Texas Spring 2019

[Ntxw]

Surprised no watches up yet for the DFW Metro. I'm in Dallas and it still is looking pretty cloudy, perhaps the storms won't reach the severe levels being touted by media?

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

[rwfromkansas]

Already 85.

[rwfromkansas]

I think it's all the giant hail talk.

Surprised no watches up yet for the DFW Metro. I'm in Dallas and it still is looking pretty cloudy, perhaps the storms won't reach the severe levels being touted by media?

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

[Cerlin]

I’ve been telling people all day not to worry until the evening hours and everyone has been freaking out about midday hail regardless. These kinds of things frustrate me because I know people are going to talk about how “wrong” the meteorologists are yet it’s because the general public sees the word hail and assumes it’s going to happen all day.

[CaptinCrunch]

The storms in the Panhandle have produced quater to golfball size hail, and 60 mph winds reported by trained spotters and Law enforcement. The upper low is just now entering west Texas so we are still a few hours away from storms trying develope across NTX. I would expect watches to be issued around 6pm or later for DFW.

[South Texas Storms]

Anyone have a link to some good hi-def visible sat imagery.

This is one of the best sites out there for viewing satellite imagery in my opinion:

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

[Ralph's Weather]

Surprised no watches up yet for the DFW Metro. I'm in Dallas and it still is looking pretty cloudy, perhaps the storms won't reach the severe levels being touted by media?

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

The hype is crazy compared to the data. There is a severe threat and there will be hail and wind damage, but it is unlikely to be anything particularly unusual for April in TX.

[Brent]

I think it's all the giant hail talk.

Surprised no watches up yet for the DFW Metro. I'm in Dallas and it still is looking pretty cloudy, perhaps the storms won't reach the severe levels being touted by media?

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

yeah we've had so many hail storms recently around the metroplex I'm sure that's causing there to be more talk than usual

But I mean it's April in Texas... this day isn't really standing out for anything else

[Ntxw]

I think it's all the giant hail talk.

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

yeah we've had so many hail storms recently around the metroplex I'm sure that's causing there to be more talk than usual

But I mean it's April in Texas... this day isn't really standing out for anything else

Big hail risk is any day in April through early June . I certainly understand the risk but without context is like Atlanta Jam 2014. Man-induced frantic.

[Brent]

stuff closing early, DFW suspending operations? This is stuff being reported on the news right now

??? it may not even storm

Is it any wonder people don't believe meteorologists when you have days like this?

[rwfromkansas]

This MD is quite....unenthused.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0368.html

[Texas Snowman]

I think it's all the giant hail talk.

yeah we've had so many hail storms recently around the metroplex I'm sure that's causing there to be more talk than usual

But I mean it's April in Texas... this day isn't really standing out for anything else

Big hail risk is any day in April through early June . I certainly understand the risk but without context is like Atlanta Jam 2014. Man-induced frantic.

Fort Worth NWS may have helped fuel it IMO with some of the graphics they’ve posted.

NWS tweet last night: “The environment for Wednesday afternoon is favorable for very large hail, which generally is baseball size or larger. Take a look at hail frequencies across our region. Make sure you have a plan & multiple ways to receive severe weather warnings! #dfwwx #ctxwx #txwx #texomawx”

People see a graphic and tweet like that and it’s instant water cooler talk. I actually had someone ask if we should cancel a small group Bible study this evening because of the weather.

[TheProfessor]

Sounds like the Metro could be taking things two seriously, which could end up biting people back in the butt in the future(ala the fake ice storm in November 2013). However, I do want to remind folks here that it does only takes 1 twister. Today may not seem like a day where everyone should be going crazy, but still I'd rather people be over preparing than being complacent and that 1 bad twister does come. Again though, it is a balance and it is a bit concerning to see you guys saying social media is going crazy on a day where wind and hail are the biggest threats. I keep Weathernation on in the background all the time and they've been highlighting tomorrow far more today(SPC has a hatched tornado right now for the southeast).

Anyways my parents now live down just a bit north of New Orleans and Lake Pontchartrain so I told them to stay inside tomorrow just to be safe.

[1900hurricane]

Anyone have a link to some good hi-def visible sat imagery.

This is one of the best sites out there for viewing satellite imagery in my opinion:

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

Was literally about to post this if it hadn't been already. This is my go-to place for chase day satellite imagery, especially the visible imagery.

[gpsnowman]

What we are seeing is nothing out of the ordinary. It is called spring weather. Always be weather aware of coarse but a lot of people at my work were thinking all sorts of horrible scenarios were going to happen today. Same with my wife's work. Even school districts were contemplating early dismissal. I am not trying to downplay a severe weather event but the storm might not match the hype. I hope I have not jinxed myself. Either way, a night of weather watching is on tap.

[Cerlin]

The cap is definitely weaking over DFW. Storms will likely fire up in the next hour and a half.

[opticsguy]

South Texas Storms wrote:

WacoWx wrote:
Anyone have a link to some good hi-def visible sat imagery.



This is one of the best sites out there for viewing satellite imagery in my opinion:

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/

It's been my go to for years but it seems to be down today

[rwfromkansas]

The custodian asked me if I heard about all the tornadoes in the area. Sigh.

[bubba hotep]

Surprised no watches up yet for the DFW Metro. I'm in Dallas and it still is looking pretty cloudy, perhaps the storms won't reach the severe levels being touted by media?

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

SPC, NWS and local mets all used language yesterday that seemed to indicate that an upgrade to MOD for hail today was possible. Then the overnight models introduced some uncertainty with convective evolution today. Nearly all the CAMs showed early convection with the 1st disturbance and that obviously didn't happen. I think we are now back to what was expected yesterday with a high likelihood that big hail producers firing off the dryline. As of right now, there are two obvious areas of low level convergence that could fire storms with one just west of DFW and the other out on the dryline bulge. I wouldn't relax just yet.

[Ntxw]

Surprised no watches up yet for the DFW Metro. I'm in Dallas and it still is looking pretty cloudy, perhaps the storms won't reach the severe levels being touted by media?

Maybe it will end up as a social media severe outbreak...

I'm a little surprised given it is an enhanced risk day rather than a moderate or high risk day that it is spreading wildly without context.

SPC, NWS and local mets all used language yesterday that seemed to indicate that an upgrade to MOD for hail today was possible. Then the overnight models introduced some uncertainty with convective evolution today. Nearly all the CAMs showed early convection with the 1st disturbance and that obviously didn't happen. I think we are now back to what was expected yesterday with a high likelihood that big hail producers firing off the dryline. As of right now, there are two obvious areas of low level convergence that could fire storms with one just west of DFW and the other out on the dryline bulge. I wouldn't relax just yet.

The best upper forcing dynamics is in the Panhandle moving E/NE. Thats the thing when dealing with a CAP down this way, if initiation doesn't occur quickly we can usually tell it may not work out. High bust potential some days. I still think a quickly forming line/MCS clipping the southern half of north texas late evening likely is probable scenario.