Outbreak for,TX/OK/ARK/LA on 3/19-20
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- cycloneye
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
TORNADO WARNING
TXC019-265-200145-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0007.120320T0102Z-120320T0145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL BANDERA COUNTY...
SOUTHERN KERR COUNTY...
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT.
* AT 756 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HUNT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WALTONIA...INGRAM...KERRVILLE
STATE PARK AND KERRVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 3013 9929 3013 9911 3000 9910 2989 9942
3000 9959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 233DEG 20KT 2996 9942
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORNADO WARNING
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0008.120320T0102Z-120320T0200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA COUNTY...
SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA COUNTY...
* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.
* AT 801 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR NATALIA...OR ABOUT
NEAR DEVINE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE PEARSON...LYTLE...LACOSTE...
SOMERSET AND LACKLAND AFB.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2943 9859 2913 9846 2911 9890 2923 9897
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 248DEG 15KT 2919 9884
$$
TXC019-265-200145-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0007.120320T0102Z-120320T0145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL BANDERA COUNTY...
SOUTHERN KERR COUNTY...
* UNTIL 845 PM CDT.
* AT 756 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HUNT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE WALTONIA...INGRAM...KERRVILLE
STATE PARK AND KERRVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 3013 9929 3013 9911 3000 9910 2989 9942
3000 9959
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 233DEG 20KT 2996 9942
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TORNADO WARNING
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0008.120320T0102Z-120320T0200Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
802 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA COUNTY...
SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR COUNTY...
SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA COUNTY...
* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.
* AT 801 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR NATALIA...OR ABOUT
NEAR DEVINE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE PEARSON...LYTLE...LACOSTE...
SOMERSET AND LACKLAND AFB.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2943 9859 2913 9846 2911 9890 2923 9897
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 248DEG 15KT 2919 9884
$$
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143871
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
The latest update by SPC:
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER CNTRL AND NERN TX...SERN AR
AND FAR WRN AR...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX INTO MN...
...CNTRL AND ERN TX...ERN OK...WRN AR AND SRN MO...
NUMEROUS STORMS CURRENTLY STRETCH FROM THE CNTRL RIO GRANDE VALLEY
NEWD INTO ERN OK AND FAR SWRN MO. OVERALL...THE SEVERE THREAT HAS
BEEN SLOW TO RAMP UP DUE MAINLY TO THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT
ORIENTATION BENEATH THE MERIDIONAL FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER...RADAR
TRENDS HAVE SHOWN AREAS OF INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.
ONE AREA IS OVER ERN OK...SWRN MO AND WRN AR. HERE...STORMS HAVE
FORMED IN A CONFLUENCE BAND E OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT...AND RADAR HAS
SHOWN SIGNS OF ROTATION. WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.
TO THE S...OUTFLOW WAS OUTRUNNING NEW DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
METROPLEX...WITH ONLY MODERATE WIND GUSTS. WHILE SEVERE WIND GUSTS
MAY STILL OCCUR WITH THE FRONTAL ACTIVITY...THE BEST CHANCE OF
TORNADOES WOULD BE WITH ANY ACTIVITY THAT CAN FORM AHEAD OF THE
LINE. ONE SUCH ISOLATED CELL WAS LOCATED OVER NERN TX.
FARTHER S...A MORE SUBSTANTIAL OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE
UNFOLDING...FROM THE WACO AREA SWWD TOWARD SAN ANTONIO. HERE...DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS ORIENTED A BIT MORE ACROSS THE COLD FRONT...WHICH MAY
ALLOW STRONG CELLS TO RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN THE FORM OF
SUPERCELLS OR BOWS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
PERHAPS TORNADOES. WITH STRONG FORCING CONTINUING TO COME OUT LATER
THIS EVENING...AND WITH A CONTINUALLY STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET...CORRIDORS OF DAMAGING WINDS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED.
TO THE S...ISOLATED PRE-FRONTAL STORMS EXISTED NEAR THE SAN ANTONIO
AREA. THESE WERE SUPERCELLS...AND WERE ALREADY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.
RECENTLY...INCREASED ROTATION WAS NOTED AND THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE
WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE. CELLS MAY EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH THE LATER
SURGING COLD FRONT...SPREADING NEWD INTO E CNTRL TX TO THE MIDDLE TX
COAST BY MORNING
...UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...
A LINE OF STORMS FROM NERN IA INTO N CNTRL MN WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
RAPIDLY NEWD IN A MERIDIONAL FLOW REGIME. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE THE MAIN THREAT FOR A FEW HOURS...BEFORE A COOLING BOUNDARY
LAYER HELPS TO WEAKEN THE STORMS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0296.
..JEWELL.. 03/20/2012

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER CNTRL AND NERN TX...SERN AR
AND FAR WRN AR...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM TX INTO MN...
...CNTRL AND ERN TX...ERN OK...WRN AR AND SRN MO...
NUMEROUS STORMS CURRENTLY STRETCH FROM THE CNTRL RIO GRANDE VALLEY
NEWD INTO ERN OK AND FAR SWRN MO. OVERALL...THE SEVERE THREAT HAS
BEEN SLOW TO RAMP UP DUE MAINLY TO THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT
ORIENTATION BENEATH THE MERIDIONAL FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER...RADAR
TRENDS HAVE SHOWN AREAS OF INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.
ONE AREA IS OVER ERN OK...SWRN MO AND WRN AR. HERE...STORMS HAVE
FORMED IN A CONFLUENCE BAND E OF THE MAIN COLD FRONT...AND RADAR HAS
SHOWN SIGNS OF ROTATION. WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND SUFFICIENT
INSTABILITY...TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.
TO THE S...OUTFLOW WAS OUTRUNNING NEW DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
METROPLEX...WITH ONLY MODERATE WIND GUSTS. WHILE SEVERE WIND GUSTS
MAY STILL OCCUR WITH THE FRONTAL ACTIVITY...THE BEST CHANCE OF
TORNADOES WOULD BE WITH ANY ACTIVITY THAT CAN FORM AHEAD OF THE
LINE. ONE SUCH ISOLATED CELL WAS LOCATED OVER NERN TX.
FARTHER S...A MORE SUBSTANTIAL OVERALL SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE
UNFOLDING...FROM THE WACO AREA SWWD TOWARD SAN ANTONIO. HERE...DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS ORIENTED A BIT MORE ACROSS THE COLD FRONT...WHICH MAY
ALLOW STRONG CELLS TO RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN THE FORM OF
SUPERCELLS OR BOWS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
PERHAPS TORNADOES. WITH STRONG FORCING CONTINUING TO COME OUT LATER
THIS EVENING...AND WITH A CONTINUALLY STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET...CORRIDORS OF DAMAGING WINDS ARE STILL ANTICIPATED.
TO THE S...ISOLATED PRE-FRONTAL STORMS EXISTED NEAR THE SAN ANTONIO
AREA. THESE WERE SUPERCELLS...AND WERE ALREADY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.
RECENTLY...INCREASED ROTATION WAS NOTED AND THIS TREND MAY CONTINUE
WITH TORNADOES POSSIBLE. CELLS MAY EVENTUALLY MERGE WITH THE LATER
SURGING COLD FRONT...SPREADING NEWD INTO E CNTRL TX TO THE MIDDLE TX
COAST BY MORNING
...UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...
A LINE OF STORMS FROM NERN IA INTO N CNTRL MN WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
RAPIDLY NEWD IN A MERIDIONAL FLOW REGIME. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE THE MAIN THREAT FOR A FEW HOURS...BEFORE A COOLING BOUNDARY
LAYER HELPS TO WEAKEN THE STORMS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0296.
..JEWELL.. 03/20/2012

Uploaded with ImageShack.us
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
I'm in Austin, guys.
Whats the liklihood of something real severe?
Whats the liklihood of something real severe?
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
Hearing reports of tornado on the ground on the SA cell
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
MEDINA TX-BEXAR TX-ATASCOSA TX-
806 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR AND SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA
COUNTIES...
AT 804 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND ALONG
I-35 NEAR NATALIA. THIS TORNADO IS MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. PEOPLE IN
THE NATALIA AREA NEED TO SEEK SHELTER NOW.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LYTLE...LACOSTE...
MIDWAY...SOMERSET...MACDONA...MANGUS CORNER...VON ORMY...THELMA AND
LACKLAND AFB.
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
MEDINA TX-BEXAR TX-ATASCOSA TX-
806 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR AND SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA
COUNTIES...
AT 804 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND ALONG
I-35 NEAR NATALIA. THIS TORNADO IS MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. PEOPLE IN
THE NATALIA AREA NEED TO SEEK SHELTER NOW.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LYTLE...LACOSTE...
MIDWAY...SOMERSET...MACDONA...MANGUS CORNER...VON ORMY...THELMA AND
LACKLAND AFB.
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
windnrain wrote:I'm in Austin, guys.
Whats the liklihood of something real severe?
I'd be on serious lookout there. Tornadoes - one or two possibly strong - are a good possibility in the region.
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
CrazyC83 wrote:windnrain wrote:I'm in Austin, guys.
Whats the liklihood of something real severe?
I'd be on serious lookout there. Tornadoes - one or two possibly strong - are a good possibility in the region.
Very much on the lookout, and I will keep this thread open. I'm following closely. Just warn me if you see anything that looks crazy in my area.
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
Heading into more populated areas
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
815 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
MEDINA TX-BEXAR TX-ATASCOSA TX-
815 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR AND SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA
COUNTIES...
AT 806 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A DAMAGING TORNADO ON THE GROUND
2 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LYTLE. AT 814 PM...THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LYTLE...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF DEVINE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LACOSTE...MIDWAY...
SOMERSET...MACDONA...MANGUS CORNER...VON ORMY...THELMA AND LACKLAND
AFB.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
815 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
MEDINA TX-BEXAR TX-ATASCOSA TX-
815 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR AND SOUTHEASTERN MEDINA
COUNTIES...
AT 806 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A DAMAGING TORNADO ON THE GROUND
2 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LYTLE. AT 814 PM...THIS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LYTLE...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF DEVINE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LACOSTE...MIDWAY...
SOMERSET...MACDONA...MANGUS CORNER...VON ORMY...THELMA AND LACKLAND
AFB.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
Folks on the southside of loop 410 needs to seek shelter now
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
833 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
MEDINA TX-BEXAR TX-ATASCOSA TX-
833 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR AND EAST CENTRAL MEDINA
COUNTIES...
AT 827 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A DAMAGING
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MIDWAY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CASTROVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS TORNADO HAS
PRODUCED DAMAGE NEAR I-35 AT NATALIA AT 806 PM.
THE TORNADO WILL REACH MIDWAY BY 835 PM...AND NEAR VON ARMY...
MACONA AND MANGUS CORNER ALONG LOOP 1604 BY 845 PM. OTHER LOCATIONS
IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE AND LACKLAND AFB. LARGE HAIL UP TO
GOLFBALL SIZE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
TORNADO TRACK.
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
833 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC013-029-325-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
MEDINA TX-BEXAR TX-ATASCOSA TX-
833 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN ATASCOSA...SOUTHWESTERN BEXAR AND EAST CENTRAL MEDINA
COUNTIES...
AT 827 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A DAMAGING
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MIDWAY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CASTROVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS TORNADO HAS
PRODUCED DAMAGE NEAR I-35 AT NATALIA AT 806 PM.
THE TORNADO WILL REACH MIDWAY BY 835 PM...AND NEAR VON ARMY...
MACONA AND MANGUS CORNER ALONG LOOP 1604 BY 845 PM. OTHER LOCATIONS
IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE AND LACKLAND AFB. LARGE HAIL UP TO
GOLFBALL SIZE WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
TORNADO TRACK.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143871
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
This is the Tornado tracking towards San Antonio.
From KABB Fox San Antonio.

From KABB Fox San Antonio.

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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143871
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
843 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC013-163-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
FRIO TX-ATASCOSA TX-
843 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL ATASCOSA AND EAST CENTRAL FRIO COUNTIES...
AT 839 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CHARLOTTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL CROSS FM 1549 NEAR CHARLOTTE AND HIGHWAY 173
NORTHWEST OF JOURDANTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY...BATHROOM...OR CLOSET. COVER
YOURSELF WITH BLANKETS...PILLOWS OR EVEN A MATTRESS FOR BETTER
PROTECTION.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2903 9869 2868 9865 2873 9902 2887 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 247DEG 19KT 2890 9876
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
841 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC029-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
BEXAR TX-
841 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL BEXAR COUNTY...
AT 836 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MACDONA...OR 9 MILES EAST OF
CASTROVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS TORNADO INDICATION IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING...BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE DAMAGE BETWEEN
LA COSTE AND MACDONA THROUGH 850 PM.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LACKLAND AFB.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2933 9863 2927 9877 2932 9880 2942 9861
TIME...MOT...LOC 0139Z 213DEG 18KT 2933 9873
$$
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
843 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC013-163-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
FRIO TX-ATASCOSA TX-
843 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL ATASCOSA AND EAST CENTRAL FRIO COUNTIES...
AT 839 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CHARLOTTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL CROSS FM 1549 NEAR CHARLOTTE AND HIGHWAY 173
NORTHWEST OF JOURDANTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY...BATHROOM...OR CLOSET. COVER
YOURSELF WITH BLANKETS...PILLOWS OR EVEN A MATTRESS FOR BETTER
PROTECTION.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2903 9869 2868 9865 2873 9902 2887 9903
TIME...MOT...LOC 0141Z 247DEG 19KT 2890 9876
$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
841 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
TXC029-200200-
/O.CON.KEWX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-120320T0200Z/
BEXAR TX-
841 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL BEXAR COUNTY...
AT 836 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO DETECT A TORNADO.
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MACDONA...OR 9 MILES EAST OF
CASTROVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THIS TORNADO INDICATION IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING...BUT COULD STILL PRODUCE DAMAGE BETWEEN
LA COSTE AND MACDONA THROUGH 850 PM.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING AREA INCLUDE LACKLAND AFB.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2933 9863 2927 9877 2932 9880 2942 9861
TIME...MOT...LOC 0139Z 213DEG 18KT 2933 9873
$$
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- MGC
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 5885
- Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
- Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.
Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
Yep, cell south of SA is looking like it might produce a twister. Looks like it is going to track across the southern part of town if it developes......MGC
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- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 143871
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
Latest Mesoscale discussion:
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0297
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL THROUGH NERN TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 85...87...89...
VALID 200122Z - 200215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
85...87...89...CONTINUES.
GREATEST TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SCNTRL TX INCLUDING THE TX HILL COUNTRY AREA THIS EVENING. AT LEAST
TWO TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WERE IN PROGRESS AS OF 0130Z OVER SCNTRL TX
INCLUDING ONE MOVING INTO THE SAN ANTONIO AREA.
STORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ON SWRN PORTION OF
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER SCNTRL TX WEST OF THE SAN ANTONIO
AREA. A COUPLE OF OTHER DISCRETE AND LIKELY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS HAVE
DEVELOPED EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY INCLUDING ONE IN PROXIMITY TO SAN
ANTONIO. THESE STORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED AS THEY BEGIN TO INTERACT
WITH THE RICHER MOISTURE OVER SCNTRL TX WHERE MLCAPE IS NEAR 3000
J/KG AND LARGE HODOGRAPHS EXIST. DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDING
AN IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH BASE OF LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH IS
CATCHING UP WITH WARM SECTOR AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. THREAT FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL...TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS.
..DIAL.. 03/20/2012
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0297
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0822 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL THROUGH NERN TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 85...87...89...
VALID 200122Z - 200215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
85...87...89...CONTINUES.
GREATEST TORNADO THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SCNTRL TX INCLUDING THE TX HILL COUNTRY AREA THIS EVENING. AT LEAST
TWO TORNADIC SUPERCELLS WERE IN PROGRESS AS OF 0130Z OVER SCNTRL TX
INCLUDING ONE MOVING INTO THE SAN ANTONIO AREA.
STORMS HAVE INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED ON SWRN PORTION OF
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER SCNTRL TX WEST OF THE SAN ANTONIO
AREA. A COUPLE OF OTHER DISCRETE AND LIKELY TORNADIC SUPERCELLS HAVE
DEVELOPED EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY INCLUDING ONE IN PROXIMITY TO SAN
ANTONIO. THESE STORMS HAVE INTENSIFIED AS THEY BEGIN TO INTERACT
WITH THE RICHER MOISTURE OVER SCNTRL TX WHERE MLCAPE IS NEAR 3000
J/KG AND LARGE HODOGRAPHS EXIST. DEEPER FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDING
AN IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH BASE OF LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH IS
CATCHING UP WITH WARM SECTOR AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. THREAT FOR VERY LARGE
HAIL...TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS.
..DIAL.. 03/20/2012
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...
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- cycloneye
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
San Antonio may escape from it. The one to the south also may evade the downtown area.
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Re: Moderate Risk, TX/OK, 3/19
TORNADO WARNING
TXC013-029-200300-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0010.120320T0156Z-120320T0300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
856 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN ATASCOSA COUNTY...
SOUTH CENTRAL BEXAR COUNTY...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* AT 849 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES WEST OF
POTEET...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTH OF CHARLOTTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LEMING.
THIS STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS FM 476 AND HIGHWAY 16 BETWEEN POTEET AND
SOMERSET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2933 9859 2904 9835 2889 9877 2902 9880
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 222DEG 19KT 2900 9872
$$
TXC013-029-200300-
/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0010.120320T0156Z-120320T0300Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
856 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN ATASCOSA COUNTY...
SOUTH CENTRAL BEXAR COUNTY...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* AT 849 PM CDT...NWS METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES WEST OF
POTEET...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTH OF CHARLOTTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LEMING.
THIS STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS FM 476 AND HIGHWAY 16 BETWEEN POTEET AND
SOMERSET.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY
SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH
OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
100 AM CDT TUESDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 2933 9859 2904 9835 2889 9877 2902 9880
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 222DEG 19KT 2900 9872
$$
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