June 4-7: Severe wx (Omaha tornado update)

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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#441 Postby Category 5 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 6:37 pm

I'm very concerned about this.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
628 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

NEC097-127-060000-
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-080606T0000Z/
NEMAHA NE-JOHNSON NE-
628 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
JOHNSON AND WESTERN NEMAHA COUNTIES...

AT 622 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION AND A POSSIBLE
TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR JOHNSON...OR 32 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FALLS CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...BROCK.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4032 9623 4052 9611 4048 9577 4026 9602
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 216DEG 56KT 4046 9597

$$

GRIFFIS

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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#442 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 6:40 pm

TORNADO WARNING
IAC071-NEC097-127-131-060015-
/O.NEW.KOAX.TO.W.0026.080605T2337Z-080606T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
637 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL JOHNSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA...
NORTHWESTERN NEMAHA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA...
EASTERN OTOE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA...
SOUTHERN FREMONT COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST IOWA...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT.

* AT 632 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR WAS TRACKING A
TORNADIC STORM AND TRAINED SPOTTERS CONFIRM A TORNADO 1 MILE SOUTH
OF JOHNSON. THE TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR JOHNSON...OR 31 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FALLS CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 49 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TALMAGE...PERU...NEBRASKA CITY...HAMBURG...RIVERTON AND SIDNEY...

RAIN MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT TO SEE THE
TORNADO OR WAIT TO HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A
SAFE PLACE. GO TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS AND GLASS DOORS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4042 9611 4085 9581 4070 9544 4058 9559
4058 9576 4054 9576 4053 9571 4056 9569
4057 9567 4056 9565 4053 9565 4033 9591
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 211DEG 42KT 4046 9594

$$
BG
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#443 Postby Mightybri » Thu Jun 05, 2008 6:48 pm

NWS Wichita is located near the airport at Kellogg and Ridge Road.
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#444 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 6:50 pm

Survey from the Baltimore/Washington derecho yesterday, at least 2 tornadoes:

000
NOUS41 KLWX 052341
PNSLWX
DCZ001-MDZ003>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-501-502-VAZ021-025>031-
036>042-050>057-WVZ050>055-501>504-060400-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
740 PM EDT THU JUN 5 2008

...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAMAGE SURVEY TEAM PRELIMINARY
ASSESSMENTS OF JUNE 4 EXTREME WEATHER EVENT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON WEATHER FORECAST
OFFICE STORM DAMAGE SURVEY TEAMS SURVEYED DAMAGE IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS TODAY. VERY STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AFFECTED MOST OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA...MARYLAND WEST OF THE BAY...THE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA AND THE EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE. SURVEY
TEAMS DETERMINED THAT TORNADOES OCCURRED IN CALVERT COUNTY
MARYLAND...AND CLARKE...CULPEPER AND STAFFORD COUNTIES IN VIRGINIA.

IN WASHINGTON COUNTY...THE TEAM EXAMINED WIND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES
AND TREES IN AN AREA FROM SHARPSBURG TO KEEDYSVILLE TO BOONSBORO. A
FEW OUTBUILDINGS WERE DESTROYED AND EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE WAS
OBSERVED. SOME HOMES SUSTAINED WIND DAMAGE TO THEIR ROOF STRUCTURES
AND ONE GARAGE WAS DAMAGED. SOME OF THE DAMAGE TO A BARN...AND ONE
AREA OF WIND DAMAGE TO TREES BETWEEN SHARPSBURG AND KEEDYSVILLE WAS
SEVERE. MANY HARDWOOD AND SOFTWOOD TREES WERE SNAPPED OFF AT THE
TRUNK. ALL OF THE DAMAGE WAS ALIGNED ALONG THE DIRECTION OF THE WIND
GUSTS AND ALL OF THIS WIND DAMAGE WAS DETERMINED TO BE CAUSED BY
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE ESTIMATED
BASED ON THE DAMAGE CAUSED BY THE STORMS.


IN JEFFERSON COUNTY WEST VIRGINIA...DAMAGE AROUND RANSON...CHARLES
TOWN AND KABLETOWN WAS EXAMINED. SOME MINOR STRUCTURAL WIND DAMAGE
WAS OBSERVED IN THE LEETOWN AREA ALONG WITH LARGE NUMBERS OF DOWNED
AND UPROOTED TREES. OTHER WIND DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED IN RANSON...
MAINLY TO TREES...BUT ALSO SOME SIDING DAMAGE. OTHER WIND DAMAGE WAS
OBSERVED NEAR KABLETOWN...MAINLY TO TREES AND OUTBUILDINGS LEADING
TO SOME LOSS OF LIVESTOCK. WIND DAMAGE THROUGHOUT JEFFERSON COUNTY
PREDOMINANTLY WAS CONSISTENT WITH STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WITH SPEEDS OF
70 TO 80 MPH. A FEW AREAS OF MORE INTENSE WIND DAMAGE CONSISTENT
WITH WINDS OF 80 TO 90 MPH OCCURED WITH SIGNS AND A TOWER KNOCKED
OVER. AN 85 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY AN AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR
NEAR HALLTOWN WV AT 323 PM.

IN ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY MARYLAND...A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SURVEY
TEAM EXAMINED WIND DAMAGE IN THE BELLEVIEW ESTATES SECTION OF
SEVERNA PARK. LARGE NUMBERS OF HARDWOOD TREES...SOME UP TO 4 FEET IN
DIAMETER...WERE UPROOTED WITH SEVERAL FALLING INTO SINGLE FAMILY
RESIDENCES CAUSING DAMAGE. THE TREE DAMAGE AND TREE FALL PATTERN
WAS INDICATIVE OF STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WITH SPEEDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH.

IN CALVERT COUNTY MARYLAND...A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SURVEY TEAM
DETERMINED THAT AN EF-0 TORNADO IMPACTED PORTIONS OF CHESAPEAKE
BEACH ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AT APPROXIMATELY 340 PM. APPROXIMATELY
A DOZEN HARDWOOD TREES IN THE RICHFIELD STATION AREA OF CHESAPEAKE
BEACH WERE UPROOTED. ONE SINGLE FAMILY HOME HAD A 3 FOOT DIAMETER
TULIP POPLAR TREE FALL THROUGH THE ROOF. PORTIONS OF ROOFS AND
SIDING WERE TORN AWAY FROM 10-20 SINGLE FAMILY HOMES. TREE AND ROOF
DAMAGE ALSO OCCURRED IN THE BAYVIEW HILLS AREA OF CHESAPEAKE BEACH.
IN THIS LOCATION...SIDING DAMAGE ON OPPOSITE SIDES OF SINGLE FAMILY
HOMES WAS OBSERVED. A FREE STANDING LIGHT POLE IN LYNWOOD T. KELLAM
MEMORIAL RECREATIONAL PARK WAS BENT. THE ENTIRE ROOF DECKING OF A
RESTAURANT ON BAYSIDE ROAD WAS BLOWN AWAY. THE DAMAGE IS INDICATED
AS A HIGH END EF-0 TORNADO...WITH WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 85 MPH.
THE DAMAGE PATH OF THE TORNADO WAS APPROXIMATELY 1.5 MILES LONG...
AND 75 YARDS WIDE.

IN PAGE COUNTY VIRGINIA...AN AREAL SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED OF THE TOWN
OF LURAY IN PAGE COUNTY IN THE SHENANDOAH VALLEY OF VIRGINIA. AN
INTERMITTENT PATH OF DAMAGE ABOUT 3 MILES LONG WAS CAUSED BY
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORM MICROBURSTS. NUMEROUS TREES
WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONE HOME HAD ITS TIN ROOF AND CHIMNEY
BLOWN OFF. NUMEROUS BARNS AND OUTBUILDINGS WERE EITHER DAMAGED OR
DESTROYED. ONE MOBILE HOME WAS DAMAGED. 8 PARKED VEHICLES HAD THEIR
WINDOWS BLOWN OUT BY WIND BLOWN ROCKS. MANY POWER LINES WERE DOWNED.
THE STRONGEST WIND IN THE LURAY EVENT DESTROYED A LARGE WELL
CONSTRUCTED 30X40 FOOT BARN. THE MAXIMUM WIND WAS ESTIMATED TO BE 90
MPH. TOTAL STRUCTURAL DAMAGE BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT WAS
ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND $237,000.

IN FREDERICK COUNTY VIRGINIA...AN AREAL SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED OF
NORTHERN FREDERICK COUNTY VIRGINIA JUST NORTHWEST OF THE CITY OF
WINCHESTER. THE SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED BETWEEN THE TOWNS OF GAINESBORO
AND GORE. A NEARLY CONTINUOUS PATH OF DAMAGE ABOUT 5 MILES LONG
ALONG STONY HILL ROAD WAS DETERMINED TO BE CAUSED BY STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS FROM A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE
100 MPH.
DOZENS OF TREES WERE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED. WINDOWS WERE
BLOWN OUT OF A FEW VEHICLES AND HOMES. A LARGE TOWER WAS TOPPLED.
SEVERAL HOMES WERE DAMAGED BY DOWNED TREES. A LARGE POWER CORRIDOR
LINE WAS BROKEN. TOTAL STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WAS NOT KNOWN BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT THIS TIME.

IN CLARKE COUNTY VIRGINIA...AN AREAL SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED OVER
EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA. A SEVERE STORM
CREATED AN INTERMITTENT PATH OF DAMAGE FROM THE TOWN OF MILLWOOD
EAST NORTHEAST TO WHERE ROUTE 7 CROSSES THE BLUE RIDGE AROUND THE
SHENANDOAH RETREAT AREA. THE DAMAGE WAS MOST CONSISTENT AROUND THE
TOWN OF MILLWOOD. AT LEAST 12 HOMES IN THAT AREA WERE DAMAGED...
CONSISTING OF TREES INTO HOUSES... SIDING... AND ROOFING DAMAGE. THE
MAJORITY OF THE DAMAGE IN EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY WAS CAUSED BY
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF 80 TO 90 MPH FROM MICROBURSTS PRODUCED BY THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. TREES WERE MAINLY ALL LAID OUT PARALLEL TO THE
PATH OF THE STORM. HOWEVER...A SMALL EF-1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN
AMONGST THE POCKETS OF STRAIGHT LINE WIND DAMAGE. NEAR THE CARTER
HALL AREA OF MILLWOOD... NEARLY ALL OF THE LARGE TREES IN ONE STRAND
WERE UPROOTED OR SNAPPED AND FELL IN NEARLY EVERY DIRECTION. THE
TORNADO HAD A PATH LENGTH OF A HALF MILE AND A WIDTH OF 100 YARDS.
MAXIMUM WIND SPEED WAS 90 MPH. TOTAL STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AT THIS TIME
IS ESTIMATED BY LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT TO BE AROUND $44,000 IN
EASTERN CLARKE COUNTY.

ONE DAMAGE SURVEY TEAM IS STILL COMPLETING ITS WORK AT THIS TIME.
PRELIMINARILY IT APPEARS THAT THERE WAS A TORNADO IN CULPEPER COUNTY
AND ANOTHER TORNADO IN STAFFORD COUNTY.
FURTHER DETAILS ON THE
STRENGTH...LENGTH AND WIDTH OF THESE TORNADOES WILL BE AVAILABLE
EITHER LATE THIS EVENING OR FRIDAY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WOULD LIKE TO EXTEND OUR APPRECIATION
TO OUR SPOTTERS...THE CIVIL AIR PATROL...AND TO STATE AND COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS FOR THEIR ASSISTANCE DURING AND AFTER
THIS EXTREME WEATHER EVENT.

$$
MANNING/STRONG/LEE/SMZ
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#445 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Jun 05, 2008 6:58 pm

Is there a possibility, they will extend the MDT area towards west Texas. It seems 2000+ CAPE to approach ther area by around midnight.

Edit : As to NAM 3500 J/kg should be in place in the Midland area.
Last edited by Bunkertor on Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:01 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#446 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:00 pm

Bunkertor wrote:Is there a possibility, they will extend the MDT area towards west Texas. It seems 2000+ CAPE to approach ther area by around midnight.


I don't think they will, in fact they are thinking of dropping the watch there.
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#447 Postby Melissa » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:00 pm

Am I out of the woods here east of Hutchinson, Kansas for tonight?
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#448 Postby Category 5 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:14 pm

Multiple tornadoes near Sidney IA.
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#449 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:16 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0713 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...OK...NWRN TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 462...465...

VALID 060013Z - 060115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 462...465...CONTINUES.

WW/S 462 AND 465 WILL BE REPLACED BY A NEW TORNADO WATCH IN OK AND
N-CNTRL TX PRIOR TO SCHEDULED 01Z EXPIRATION OF WW 462.

THE SRN PORTION OF EXTENSIVE GREAT PLAINS QLCS HAS EFFECTIVELY
STALLED ACROSS N-CNTRL/W-CNTRL OK...WHILE ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT HAS INCREASED FURTHER SWWD ALONG DRY LINE INTO W-CNTRL
TX. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE AIDED BY FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH
MID-LEVEL IMPULSE /EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/ SHIFTING EWD FROM
NERN NM/TX PANHANDLE ON SRN PERIPHERY OF LARGER-SCALE TROUGH. WITH
CONVERGENCE ALONG DRY LINE ALSO INCREASING...EXPECT CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT TO BE SUSTAINED WELL INTO THE EVENING. STRONG SLY LLJ OF
40-60 KT...PER REGIONAL VAD/PROFILERS...WILL MAINTAIN AN INFLUX OF
ROBUST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND HIGH INSTABILITY...AS SAMPLED BY 00Z
OUN RAOB WITH MLCAPE AROUND 2600 J/KG. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES
REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH SUBSEQUENT UPSCALE GROWTH
TO A LINEAR MODE GIVEN KINEMATIC FIELDS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE
INITIATION BOUNDARY. AS A RESULT...DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
THE PRIMARY THREAT...BUT TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

..GRAMS.. 06/06/2008


ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

36969559 34949681 32059949 31990170 34519979 36039890
36999751
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#450 Postby Stephanie » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:20 pm

I would've bet money that Delaware had a tornado or two by the look of the line of storms that came through. I know that this was the same line that brought the tornados to VA and MD. Is this area the "Tornado Alley" of the Mid Atlantic?
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#451 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:26 pm

Now 16 tornado reports and 103 (4) wind reports.
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#452 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:29 pm

Chaser Purington is underway in IA, but to far away to reach the area of concern before dusk
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#453 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:44 pm

TORNADO WARNING
MOC005-087-060115-
/O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0018.080606T0039Z-080606T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
739 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ATCHISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI
HOLT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A SEVERE SQUALL LINE PRODUCING EXTREME DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES. AT 733 PM...STORM SPOTTERS WERE
REPORTING MULTIPLE TORNADOES ON THE GROUND JUST WEST OF FALLS CITY
NEBRASKA.
THESE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF FALLS CITY TO 5 MILES
WEST OF HIAWATHA...AND RACING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
FAIRFAX AND CRAIG BY 800 PM CDT.
FOREST CITY BY 805 PM CDT.
OREGON AND MOUND CITY BY 810 PM CDT.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 70 AND 105!
THE TOWNS OF CORNING...BIG LAKE...FORTESCUE AND BIGELOW ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THESE TORNADIC STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THESE TORNADOES. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU
WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE
PLACE.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4047 9520 4027 9519 4026 9508 4016 9508
4013 9506 4007 9507 4004 9502 3999 9502
3991 9519 4032 9560 4050 9522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 230DEG 43KT 4009 9566 3976 9559

$$

BOOKBINDER
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#454 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:45 pm

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 468
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
740 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

LARGE PART OF WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
A LARGE PART OF NORTHWESTERN TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 740 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 90 MPH
...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF ABILENE TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 462...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 465. WATCH NUMBER 462 465
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 740 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 466...WW
467...

DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR INDICATES VIGOROUS VORT/WIND MAX MOVING EWD
ACROSS TX PANHANDLE. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING WRN PORTION OF
WATCH WILL RESPOND TO THE MID LEVEL COOLING AND ASCENT INCREASING
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES AND CONTINUED THREAT OF VERY STRONG/DAMAGING
WINDS AS THE LINE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE WATCH EARLY TONIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...HALES
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#455 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:45 pm

Wind numbers on that watch are >95/90. It should be a PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch IMO, since the tornado threat is overestimated.
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#456 Postby Category 5 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:47 pm

TORNADO WARNING
MOC005-087-060115-
/O.NEW.KEAX.TO.W.0018.080606T0039Z-080606T0115Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
739 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN ATCHISON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI
HOLT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A SEVERE SQUALL LINE PRODUCING EXTREME DAMAGING STRAIGHT
LINE WINDS AND EMBEDDED TORNADOES. AT 733 PM...STORM SPOTTERS WERE
REPORTING MULTIPLE TORNADOES ON THE GROUND JUST WEST OF FALLS CITY

NEBRASKA. THESE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF FALLS CITY TO 5 MILES
WEST OF HIAWATHA...AND RACING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
FAIRFAX AND CRAIG BY 800 PM CDT.
FOREST CITY BY 805 PM CDT.
OREGON AND MOUND CITY BY 810 PM CDT.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 70 AND 105!
THE TOWNS OF CORNING...BIG LAKE...FORTESCUE AND BIGELOW ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THESE TORNADIC STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THESE TORNADOES. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU
WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE
PLACE.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4047 9520 4027 9519 4026 9508 4016 9508
4013 9506 4007 9507 4004 9502 3999 9502
3991 9519 4032 9560 4050 9522
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 230DEG 43KT 4009 9566 3976 9559

$$

BOOKBINDER
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CrazyC83
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#457 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:51 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1240
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...IA...FAR NW MO...FAR SE NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 467...

VALID 060044Z - 060215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 467 CONTINUES.

THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS ACROSS SW
IA AND SHOULD SPREAD NNEWD INTO CNTRL IA BY LATE THIS EVENING. A FEW
STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR WITH THE MORE DOMINANT AND PERSISTENT
SUPERCELLS.
VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE.

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 990 MB LOW OVER NERN NEB. SFC WINDS ARE
BACKED ACROSS THE WRN HALF OF IA AND IN ERN NEB. THIS COMBINED WITH
A 50 TO 55 KT LOW-LEVEL JET CENTERED OVER FAR SW IA IS CREATING
FAVORABLE BOUNDARY LAYER SHEAR PROFILES FOR TORNADOES. THE LATEST
OMAHA WSR-88D VWP SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE SHEAR PROFILE WITH 0-1 KM SR
HELICITY AROUND 250 M2/S2 ALONG WITH 65 KT OF VERTICAL SHEAR. IN
ADDITION..RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS LCL HEIGHTS ACROSS SW AND CNTRL IA
BELOW 750 METERS. THIS ALONG WITH THE SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES.
THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES SHOULD EXIST WITH ROTATING CELLS EMBEDDED IN
A LINE MOVING INTO SW IA ATTM. IN ADDITION...DISCRETE SUPERCELLS
WITH TORNADO POTENTIAL MAY DEVELOP EAST OF THE LINE AND MOVE INTO
THE DES MOINES AREA IN THE 02Z TO 04Z TIMEFRAME.

..BROYLES.. 06/06/2008


ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...

40569340 39969515 40509594 41749567 42459458 42569350
41899274
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Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#458 Postby Category 5 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:54 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
745 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

NEC147-060100-
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-080606T0100Z/
RICHARDSON NE-
745 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
RICHARDSON COUNTY...

AT 745 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF FALLS CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
44 MPH.

SPOTTERS REPORTED A RAIN WRAPPED TORNADO 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FALLS
CITY AT AT 739 PM. SPOTTERS ALSO REPORTED 2 TORNADOES WEST OF FALLS
CITY EARLIER AT 733 PM.



LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...BARADA.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4026 9570 4026 9553 4025 9553 4024 9548
4021 9547 4020 9547 4019 9548 4015 9552
4000 9562 3999 9590
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 228DEG 38KT 4012 9550

$$

DERGAN
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wbug1

Re: June 4-7: Severe weather outbreak, HIGH RISK today

#459 Postby wbug1 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:55 pm

0000 UNK CHEROKEE ALFALFA OK 3675 9835 ROOFTOPS BLOW OFF SEVERAL HOMES IN CHEROKEE. AT LEAST 10 BARNS HAD ROOFS BLOWN OFF EXTENDING FROM CHEROKEE TO 15 MILES NORTH. (OUN)

0039 2 SE FALLS CITY RICHARDSON NE 4004 9557 RAIN WRAPPED TORNADO SPOTTED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FALLS CITY (OAX)

0041 80 5 W BLAIR GREER OK 3478 9942 ESTIMATED WIND SPEED. (OUN)
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#460 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jun 05, 2008 7:58 pm

0100Z: High risk shifted eastward
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