Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

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CrazyC83
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#81 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:45 pm

Columbus AFB now under the gun!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
143 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

MSC025-087-102015-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080110T2015Z/
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-
143 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
LOWNDES AND SOUTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 143 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TIBBEE...OR ABOUT 7 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF WEST POINT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WAVERLY BY 155 PM CST...
COLUMBUS AFB BY 200 PM CST...
KOLOLA SPRINGS AND 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF STEENS BY 205 PM CST...
CALEDONIA BY 210 PM CST...

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. THIS
STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO VIOLENT TORNADOES. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!


LAT...LON 3350 8828 3340 8866 3356 8867 3356 8873
3358 8874 3357 8882 3368 8869 3367 8848
3370 8838 3376 8831 3376 8825
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 238DEG 38KT 3354 8865

$$

GARRETT
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#82 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:46 pm

Brent wrote:
simplykristi wrote:That cell does look very impressive.

Kristi


Looks like a funnel cloud was seen on the camera from the top of the MSU campus(from the live feed of the Birmingham station).


That would be so fortunate if it was just off the ground. Wasn't there a major tornado there from Hurricane Rita?
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#83 Postby btangy » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:46 pm

The hook part of the supercell appears to have moved right over Starkville. I'm not so sure it was a miss, but the rotation didn't appear to look very strong at the time. Hopefully there wasn't a tornado at the time or if there was, it was fairly weak.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#84 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:47 pm

Brent wrote:
Looks like a funnel cloud was seen on the camera from the top of the MSU campus(from the live feed of the Birmingham station).


I remember, we had a live funnel development in front of the same cam last year.
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#85 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:48 pm

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0135 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TN SWD
INTO ERN MS AND NRN/CNTRL/WRN AL...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LWR OH VLY SWD TO THE
CNTRL GULF CST STATES...

...LWR OH/TN VLYS SWD TO CNTRL GULF CST...
STG UPR SYSTEM WITH ATTENDANT 90+ KT H5 WIND MAX WAS TRANSLATING
ACROSS THE MID-MS VLY AT MID-AFTN...AND WILL TRANSLATE TO THE CNTRL
GRTLKS...OH VLY AND CNTRL APLCN REGION BY 12Z FRI. 19Z 1000 MB SFC
LOW OVR MO WILL DEVELOP NEWD TO THE THUMB OF MI WITH THE TRAILING
FRONT MOVING TO THE SPINE OF THE APLCNS AND CNTRL GULF CST BY EARLY
FRI MORNING.

IMPRESSIVE WARM/MOIST ADVECTION CONTINUES WITH STG PRESSURE FALLS
OCCURRING ACROSS THE TN/OH VLYS THIS AFTN. 19Z WARM FRONT HAS
DEVELOPED INTO SRN KY WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS IN 60S OVER A
LARGE PART OF THE TN VLY/DEEP S. STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT/STG
LOW-LVL MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND SFC TEMPERATURES RISING TO NEAR 70
DEG F HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO SUBSTANTIAL DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPES
500-1500 J/KG. THE WARM FRONT MAY CONTINUE INTO CNTRL/NRN KY THIS
EVE.

SWLY H5 WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 KTS ATOP SLY LOW-LVL FLOW WAS
PRODUCING MORE THAN SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS.
NUMEROUS ROTATING STORMS HAVE EVOLVED IN THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR
OVER A LARGE REAL ESTATE FROM KY SWD INTO THE CNTRL GULF COAST.
WHILE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE STG OVER MOST OF THE WARM
SECTOR...ENHANCED SRH WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NWD OVER THE TN VLY LATER
THIS EVE AS PRIMARY UPR IMPULSE MOVES TOWARD THE GRTLKS REGION.
LARGE HAIL...ISOLD BASEBALLS OR GREATER...AND DMGG WINDS WILL BE
LIKELY. TORNADOES...A FEW STG...WILL BE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY
WHERE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS SURGE INTO THE MID 60S ACROSS
ERN MS/AL AND SRN MIDDLE TN.

FARTHER N...STRONG DCVA EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE NEWD THROUGH THE OH
VLY WILL SUPPORT STG-SVR TSTMS N OF THE WARM FRONT/OH RVR THIS
EVENING. HERE...STORMS WILL BE ELEVATED AND PRIMARILY A LARGE HAIL
THREAT.

..RACY.. 01/10/2008

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1945Z (2:45PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
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#86 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:50 pm

Image
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#87 Postby simplykristi » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:51 pm

Brent wrote:
simplykristi wrote:That cell does look very impressive.

Kristi


Looks like a funnel cloud was seen on the camera from the top of the MSU campus(from the live feed of the Birmingham station).


Got a link for the live feed from Birmingham? Thanks!

Kristi
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#88 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:54 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0049
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0142 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND ERN MS/SERN LA/WRN AL/PARTS OF SRN TN

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 16...17...

VALID 101942Z - 102115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 16...17...CONTINUES.

SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT REMAINS WIDESPREAD/ONGOING ACROSS WW 16 AND
PORTIONS OF WW 17 ATTM.

LATEST REGIONAL RADAR LOOP SHOWS MULTIPLE SEVERE STORMS AND SEVERAL
SUPERCELLS ONGOING ATTM...MOVING GENERALLY NEWD. MOST
SIGNIFICANT/WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL MS AND
VICINITY ATTM...WHERE SUFFICIENTLY-UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY-SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS IN PLACE. OTHER SEVERE STORMS EXTEND SWWD INTO
SWRN LA...AND NEWD ACROSS MIDDLE TN INTO SWRN KY. THREAT WILL
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS...GRADUALLY SHIFTING NEWD ACROSS MIDDLE
TN AND INTO MUCH OF AL.

..GOSS.. 01/10/2008


ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...

35758808 35778655 33868681 31538780 30079056 30349195
33518946 35188871
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#89 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 2:56 pm

One thing I do think is that the SPC might be underestimating the threat east of the MDT risk area...particularly in Georgia and East Tennessee...
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#90 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:00 pm

Now 8 tornadoes reported (likely more still waiting to be picked up by the SPC) - and it is only 2:00 pm.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#91 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:03 pm

simplykristi wrote:
Brent wrote:
simplykristi wrote:That cell does look very impressive.

Kristi


Looks like a funnel cloud was seen on the camera from the top of the MSU campus(from the live feed of the Birmingham station).


Got a link for the live feed from Birmingham? Thanks!

Kristi


http://www.al.com/abc3340/video/index.ssf
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#92 Postby Bunkertor » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:07 pm

What happened to http://www.weather.gov/ Zoom on states is impossible...

Is there an alternative site ?
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#93 Postby MississippiHurricane » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:13 pm

JUST had a funnel cloud pass right over me with high winds and heavy rain. A few small trees down but nothing major. I took a pic of it but dont know how it came out due to the storm being a HP storm will post later along with other pics of the day. The worst is now over for us here in the west cental part of the state.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#94 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:17 pm

First tornadic cell missed Hattiesburg (where I lived in Summer 1991) to North, but new cell seems to be aimed right at ir.


Radar Loop
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#95 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:19 pm

MississippiHurricane wrote:JUST had a funnel cloud pass right over me with high winds and heavy rain. A few small trees down but nothing major. I took a pic of it but dont know how it came out due to the storm being a HP storm will post later along with other pics of the day. The worst is now over for us here in the west cental part of the state.


Wow, that must have been some sight to see!!! Glad you're safe too...
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#96 Postby simplykristi » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:20 pm

MississippiHurricane wrote:JUST had a funnel cloud pass right over me with high winds and heavy rain. A few small trees down but nothing major. I took a pic of it but dont know how it came out due to the storm being a HP storm will post later along with other pics of the day. The worst is now over for us here in the west cental part of the state.


Glad you are safe!

Kristi
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#97 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:20 pm

Wow

Image
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#98 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:22 pm

All or part of 22 counties under tornado warnings...
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#99 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:23 pm

New watch (not PDS) farther north:

SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 18
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 95 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LONDON KENTUCKY TO 65 MILES NORTH OF LONDON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...WW 17...

DISCUSSION...WITH WARM FRONT MOVING NWD INTO CENTRAL/ERN
KY...CONDITIONS ARE NOW FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE
VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...HALES


SEL8

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 18
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 95 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
LONDON KENTUCKY TO 65 MILES NORTH OF LONDON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 16...WW 17...

DISCUSSION...WITH WARM FRONT MOVING NWD INTO CENTRAL/ERN
KY...CONDITIONS ARE NOW FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE
VERY STRONG SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.


...HALES


Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

WOUS64 KWNS 102015
WOU8

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 18
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

TORNADO WATCH 18 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KYC001-003-005-009-011-021-025-045-049-051-053-057-061-063-065-
067-079-087-099-109-113-123-125-129-137-147-151-153-155-165-167-
169-171-173-175-179-189-197-199-203-205-207-213-215-217-227-229-
231-235-237-239-110200-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0018.080110T2020Z-080111T0200Z/

KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BATH BOYLE
BREATHITT CASEY CLARK
CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON ELLIOTT ESTILL
FAYETTE GARRARD GREEN
HART JACKSON JESSAMINE
LARUE LAUREL LEE
LINCOLN MADISON MAGOFFIN
MARION MCCREARY MENIFEE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NELSON
OWSLEY POWELL PULASKI
ROCKCASTLE ROWAN RUSSELL
SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE WOODFORD


ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...





Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

SAW8
WW 18 TORNADO KY 102020Z - 110200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
95WSW LOZ/LONDON KY/ - 65N LOZ/LONDON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /44ESE BWG - 60N LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.

LAT...LON 36548673 38028518 38028298 36548458

THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.


Watch 18 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
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Re: Tornado Outbreak - Southeast, January 10-11

#100 Postby Brent » Thu Jan 10, 2008 3:24 pm

ABC 33/40 in Birmingham, NWS Jackson: "significant tornado" in Northern Lowndes County, MS. Storm is crossing the AL stateline now and very impressive radar signature.
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