVERALL THREAT COULD BE
TEMPERED SOMEWHAT BY A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT
GIVEN FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR...INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF TORNADOES NEXT FEW
HOURS.

..DIAL.. 11/07/2011


ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...
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#47 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:21 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0504 PM CST MON NOV 07 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 072304Z - 080000Z

TSTM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL/ERN TX PANHANDLE. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL
LIKELY BE LARGE HAIL WITH THESE STORMS.

RADAR TRENDS SHOW ONGOING TSTMS NEAR SFC COLD FRONT SEGMENT ARCING
WNWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...LIKELY AIDED BY INCREASING FORCED
ASCENT OVERSPREADING THE REGION AHEAD OF A SW CONUS UPPER TROUGH.
NELY STORM MOTION WILL CAUSE TSTMS TO MOVE INTO LOWER THETA-E
ENVIRONMENT AND BECOME ELEVATED. HOWEVER...WITH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES IN PLACE...COMBINED WITH 40-50 KTS OF 3-6 KM AGL LAYER FLOW
/PER TCU AND JTN PROFILER DATA/...SOME ROTATING TSTMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL ARE EXPECTED. UNCERTAINTY REGARDING COVERAGE OF
THE SVR THREAT WILL PRECLUDE IMMEDIATE ISSUANCE OF A WW ...BUT
TRENDS IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

..ROGERS.. 11/07/2011


ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
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#48 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:23 pm

CADDO OK-
522 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST FOR CENTRAL

CADDO COUNTY...

AT 522 PM CST...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
WAS LOCATED NEAR ALBERT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ALBERT...BINGER...EXTREME NORTHERN
FORT COBB RESERVOIR AND LOOKEBA.
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#49 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:27 pm

Image
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#50 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:31 pm

CADDO OK-
529 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CST FOR CENTRAL

CADDO COUNTY...

AT 529 PM CST...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES
WAS LOCATED NEAR BINGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BINGER AND LOOKEBA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW.
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#51 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:32 pm

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#52 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:40 pm

All tornado warnings have expired; 7 thunderstorm warnings still active & 2 mesoscale disc.

Image
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#53 Postby Dave » Mon Nov 07, 2011 6:41 pm

Family emergency...back when I can..out the door now
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#54 Postby TwisterFanatic » Mon Nov 07, 2011 9:28 pm

That one supercell created a couple monsters. Helicopter in OKC caught one that was a Mile Wide easily.
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Re: Severe weather outbreak possible? November 7-9

#55 Postby FireRat » Mon Nov 07, 2011 11:11 pm

EF-4's?
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Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22

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#56 Postby Dave » Tue Nov 08, 2011 3:07 pm

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
201 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

NORTHERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 157 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVED A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS

LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF PLUM GROVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

TARKINGTON PRAIRIE...MOSS HILL...LIBERTY...KENEFICK...HARDIN...

DAYTON LAKES...DAYTON AND DAISETTA.

A TORNADO WAS SIGHTED EARLIER NEAR ATASCOCITA WITH THIS STORM.
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#57 Postby Dave » Tue Nov 08, 2011 3:07 pm

Date: Nov 8 14:47:00 EST
Type: Tornado
City: 15 Miles NW Nacogdoches
State: TX
Source: 911 Call Center
Details: Tornado on ground 7 miles north of Douglass off of FM 225 moving NE at 40 mph.
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#58 Postby Dave » Tue Nov 08, 2011 3:09 pm

DATE: NOV 8 15:01 EST (14:01 CDT)
TYPE: TORNADO
CITY: VALLIANT
COUNTY: MCCURTAIN
STATE: OK
SOURCE: LAW ENFORCEMENT
DETAILS: TORNADO REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN VALLIANT, OK. NO DAMAGE REPORTED YET, MOVING NE AT 40 MPH
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#59 Postby Dave » Tue Nov 08, 2011 3:11 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
157 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 230 PM CST

* AT 152 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR VALLIANT...

OR 23 MILES EAST OF HUGO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

SLIM...WRIGHT CITY AND GLOVER...
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#60 Postby Dave » Tue Nov 08, 2011 3:19 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
214 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTH CENTRAL SMITH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN UPSHUR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN WOOD COUNTY IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CST

* AT 210 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LINDALE...

OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF TYLER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

HAWKINS AND BIG SANDY...
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