Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

#501 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:00 pm

15 active tornado warnings, 21 STS warnings.

#502 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:00 pm

Hopefully we will get through this with no fatalities...

#503 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:03 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Hopefully we will get through this with no fatalities...

It would be.

#504 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:08 pm

Damage in downtown Louisville...

#505 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:13 pm

Impressive inflow notch in NE MUHLENBERG County.

EDIT: Was impressive.

WindRunner · #506 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:15 pm

Nice looking storm in SW Ingham County, MI, about 15 nm due south of Lansing.

WindRunner · #507 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:23 pm

Cell in south central IN has a very nice (but small) couplet on it now . . .

You can actually see a bit of a so-called "finger of death" present in the hook (that'd be the little red sliver visible aloft in that area - such a feature is common with somewhat well-formed tornados, but is not a guarantee of such).

#508 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:24 pm

SEL5

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 725
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
WESTERN OHIO

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1020 PM
UNTIL 500 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DAYTON OHIO TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 722...WW 724...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL KY WILL CONTINUE
TO TRACK EASTWARD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WHILE POTENTIAL FOR
NEW STORMS INCREASES OVER WESTERN OH. EVENING SOUNDINGS AND LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST VERY FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR AND
THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
SOME THREAT OF STRONG TORNADOES WILL ALSO PERSIST OVERNIGHT.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.

...HART

#509 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:25 pm

TORNADO EMERGENCY

Nappanee, Indiana

More to come

#510 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:27 pm

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1023 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

INC039-085-099-190300-
/O.CON.KIWX.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-071019T0300Z/
ELKHART IN-MARSHALL IN-KOSCIUSKO IN-
1023 PM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SOUTHERN ELKHART COUNTY...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN
KOSCIUSKO...EAST CENTRAL MARSHALL AND SOUTHERN ELKHART COUNTIES...

AT 1018 PM EDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO ONE MILE SOUTH
OF NAPPANEE ON STATE ROUTE 19. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER
NAPPANEE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...
FORAKER...
GOSHEN...
NEW PARIS...
MILLERSBURG...
WATERFORD MILLS...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION!

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF YOU HAVE SEVERE WEATHER TO REPORT...YOU CAN CALL YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FRIDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN MICHIGAN.

LAT...LON 4169 8566 4137 8566 4128 8613 4142 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 228DEG 42KT 4146 8595

$$

#511 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:28 pm

WindRunner wrote:Nice looking storm in SW Ingham County, MI, about 15 nm due south of Lansing.

TVS and a hook echo.

#512 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:30 pm

Wow. They broke out a tornado emergency.

#513 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:32 pm

RL3AO wrote:Wow. They broke out a tornado emergency.

What is especially scary is that is Amish country...many of them don't have any way of knowing!

WindRunner · #514 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:32 pm

RL3AO wrote:
WindRunner wrote:Nice looking storm in SW Ingham County, MI, about 15 nm due south of Lansing.

TVS and a hook echo.

So it seems . . . this has to be on the ground, reports or not.

WindRunner · #515 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:35 pm

A spotter that is chasing that Nappanee storm has reported "debris all over US 6 east of nappanee", with nearby LSRs reporting damages squad cars, several homes damaged, and some injuries.

#516 Postby **RL3AO** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:36 pm

WindRunner wrote:A spotter that is chasing that Nappanee storm has reported "debris all over US 6 east of nappanee", with nearby LSRs reporting damages squad cars, several homes damaged, and some injuries.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tornado_emergency

People are quick. Hopefully it was nothing like Greensburg. But they broke out a tornado emergency so who knows.

#517 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:37 pm

You may be dealing with this tomorrow, WindRunner...

Category 5 · #518 Postby **Category 5** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:41 pm

The hook looks anticyclonic on radar.

#519 Postby **CrazyC83** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:43 pm

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN LAGRANGE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST INDIANA

* UNTIL 1115 PM EDT

* AT 1036 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS
TRACKING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 13 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF SHIPSHEWANA...OR ABOUT OVER GOSHEN...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. WIDESPREAD DAMAGE TO HOMES AND TREES HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN SOUTHERN ELKHART COUNTY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE SEVERE STORM INCLUDE...
SHIPSHEWANA...
SCOTT...
HOWE AND ONTARIO...
BRIGHTON...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION!

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

WindRunner · #520 Postby **WindRunner** » Thu Oct 18, 2007 9:44 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:You may be dealing with this tomorrow, WindRunner...

I know . . . they've been edging the eastern border of that 30% wind westward over the past two days, and the way they describe it we'll be getting some pre-frontal line of convection mid-afternoon, so maybe we'll be saved by some convective debris blocking our peak heating and wasting the little instability we have . . . but then again, it's always interesting to see things hit close to home. I haven't seen a good severe event from up here yet, and either tomorrow or next Tuesday night are both looking pretty good at this point. 8-)

Big Severe Wx Outbreak around 10/18/07 in Plains

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