Texas Summer 2025

[txtwister78]

A mini heat wave characterization is looking more accurate at least for this week for some with perhaps a break this weekend.

Great analysis above also as to why we havent seen sustained heat take over this summer in addition to the above average precip across several regions throughout late June and early July.

No complaints here either even if 98/99 ultimately feels like 100 plus anyway especially when you factor in humidity (heat index). It could always be hotter in Texas no question this time of year but for now ensembles unfortunately continue to look hot and dry for most so hopefully we can limit the insane heat and find some precip mixed in there soon to help with that.

The CPC has above normal precipitation chances for most of Texas over the next 10 days. Rarely do you see that this time of the year in Texas.

Not anymore and quite honestly I was a little surprised that they had been advertising that because models really weren't all that bullish based on that graphic output. Today's outlook looks more realistic in my opinion.

Secondly when it comes to CPC it's always important to acknowledge what that graphic output means relative to the time of year it's being compared to. In other words, we don't average much precip anyway for this time of year obviously so "above average" on it's own without some context behind it doesn't say much. Perhaps we get a little rain this weekend though and on that absolutely agree anything we can get in this time period is a bonus.

[Cpv17]

A mini heat wave characterization is looking more accurate at least for this week for some with perhaps a break this weekend.

Great analysis above also as to why we havent seen sustained heat take over this summer in addition to the above average precip across several regions throughout late June and early July.

No complaints here either even if 98/99 ultimately feels like 100 plus anyway especially when you factor in humidity (heat index). It could always be hotter in Texas no question this time of year but for now ensembles unfortunately continue to look hot and dry for most so hopefully we can limit the insane heat and find some precip mixed in there soon to help with that.

The CPC has above normal precipitation chances for most of Texas over the next 10 days. Rarely do you see that this time of the year in Texas.

Not anymore and quite honestly I was a little surprised that they had been advertising that because models really weren't all that bullish based on that graphic output. Today's outlook looks more realistic in my opinion.

Secondly when it comes to CPC it's always important to acknowledge what that graphic output means relative to the time of year it's being compared to. In other words, we don't average much precip anyway for this time of year obviously so "above average" on it's own without some context behind it doesn't say much. Perhaps we get a little rain this weekend though and on that absolutely agree anything we can get in this time period is a bonus.

I’ll have a much better chance here than you will. I already got 2.11” this past weekend with more chances on the way. All is well here, for now anyway.

[mmmmsnouts]

The dreaded heat ridge attacks next week possibly stretching into the following week. Both the GFS and Euro are now advertising 100 degree plus temps across a good portion of the state.

Temps look brutal across North Texas but by in large this may be our hottest stretch of the summer likely headed our way. It was bound to happen.

The extended models have advertised this four or five times at this point and none of them have panned out. It’s like a 2 foot snowstorm or a Cat 5 in the Gulf.

Yeah but this time it's only a few days away and it hasn't rained across much of north TX in a while. Very good chance DFW hits 100F later this week.

Now that we’re a day or two away I agree we’re going to get there. My point then was even in the middle range the models had been overstating heat forecasts by several degrees. I think they were predicting 104-105 at the end of last week and we stayed under 100 (barely).

[snownado]

The extended models have advertised this four or five times at this point and none of them have panned out. It’s like a 2 foot snowstorm or a Cat 5 in the Gulf.

Yeah but this time it's only a few days away and it hasn't rained across much of north TX in a while. Very good chance DFW hits 100F later this week.

Now that we’re a day or two away I agree we’re going to get there. My point then was even in the middle range the models had been overstating heat forecasts by several degrees. I think they were predicting 104-105 at the end of last week and we stayed under 100 (barely).

The high today was actually a couple degrees below the forecast as well (*ONLY* 97*F).

[txtwister78]

The CPC has above normal precipitation chances for most of Texas over the next 10 days. Rarely do you see that this time of the year in Texas.

Not anymore and quite honestly I was a little surprised that they had been advertising that because models really weren't all that bullish based on that graphic output. Today's outlook looks more realistic in my opinion.

Secondly when it comes to CPC it's always important to acknowledge what that graphic output means relative to the time of year it's being compared to. In other words, we don't average much precip anyway for this time of year obviously so "above average" on it's own without some context behind it doesn't say much. Perhaps we get a little rain this weekend though and on that absolutely agree anything we can get in this time period is a bonus.

I’ll have a much better chance here than you will. I already got 2.11” this past weekend with more chances on the way. All is well here, for now anyway.

Perhaps, but I was referring to your specific comment regarding "much of Texas" being above normal precip wise.

CPC caught up to the models today and even for your region they've brought odds down also a bit.

Nice to know you got some rain in your backyard over the weekend.

[txtwister78]

CPC day 6-10 continues to go 180 in the direction of forecasting above normal temperatures as I suspected they would and below normal precip for much of Texas.

It's finally catching up to us folks but better late than having to endure months of the heat that looks to be headed our way.

Still watching the tropics especially as we move into the second week of August.

[Cpv17]

CPC day 6-10 continues to go 180 in the direction of forecasting above normal temperatures as I suspected they would and below normal precip for much of Texas.

It's finally catching up to us folks but better late than having to endure months of the heat that looks to be headed our way.

Still watching the tropics especially as we move into the second week of August.

I still don’t think it’ll be anything out of the ordinary for the time of year. We haven’t even made it to the upper 90’s yet this summer at my location.

[South Texas Storms]

And there it is...DFW has now officially hit 100F for the first time this year. And it's only going to get hotter the next few days across north TX before a slight break in the heat this weekend.

[Pas_Bon]

And there it is...DFW has now officially hit 100F for the first time this year. And it's only going to get hotter the next few days across north TX before a slight break in the heat this weekend.

On which date was the first 100° day last Summer (2024)?

[Brent]

And there it is...DFW has now officially hit 100F for the first time this year. And it's only going to get hotter the next few days across north TX before a slight break in the heat this weekend.

On which date was the first 100° day last Summer (2024)?

June 23rd last year for DFW

And it had been in June for 3 years in a row. Latest since 2019

[txtwister78]

CPC day 6-10 continues to go 180 in the direction of forecasting above normal temperatures as I suspected they would and below normal precip for much of Texas.

It's finally catching up to us folks but better late than having to endure months of the heat that looks to be headed our way.

Still watching the tropics especially as we move into the second week of August.

I still don’t think it’ll be anything out of the ordinary for the time of year. We haven’t even made it to the upper 90’s yet this summer at my location.

Well I guess that depends on what your definition of ordinary is in Texas during the month of August but based on the above average temps the CPC is now forecasting in the 6-10 and even beyond that timeframe, I would say not encouraging if you're looking for those sub 100 degree temperature readings to continue (especially considering the time of year).

In addition to that, with a drier pattern also now seemingly locked in via the models (outside of whatever folks might get this weekend), the heat is on and likely to build as we move into the first few weeks of August. But hey keep us posted on those temps in your region please.

[Cpv17]

CPC day 6-10 continues to go 180 in the direction of forecasting above normal temperatures as I suspected they would and below normal precip for much of Texas.

It's finally catching up to us folks but better late than having to endure months of the heat that looks to be headed our way.

Still watching the tropics especially as we move into the second week of August.

I still don’t think it’ll be anything out of the ordinary for the time of year. We haven’t even made it to the upper 90’s yet this summer at my location.

Well I guess that depends on what your definition of ordinary is in Texas during the month of August but based on the above average temps the CPC is now forecasting in the 6-10 and even beyond that timeframe, I would say not encouraging if you're looking for those sub 100 degree temperature readings to continue (especially considering the time of year).

In addition to that, with a drier pattern also now seemingly locked in via the models (outside of whatever folks might get this weekend), the heat is on and likely to build as we move into the first few weeks of August. But hey keep us posted on those temps in your region please.

Upper 90’s to low 100’s is what I would call ordinary in my part of Texas for late July/early August. So far we’ve hit 97 a few times. Tomorrow should beat that though as it looks to be the hottest day of the year for SETX.

[CaptinCrunch]

NWS FTW

.LONG TERM... /Issued 1253 AM CDT Wed Jul 30 2025/
/Friday Onward/

The upper ridge will become displaced to our west during the
extended forecast period, keeping North Texas beneath northerly
flow aloft along its eastern periphery. This will allow the weak
cold front approaching the area on Thursday to continue its
southward advance into North Texas on Friday, with its final
stalled position being further influenced by convective outflows
from thunderstorm activity along it. This quasi-stationary boundary
will result in scattered thunderstorms from Friday through Sunday
at coverage of 20-40% as it lingers across parts of North and East
Texas. In addition, stronger northerly mid-level flow on the
eastern periphery of the ridge could result in more organized
convection due to more favorable shear. MCS activity originating
from western Oklahoma could move southeastward into North Texas
either Saturday or Sunday, following the convergence and
instability axes. While organized severe weather is unlikely
overall, there will be at least a low potential for strong/severe
wind gusts with any more robust thunderstorms. The increased
cloud cover and presence of rain-cooled air will knock several
degrees off of high temperatures compared to the preceding days,
with some areas only reaching the lower 90s for highs over the
weekend. This pattern could prevail into the first half of next
week, with low chances for MCS activity and near-normal
temperatures.

-Stalley

[CaptinCrunch]

In Fort Worth, Texas we are losing on average 50 min of daylight per month as we head toward the Winter Solstice on Dec 21st.

Today, July 30, 2025, the length of daylight is approximately 13 hours and 52 minutes.

On August 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 12 hours and 51 minutes of daylight

On September 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 11 hours and 51 minutes of daylight

On October 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 10 hours and 54 minutes of daylight

On November 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 10 hours and 9 minutes of daylight

On December 21st, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 9 hours and 59 minutes of daylight

On December 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 10 hours and 1 minutes of daylight

[Ntxw]

Dewpoints lower this morning and winds are ssw. This means temperatures will be able to soar above 100 today.

[Brent]

In Fort Worth, Texas we are losing on average 50 min of daylight per month as we head toward the Winter Solstice on Dec 21st.

Today, July 30, 2025, the length of daylight is approximately 13 hours and 52 minutes.

On August 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 12 hours and 51 minutes of daylight

On September 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 11 hours and 51 minutes of daylight

On October 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 10 hours and 54 minutes of daylight

On November 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 10 hours and 9 minutes of daylight

On December 21st, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 9 hours and 59 minutes of daylight

On December 30th, 2025, in Fort Worth, TX, there will be approximately 10 hours and 1 minutes of daylight

It's getting very noticeable in the mornings already

Winter is coming

[Cpv17]

Dewpoints lower this morning and winds are ssw. This means temperatures will be able to soar above 100 today.

I noticed that too. I made it down to 71°F this morning. Unusual.

[mmmmsnouts]

Dewpoints lower this morning and winds are ssw. This means temperatures will be able to soar above 100 today.

[gpsnowman]

Dewpoints lower this morning and winds are ssw. This means temperatures will be able to soar above 100 today.

I noticed that too. I made it down to 71°F this morning. Unusual.

Humidity much lower today but already 96 up here before noon. Still gross. One more day tomorrow then some relief for a few days.

[Pas_Bon]

Unfortunately, I see no snow on the horizon for Texas over the course of the next 10-14 days.