Texas Spring 2019

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Haris
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#821 Postby Haris » Wed Apr 17, 2019 7:43 pm

Image

:double: *gulp*
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#822 Postby Brent » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:03 pm

if the HRRR is right the line will be more intense down in Central TX than DFW :lol:
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#823 Postby Haris » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:08 pm

Brent wrote:if the HRRR is right the line will be more intense down in Central TX than DFW :lol:

Image

It’s only 8 and look how intense it is
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#824 Postby Ntxw » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:10 pm

Haris wrote:
Brent wrote:if the HRRR is right the line will be more intense down in Central TX than DFW :lol:

[url]https://i.ibb.co/Mnfj2m1/93947843-0-B78-44-E5-A1-DF-13-D7-A90-A3-F94.png [/url]

It’s only 8 and look how intense it is


The clustering tells us it's about to go linear mode.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#825 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:11 pm

Brent wrote:if the HRRR is right the line will be more intense down in Central TX than DFW :lol:


The HRRR has been a train wreck here lately. It spent all day trying to fire big cells out East of DFW. The last two runs of the 3k NAM had widespread 2"+ amounts across DFW. I'll go with that lol
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#826 Postby opticsguy » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:18 pm

Brent wrote:
if the HRRR is right the line will be more intense down in Central TX than DFW :lol:


Image

What app is that for the radar imagery?
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#827 Postby Haris » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:19 pm

opticsguy wrote:
Brent wrote:
if the HRRR is right the line will be more intense down in Central TX than DFW :lol:


Image

What app is that for the radar imagery?


Radar scope
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#828 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:20 pm

Looks like one of those cells is trying to make the hook to take 380.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#829 Postby bubba hotep » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:34 pm

DFW 00z Sounding data

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#830 Postby Ntxw » Wed Apr 17, 2019 8:42 pm

The good thing about the mad rush to leave work/school early, people clogged the roads before 5pm. The drive home during normal rush was even better than normal for me :D.

Overall view

Image
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#831 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:03 pm

Guess will see if the stuff southwest doesn’t turn more east. It’s evolving like runs that didn’t give DFW much.
Last edited by rwfromkansas on Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#832 Postby Ralph's Weather » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:06 pm

Ntxw wrote:The good thing about the mad rush to leave work/school early, people clogged the roads before 5pm. The drive home during normal rush was even better than normal for me :D.

Overall view

https://images2.imgbox.com/2b/1c/e4G9RddK_o.gif

Looks like the NE TX stuff is tryimg to get going, but I'm not sure there is enough juice for them. We likely will be wating until the line W of DFW gets here late tonight.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#833 Postby Cerlin » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:51 pm

Big storms look like they’re they’re headed right for the metroplex in about an hour or less.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#834 Postby gpsnowman » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:57 pm

Cerlin wrote:Big storms look like they’re they’re headed right for the metroplex in about an hour or less.

Well shoot, I was hoping to witness a good t-storm before bed. Three thirty comes mighty early. Maybe the thunder later will wake me up.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#835 Postby Lagreeneyes03 » Wed Apr 17, 2019 9:58 pm

Everyone on social media screaming huge bust, I did see one channel advertising the "hail" in Gainesville. Maybe nickel sized but they had their camera on the ground to make sure and pick up the bouncing effect.

I really thing the weather tools available make people even more prone to overhype. Every channel advertising baseball sized hail, they should have just said some hail is possible and a slight chance of large hail. They made it sound like armageddeon. Airlines cancelled hundreds of flights, events cancelled, pretty much for nothing. Lots of money lost this evening.

There's going to have to be a big explanation by the TV mets and NWS why nothing really materialized besides the run of the mill thunderstorms.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#836 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Apr 17, 2019 10:01 pm

Pretty wimpy storms. Will they even maintain severity? HRRR did show them weakening over DFW earlier today.

One around Denton is still impresssive.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#837 Postby Ntxw » Wed Apr 17, 2019 10:09 pm

Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Everyone on social media screaming huge bust, I did see one channel advertising the "hail" in Gainesville. Maybe nickel sized but they had their camera on the ground to make sure and pick up the bouncing effect.

I really thing the weather tools available make people even more prone to overhype. Every channel advertising baseball sized hail, they should have just said some hail is possible and a slight chance of large hail. They made it sound like armageddeon. Airlines cancelled hundreds of flights, events cancelled, pretty much for nothing. Lots of money lost this evening.

There's going to have to be a big explanation by the TV mets and NWS why nothing really materialized besides the run of the mill thunderstorms.


Hail storms are bad and damaging, horrible to experience. However, all that hype for something that is extremely rare, limited in scope is kind of really reaching. Most go their whole lives without ever witnessing baseball+ size hail. Despite it happening frequently across the FW CWA, the odds of any one location is still extremely low. I think Texas Snowman nailed it earlier that when the NWS put out a graphic depicting hail sizes, folks took that without placing additional content and it spread like wildfire. Even in a large outbreak it's still a low frequency occurrence in a geographical area.

Even if it had occurred today, less than 1% of the population would have even experienced it.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#838 Postby rwfromkansas » Wed Apr 17, 2019 10:26 pm

Storms south turned after all and will miss most of DFW.

But, will get the line building west. But, it’s thin. Maybe .20 of an inch of rain if lucky and typical pea size hail max.

Hearing thunder.
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#839 Postby Haris » Wed Apr 17, 2019 10:32 pm

Image

Healthy!
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Re: Texas Spring 2019

#840 Postby Brent » Wed Apr 17, 2019 10:45 pm

Ntxw wrote:
Lagreeneyes03 wrote:Everyone on social media screaming huge bust, I did see one channel advertising the "hail" in Gainesville. Maybe nickel sized but they had their camera on the ground to make sure and pick up the bouncing effect.

I really thing the weather tools available make people even more prone to overhype. Every channel advertising baseball sized hail, they should have just said some hail is possible and a slight chance of large hail. They made it sound like armageddeon. Airlines cancelled hundreds of flights, events cancelled, pretty much for nothing. Lots of money lost this evening.

There's going to have to be a big explanation by the TV mets and NWS why nothing really materialized besides the run of the mill thunderstorms.


Hail storms are bad and damaging, horrible to experience. However, all that hype for something that is extremely rare, limited in scope is kind of really reaching. Most go their whole lives without ever witnessing baseball+ size hail. Despite it happening frequently across the FW CWA, the odds of any one location is still extremely low. I think Texas Snowman nailed it earlier that when the NWS put out a graphic depicting hail sizes, folks took that without placing additional content and it spread like wildfire. Even in a large outbreak it's still a low frequency occurrence in a geographical area.

Even if it had occurred today, less than 1% of the population would have even experienced it.


Exactly... people forget the hail is always so localized, even the big ones lately. I personally thought it was way overhyped yesterday because there was another graphic going around about violent tornadoes for the metro when this was never a tornado day anyway.
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