Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

[FormerNewtotex]

Tuscaloosa immediately under the gun from a storm that could produce. Unsure if it will but it’s ramping up. Not good

I grew up in south Tuscaloosa, that poor city is always in the B Line

Especially in the Super Outbreak in 2011

(Either way, Welcome to the Team! )

Yep. Thanks! I actually had an account for several years but had issues with the old account so this is my new one lol

[FormerNewtotex]

Is the rain over Alabama going to hamper the severity of tornadoes or do the other dynamics override that?

[ElectricStorm]

New PDS watch up until 3am... It's gonna be a long night

[ElectricStorm]

Well today was certainly a big day, as expected. Numerous strong tornadoes reported, including a couple big-time wedges... Thankfully none of them hit any of the major population centers, and so far there have been no reported fatalities and only 2 injuries. It was a major event for sure, but it could have been worse. In hindsight, only thing I would say is that the 45 hatched probably wasn't needed, but I would say the high risk verified, mostly in Alabama. Overall a very impressive day for March, and it looks like tomorrow will likely be another big day for the eastern states. Hopefully this isn't a sign of what's to come in April and May...

[ElectricStorm]

Day 1 outlook for Thursday


Much smaller moderate than it was on the day 2 outlook, as models aren't really all that impressed. However, it's still likely to be another impactful event.

[InfernoFlameCat]

I think the high risk was barely deserved here.

[ElectricStorm]

And the moderate risk is gone...

[Iceresistance]

No Severe weather is expected this weekend & early next week, perfect for cleaning up the damage left behind . . .

[Iceresistance]

This video was from last week, but this is TOO CLOSE!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kEQnCd5-RbM

[ElectricStorm]

Next system comes through the plains on Mon 3/22. No severe weather expected at this time, but it could be a nice rain to help turn the yard green. Could see a few rumbles of thunder as well.

[ElectricStorm]

Next system comes through the plains on Mon 3/22. No severe weather expected at this time, but it could be a nice rain to help turn the yard green. Could see a few rumbles of thunder as well.

Now a Day 3 marginal risk for S OK/N TX

[Steve]

Rain bullseye is South Mississippi. Not sure if there will be much severe weather, but that’s a lot of rain

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1616293581

The bulk of the rainfall is Days 4-5 so Wed-Thurs with maybe 4-5” that overnight.
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep4 ... 1616294081

Looks like SELA, South Mississippi and South Alabama get most of that. We should watch to see how (or if) that changes early in the week. Looks like a decent Spring rain event.

[ElectricStorm]

It's a ways out, but Thursday in Dixie alley looks interesting...

[Iceresistance]

Marginal Risk Tomorrow in the Southern half of Oklahoma & Northern Texas . . .

Main threats are up to Half Dollar sized hail & 65 mph winds . . .

[Iceresistance]

The Marginal Risk Tomorrow got BIGGER, like 2x it was this morning . . .

[Steve]

Condensing time it’s now St Tammany Parish over across Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, George and Mobile Counties.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1616359536

[Iceresistance]

The SCP on the GFS on March 24th has been trending North & West . . .

[Iceresistance]

Slight Risk now for Southern Oklahoma & Northern Texas

Golf ball sized hail, 70 mph winds & a few tornadoes are possible . . .

[Iceresistance]

Risk zone has gotten bigger since earlier this morning

[Iceresistance]

There is yet ANOTHER possible outbreak in Dixie Alley again Thursday