Severe Weather/Heavy Rainfall This Weekend for Texas

Johnny · #41 Postby **Johnny** » Sat May 06, 2006 12:11 pm

Well yes, I know the dynamics were in place but what dynamics were in place for severe to form over the same areas? It definately wasn't daytime heating of course.

Extremeweatherguy · #42 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat May 06, 2006 2:57 pm

the SPC has now upgraded Houston back into the slight risk severe area for today

KatDaddy · #43 Postby **KatDaddy** » Sat May 06, 2006 3:02 pm

You beat me to it Extremeweatherguy. I was just about to post that same info. The heating is now occurring with clear skies here in League City.

Extremeweatherguy · #44 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat May 06, 2006 3:15 pm

KatDaddy wrote:You beat me to it Extremeweatherguy. I was just about to post that same info. The heating is now occurring with clear skies here in League City.

yes, it is completely clear here in spring too (and getting hot). I think there is a good chance the instability can recover enough to bring another round of storms this evening.

Stratosphere747 · #45 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Sat May 06, 2006 3:24 pm

They just hoisted a STW for Central Texas.....

Yankeegirl · #46 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Sat May 06, 2006 6:33 pm

I dunno,,, We really didnt get much of anything here overnight into this morning,,, oh well.. maybe next time I will take the dome down from over my house....

#47 Postby **Portastorm** » Sat May 06, 2006 7:44 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:They just hoisted a STW for Central Texas.....

This is getting ridiculous! We just had our third MCS in 3 days roll through town. Third day of hail and flooding rains. Not griping about the rain but the severe part. :roll:

Extremeweatherguy · #48 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat May 06, 2006 7:47 pm

has the hail been damaging hail for the last 3 days or has it been small hail?

#49 Postby **vbhoutex** » Sat May 06, 2006 8:20 pm

Portastorm wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:They just hoisted a STW for Central Texas.....

This is getting ridiculous! We just had our third MCS in 3 days roll through town. Third day of hail and flooding rains. Not griping about the rain but the severe part.

Was just looking at the radar and noticed that!! I was there for Thursday night and Friday morning storms. There was a TVS signature on the system while it was out near Lakeway and SW of there. Any reports of a sighting?

#50 Postby **Portastorm** » Sat May 06, 2006 9:23 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
Portastorm wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:They just hoisted a STW for Central Texas.....

This is getting ridiculous! We just had our third MCS in 3 days roll through town. Third day of hail and flooding rains. Not griping about the rain but the severe part.

Was just looking at the radar and noticed that!! I was there for Thursday night and Friday morning storms. There was a TVS signature on the system while it was out near Lakeway and SW of there. Any reports of a sighting?

No. NWS said mostly straight-line wind damage last few nights, however law enforcement did spot a tornado early this morning near Burnet.

#51 Postby **Portastorm** » Sat May 06, 2006 9:24 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:has the hail been damaging hail for the last 3 days or has it been small hail?

Small hail ... pea to nickel size.

Nothing like what you had at your place a few days ago!!

Tonight's episode caused some flash flooding in northern parts of the city ... feeder roads under water, low water crossings flooded, etc.

Extremeweatherguy · #52 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun May 07, 2006 12:12 pm

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CDT SUN MAY 07 2006

VALID 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SEEM TO CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION BY LATE NEXT WEEK
OF A CLOSED LOW SCENARIO ACROSS THE GRTLKS REGION WITH A BROAD
TROUGH EXTENDING SWD INTO THE DEEP S. THE DEEPENING TROUGH WILL
FORCE A COLD FRONT SEWD FROM THE MS VLY/PLAINS WED TO THE ERN
SEABOARD AND OFF THE GULF COAST BY FRI. MOISTURE WILL STREAM NWD
FROM THE GULF TO THE FRONT...WITH THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY ACROSS
THE MID-SOUTH...LWR MS VLY AND SRN PLAINS. AS THE PRIMARY JET AXIS
SHIFTS ATOP THIS INSTABILITY AXIS...ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH AND THE OH/TN VLYS ON WED. THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL SHIFT SWD INTO THE SERN STATES...DEEP
SOUTH AND PARTS OF TX BY THU. THERE MAY BE AN INCREASE IN SEVERE
WEATHER POSSIBILITIES BY NEXT WEEKEND ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS AS
WNWLY FLOW REMAIN ATOP GRADUALLY MOISTENING LOW-LEVELS. THIS MAY
BECOME FAVORABLE FOR MCS/S TO ROLL INTO THE LOWER PLAINS.

..JPR.. 05/07/2006

Looks like the period between Tuesday and Thursday could be active!

Yankeegirl · #53 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Sun May 07, 2006 5:53 pm

Looks like some stuff popping up out in West Texas... Wonder if we are going to have to keep an eye on it for later?

ETXHAMXYL · #54 Postby **ETXHAMXYL** » Sun May 07, 2006 8:50 pm

It seems like almost everyday this past week storms build up in the WEst and seem to reach ETX during the early morning hours. Hate having a good night's sleep interupted by house shaking thunder. Leaves one a little drowsy the next day.
Wished we'd get just a few days break so I can get my swimming pool redone. Just as they get ready to start working it rains and they have to pump the water out the next day only to have night time storms replace what they pumped out.
Guess one shouldn't complain since Im sure we will be begging for rain in a few months.

Yankeegirl · #55 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Sun May 07, 2006 11:34 pm

Funny.. I have been sick for the past few days with a cold or something.. and I have been taking Lunesta, which by the way works exellent!!...but I have heard the thunder, I think, and it does not interrupt my sleep... Actually I have totally spelt through the past few morning rounds of storms to awake mad cause I missed them... lol..

Yankeegirl · #56 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Sun May 07, 2006 11:44 pm

Now I am looking at the doppler and it looks like the mess out to the west of us is holding together pretty darn well... Im going to take another Lunesta... lol...

Johnny · #57 Postby **Johnny** » Mon May 08, 2006 12:56 am

yankeegirl, this line is definately holding its own and then some. I don't see this line dieing completely off before entering our area. Something to keep an eye on.

Yankeegirl · #58 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon May 08, 2006 12:58 am

I would drfinatley have to agree with you... Since I am up, cant sleep, I am going to keep an eye on it and hope it makes it into the area... We really need some more rain... Last I looked at it, it looked like it was not dying down at all but kind of regenerating... We will see...

Yankeegirl · #59 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon May 08, 2006 1:00 am

ok... I just looked at the line again, and it has a nice bow echo going on... Does not look like its loosing its punch...

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/mixed ... &type=loop

How can there be no watches for this storm??

Yankeegirl · #60 Postby **Yankeegirl** » Mon May 08, 2006 1:32 am

Just posted... and they have also raised our rain chances over night to 30%...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
123 AM CDT MON MAY 8 2006

.UPDATE...
HAVE SENT OUT AN UPDATED FORECAST PACKAGE TO ACCOUNT FOR
STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE HILL
COUNTRY AND TOWARD OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES. HAVE HIGHEST POPS
NORTHWEST AND RAISED POPS ELSEWHERE IN CASE THIS COMPLEX HOLDS
TOGETHER LONGER THAN EXPECTED. ALSO MENTIONED SEVERE IN THE
NORTHWEST COUNTIES. 42/32
&&

Severe Weather/Heavy Rainfall This Weekend for Texas

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