Caribbean - Central America Weather

[Gustywind]

[redneck51]

FWIW still no power/water here in Las Piedras/PR.
Not that I'm surprised. If you look at how electricity cables are running around here (through trees, poles that almost fall down) it's a wonder that we have electricity every now and then.
The AEEE (PR power authorithy) should learn what the word maintenance means.

Was on the road today (> 130 miles) and apart from a couple of downed trees I didn't see any damage.

AEEE management should be ashamed..

[cycloneye]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 312214
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
614 PM AST TUE AUG 31 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...EARL IS BUILDING A WEAK RIDGE TO ITS
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND HIGH PRESSURE
NORTHEAST OF THE AREA IS EXPECTED TO FILL IN OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS TO OUR NORTH ON WEDNESDAY. A WEAK TROUGH JUST EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE LOCAL AREA AND THE
CARIBBEAN TO OUR SOUTH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHILE FLOW AROUND THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC HIGH BECOMES EASTERLY AND ACCELERATES SOMEWHAT
OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC. ON
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY LOW PRESSURE NOSES INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
AND ACCELERATES THE FLOW FROM THE NORTHEAST OVER THE LOCAL AREA.
THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE DIRECTLY OVER PUERTO RICO ON SUNDAY
NIGHT. ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE MOVES WEST ACROSS THE ATLANTIC
WATERS TO OUR NORTHEAST AND CREATES A RIDGE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA ON WEDNESDAY.

AT MID AND LOWER LEVELS...HURRICANE EARL MOVES NORTHWEST AND AWAY
FROM THE AREA. THE MOISTURE PLUME FROM ITS TAIL ALSO GRADUALLY
DIMINISHES AND RECEDES TO THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC BUILDS WEST OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS TO OUR NORTH
AND BECOMES BETTER CENTERED IN THE ATLANTIC CAUSING A RESUMPTION
OF THE TRADE WINDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...RAIN BANDS OF MAJOR HURRICANE EARL ARE DIMINISHING
OVER THE AREA AND ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AT MOST SHOULD APPEAR
OVER LAND TONIGHT. AS CLOUDS CLEAR THESE WILL ALSO DISSIPATE. A
FEW SHOWERS MAY REMAIN OVER THE CARIBBEAN AND SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL CONTINUE ON THE NORTHWESTERN CORNER OF OUR FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS MOVING AT 24 MPH TOWARD THE WEST
NORTHWEST AND AT THAT RATE WOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT THE EASTERN
PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA BY TOMORROW MORNING. BUT...ALL GLOBAL
MODELS ARE PULLING IT UP INTO THE FLOW HEADED TOWARD EARL. THIS
WOULD BRING ONLY A LITTLE RAINFALL INTO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
MOST OF WHICH ONLY COMES BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AT THE MOMENT ONE
COULD INTERPRET THE SATELLITE IMAGES EITHER WAY. AREAS OF STRONG
CONVECTION ARE NOW FORMING A MORE NORTHEAST SOUTHEAST LINE...YET
THE SYSTEM ITSELF MAY OR MAY NOT BE SLOWING DOWN SUFFICIENTLY TO
PREVENT IT FROM ARRIVING IN THE NEXT 15 HOURS. THE NEXT FEW HOURS
SHOULD BE THE KEY. IN ANY EVENT THE FORECAST FROM THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER TAKES FIONA OVER 100 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF
SAINT JOHN MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...WHICH WOULD KEEP RAIN AND ALMOST ALL
OF THE WIND AWAY FROM US. THE NAM IS THE ONLY OUTLIER HERE...ITS
18Z RUN BRINGS VERY HIGH CHANCES OF RAIN INTO THE NORTHEAST CORNER
OF THE FORECAST AREA...THE ANEGADA PASSAGE...BUT STILL KEEPS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS UNDER ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS. WILL KEEP THIS
SCENARIO BUT NOT ADD HIGH POPS YET IN OVER THE ANEGADA PASSAGE
UNTIL THE FIONA`S CHARACTERISTICS ARE BETTER KNOWN.

BEYOND FIONA...THE GFS BRINGS IN A TUTT LOW ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
WHICH BRINGS IN SOME PATCHES OF EXCELLENT MOISTURE WHICH SHOULD
ENHANCE SHOWER ACTIVITY ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE REMAINDER OF
THE PERIOD HAS FEW NOTABLE FEATURES CROSSING THE AREA THAT WOULD
GIVE US MUCH MORE THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS FOR GENERALLY EASTERLY
FLOW.


&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL PR AND THE
VI TAF SITES THROUGH 01/12Z WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDS IN PASSING
SHOWERS. AFT 01/16Z...MVFR CONDS AND MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL AND THE NORTHERN TAF SITES
OF PUERTO RICO IN SHRA OR TSRA. ACROSS TNCM AND TKPK MVFR CONDS
POSSIBLE IN PASSING SHOWERS THROUGH 01/12Z.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS WERE HOVERING JUST BELOW 7 FEET IN THE NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS AND OF COURSE SEAS WERE MORE SHELTERED IN THE
CARIBBEAN FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE EARL. SEAS IN THE OUTER
ATLANTIC HAD FALLEN TO 15 FEET BY 31/2050Z. ALTHOUGH SEAS WILL
REMAIN CLOSE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES SHOULD BEGIN TO FALL AROUND
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT IN ALL BUT THE ATLANTIC WATERS. WAVE HEIGHTS
SOUTH OF FIONA WERE NOT NOTED ABOVE 6 FEET YET AT BUOY 41101 EAST
OF MARTINIQUE. THEREFORE AM REASONABLY CONFIDENT THAT THE WAVE
MODEL`S ASSESSMENT IS OKAY WITH REGARDS TO WAVES AHEAD OF FIONA.
IN FACT...CONSIDERING FIONA`S RAPID PACE...WAVES MAY ARRIVE
COINCIDENTALLY WITH THE STORM. SMALL CRAFT WILL STILL NEED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION WEDNESDAY IN SOME AREAS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...HEAVY RAINS FROM EARL SATURATED SOILS AND ENHANCED
THE AMOUNT AND RAPIDITY OF THE RUN-OFF OVER THE AREA. SOME LOCAL
RIVERS HAVE BEEN RUNNING NOT FAR BELOW FLOOD STAGES INCLUDING THE
RIO GRANDE DE MANATI AND THE HORMIGUEROS RIVER. THE FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE RIO GRANDE DE MANATI WAS CANCELED AT 5 PM AST SINCE
FURTHER RAINS WILL NOT BE ABLE TO LIFT IT ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AGAIN
TONIGHT. THE HORMIGUEROS RIVER IS LEVELING OFF WITHIN ONE AND ONE
HALF FEET OF FLOOD STAGE AND MAY GO UP A LITTLE MORE. BUT RAIN
BANDS ARE RAPIDLY WEAKENING OVER LAND AS THE SUN GOES DOWN AND IT
IS NOT EXPECTED TO FLOOD NOW EITHER. OTHER RIVERS SUCH AS THE RIO
DE LA PLATA WILL ALSO HOVER FOR A WHILE AS EXCESS WATER DRAIN BUT
IS NOT NOW EXPECTED TO FLOOD. THEREFORE AM EXPECTING TO CANCEL THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH AT 6 PM AST.

[cycloneye]

FXCA62 TJSJ 010057 AAA
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
857 PM AST TUE AUG 31 2010

.UPDATE...NEW 00Z SOUNDING SUGGEST SUBSIDENCE IN THE4 WAKE OF
HURRICANE EARL POSSIBLY EVIDENCED BY THE WARMING THAT HAS
OCCURRED FROM THE SURFACE TO ABOUT 600 MB. ALSO THE AIR COLUMN IS
MUCH DRIER AND PRECIPITABLE WATER HAS DROPPED FROM 2.39 INCHES IN
THE 12Z RUN TO 1.94 INCHES NOW. FIONA HAS SENT OFF A POCKET OF
CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST INTO THE CIRCULATION OF EARL BUT
APPEARS TO HAVE LEFT A REMNANT WHOSE CENTER IS DUE EAST OF
DOMINICA. THIS CENTER APPEARS TO BE MOVING WEST. IF THIS IS SO...THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH FIONA MAY BE SLOWING DOWN WHILE MOVING
DUE WEST. IF CURRENT MOVEMENT PERSISTS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
CONVECTION COULD ARRIVE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BEFORE
SUNRISE...BUT IT HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF SLOWING. CURRENT OVERNIGHT
FORECAST APPEARS TO BE HOLDING SO WILL NOT UPDATE ZONES AT THIS
TIME.

ONLY THE RIO GRANDE DE MANATI IS RISING...AGAIN...AT THIS
TIME...LIKELY DUE TO RAIN THAT FELL WELL UPSTREAM THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT IT TO CREST WITHIN 90 MINUTES OR BEFORE 10 PM AST JUST BELOW
FLOOD STAGE. THEREFORE WILL NOT RE-ISSUE THE FLOOD WARNING...BUT
THOSE WHO ARE AFFECTED BY NEAR FLOODS ON THIS RIVER WILL
DEFINITELY BE AFFECTED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS RIVER.

&&


.AVIATION...CONINUED VFR EXPECTED AT ALL STATIONS UNTIL 01/0Z OR
LATER. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION APPLIES.

[BZSTORM]

Glad to hear most of you islanders didn't get too much damage, sounds like VI got hit pretty hard seeing no power still for many areas. Sorry to see Fiona heading towards you all, know how depressing constant rain can be.......simple things like dry clean clothes can mean allot.

We must have been having some sympathy weather here in Belize with you islanders as both friday & saturday night we had some big squalls come through in the south, allot of rain and some heavy gusting winds 20kts at least maybe higher 25kts?, nice thunder storms to watch. Been dead calm last night and so far tonight as well. Reminds me of how it used to be here 15 years ago in August, hard rain at night and dry, hot & humid during the day.

Have a question this next TW invest 98L, if it does get inside the Carib, is it likely to head in Belize's direction any at all. I know there is talk on the discussion page that it could eventually end up in South Florida but curious if u older (as in more experienced) weather watchers see anything which could imapct Belzie around Sept 10th this is big celebration holiday here (St George's caye day), street parades, beach parties (for us on the coast) etc. Well September is like one big celebration & includes 21st Independence Day, carnival more parties, hey we got to do something in the slow season.

[cycloneye]

Good morning.


AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
554 AM AST WED SEP 1 2010

.SYNOPSIS...MAJOR HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED WELL NORTHWEST OF THE
LOCAL AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING STEADILY AWAY
FROM THE REGION TODAY. AT 5 AM AST...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
FIONA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE
60.2 DEGREES WEST AND WAS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST AT NEAR 14 MPH.
BASE ON THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST...FIONA IS EXPECTED
TO PASS OVER OR JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS
LATER THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON...AND THEN MAINLY NORTHEAST OF
THE LOCAL AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL STORM FIONA...ALBEIT A CLOSE CALL...IS
STILL EXPECTED TO PASS FAR ENOUGH NORTHEAST OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS...
THAT THE FORECAST AREA WILL RECEIVE ONLY FRINGE EFFECTS...MAINLY
IN THE FORM OF INCREASED MOISTURE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AND
LINGERING INTO THURSDAY. THIS MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH LOCAL
EFFECTS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...TO PRODUCE SOME
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...BRIEF STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...
LIGHTNING AND AT LEAST SOME MINOR LOW LYING FLOODING ARE EXPECTED
IN A FEW LOCATIONS. FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT
DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...LINGERING MOISTURE SHOULD COMBINE
WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AGAIN EACH AFTERNOON...TO PRODUCE SOME
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
LOCAL AREA. WE WILL BE WATCHING THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
NEAR 12 NORTH AND 34.5 WEST CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...AS A
COUPLE OF THE GLOBAL MODELS REALLY LIKE THIS SYSTEM AND TPC/NHC
HAS NOW BUMPED THE DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL UP TO 50% OR A MEDIUM
CHANCE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...TS FIONA WILL BE THE MAIN DOMINANT SYNOPTIC SCALE
FEATURE TODAY. CLOUDINESS AND SHRA/TSRA WILL OVERSPREAD ACROSS
THE REGION FROM THE EAST...AS TS FIONA TRACKS NE OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS WILL LEAD TEMPO MVFR/IFR CONDS IN THE
VICINITY OR AROUND TNCM...TKPK...TIST...TISX...TJSJ AND TJBQ. IN
ADDITION...THIS ACTIVITY WILL PRODUCE MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ACROSS
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PR. LLVL WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE
SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS...WITH HIGHER GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS.

&&

.MARINE...EXPECT WINDS OF 19 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS OF 7 FEET OR
LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...BUT
GENERALLY HIGHEST TODAY AND TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC OFF SHORE WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE TODAY AND SMALL BOAT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINING LOCAL COASTAL WATERS.

&&

.CLIMATE...SEVERAL RAINFALL RECORDS WERE BROKEN WITH THE PASSAGE OF
HURRICANE EARL ON MONDAY. THIS RECORD RAINFALL ALSO ADDED TO THE
RECORD RAINFALL RECORDED SO FAR THIS YEAR AT THE LUIS MUNOZ MARIN
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THESE
RECORDS...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST NEWS HEADLINE ON YOUR NWS SAN JUAN
HOMEPAGE.

[Gustywind]

[abajan]

Overcast with several distant rumbles of thunder in Barbados this morning. Lots of lightning in the predawn hours.

[cycloneye]

Puerto Rico is way above normal in 2010 in terms of rainfall totals so far.

This unusually wet weather has not been limited to San Juan. According to the latest cooperative weather data from over 50 stations across Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico as a whole has recorded approximately 140% of its normal precipitation in 2010, and the U.S. Virgin Islands have recorded approximately 171% of their normal precipitation. In addition, temperatures have been significantly above normal in 2010, with August 2010 marking the 15th straight month in a row with above normal temperatures recorded in San Juan (see plot below).

[msbee]

go away Fiona!
none of us need more rain right now.
and don't churn up the seas too much. our electric company already can't put two of its generators on line due to rough seas.
power outages all over the place.
God help us if we really had had a direct hit from Earl.

Good morning everyone
think sun!

[Macrocane]

Fiona intensified who would've thought? Stay safe, as you said you don't need more rain now so I hope you don't receive too much from Fiona, keep us updated.

[BZSTORM]

Keep safe, and as dry as you can ALL off you in the islands you've had a rough wet season already and as Msbee says they don't need anymore rain or heavy winds. And now looks like Gaston potententially right on Fionas heels. Sending positive thoughts and prayers your way that Fiona has some kind of lapse as she swings near you all and doesn't drop too much rain. Wishing I could send u the sunny dry weather we have in BZ right now. Keep safe.

[msbee]

heavy rain here now
white out conditions

[msbee]

and now the sun is shining

[cycloneye]

Our next threat will be what is now TD 9. Lets see what happens in the next few days with the track and strengh.

[HurricaneQueen]

Any word from BVIgal or anyone in the VI for that matter? Eerily quiet. Hope all is well. It sounds as if they got hit fairly hard. From reading Storm Carib, it appears that many are without electricity.

Lynn

To all in the Caribbean: Please be safe in your clean up efforts

[caribepr]

Friends in Jost (BVI) are getting some word out...St. John friend said they got close to hurricane force winds, St. Thomas still no power as of awhile ago, so hoping the reason we're not hearing from bvigal is lack of connection

[cycloneye]

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
407 PM AST WED SEP 1 2010

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...AN INVERTED TROUGH IS MOVING
WESTWARD OVER THE CARIBBEAN SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. HIGH
PRESSURE NORTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS EXTENDS OVER HAITI AND
THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. IT WILL SHIFT RAPIDLY WEST AS A TUTT CROSSES
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND THE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH IT MOVES
OVERHEAD ON SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE ATLANTIC
OCEAN JUST NORTHEAST OF THE AREA DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE HOLDS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC EAST
SOUTHEAST OF HURRICANE EARL...WHILE TROPICAL STORM FIONA TRIES TO
BURROW NORTHWEST INTO IT ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. A TROUGH DEEPENS
OVER THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC ON FRIDAY...MOVES INTO THE
CARIBBEAN ON SATURDAY AND PASSES PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HURRICANE EARL CONTINUES AWAY FROM THE AREA
NORTH OF THE BAHAMA ISLANDS. AT 2 PM AST TROPICAL STORM FIONA WAS
LOCATED AT 19.3 NORTH 62.2 WEST. IT WAS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15
KNOTS AND EXCEPT FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER SEAS IS NOT EXPECTED TO
AFFECT THE LOCAL AREA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER NINE WAS LOCATED
AT 12.4 NORTH AND 35.8 WEST OR ABOUT 2000 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN...MOVING WEST AT 15 KNOTS AND MAY APPROACH THE AREA ON
TUESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...STRONG HEATING ACROSS THE NORTHERN SLOPES OF THE
COASTAL MOUNTAINS IN CENTRAL PUERTO RICO SET OFF SEVERAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGE NEAR CIALES. SHOWERS ALSO CROSSED
THROUGH THE SAN JUAN/CAROLINA METROPOLITAN AREA AND LEFT 0.81
INCHES AT THE AIRPORT IN SAN JUAN. CLOUDS FROM FIONA HAVE BEEN
CROSSING THROUGH THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BUT LITTLE WIND OR WEATHER
HAS BEEN OBSERVED THERE. THE CENTER OF FIONA IS MOVING NORTHWEST AND
THE ONLY EFFECTS LIKELY TO BE SEEN IN OUR FORECAST AREA ARE
SLIGHTLY HIGHER SEAS IN THE NORTHEAST PORTION OF AMZ710. AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH HAS TRIGGERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CARIBBEAN
SOUTH OF THE MONA PASSAGE. THESE SENT AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NORTH...
AND NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHWEST CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WAS MOVING AT 33 KNOTS AND WAS TRIGGERING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

ONCE HEATING DIMINISHES TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ABATE. BUT CONTINUED MOISTURE AT THE SURFACE AND LIGHT
WINDS...LESS THAN 15 KNOTS...ALOFT WILL LIKELY TRIGGER MORE
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LEEWARD SIDE OF THE FLOW...WHICH AT
THIS TIME IS IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST. THUS
EXPECT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM IN THE WEST AND NORTHWEST OF
PUERTO RICO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.ACTIVITY OVER THE AREA SHOULD RETURN TO CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...BUT AT PRESENT THE GFS IS INDICATING THAT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER 9 WILL STRENGTHEN INTO TROPICAL
STORM...POSSIBLY HURRICANE...GASTON AND TRACK NEAR OVER OVER THE
LOCAL AREA. THE NEXT INFORMATION ON THIS WILL BE AVAILABLE FROM
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.


.AVIATION...
MVFR CONDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS TJMZ AND TJBQ THROUGH
01/22Z. PREVAILING VFR CONDS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL PR AND THE VI TAF
SITES AFT 01/22Z BUT WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDS IN PASSING SHOWERS
ACROSS TIST...TISX...TJSJ AND TJPS. CLOUDINESS AND SHRA/TSRA
ASSOCIATED WITH TS FIONA WILL OVERSPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FROM
THE EAST...AS TS FIONA TRACKS NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.
THIS WILL LEAD MVFR CONDS IN THE VICINITY OR AROUND TNCM AND TKPK.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS IN THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC ZONE ARE EXPECTED TO RISE
WITH THE SWELL FROM TROPICAL STORM FIONA MOVING NORTHWEST TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA. EXPECT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES TO CONTINUE
THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. MARINERS WILL ALSO WANT TO MONITOR
WEATHER CONDITIONS FREQUENTLY DUE TO THE UNSTABLE NATURE OF THE
ATMOSPHERE AT THIS TIME.

[msbee]

Any word from BVIgal or anyone in the VI for that matter? Eerily quiet. Hope all is well. It sounds as if they got hit fairly hard. From reading Storm Carib, it appears that many are without electricity.

Lynn

To all in the Caribbean: Please be safe in your clean up efforts

bvigal is fine!

[cycloneye]

Well folks,we have TS Gaston and this one really may be the biggest threat yet this season so lets continue to watch the progress of it.