Florida Weather

[gsytch]

Woke up to 42.9F here, and I ma one mile from the GOM. THEY SAID 50F in Tampa, at the airport. I dont think it is 7 degrees colder at my house than Tampa. Anyway, it was 34F in Brooksville and 53F in St Pete. 19 degree difference and they are less than 100 miles apart. Watch out for some cold late next week. Still monitoring it, hoping it modifies like many have.

[SaskatchewanScreamer]

Now you folks for sure will have my buddy OMW come knocking on your doors......he just loves to torment those who'd rather not see him at all.

[NDG]

So far this month Orlando has an average mean temperature for the month of 66.6 degrees, that's a whopping 6.6 degrees above average, 2.2 degs above the average Jan mean of Naples FL. With the rest of the month temps expected to be above average, this month is going to end up way warmer than last year's warm January.

[FireRat]

oh cool gsytch, sounds like that phenomenon is also occurring farther up the peninsula as well

It's a dejavu again tonight, it's 52 degrees outside in my location (17 miles from the coast) while its 62 in Ft. Lauderdale to my ESE. Pretty crisp out tonight in inland south florida.

[NDG]

Woke up to 42.9F here, and I ma one mile from the GOM. THEY SAID 50F in Tampa, at the airport. I dont think it is 7 degrees colder at my house than Tampa. Anyway, it was 34F in Brooksville and 53F in St Pete. 19 degree difference and they are less than 100 miles apart. Watch out for some cold late next week. Still monitoring it, hoping it modifies like many have.

Ensembles continue to show a neutral to positive NAO for the next couple of weeks, so it might still be more of the same, that any cold air that invades the SE US, the core of it will stay north and east of the Peninsula.

[gsytch]

I am also seeing the upgrade from the initial call of chilly weather. It appears when the front moves thru, we will be 5-7 degrees below normal, for the first day. Beyond that the call is just a little cooler. This morning was 44.6F with heavy fog. St Pete was 54F. I'm a mile off the GOM and 30 mi N of St Pete. Tampa was 52F yet 44F in Carrolwood (suburb). Then the seabreeze kicked in at 3pm and the temp went from 73f to 67F by 4pm. The GOM is 63F. Same time it was still 76F in Land O Lakes. hmmmmm

[Sanibel]

Near record highs of 84* expected over the next few days.

[gsytch]

Warmth, the another front. Chance of much needed rain. It has been SO dry. The call is for 66-69F highs and 45-47F lows, so a little below normal. BEAUTIFUL weekend here though. Chilly, foggy mornings burned off quickly to pleasant afternoons, today was 77F.

[FireRat]

Nights have become progressively warmer here in my area, with tonight being significantly warmer...with a temp of 66 degrees at 12:50 am! clouds are streaming in from the SSE, so yeah, warmth ahead.

Let's see if the next front brings what we saw last week, and starts February on the cool side

[Hurricane Alexis]

Nights have become progressively warmer here in my area, with tonight being significantly warmer...with a temp of 66 degrees at 12:50 am! clouds are streaming in from the SSE, so yeah, warmth ahead.

Let's see if the next front brings what we saw last week, and starts February on the cool side

Yep. Today we had a low of 71.

[Patrick99]

While we've had brief hits of arctic chill in February and early March in the past, I think the window for the really prolonged "cold snaps" we sometimes see in late Dec/early Jan has closed. Might see the odd cool night or two, but doubt we are looking at any crop-threatening hard freezes...that's a good thing, orange juice is already expensive enough!

[AdamFirst]

First sign of life from the KMLB radar in nearly two months

[FireRat]

Yep. Today we had a low of 71.

71? dang, that's pretty tropical! It hit 60 at my area this morning, then quickly warmed to 75 by late morning.

[NDG]

While we've had brief hits of arctic chill in February and early March in the past, I think the window for the really prolonged "cold snaps" we sometimes see in late Dec/early Jan has closed. Might see the odd cool night or two, but doubt we are looking at any crop-threatening hard freezes...that's a good thing, orange juice is already expensive enough!

Yeah, I agree with you. We can almost sound the all clear for the chances if any devastating freezes for central and south FL. Besides that we have not seen the pattern this year of any deep cold air making it to FL this year, the sun angle is now getting higher and would moderate any Arctic intrusions in February. The neutral to positive NAO has been our friend this year

[gsytch]

NEVER all clear here until the last part of February. I dont trust mother nature. With all this warmth, a hard freeze might be devastating. Let us hope the core of the cold air keeps swinging east. The plants are growing like crazy!

[FireRat]

I'd say February 15 is a good cut-off day for the hard freezes in south florida, giving us just a few weeks left before an all clear can normally be sounded. This year however, I agree that it's a safe bet to say that south florida will escape a really damaging freeze, with only a light freeze at worst should things turn colder by late Feb into March.

The coldest weather I ever experienced here in south florida was during a three-day arctic outbreak in early February 1996. It was astonishingly cold, so much that pipes froze and burst overnight in many complexes, including mine, and ice formed over the spots wet by the pipes. There were reports of middle-20s in some BEACH locations such as Pompano Beach. Further inland, in the western suburbs, it felt like we flirted with the 10's with even worse wind-chills. That one was for the record books!

If interested, check out the link below that shows what that bitter cold blast did to extreme south Florida's ocean temps:
http://coastal.er.usgs.gov/flbay/19960203.html

[gsytch]

Lots of severe wx in NW Florida. Tornado warnings. Chilly after the front with freeze warnings out as far south as Levy Co., and I expect Hernando Co. will see frost warnings for Fri AM. All this after 3 days of 80's heat! Lord winter in FL is a roller coaster ride this year.

[NDG]

I don't think frost will be that much of an issue for the usual cold spots of the Nature Coast, winds look to stay up high enough for much frost to form.
Maybe a better chance for frost Saturday morning for that area if the winds collapse during the night.

[Sanibel]

Another glancer. It's hardly cold down here. 66*

[gsytch]

Here in Pasco co, it is currently 59F with a stiff wind and dewpoints falling into the 30's. It is COLD out. Freeze warnings are out for Hernando co north. Frost for Sat AM. Yesterday it was 84F when I got home frrom work, like 10 mins ago time. What a cold front this one is. But, it is winter. Brrrr