Texas Fall 2017
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
And the 12z GFS goes full retard with single digits for the northern burbs and keeps DFW below freezing for nearly 3 days. Oh yeah, snow!
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I just saw that GFS run and came over here thinking the thread would have been blown up by now by you Metroplexers!
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I just pulled up the DFW Meteogram and checked 3 times to make sure I didn't click on some far away northern city...
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#neversummer
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
But here is why it won't verify ... it shows snow for Austin. So you KNOW it won't verify.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
So you’re telling me there’s a chance for snow after thanksgiving in the dfw area?
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Theepicman116 wrote:So you’re telling me there’s a chance for snow after thanksgiving in the dfw area?
Its fantasy world technically. But its the first "modeled" arctic blast of the season. We are all skeptical due to model inconsistencies and warmth winning out. See it then believe it mode.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Just the fact that a model is showing something positive regarding winter in the long range has peaked my interest.
I'm not sure I can take another warm winter, but I will if I have to .
I'm not sure I can take another warm winter, but I will if I have to .
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
WacoWx wrote:Just the fact that a model is showing something positive regarding winter in the long range has peaked my interest.
I'm not sure I can take another warm winter, but I will if I have to .
2013 got rolling near the same period. Fingers crossed the warm waters in the GOA we've built the past month or two works. Even half of the model run would be success.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Portastorm wrote:But here is why it won't verify ... it shows snow for Austin. So you KNOW it won't verify.
To the pit of misery for you Sir.... DILLY DILLY............
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- CaptinCrunch
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
In other news the 12z Euro has an even bigger rain event before Thanksgiving now
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- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
What they got for high temps?Brent wrote:In other news the 12z Euro has an even bigger rain event before Thanksgiving now
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- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Warmth will not win out!!Ntxw wrote:Theepicman116 wrote:So you’re telling me there’s a chance for snow after thanksgiving in the dfw area?
Its fantasy world technically. But its the first "modeled" arctic blast of the season. We are all skeptical due to model inconsistencies and warmth winning out. See it then believe it mode.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
starsfan65 wrote:What they got for high temps?Brent wrote:In other news the 12z Euro has an even bigger rain event before Thanksgiving now
50s Wednesday and Thanksgiving near 60 Friday
No cold at the end of the Euro
GFS mid 70s Wednesday low 60s Thanksgiving low 50s Friday
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#neversummer
Re: Texas Fall 2017
Cpv17 wrote:Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?
Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .
Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.
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The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Ntxw wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?
Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .
Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.
To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Its a weird run too. I remember an ULL dropping into mexico like that super nino year but it looks funky. Lets see if the GFS sticks with it.
Its also air from near Siberia, i dont hate it!
Its also air from near Siberia, i dont hate it!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Austin's freezing drizzle being advertised, although it is in model fantasy land this run.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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