Texas Fall 2023

[Iceresistance]

This weather is perfect for football! Boomer Sooner!

I saw the 4th Quarter score for OU and I went crazy!

[Brent]

Already seeing talk here next weekends front may be more significant

[tajmahal]

Already seeing talk here next weekends front may be more significant

Tulsa's forecast high and low for Sunday, October 15 by various global models:

67–45...GFS ensemble mean
66–48...ECMWF ensemble mean
65–46...GFS
64–50...ACCESS-G
63–43...GEM ensemble mean
62–44...ECMWF
62–44...Norwegian version of ECMWF
62–41...GEM
53–45...GFS–MOS

[Ralph's Weather]

Low to mid 40s in rural areas statewide north of I10 with closer to 50 in cities. Few 30s near Red River.

[weatherdude1108]

54 degrees at my abode this morning.

Ahhhhh.

[South Texas Storms]

It sure has felt amazing outside this weekend...been waiting for this for months!

[tajmahal]

Austin Camp Mabry's forecast high and low for Sunday, October 15 by various global models:

81–62...ICON
76–58...ECMWF
78–55...GFS–MOS
77–55...GEM
76–56...ACCESS-G
74–55...Norwegian version of ECMWF
73–55...GFS
71–56...ECMWF ensemble mean
72–54...GFS ensemble mean
71–51...GEM ensemble mean

[rwfromkansas]

I’m getting concerned about how far south the jet is.

LC sees this as a preview of the pattern it appears as well. Not good jet-wise except he does see a warm west.

[WeatherNewbie]

What are people thinking the cloud cover will be like for the eclipse on Saturday? Planning on heading down to San Antonio to catch it.

[South Texas Storms]

Some nice rain coming for south TX tomorrow into Wednesday as the remnants of EPAC Lidia move through. Next cold front looks to push through on Friday setting us up for another beautiful Fall weekend. Might be another 10 days or so until rain chances return to the rest of the state.

[weatherdude1108]

Some nice rain coming for south TX tomorrow into Wednesday as the remnants of EPAC Lidia move through. Next cold front looks to push through on Friday setting us up for another beautiful Fall weekend. Might be another 10 days or so until rain chances return to the rest of the state.

I just saw this on the CPC page. Hopefully some more liquid hope(?).

[dpep4]

Man, I may have to move west next spring, I've gotten really spoiled this summer with all the wonderful 50's to low 60's dew points. The next normal summer for DFW with its share of high 60's to 70's dew points is going to be so miserable. Haha.

Wish I-35 and the settlements it followed had been built 200 miles further west. Seems like Sweetwater and anything past is mostly dry enough feeling to me. Still hot as heck, but 105 with a 52 dew point feels way better than 92 with a 70 dewpoint, despite the 92 having a 5 degrees lower heat index.

Was running around mid to late afternoon today where it got to 88 with a 50's dewpoint and it felt fine. Looking like a continued great week of weather ahead.

[Ntxw]

I would agree above normal 80s and a dry, low sun angle, warmth is quite pleasant. A few more similar days before below normal again. This is the time of year love going outdoors.

[869MB]

What are people thinking the cloud cover will be like for the eclipse on Saturday? Planning on heading down to San Antonio to catch it.

This is what the latest OP GFS 18Z run is thinking...

[cheezyWXguy]

Last few runs of the gfs seem to like the idea of a 500mb closed low in the SWUS in about 10 days. If that pans out it may be worth watching with second season around the corner

[weatherdude1108]

[Cpv17]

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif

That’s yesterday’s on the 8-14 day. Today’s is better.

[weatherdude1108]

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif

That’s yesterday’s on the 8-14 day. Today’s is better.

It's today's date though(?). I think what happened is yesterday's outlook auto-refreshed to today. I also noticed the outlook looked different from what I posted yesterday, but saw today's date instead of yesterday, which made me think since it's linked. So I guess it refreshes the map also regardless of post date(?). Anyway. Glad the precip is heading in the right direction, at least for now.lol

[Cpv17]

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610prcp.new.gif
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814prcp.new.gif

That’s yesterday’s on the 8-14 day. Today’s is better.

It's today's date though(?). I think what happened is yesterday's outlook auto-refreshed to today. I also noticed the outlook looked different from what I posted yesterday, but saw today's date instead of yesterday, which made me think since it's linked. So I guess it refreshes the map also regardless of post date(?). Anyway. Glad the precip is heading in the right direction, at least for now.lol

Lol yep!

10-4

[weatherdude1108]

Looks like we're back to mostly "near normal" for precip in today's 6 to 14 day CPC outlooks, compared to "above normal" precipitation yesterday in the outlooks. I mean, "normal" for October is a couple inches or so, not bad.
Not the same as a "normal" precip July.lol