Great Plains, Midwest, & Deep South Storm Season 2021

[InfernoFlameCat]

That outbreak was easily moderate deserving. Not a high risk perhaps but moderate for sure.

[Iceresistance]

Video footage of the Carthage, TX Tornado



Link: https://youtu.be/Fmdb5i_M0lI

[InfernoFlameCat]

Impressive storm for sure. That thing was really rotating.
Probably a really nice tornado to chase because of how removed it was from rain.

[Iceresistance]

This is a storm that you DON'T want to chase, even if there is a LOT of Lightning, because it's night & you can't see it without the lightning . . .



Link: https://youtu.be/3YErc4--KD0

[InfernoFlameCat]

No big outbreaks for a little while. The deep south gets a breather.

[Iceresistance]

Broad Marginal risk Wednesday . . .

[InfernoFlameCat]

By big I mean at least moderate. That is an impressive marginal. Likely will be bumped up to at least a slight.

[ElectricStorm]

After a very slow first two months of the year, the last few weeks have put 2021 back to near average on tornado count.


The next week or so should be pretty slow, but it's important to take every risk seriously, even though it's not going to be anything like the last few weeks. It only takes one storm to make an event "big". Long range guidance is starting to hint at severe weather picking back up again during the second week of April but of course it is long range so anything can change.

[InfernoFlameCat]

After a very slow first two months of the year, the last few weeks have put 2021 back to near average on tornado count.
https://i.imgur.com/rzoC8p9.png

The next week or so should be pretty slow, but it's important to take every risk seriously, even though it's not going to be anything like the last few weeks. It only takes one storm to make an event "big". Long range guidance is starting to hint at severe weather picking back up again during the second week of April but of course it is long range so anything can change.

Yeah, and this is eerily similar to 2011. AND... the strongest tornado occurred in a SLIGHT risk. Great point Weather dude and we must reiterate this constantly.

[Iceresistance]

Ohatchee, AL Tornado now rated EF3

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

In addition, the Brent/Centersville tornado was also upped to EF3/150 MPH, and the Duncanville, AL tornado got upped to EF3/140 MPH.

[cheezyWXguy]

In addition, the Brent/Centersville tornado was also upped to EF3/150 MPH, and the Duncanville, AL tornado got upped to EF3/140 MPH.

The Brent tornado is doomed to be understated due to the sparsely populated areas it hit. Glad it did so, but it, and many other ef5 candidates over the last 8 years have been missed due to the limitations of the EF scale, and the implications of this are more than academic.

[ElectricStorm]

According to this NWS surveyor, the ground surveys for the Brent storm are complete unless new info comes in. So there likely won't be an upgrade to EF4.
https://mobile.twitter.com/alexsizemore ... 9470554112
Note that it's still technically preliminary, so if there's any new info that comes in, it could change. I don't think it will though.

[InfernoFlameCat]

At first I could not really believe that no tornadoes were rated Ef5 then I went over some Ef5 storms and I completely understood.

[InfernoFlameCat]

A large outbreak is possible in about 8 days. The Gfs model 06z March 30 shows a large outbreak in hour 192.

[FormerNewtotex]

A large outbreak is possible in about 8 days. The Gfs model 06z March 30 shows a large outbreak in hour 192.

For what area?

[Iceresistance]

Upgraded to Slight for Tomorrow in Eastern Mississippi, South-Central Alabama, & Western Georgia

[Iceresistance]

A large outbreak is possible in about 8 days. The Gfs model 06z March 30 shows a large outbreak in hour 192.

For what area?

Appears to be around Ark-La-Tex area with a strong line of storms . . .

[InfernoFlameCat]

Yep thats right.

[Iceresistance]

2 Possible Tornadoes reported in Southern Mississippi today . . .