SE TX/SW LA weather: Much cooler and WET after Tuesday

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lrak
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4021 Postby lrak » Thu Oct 08, 2009 10:57 pm

Yep :uarrow:

look at that moisture, sure hope its a fast moving front.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/loop-wv.html
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4022 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:48 am

lrak wrote:Yep :uarrow:

look at that moisture, sure hope its a fast moving front.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/weus/loop-wv.html

The front is supposed to take up residence somewhere close to the coast, hopefully out in the GOM with a moisture feed like that.
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#4023 Postby Diva » Fri Oct 09, 2009 5:39 am

Good grief! The line of storms practically stretches from Mexico to Canada! :eek:
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/radar_tab.php
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#4024 Postby jasons2k » Fri Oct 09, 2009 7:01 am

Looks like it will come thru earlier than anticipated.
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4025 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Oct 09, 2009 8:25 am

Morning e-mail from Jeff...

Strong Canadian cold front blasting through TX this morning. Temperatures falling 20-25 degrees with the frontal passage within an hour.

Strong cold front starting to enter SE TX and plowing SE at around 30mph. At 600am temperatures ranged from 57 at Waco to 83 at BUSH IAH. Will go ahead and speed up frontal timing as it is clear it is progressing SE faster than expected. Should reach KCLL in the next hour and KIAH by 1000-1100am. Winds have been shifting too the NW and gusting to near 50mph with the frontal passage and expect this to continue. Temperatures will tank into the 60's within minutes on the passage and then steadily fall this afternoon under strong cold air advection, rain, and clouds. It will be a big shock to those of us use to the near 80 degree dewpoints of the last few days as dewpoints fall rapidly into the 50's after the front passes.

Widespread showers and thunderstorms extend all along the frontal slope and for nearly 100 miles behind the front. Expect widespread rains to start with the frontal passage and last into the late afternoon hours. Rains will slowly end from NW to SE this evening.

We shall see one nice day out of the whole event on Saturday as high pressure briefly builds into the area allowing for low humidity and highs only in the mid 70's and morning lows in the lower to mid 50's.

Big changes come back by Saturday night/Sunday as the frontal boundary begins to return northward as a warm front. 35kt low level jet develops Saturday night transporting deep moisture back over the top of the surface cold dome. Will see scattered showers and thunderstorms advance northward out of the Gulf of Mexico. Sunday will likely see slowly rising temperatures through the day under cloudy skies and increasing rains. Warm front reaches the coast late Sunday into Monday. Low level wind shear increases and forecast hodographs show decent low level truning to support supercell and mesocyclone formation along the retreating warm front. Not overly excited just yet about the tornado possibilities, but something to watch over the weekend. Rain chances may be too low on Sunday and may need to go at least 50-60% by afternoon/evening.

Have no fear the warm and humid weather returns as the warm front swings northward, ushering a return to the mid 70 degree dewpoints by Tuesday along with hgihs pushes back into at lesat the mid 80's. GFS shows another big front for next weekend...this one may come with a mix of some arctic air!
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4026 Postby Portastorm » Fri Oct 09, 2009 8:31 am

Y'all will love this front. Nice rains and a definite cooldown.

Even with the post-front shower action, it feels great here in AUS!
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#4027 Postby Tireman4 » Fri Oct 09, 2009 9:23 am

Just a question. Could the models be totally wrong and the front does not come back as a warm front? Could there be a ghost of a chance that highs in the upper 70's and lows in the low to mid 60's hang around next week?
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4028 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Oct 09, 2009 9:36 am

HGX Update...

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
928 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG COLD FRONT IS RAPIDLY WORKING ITS WAY THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS
THIS MORNING WITH A 9 AM POSITION ROUGHLY FROM CORRIGAN TO PRAIRIE VIEW
TO EAGLE LAKE. EVERYONE WILL SEE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THE BOUNDARY
CONTINUES TO HEAD TOWARD THE COAST. SOME OF THE RAIN WILL BE VERY HEAVY
AND STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING. NO FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS NEEDED...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED IF WE END UP ISSUING
FLOOD ADVISORIES FOR PARTS OF OUR AREA
.
GUSTY NORTH WINDS AROUND 30
MPH CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WHEN THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THERE
WILL BE A QUICK 10 TO 15 DEGREE TEMPERATURE DROP WITH THE BOUNDARY
MOVES ON THROUGH.

ENJOY THE COOLER WEATHER WHILE YOU CAN. IT LOOKS LIKE WE GET BACK INTO
THE WARM STUFF AGAIN NEXT WEEK. 42
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Re:

#4029 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 09, 2009 9:45 am

Tireman4 wrote:Just a question. Could the models be totally wrong and the front does not come back as a warm front? Could there be a ghost of a chance that highs in the upper 70's and lows in the low to mid 60's hang around next week?

Unfortunately that is wishful thinking according to everything I've seen. Maybe next weekend will give us a better shot at those type of temperatures on a more extended basis??
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4030 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:08 am

Fropa in NW Harris County. Watch out for the winds in town. Gusting to near 40 mph and temps fell 13 degrees in 10 minutes. :wink:
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#4031 Postby JenBayles » Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:16 am

Good Lord! The treetops are whirling around like their in a huge eggbeater. Bits of branches flying by the windows too. Rain just now getting its act together as it's only been spitting off and on the past 15 minutes.
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#4032 Postby JenBayles » Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:24 am

Incredibly hard rains pounding down here in Bear Creek. Heading out to check that the sump pumps are working...
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4033 Postby srainhoutx » Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:46 am

Nothing too heavy to your N Jen. :wink: Hopefully we got the front early enough in the day to help ease a flooding issues for us. It cool outside. Time to change from shorts to long pants. :ggreen:
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4034 Postby vbhoutex » Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:49 am

Winds gusted to 40-50mph here during fropa. Brought down quite a few small limbs. Moved my vehicle finally since it was getting assaulted. Brief heavy downpour with a now gentle rain. Temps went from 84ºf to 64ºf within 20-30 minutes. Nearest weatherbug shows a 42 mph gust. Idiot tree men down the street working in this too! :eek:
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#4035 Postby JenBayles » Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:49 am

Yep, rain has slacked off considerably so I'm not really worried. And you're right - time to change out of the shorts and into jeans. WOW! That was an incredibly fast temp drop.
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#4036 Postby southerngale » Fri Oct 09, 2009 11:11 am

It's still 85 here (with a heat index of 96 currently) and just one brief shower so far. The sun is back out. The bulk of it hasn't arrived yet and radar shows some dark reds headed this way.
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#4037 Postby JenBayles » Fri Oct 09, 2009 11:37 am

SG, hope you have a change of clothing handy! :lol:
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Re:

#4038 Postby Bunkertor » Fri Oct 09, 2009 12:21 pm

southerngale wrote:It's still 85 here (with a heat index of 96 currently) and just one brief shower so far. The sun is back out.


Burn ! :froze:
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Re: SE TX/SW LA weather: Fall pattern

#4039 Postby TexasSam » Fri Oct 09, 2009 1:02 pm

I got 1.30 inches of rain so far, most of that in 10 min. temp. here is 67. Man that was a blast of wind & Rain as the front came through!
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Re: Re:

#4040 Postby southerngale » Fri Oct 09, 2009 1:10 pm

Bunkertor wrote:
southerngale wrote:It's still 85 here (with a heat index of 96 currently) and just one brief shower so far. The sun is back out.


Burn ! :froze:


It's 65 now. :P The temp dropped quickly as the front passed. Brief heavy rain, but it's been mostly light to moderate. Not a whole lot of it. Much more boring than I expected. Not even any thunder! pfft. lol

However, at my dad's office, the door kept blowing open. People who were outdoors came inside to escape the wind, which was apparently making it hard to stand up. He's right across the street from the airport, where I saw a 54mph gust, not sure if that was the highest.

SOUTHEAST TEXAS RGNL AIRPORT, TX, United States
Wind from the N (350 degrees) at 33 MPH (29 KT) gusting to 54 MPH (47 KT)


Edit: The electricity at my parent's house went out about noon. A feeder line is down. Estimated restoration time: 6pm today. It's been pretty windy around here.
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