Outbreak for,TX/OK/ARK/LA on 3/19-20

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Texas Snowman
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#61 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:01 pm

Tornado Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
555 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXC319-192315-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120319T2315Z/
MASON TX-
555 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MASON COUNTY...

AT 553 PM CDT... TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A ROTATING WALL
CLOUD. THIS WALL CLOUD WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF FREDONIA...OR
9 MILES NORTHEAST OF MASON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS.
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
OVERTURNED VEHICLES...
DAMAGE TO TREES...SOME MAY BE UPROOTED...
DAMAGE TO HOMES...MAY DESTROY MANUFACTURED HOMES...
MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE...
MAY BREAK WINDOWS ON VEHICLES AND HOMES...
MAY INJURE PEOPLE...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK LEFT UNPROTECTED...
LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
PONTOTOC BY 605 PM CDT...
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19

#62 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:07 pm

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
TXC299-192330-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0004.120319T2303Z-120319T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
603 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN LLANO COUNTY...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT.

* AT 601 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR FIELD CREEK...OR
ABOUT 16 MILES NORTHEAST OF MASON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE VALLEY SPRING.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19

#63 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:11 pm

Look out San Antonio metro area!

--------

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
TXC163-325-192345-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0005.120319T2307Z-120319T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
607 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN FRIO COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT.

* AT 605 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR FRIO TOWN...OR
ABOUT 15 MILES WEST OF PEARSALL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.*

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE YANCEY...MOORE...SCHATTEL...
BIRY...BIG FOOT...DEVINE...PEARSON...NOONAN...NATALIA AND
CASTROVILLE.
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#64 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:16 pm

Tornado Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
609 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXC319-192315-
/O.CON.KSJT.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120319T2315Z/
MASON TX-
609 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MASON COUNTY...

AT 607 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS CONTINUED TO REPORT A
ROTATING WALL CLOUD. THIS WALL CLOUD WAS LOCATED NEAR PONTOTOC...OR
19 MILES NORTHEAST OF MASON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
DANGEROUS TORNADIC WINDS.
LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE. HAIL
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
OVERTURNED VEHICLES...
DAMAGE TO TREES...SOME MAY BE UPROOTED...
DAMAGE TO HOMES...MAY DESTROY MANUFACTURED HOMES...
DENTED VEHICLES...
MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE...
MAY BREAK WINDOWS ON VEHICLES AND HOMES...
MAY INJURE PEOPLE...PETS...AND LIVESTOCK LEFT UNPROTECTED...
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN MASON COUNTY.
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19

#65 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:18 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
616 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXC411-192330-
/O.CON.KSJT.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120319T2330Z/
SAN SABA TX-
616 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN SAN SABA COUNTY...

AT 611 PM CDT... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF RICHLAND SPRINGS TO 14 MILES WEST OF
CHEROKEE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

WITH POSSIBLE STORM IMPACTS...
VEHICLE DINGS...
MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS...
LIGHT OBJECTS BLOWN AROUND...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
SKEETERVILLE AND RICHLAND SPRINGS BY 625 PM CDT...
LOCKER...CHEROKEE AND ALGERITA BY 630 PM CDT...
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#66 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:20 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC019-265-325-463-200000-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0024.120319T2310Z-120320T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
610 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BANDERA COUNTY...
SOUTHERN KERR COUNTY...
NORTHWESTERN MEDINA COUNTY...
NORTHEASTERN UVALDE COUNTY...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT.

* AT 605 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF UTOPIA...OR 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
TARPLEY...AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE VANDERPOOL...MEDINA...CAMP
VERDE AND CENTER POINT.
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#67 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:26 pm

Tornado Warning
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
616 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TXC163-325-192345-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-120319T2345Z/
MEDINA TX-FRIO TX-
616 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
FRIO AND SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA COUNTIES...

AT 615 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FRIO TOWN...OR 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PEARSALL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE YANCEY...THREE OAKS...
BIRY...PEARSON...NOONAN...SCHATTEL...MOORE...BIG FOOT...NATALIA...
DEVINE AND CASTROVILLE.
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#68 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:29 pm

Tornado Watch
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

TORNADO WATCH 87 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONSTXC013-021-029-055-091-127-149-177-187-209-255-283-287-311-453-
479-491-493-200600-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0087.120319T2325Z-120320T0600Z/

TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATASCOSA BASTROP BEXAR
CALDWELL COMAL DIMMIT
FAYETTE GONZALES GUADALUPE
HAYS KARNES LA SALLE
LEE MCMULLEN TRAVIS
WEBB WILLIAMSON WILSON$$


ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
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#69 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:31 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC163-325-463-507-200030-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0025.120319T2323Z-120320T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
623 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN FRIO COUNTY...
SOUTHWESTERN MEDINA COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN UVALDE COUNTY...
EASTERN ZAVALA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT.

* AT 620 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR LOMA VISTA...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF BIG WELLS...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BATESVILLE...BLUFF AND FRIO
TOWN.
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19

#70 Postby cycloneye » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:36 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 87
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM UNTIL
100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LAREDO TEXAS TO 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF AUSTIN TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...WW 86...

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL DISCRETE SUPERCELLS HAVE FORMED TO THE WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANTONIO...AND APPEAR LIKELY TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY
THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. A MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...COUPLED WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...WILL
PROMOTE THE RISK OF TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ALSO CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...HART

WWUS40 KWNS 192321
WWP7

TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0087
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0621 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

WT 0087
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES : 50%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 80%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 50%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 80%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 80%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%

&&
ATTRIBUTE TABLE:
MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 3.0
MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 70
MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 550
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 24030
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO

&&
FOR A COMPLETE GEOGRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE WATCH AND
WATCH EXPIRATION INFORMATION SEE WOUS64 FOR WOU7.

$$
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#71 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:37 pm

70/50 tornado probs. This is getting more serious. I would expect hatching in the area at 0100Z.
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#72 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:37 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC019-265-385-200030-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0026.120319T2333Z-120320T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
633 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN BANDERA COUNTY...
CENTRAL KERR COUNTY...
EASTERN REAL COUNTY...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT.

* AT 629 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TUFF...OR NEAR LEAKEY...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LOST MAPLES STATE PARK...KERR
WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...HUNT...WALTONIA...MOUNTAIN HOME AND
INGRAM.
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#73 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:41 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC411-200000-
/O.NEW.KSJT.SV.W.0009.120319T2333Z-120320T0000Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
633 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN SAN SABA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 630 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR CHEROKEE...OR 15
MILES NORTH OF LLANO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
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#74 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:48 pm

Tornado warned cell near San Antonio allowed to expire.

------

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC163-325-200045-
/O.NEW.KEWX.SV.W.0027.120319T2345Z-120320T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
645 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN FRIO COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA COUNTY...

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT.* AT 644 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF YANCEY...OR 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PEARSALL...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE MOORE...BIG FOOT...BIRY...
DEVINE...PEARSON...NOONAN...NATALIA AND CASTROVILLE.
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#75 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:53 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC281-200030-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0019.120319T2341Z-120320T0030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
641 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN LAMPASAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 641 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 19 MILES
WEST OF LAMPASAS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LAMPASAS AROUND 705 PM...
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#76 Postby Texas Snowman » Mon Mar 19, 2012 6:54 pm

Taking a break for a while...
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#77 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Mar 19, 2012 7:15 pm

From NWS San Antonio/Austin Page....

Strong cell moving into Bandera County near Lost Maples State Park. Have had a report of Dime size hail.
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#78 Postby Tireman4 » Mon Mar 19, 2012 7:24 pm

From NWS San Antonio/Austin Facebook Page.....

Here is what we are expecting for this event as we move forward. We will see a transition over the next few hours going from discrete cells into more of a line. This will shift the severe threat more towards damaging wind and isolated short lived tornadoes. Then after midnight and towards early Tuesday morning, will see the line of storms along the front slowing over the I-35 corridor, which will be the highest threat period for heavy rain/flash flooding. Please use caution tomorrow morning on the morning commute.
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Ntxw
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#79 Postby Ntxw » Mon Mar 19, 2012 7:59 pm

San Antonio cell looking dangerous. Take cover, heading for the big city.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19

#80 Postby jasons2k » Mon Mar 19, 2012 8:01 pm

From a few minutes ago:

Image

Image
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