June 2-3: Severe weather in the Central US

[CrazyC83]

Created a new thread since it looks quite intense out there, even if there isn't a great tornado threat. Looks like a derecho moving south of Kansas City right now.

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
KSC107-121-MOC013-037-021830-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0106.080602T1742Z-080602T1830Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1242 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LINN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
SOUTHEASTERN MIAMI COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WESTERN BATES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHWESTERN CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 130 PM CDT

* AT 1240 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF PAOLA TO
FONTANA TO PARKER...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
LA CYGNE BY 1255 PM CDT.
DREXEL BY 100 PM CDT.
ARCHIE BY 115 PM CDT.
ADRIAN BY 120 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF NEW LANCASTER...MERWIN...AMSTERDAM...AMORET...WORLAND...
FOSTER AND PASSAIC ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

TELEPHONE POLES WERE DOWN AND A HOME DAMAGED IN OSAWATOMIE AROUND
12:35 PM.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH TORNADO LIKE WIND
SPEEDS EXPECTED. MOBILE HOMES AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ARE
ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE AND MAY BE
OVERTURNED. MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3849 9421 3829 9434 3811 9446 3830 9492
3848 9479 3864 9471
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 297DEG 37KT 3861 9476 3848 9483
3837 9495

$$

MJ

[KWT]

Yep yet another tornado threat, it really does feel like its nearly non-stop!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1254 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

MOC217-021830-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0305.000000T0000Z-080602T1830Z/
VERNON MO-
1254 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY...

AT 1249 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR HARWOOD...OR 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RICH
HILL...MOVING EAST AT 43 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...IF YOU
ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3806 9426 3804 9423 3806 9417 3806 9413
3804 9407 3786 9408 3792 9421 3795 9430
3806 9431
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 288DEG 37KT 3797 9415

$$

CRAMER

[CrazyC83]

Tornadoes are certainly possible, but the biggest threat is probably hail and wind (turning into more of a wind threat now). I don't know why the 45 wind was not hatched...

The main bow echo seems to be on a direct path towards Springfield as well...

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0104 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 420...

VALID 021804Z - 021900Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 420 CONTINUES.

RECENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE AN IMPRESSIVE HP SUPERCELL TRACKING
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO CASS/BATES/LINN COUNTIES KS. THIS STORM HAS
SHOWN POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT HAIL FOR A FEW HOURS...BUT HAS ALSO
RECENTLY BEGAN TO BOW OUT. CELL WILL LIKELY TRACK INTO CEDAR/ST.
CLAIR COUNTIES IN MO WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH A CONTINUED
THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. EFFECTIVE
SHEAR VALUES OF 50-60 KNOTS COUPLED WITH MLCAPE OVER 2500 J/KG WILL
MAINTAIN SEVERE/SUPERCELL THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST MID AFTERNOON.

..HART.. 06/02/2008


ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...

38639435 38429386 37949357 37669411 37779468 38189489

[KWT]

Yep your right, still bet most storm chasers will be out and about.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC023-047-021915-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SV.W.0149.080602T1808Z-080602T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
208 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
EASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 208 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
JASPER...AND MOVING EAST AT 14 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BELMONT...WHITE SPRINGS AND SUWANNEE VALLEY.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

LAT...LON 3061 8294 3049 8253 3027 8267 3033 8279
3035 8280 3034 8281 3045 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1808Z 290DEG 12KT 3048 8288

$$

ZAPPE

[CrazyC83]

The question is will this intensify into a full-blown derecho?

[KWT]

Maybe, its going to need to be watched I feel...also now upto 2000 posts lol!

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
MOC185-217-021930-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0306.080602T1815Z-080602T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
115 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
VERNON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 109 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 23 MILES NORTHWEST
OF APPLETON CITY TO 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF METZ...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 49 MPH. THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING
HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70
MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
APPLETON CITY BY 140 PM CDT.
SCHELL CITY BY 145 PM CDT.
WALKER BY 150 PM CDT.
LOWRY CITY BY 155 PM CDT.
OSCEOLA BY 200 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF METZ...HORTON...JOHNSON CITY...TABERVILLE...HARWOOD...
MONEGAW SPRINGS...TIFFIN...ROSCOE...MONTEVALLO AND VISTA ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THESE ARE DANGEROUS STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN THEIR PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3806 9431 3804 9423 3806 9413 3804 9408
3822 9405 3821 9358 3822 9355 3818 9351
3792 9352 3791 9358 3783 9358 3783 9382
3789 9383 3790 9407 3769 9408 3803 9462
3806 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1815Z 305DEG 43KT 3842 9419 3816 9460

$$

CRAMER

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
MOC013-083-021900-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0107.080602T1821Z-080602T1900Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
121 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN BATES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHERN HENRY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT

* AT 118 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WALNUT SIZE
HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.
ACTIVATION OF LOCAL WARNING SYSTEMS IS RECOMMENDED. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF HUME
TO ARCHIE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
RICH HILL BY 130 PM CDT.
MONTROSE BY 145 PM CDT.
DEEPWATER BY 155 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF BALLARD...ROCKVILLE...LA DUE AND BROWNINGTON ARE ALSO IN
THE PATH OF THESE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

AT 1:18 PM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 MPH IN FOSTER.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS!

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION WITH TORNADO LIKE WIND
SPEEDS EXPECTED. MOBILE HOMES AND HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ARE
ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE AND MAY BE
OVERTURNED. MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STURDY BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3805 9428 3805 9432 3811 9448 3846 9426
3844 9423 3845 9411 3827 9358 3819 9363
3820 9404 3803 9407 3805 9417 3802 9425
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 297DEG 39KT 3813 9446 3845 9424

$$

MJ

[KWT]

Those winds really are getting quite high now, 80mph ggusts certainly are going to be enough to cause some damage!

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
GAC283-021915-
/O.NEW.KFFC.SV.W.0301.080602T1828Z-080602T1915Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
228 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
TREUTLEN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 224 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOPERTON NEAR EXIT 78
ON INTERSTATE 16...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ZAIDEE.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

IF YOU SEE WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL OR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...WAIT
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED...AND THEN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE TOLL FREE AT 1 8 6 6 7 6 3 4 4 6 6.

LAT...LON 3243 8239 3235 8241 3232 8256 3244 8267
3250 8255
TIME...MOT...LOC 1828Z 331DEG 8KT 3241 8251

$$

[CrazyC83]

Yep, 80 mph gusts over a large area will put out power to many...

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
132 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

MOC185-217-021930-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0306.000000T0000Z-080602T1930Z/
VERNON MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
132 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN VERNON AND ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...

AT 128 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM EXTENDING NORTHWARD FROM RICH HILL ACROSS BATES COUNTY.
THIS STORM DAMAGED STRUCTURES WITH AN ESTIMATED 80 MPH WINDS ALONG
WITH GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL NEAR FOSTER. THE STORM WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 62 MPH.

THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF
BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH. THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...SCHELL CITY AND 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WALKER BY 145 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF HARWOOD AND TIFFIN ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. RESIDENTS SHOULD
RESPOND AS IF THIS WERE A TORNADIC STORM. MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO
REINFORCED STRUCTURES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3806 9431 3804 9423 3806 9413 3804 9408
3822 9405 3821 9358 3822 9355 3818 9351
3792 9352 3791 9358 3783 9358 3783 9382
3789 9383 3790 9407 3769 9408 3803 9462
3806 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1832Z 306DEG 54KT 3808 9432

$$

RUNNELS

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
147 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN CEDAR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
SOUTHWESTERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 143 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF SCHELL CITY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RICH
HILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
EL DORADO SPRINGS BY 205 PM CDT.

[CrazyC83]

TORNADO WARNING
MOC039-185-217-021930-
/O.NEW.KSGF.TO.W.0130.080602T1847Z-080602T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
147 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHWESTERN CEDAR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
SOUTHWESTERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT.

* AT 143 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 6 MILES WEST OF SCHELL CITY...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RICH
HILL...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
EL DORADO SPRINGS BY 205 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF TIFFIN...CEDAR SPRINGS...FILLEY AND CAPLINGER MILLS ARE
ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC STORM.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM SPOTTER HAVE ALSO REPORTED 80
MPH WINDS HAVE DAMAGED STRUCTURES IN BATES COUNTY AND BASEBALL SIZE
HAIL IN RICH HILL.

THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING THAT
WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME AREA. RESIDENTS SHOULD GO IMMEDIATELY TO
A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR.

LAT...LON 3806 9428 3806 9426 3804 9423 3806 9417
3806 9413 3804 9408 3808 9407 3809 9405
3799 9366 3767 9382 3799 9435
TIME...MOT...LOC 1847Z 306DEG 34KT 3800 9418

$$

RUNNELS

[wbug1]

The cell north of Nevada, Mo now shows 75 dbz base reflectivity and a tornado warning is up.
It'll pass near Marshfield, MO next and I'm sure will miss Springfield.

[KWT]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC067-021945-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0084.080602T1857Z-080602T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
257 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MAYO...

* UNTIL 345 PM EDT

* AT 255 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
MAYO...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 16 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MIDWAY BY 305 PM EDT...
7 MILES WEST OF HATCH BEND BY 345 PM EDT...

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2996 8322 3016 8325 3015 8322 3012 8320
3012 8310 3002 8299 3002 8297 2984 8289
2984 8316
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 343DEG 14KT 3002 8309

$$

14-MROCZKA

[CrazyC83]

New Tornado Watch (IMO, should be a PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch):

SEL1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 210 PM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST OF FORT LEONARD
WOOD MISSOURI TO 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 420...

DISCUSSION...COMPACT...INTENSE CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
MAINTAINING BOWING/HP-STRUCTURES AS THEY MOVE SEWD ACROSS SWRN MO
THIS AFTERNOON. AIRMASS HAS DESTABILIZED AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY AND
SHEAR IS QUITE STRONG...SUGGESTING CONTINUED THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT
HAIL DRIVEN BY INTENSE OUTFLOW WINDS BOTH OF WHICH COULD BE QUITE
DESTRUCTIVE. ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL WILL ALSO REMAIN...MAINLY
ON SWRN PORTION OF THIS CLUSTER.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.


...EVANS

[CrazyC83]

These numbers do NOT warrant a tornado watch:

Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
Low (20%)


Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
Low (20%)


Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (70%)


Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (60%)


Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (70%)


Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
High (90%)


Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)

[KWT]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
235 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

MOC039-057-167-022015-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0131.000000T0000Z-080602T2015Z/
DADE MO-POLK MO-CEDAR MO-
235 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR EASTERN
CEDAR...NORTHEASTERN DADE AND POLK COUNTIES...

AT 233 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR STOCKTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 42 MPH.

THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
FAIR PLAY BY 245 PM CDT.
6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BOLIVAR BY 300 PM CDT.
MORRISVILLE BY 305 PM CDT.
PLEASANT HOPE BY 315 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF BEARCREEK...DUNNEGAN...MASTERS...ALDRICH...EUDORA AND
BRIGHTON ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHERN
MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3778 9364 3783 9363 3781 9353 3780 9320
3773 9320 3773 9318 3742 9319 3742 9363
3740 9363 3740 9370 3771 9395 3783 9381
3783 9376
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 307DEG 36KT 3769 9371

$$

RUNNELS

[Ed Mahmoud]

I wonder whether a "plain-jane" Tornado Watch gets the public's attention better than a PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

[KWT]

Hmm not sure to be honest?

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC061-093-111-022045-
/O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0033.080602T1944Z-080602T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
344 PM EDT MON JUN 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
INDIAN RIVER COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
EASTERN OKEECHOBEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.
ST. LUCIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 445 PM EDT

* AT 341 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES
NORTHEAST OF FORT DRUM...AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH. OTHER SEVERE
STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG INTERSTATE 95 AND STATE ROAD 60 IN
INDIAN RIVER COUNTY.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
LAKEWOOD PARK...WHITE CITY...SAINT LUCIE WEST...PORT SAINT LUCIE
RIVER PARK...PORT SAINT LUCIE...OKEECHOBEE AND FOUR SEASONS ESTATES

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL FROM NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE
A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

LAT...LON 2727 8029 2724 8029 2724 8030 2722 8028
2721 8029 2722 8087 2782 8086 2781 8051
2727 8027
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 344DEG 10KT 2761 8074

$$

DWS