2011 SE TX/SW LA Weather: Nice weather next several days
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southerngale
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OMG Jason! And here I thought the record of 105° set at BPT today was hot! 
I am so glad that I actually enjoy the hot weather, otherwise, I'd be miserable. haha
But when winter comes, I'll probably be complaining like everyone complains about the heat. Unless there's snow, of course.
I am so glad that I actually enjoy the hot weather, otherwise, I'd be miserable. haha
But when winter comes, I'll probably be complaining like everyone complains about the heat. Unless there's snow, of course.
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Re: 2011 SE TX/SW LA Weather:This IS WAY PAST ridiculous!!!!!
NWS Houston forecasts rain starting on Wednesday night. Gets higher on Thursday and Friday.
http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/foreca ... txz213.txt
Code: Select all
Expires:201108282130;;062011
FPUS54 KHGX 280918
ZFPHGX
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
418 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011
TXZ213-282130-
HARRIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...HUMBLE...KATY...PASADENA...
TOMBALL
418 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT MONDAY...
.TODAY...SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
SUNNY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 107. EAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 104. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 100. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. CHANCE
OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
$$http://weather.noaa.gov/pub/data/foreca ... txz213.txt
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Tireman4
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Just another cool day in H-Town and by the way, the record for the day (101) is toast....
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 28, 1:53 pm CDT
Fair
105 °F
(41 °C) Humidity: 25 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 3 MPH
Barometer: 29.80" (1009.0 mb)
Dewpoint: 63 °F (17 °C)
Heat Index: 108 °F (42 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 28, 1:53 pm CDT
Fair
105 °F
(41 °C) Humidity: 25 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 3 MPH
Barometer: 29.80" (1009.0 mb)
Dewpoint: 63 °F (17 °C)
Heat Index: 108 °F (42 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
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~FlipFlopGirl~
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- Location: Waco,TX
Re: 2011 SE TX/SW LA Weather:This IS WAY PAST ridiculous!!!!!
It is 107 in Waco right now- So if this high ridge moves this week- that could affect the path of the 92L by either pulling west into the GOM or North East into the Atlantic?
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Tireman4
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DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY IN PARADISE WITH RECORD 105+ TEMPS. EXPECT
A SLOW DOWNWARD TREND WITH THE DAYTIME HIGHS AS A MORE DEFINED
ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES IN THE DAYS TO COME. UPPER RIDGE STILL
EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST OF THE REGION TOWARD MIDWEEK. AS THIS OCCURS
A TROF CURRENTLY SITUATED IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL TREK ACROSS THE
YUCATAN AND WNW INTO THE WESTERN GULF. EXPECT A SLUG OF DEEPER
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BEGIN PUSHING INLAND LATE WED NIGHT INTO
THURS BRINGING A FAIRLY DECENT SHOT OF RAIN TO MOST OF SE TX.
THINK THESE CHANCES WILL CONTINUE DAILY GOING INTO THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS REMAINING IN PLACE AND THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF/WEAKNESS SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY. THE 12Z MODELS ARE
SHOWING CENTER OF THIS FEATURE SITUATED DUE NORTH OF SE TX FRI-SAT
WITH THE TROF AXIS STRETCHING DOWN THE I-45 CORRIDOR. THIS WOULD
GENERALLY PLACE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP EAST OF THAT AXIS...BUT STILL
ANTICIPATE FAIRLY DECENT CHANCES ACROSS THE MOST OF REGION ESP
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. IT`S STILL A GOOD 5 DAYS OUT AND DON`T
HAVE ENOUGH SKILL TO PINPOINT ITS LOCATION THIS FAR OUT (WHICH
MAKES A DIFFERENCE POP/QPF- WISE)...SO THINK THE CURRENT 30-50%
WILL SUFFICE FOR NOW. MEDIUM RANGE SOLNS HAVE SOME SIGNIFICANT
TIMING ISSUES AS TO WHEN THE UPPER WEAKNESS MOVES TO OFF TO THE
EAST BRINGING AN EVENTUAL END TO RAIN CHANCES. FWIW - ECMWF IS
PUSHING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE AREA NEXT MONDAY...SOMETHING
THE 06Z GFS WAS ALSO HINTING AT. 47
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY IN PARADISE WITH RECORD 105+ TEMPS. EXPECT
A SLOW DOWNWARD TREND WITH THE DAYTIME HIGHS AS A MORE DEFINED
ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES IN THE DAYS TO COME. UPPER RIDGE STILL
EXPECTED TO PUSH EAST OF THE REGION TOWARD MIDWEEK. AS THIS OCCURS
A TROF CURRENTLY SITUATED IN THE CARIBBEAN WILL TREK ACROSS THE
YUCATAN AND WNW INTO THE WESTERN GULF. EXPECT A SLUG OF DEEPER
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BEGIN PUSHING INLAND LATE WED NIGHT INTO
THURS BRINGING A FAIRLY DECENT SHOT OF RAIN TO MOST OF SE TX.
THINK THESE CHANCES WILL CONTINUE DAILY GOING INTO THE WEEKEND
WITH HIGHER MOISTURE LEVELS REMAINING IN PLACE AND THE UPPER
LEVEL TROF/WEAKNESS SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY. THE 12Z MODELS ARE
SHOWING CENTER OF THIS FEATURE SITUATED DUE NORTH OF SE TX FRI-SAT
WITH THE TROF AXIS STRETCHING DOWN THE I-45 CORRIDOR. THIS WOULD
GENERALLY PLACE THE HEAVIEST PRECIP EAST OF THAT AXIS...BUT STILL
ANTICIPATE FAIRLY DECENT CHANCES ACROSS THE MOST OF REGION ESP
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS. IT`S STILL A GOOD 5 DAYS OUT AND DON`T
HAVE ENOUGH SKILL TO PINPOINT ITS LOCATION THIS FAR OUT (WHICH
MAKES A DIFFERENCE POP/QPF- WISE)...SO THINK THE CURRENT 30-50%
WILL SUFFICE FOR NOW. MEDIUM RANGE SOLNS HAVE SOME SIGNIFICANT
TIMING ISSUES AS TO WHEN THE UPPER WEAKNESS MOVES TO OFF TO THE
EAST BRINGING AN EVENTUAL END TO RAIN CHANCES. FWIW - ECMWF IS
PUSHING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO THE AREA NEXT MONDAY...SOMETHING
THE 06Z GFS WAS ALSO HINTING AT. 47
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
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southerngale
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
It was *only* 102° at BPT today. Unlike yesterday, where I was a couple of degrees cooler than the 105° at BPT, today was a little hotter here than BPT at 104°
Looking at my forecast for later this week, my jaw dropped:
Rain chances...
Thursday - 40%
Friday - 50%
Saturday - 50%
Sunday - 40%
It's been MONTHS since I've seen a forecast like that! While I know it will change being so far out, hopefully it trends wetter and not drier. Let it rain!!
Looking at my forecast for later this week, my jaw dropped:
Rain chances...
Thursday - 40%
Friday - 50%
Saturday - 50%
Sunday - 40%
It's been MONTHS since I've seen a forecast like that! While I know it will change being so far out, hopefully it trends wetter and not drier. Let it rain!!
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vbhoutex
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- Posts: 29112
- Age: 73
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
- Location: Cypress, TX
- Contact:
Re:
Tireman4 wrote:Just another cool day in H-Town and by the way, the record for the day (101) is toast....
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 28, 1:53 pm CDT
Fair
105 °F
(41 °C) Humidity: 25 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 3 MPH
Barometer: 29.80" (1009.0 mb)
Dewpoint: 63 °F (17 °C)
Heat Index: 108 °F (42 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
Final high at IAH was 107.1f, 108f both at my house and the weatherbug site. I hate walking out into a freaking oven. I am not about to hold my breath for the predictions for later this week, but I will remain at least hopeful. 92f sounds almost like freezing these days.
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Tireman4
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- Location: Humble, Texas
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From Jeff this morning:
What a weekend with record heat…the hottest temperatures of this horribly hot summer, and the records fell!
BUSH IAH reached 109 on Saturday and 107 on Sunday shattering the daily record highs and tied the all-time record high of 109 on Saturday!
Large upper level high over the state will bake the area again today with highs in the 104-107 degree range and again above 100 on Tuesday. Big changes begin by late Wednesday as an upper level trough develops over the Gulf of Mexico and pushes toward the lower TX coast. At this same time deep tropical moisture currently noted over the western Caribbean Sea will be drawn northward on the east side of this trough into SE TX starting late Wednesday. PWS values which are bone dry at this time will surge into the 2.3-2.5 inch range by early Thursday morning….very tropical. Upper level ridge aloft split and one piece moving into the SW US and the other becoming an extension of the Bermuda ridge over the SE US. For the first time in months TX will lie in a weakened height field with very favorable rain making conditions.
Expect to see numerous showers/thunderstorms begin to advance toward the coast late Wednesday and inland early Thursday morning as deep tropical moisture surges inland. Favorable lift will continue into Friday and Saturday with morning coastal storms becoming inland afternoon storms as the seabreeze moves inland. These types of patterns can produce some slow moving clusters of activity near the coast overnight/early in the morning due to coastal speed convergence and this possibility will need to be watched for.
As for rainfall amounts, will go with a widespread 1-2 inches from Thursday-Sunday with isolated totals possibly of 3-5 inches especially near the coast. While we are in an incredible drought, factors appear favorable enough to overcome the dryness with this event given its tropical origin. While this will not be a drought buster, it could bring significant relief to a very parched state. Models have also been loosely trying the close off an area of low pressure over the western Gulf for the past few days, but are not consistent in their modeling of this feature and for now will leave everything as an open wave, but will watch closely for any attempts of a weak tropical system to form in the favorable ascent side of the upper trough.
Worst of the heat will be today and Tuesday, with moisture and clouds increasing on Wednesday and after, highs will lower into the lower 90’s by the end of the week and I would not be surprised if highs at some point were only in the upper 80’s if storms get going early enough.
A weak cold front with some minor cold air advection may reach the area by the start for next week keeping would could become a wet period going over the area.
Saturday Highs:
BUSH IAH: 109 (tied all-time record of 109 on 9-4-2000, record of 104 in 1990 shattered, hottest Aug day ever old record 108 in 1909)
Hobby Airport: 106 (broke record of 103 in 1990, tied hottest Aug day ever old record was 106 in 1962)
Galveston: 100 (broke record of 99 in 1990, only the 7th time Galveston has hit 100 degrees ever)
College Station: 109 (broke record high of 104 in 1990, tied hottest Aug day ever)
Austin Bergstrom: 108 (broke record of 105 in 1990)
Austin Mabry: 110 ( broke record of 106 in 1990)
San Antonio: 106 (broke record of 102 in 1990)
Waco: 110 (broke record of 106 in 1990, 2 degrees shy of all-time record high of 112 in 1969)
Victoria: 106 (broke record of 104 in 1912)
Corpus Christi: 102 (tied record of 102 in 1990)
Sunday Highs:
BUSH IAH: 107 (broke record of 101 in 1902)
Hobby: 103 (broke record of 98 in 1999)
College Station: 109 (broke record of 103 in 1928, tied previous day for hottest Aug day ever)
Waco: 109 (broke record of 104 in 1998)
San Antonio: 110 (shattered record of 101 in 1940, hottest Aug day ever old record was 108 in 1986)
Austin Bergstrom: 110 (shattered record of 102 in 1990)
Austin Mabry: 112 (shattered record of 104 in 1990, tied all-time record high of 112 on 9-4-2000)
Victoria: 109 (broke record of 103 in 1912, hottest Aug day ever)
Corpus Christi: 107 (broke record of 102 in 2005, hottest Aug day ever)
Cotulla: 111
2011 Days at or above 100 Degrees:
BUSH IAH: 38 (old record was 32 in 1980)
Hobby: 16 (old record was 13 in 1998/2000)
Conroe: 43 (old record was 42 in 1998)
Huntsville: 62 (old record was 43 in 1980)
College Station: 55 (record is 58 in 1917)
Austin Mabry: 73 (old record was 69 in 1925)
Austin Bergstrom: 60 (old record was 55 in 2009)
Del Rio: 77 (record is 78 in 1953)
San Antonio: 47 (record is 59 in 2009)
Waco: 76 (old record was 63 in 1980)
DFW: 62 (record is 69 in 1980)
http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f= ... 9&start=10
What a weekend with record heat…the hottest temperatures of this horribly hot summer, and the records fell!
BUSH IAH reached 109 on Saturday and 107 on Sunday shattering the daily record highs and tied the all-time record high of 109 on Saturday!
Large upper level high over the state will bake the area again today with highs in the 104-107 degree range and again above 100 on Tuesday. Big changes begin by late Wednesday as an upper level trough develops over the Gulf of Mexico and pushes toward the lower TX coast. At this same time deep tropical moisture currently noted over the western Caribbean Sea will be drawn northward on the east side of this trough into SE TX starting late Wednesday. PWS values which are bone dry at this time will surge into the 2.3-2.5 inch range by early Thursday morning….very tropical. Upper level ridge aloft split and one piece moving into the SW US and the other becoming an extension of the Bermuda ridge over the SE US. For the first time in months TX will lie in a weakened height field with very favorable rain making conditions.
Expect to see numerous showers/thunderstorms begin to advance toward the coast late Wednesday and inland early Thursday morning as deep tropical moisture surges inland. Favorable lift will continue into Friday and Saturday with morning coastal storms becoming inland afternoon storms as the seabreeze moves inland. These types of patterns can produce some slow moving clusters of activity near the coast overnight/early in the morning due to coastal speed convergence and this possibility will need to be watched for.
As for rainfall amounts, will go with a widespread 1-2 inches from Thursday-Sunday with isolated totals possibly of 3-5 inches especially near the coast. While we are in an incredible drought, factors appear favorable enough to overcome the dryness with this event given its tropical origin. While this will not be a drought buster, it could bring significant relief to a very parched state. Models have also been loosely trying the close off an area of low pressure over the western Gulf for the past few days, but are not consistent in their modeling of this feature and for now will leave everything as an open wave, but will watch closely for any attempts of a weak tropical system to form in the favorable ascent side of the upper trough.
Worst of the heat will be today and Tuesday, with moisture and clouds increasing on Wednesday and after, highs will lower into the lower 90’s by the end of the week and I would not be surprised if highs at some point were only in the upper 80’s if storms get going early enough.
A weak cold front with some minor cold air advection may reach the area by the start for next week keeping would could become a wet period going over the area.
Saturday Highs:
BUSH IAH: 109 (tied all-time record of 109 on 9-4-2000, record of 104 in 1990 shattered, hottest Aug day ever old record 108 in 1909)
Hobby Airport: 106 (broke record of 103 in 1990, tied hottest Aug day ever old record was 106 in 1962)
Galveston: 100 (broke record of 99 in 1990, only the 7th time Galveston has hit 100 degrees ever)
College Station: 109 (broke record high of 104 in 1990, tied hottest Aug day ever)
Austin Bergstrom: 108 (broke record of 105 in 1990)
Austin Mabry: 110 ( broke record of 106 in 1990)
San Antonio: 106 (broke record of 102 in 1990)
Waco: 110 (broke record of 106 in 1990, 2 degrees shy of all-time record high of 112 in 1969)
Victoria: 106 (broke record of 104 in 1912)
Corpus Christi: 102 (tied record of 102 in 1990)
Sunday Highs:
BUSH IAH: 107 (broke record of 101 in 1902)
Hobby: 103 (broke record of 98 in 1999)
College Station: 109 (broke record of 103 in 1928, tied previous day for hottest Aug day ever)
Waco: 109 (broke record of 104 in 1998)
San Antonio: 110 (shattered record of 101 in 1940, hottest Aug day ever old record was 108 in 1986)
Austin Bergstrom: 110 (shattered record of 102 in 1990)
Austin Mabry: 112 (shattered record of 104 in 1990, tied all-time record high of 112 on 9-4-2000)
Victoria: 109 (broke record of 103 in 1912, hottest Aug day ever)
Corpus Christi: 107 (broke record of 102 in 2005, hottest Aug day ever)
Cotulla: 111
2011 Days at or above 100 Degrees:
BUSH IAH: 38 (old record was 32 in 1980)
Hobby: 16 (old record was 13 in 1998/2000)
Conroe: 43 (old record was 42 in 1998)
Huntsville: 62 (old record was 43 in 1980)
College Station: 55 (record is 58 in 1917)
Austin Mabry: 73 (old record was 69 in 1925)
Austin Bergstrom: 60 (old record was 55 in 2009)
Del Rio: 77 (record is 78 in 1953)
San Antonio: 47 (record is 59 in 2009)
Waco: 76 (old record was 63 in 1980)
DFW: 62 (record is 69 in 1980)
http://forums.khou.com/viewtopic.php?f= ... 9&start=10
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vbhoutex
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Re: 2011 SE TX/SW LA Weather:This IS WAY PAST ridiculous!!!!!
Time for a rain dance on I-10!!! Wednesday-10am just to the West of downtown. 
Uh, wait, maybe I should stay away. I could scare the moisture off. 
I don't want to get my hopes up, but this looks like the best hope we have had in a long time. 
Uh, wait, maybe I should stay away. I could scare the moisture off. I don't want to get my hopes up, but this looks like the best hope we have had in a long time.
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Tireman4
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At noon...at the cool H-Town..
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 29, 11:53 am CDT
A Few Clouds
98 °F
(37 °C) Humidity: 33 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 3 MPH
Barometer: 29.89" (1012.1 mb)
Dewpoint: 64 °F (18 °C)
Heat Index: 100 °F (38 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 29, 11:53 am CDT
A Few Clouds
98 °F
(37 °C) Humidity: 33 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 3 MPH
Barometer: 29.89" (1012.1 mb)
Dewpoint: 64 °F (18 °C)
Heat Index: 100 °F (38 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
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Tireman4
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ahh...
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 29, 12:53 pm CDT
Partly Cloudy
100 °F
(38 °C) Humidity: 30 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 6 MPH
Barometer: 29.88" (1011.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 63 °F (17 °C)
Heat Index: 102 °F (39 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 29, 12:53 pm CDT
Partly Cloudy
100 °F
(38 °C) Humidity: 30 %
Wind Speed: Vrbl 6 MPH
Barometer: 29.88" (1011.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 63 °F (17 °C)
Heat Index: 102 °F (39 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
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Tireman4
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Even better...
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 29, 1:53 pm CDT
Partly Cloudy
105 °F
(41 °C) Humidity: 23 %
Wind Speed: Calm
Barometer: 29.85" (1010.7 mb)
Dewpoint: 60 °F (16 °C)
Heat Index: 106 °F (41 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
Houston Intercontinental Airport
Lat: 29.97 Lon: -95.35 Elev: 95
Last Update on Aug 29, 1:53 pm CDT
Partly Cloudy
105 °F
(41 °C) Humidity: 23 %
Wind Speed: Calm
Barometer: 29.85" (1010.7 mb)
Dewpoint: 60 °F (16 °C)
Heat Index: 106 °F (41 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
More Local Wx: 3 Day History:
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CajunMama
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Re:
jasons wrote:I was even hotter on Sunday - 113. I hope after this week that is the last of 100+...
My daughters boyfriend lives in the galleria area and she was visiting him this past weekend. i told her how hot it was over there and poor child (she's 24 & at times i wonder how she got this far in life!) said, "Oh it seemed rather hot". SMH
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Tireman4
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Re: Re:
CajunMama wrote:jasons wrote:I was even hotter on Sunday - 113. I hope after this week that is the last of 100+...
My daughters boyfriend lives in the galleria area and she was visiting him this past weekend. i told her how hot it was over there and poor child (she's 24 & at times i wonder how she got this far in life!) said, "Oh it seemed rather hot". SMH
It takes awhile for the heat to get to young folks....
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Tireman4
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AFDHGX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
340 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2011
.DISCUSSION...
MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED PRECIP DURING THE LATE AFTN/EVNG HOURS AS
REMNANTS OF THE SWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TREK ACROSS DURING PEAK
HEATING.
THRU MIDWEEK: TEMPS WILL "MODERATE" THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS MEANING
THEY WILL APPROACH RECORDS RATHER THAN COMPLETELY SHATTER THEM AS
A MORE PREVALENT ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES. UPPER RIDGE SHOULD FLATTEN
AND EXPAND EWD THRU MIDWEEK ALLOWING THE TROFFINESS IN THE
CARIBBEAN TO SLIDE ACROSS THE YUCATAN INTO THE WESTERN GULF DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
OTHERWISE...CAME IN TODAY EXPECTING ANOTHER SOMEWHAT ROUTINE
FCST...BUT THINGS ARE TURNING OUT DIFFERENTLY. PRIOR TO TODAY...THOUGHT
WAS THAT SURGE OF DEEPER GULF MOISTURE WOULD SLIDE INTO THE REGION
THURS MORNING (WHICH STILL LOOKS TO BE THE CASE) AND UPPER
WEAKNESS TAKES SHAPE OVER CNTL/ERN TX THROUGH THE WEEKEND (NOW
QUESTIONABLE AS TO THE POSITIONS). MODELS ARE NOW HINTING AT
VARIOUS FORMS OF SFC CIRCULATIONS DEVELOPING BETWEEN THURS INTO
NEXT WEEK BENEATH THE H5 LOW. MOST SHOW THIS/THESE FEATURES
WAFFLING OFF THE COAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
SOME SHOWING IT STRENGTHENING TO A HIGHER END TS. WOULD GENERALLY DISMISS
THIS IF IT WERE JUST AN INDIVIDUAL MODEL...BUT ALL SEEM TO BE HINTING
AT SOME SORT OF POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT (GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS, CANADIAN).
BUT NONE ARE HINTING AT A PREFERRED TIME FRAME NOR LOCATION WHICH
IS UNDERSTANDABLE THIS FAR OUT. FWIW - GFS AND ECMWF DO MOSTLY KEEP
WHATEVER DEVELOPS OFFSHORE AND ALSO PUSHES A FRONT OFF THE COAST
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SO...JUST SOMETHING THE WATCH IN THE DAYS TO
COME.
THIS WOULD OBVIOUSLY EFFECT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS SE TX. SHOULD SOMETHING
ACTUALLY BECOME ORGANIZED LATER IN THE WEEK OR WEEKEND...IT WOULD
TEND TO CONFINE THE HIGHER CHANCES NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE RATHER
THAN BEING AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EVERYWHERE AS EARLIER THOUGHT.
THINK THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION RIGHT NOW IS TO JUST SLIGHTLY TRIM
POPS BACK ACROSS N/NW AREAS BUT LEAVE THE REST OF THE FCST AS IS
AND HOPEFULLY WAIT FOR BETTER GUIDANCE. 47
&&
.MARINE...
THE SEA BREEZE/LAND BREEZE CIRCULATION WILL DOMINATE THE WIND
PATTERN FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE DAY. THE MODELS ARE THEN INDICATING
STRONGER WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON DIRECTION AND SPEED...SO FOR NOW WILL
COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE MODELS. ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
SOMETIME OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. 40
&&
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
340 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2011
.DISCUSSION...
MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED PRECIP DURING THE LATE AFTN/EVNG HOURS AS
REMNANTS OF THE SWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TREK ACROSS DURING PEAK
HEATING.
THRU MIDWEEK: TEMPS WILL "MODERATE" THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS MEANING
THEY WILL APPROACH RECORDS RATHER THAN COMPLETELY SHATTER THEM AS
A MORE PREVALENT ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES. UPPER RIDGE SHOULD FLATTEN
AND EXPAND EWD THRU MIDWEEK ALLOWING THE TROFFINESS IN THE
CARIBBEAN TO SLIDE ACROSS THE YUCATAN INTO THE WESTERN GULF DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
OTHERWISE...CAME IN TODAY EXPECTING ANOTHER SOMEWHAT ROUTINE
FCST...BUT THINGS ARE TURNING OUT DIFFERENTLY. PRIOR TO TODAY...THOUGHT
WAS THAT SURGE OF DEEPER GULF MOISTURE WOULD SLIDE INTO THE REGION
THURS MORNING (WHICH STILL LOOKS TO BE THE CASE) AND UPPER
WEAKNESS TAKES SHAPE OVER CNTL/ERN TX THROUGH THE WEEKEND (NOW
QUESTIONABLE AS TO THE POSITIONS). MODELS ARE NOW HINTING AT
VARIOUS FORMS OF SFC CIRCULATIONS DEVELOPING BETWEEN THURS INTO
NEXT WEEK BENEATH THE H5 LOW. MOST SHOW THIS/THESE FEATURES
WAFFLING OFF THE COAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
SOME SHOWING IT STRENGTHENING TO A HIGHER END TS. WOULD GENERALLY DISMISS
THIS IF IT WERE JUST AN INDIVIDUAL MODEL...BUT ALL SEEM TO BE HINTING
AT SOME SORT OF POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT (GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS, CANADIAN).
BUT NONE ARE HINTING AT A PREFERRED TIME FRAME NOR LOCATION WHICH
IS UNDERSTANDABLE THIS FAR OUT. FWIW - GFS AND ECMWF DO MOSTLY KEEP
WHATEVER DEVELOPS OFFSHORE AND ALSO PUSHES A FRONT OFF THE COAST
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SO...JUST SOMETHING THE WATCH IN THE DAYS TO
COME.
THIS WOULD OBVIOUSLY EFFECT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS SE TX. SHOULD SOMETHING
ACTUALLY BECOME ORGANIZED LATER IN THE WEEK OR WEEKEND...IT WOULD
TEND TO CONFINE THE HIGHER CHANCES NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE RATHER
THAN BEING AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EVERYWHERE AS EARLIER THOUGHT.
THINK THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION RIGHT NOW IS TO JUST SLIGHTLY TRIM
POPS BACK ACROSS N/NW AREAS BUT LEAVE THE REST OF THE FCST AS IS
AND HOPEFULLY WAIT FOR BETTER GUIDANCE. 47
&&
.MARINE...
THE SEA BREEZE/LAND BREEZE CIRCULATION WILL DOMINATE THE WIND
PATTERN FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE DAY. THE MODELS ARE THEN INDICATING
STRONGER WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THERE
IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ON DIRECTION AND SPEED...SO FOR NOW WILL
COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE MODELS. ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
SOMETIME OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. 40
&&
http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=1
0 likes
Re: 2011 SE TX/SW LA Weather:Is there hope?Rain later this week?
Wow, today did not even get to 90 degrees. I saw a few drops (even less than a shower) for a few minutes, but I think the clouds are what stopped the temps. Kinda wished it didn't cool down since we are on a record roll here this month (92.1 F monthly temp, +9.1F monthly).
0 likes
-
southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
Another record high at BPT today at 104° - only 103° here. 
Rain chances continue to look good!
Thursday - 50%
Friday - 50%
Saturday - 50%
Sunday - 50%
Monday (Labor Day) - 40%
Rain chances continue to look good!
Thursday - 50%
Friday - 50%
Saturday - 50%
Sunday - 50%
Monday (Labor Day) - 40%
0 likes
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my Cowboys my Rockets my Astros
my Cowboys my Rockets my Astros-
vbhoutex
- Storm2k Executive
- Posts: 29112
- Age: 73
- Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
- Location: Cypress, TX
- Contact:
Re: 2011 SE TX/SW LA Weather:Is there hope?Rain later this week?
106.7f, 107f, 107f. You know where. 
0 likes
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
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