MODERATE risk for parts of Texas?

[m_ru]

I've decided to edit my post and just say that I hope mother nature really suprises me for once and actually gives me one hell of a ride. (but not too much of a hell of a ride)

[Extremeweatherguy]

I am VERY upset about the direction of these storms! Why are they turning ENE!?! Why can't they be going ESE??? I hope some new cells develop soon!

[jasons2k]

It's continuing to develop. Just had a few raindrops here. Heard Tornado Warning for Waller & Grimes on the radio.

[jasons2k]

[Extremeweatherguy]

It's continuing to develop. Just had a few raindrops here. Heard Tornado Warning for Waller & Grimes on the radio.

yeah, but this storm is going to go well north of Harris County...and since I live in Harris County I am going to need a new cell to form and head this way. I guess I will start to see some activity here later tonight as the storm track begins to shift more southward.

[jasons2k]

we still have time

[Extremeweatherguy]

we still have time

looking at the latest radar scan...it looks as though that storm is weakening. Either way..the clouds outside are very weird right now.

[Extremeweatherguy]

tornado warnings have been discontinued.

[Johnny]

Yep, that tornadic cell has definately weakened and seems to be moving ENE now and will more than likely miss us here in central Montgomery County. The real show is supposed to be later tonight but wouldn't y'all think this current convection has helped cool the atmosphere?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Yep, that tornadic cell has definately weakened and seems to be moving ENE now and will more than likely miss us here in central Montgomery County. The real show is supposed to be later tonight but wouldn't y'all think this current convection has helped cool the atmosphere?

well according to what I have heard...supercells tend to leave a cool pocket in the upper atmosphere which can actually help fire new, stronger storms.

[Portastorm]

tornado warnings have been discontinued.

Don't worry Extreme ... there's still a lot of weather and evening/night left for activity. If we're getting hit this hard in south central Texas, you're bound to see some of this activity at some point.

We received 2.11 inches of rain here at my house. Yipee!

[Johnny]

By looking at radar trends it looks like most of the activity will miss us all to the north....even the stuff forming further to the south.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Johnny]

I'll tell ya one thing, we are getting some serious lightning and thunder right now with a light rain.

[Extremeweatherguy]

By looking at radar trends it looks like most of the activity will miss us all to the north....even the stuff forming further to the south.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

Yeah I am in complete shock that nothing is forming south because if it was then we would be a bullseye!

[Yankeegirl]

The clouds have moved into the west side of Houston... Looks like it wants to rain, still too light out to see any lightning yet.... Ill post later when it gets darker out....

[jasons2k]

I just saw my first flash of lightning. Keep an eye toward's Waller county. Yes, those existing storms will miss us to the north but I think there still may be time for storms to form W of here. We're still on the southern fringe and the LLJ is still shifting east.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I just saw my first flash of lightning. Keep an eye toward's Waller county. Yes, those existing storms will miss us to the north but I think there still may be time for storms to form W of here. We're still on the southern fringe and the LLJ is still shifting east.

yeah my hope is that the focus shifts toward us after 9pm. I am REALLY wanting a strong storm!

Also, here is some hope...take a look at that line of storms dive bombing SE:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Johnny]

A nice cell just popped up west of Brenham. It also looks like that tornadic storm from earliar is now tornado warned again by looking at this radar loop.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[Johnny]

This just in from Jeff via e-mail....


Dangerous supercell moving through SE TX.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued N of I-10.

Large supercell with a history of large hail and wind damage moving through Washington, Grimes, and Waller counties. 3.00 in diameter hail was reported near Caldwell, TX along with structural damage near Giddings, TX as this cell passed. Doppler radar continues to indicate a rotation couplet on the SW flank of the storm with good low level inflow into the downstream side of the cell. This cell is capable of producing a tornado at any time. Downstream impact locations include southern and central Montgomery Co.

Secondary supercell capable of producing very large hail and perhaps a tornado is moving through Fayette Co. TX toward Austin Co. Such cells this evening have exhibited long tracks which puts portions of Waller and Harris counties in the path in about 3 hours.

Further West:

Large scale ascent has crossed the Rio Grande and ignited a large round of severe thunderstorms extending from near Del Rio to San Angelo. Given 45-55kts of westerly shear, storms should upgrade into a large scale MCS and plow eastward toward SC TX and SE TX tonight. An increasing low level jet of 25-35kts will help feed this complex. Main threat will be very strong winds along the leading edge of this complex and very heavy rainfall.

[Yankeegirl]

I live about 10 miles from the Waller Co line.. I am eating dinner, and will go out after Im done.... Also watching the Red Sox, so during commercials I will go out too... lol..