Texas Spring 2024

[HockeyTx82]

What are you all seeing for tomorrow specifically and where? NTX is a large area and I'm not sure that any single model can sniff out a single Supercell.

Anyone have any graphics?

[South Texas Storms]

95F at DFW right now. Ties the record high for the day. Brutal.

[snownado]

95F at DFW right now. Ties the record high for the day. Brutal.

Was coming just to post this.

Storms or no storms, these past 2 days definitely overachieved in terms of heat.

[Anti-freeze]

According to NWS, we just need to survive today, then below normal temps in DFW for the next week. 50's to low 60's dew points Fri-Sun.

(Gotta figure out a way to change my name to Anti-humidity....)

[bubba hotep]

Starting to get some agitated CU across DFW

[Anti-freeze]

Those towers over Arlington and northeastward are really blowing up.

[snownado]

Starting to get some agitated CU across DFW

As I figured would be the case, too little too late.

Even the cell that managed to bubble up over downtown is struggling.

We'll see what tomorrow brings (if anything). But this just hasn't been DFW's year for severe stuff.

[snownado]

On another note, in addition to tying the record high, DFW also saw its earliest highest dewpoint ever observed with the dewpoint topping out at 78*F today.

Previous record was also 78*F on 5/13/1995.

[txtwister78]

Starting to get some agitated CU across DFW

As I figured would be the case, too little too late.

Even the cell that managed to bubble up over downtown is struggling.

We'll see what tomorrow brings (if anything). But this just hasn't been DFW's year for severe stuff.

Yeah you can have all the cape in the world, but if the cap can maintain then it's all just some cool colors on a mesoanalysis map and that's a good thing when you have instability values like this in place. Obviously, that's not the case NE up I-30 and just along the river. Big hailers up there.

Odds look a little better tomorrow a little further south with the boundary sagging into Central Texas perhaps.

[Tejas89]

Morning lows are more like midsummer lately. Brutal. But continuing the theme of our toothless winter.

[WacoWx]

It sure doesn't feel like an Enhanced severe day outside.

[rwfromkansas]

It goes almost right from slight to enhanced, which to me implies they expect a quick blow-up to severe status, but I could be wrong.

[HockeyTx82]

A tale of two dew points.

Southern half of Tarrant and Dallas are juiced, north of that not so much.

62F dewpoint in Denton, 68F plus Dallas city and south.

Not sure if that will be the line, but HRRR showing some supercells blowing up right along that path which I assume is the front.

[cstrunk]

The DFW area still looks to be ground zero for the supercell/hail threat this afternoon. I think the Enhanced Risk is delineated too far to the north, once you get east of there. I wouldn't be surprised if it gets trimmed back south closer to I-20 in NE TX and N LA, as opposed to extending along I-30 in NE TX to Texarkana and southern Arkansas.

[rwfromkansas]

I was under the impression things would be earlier in the day, 1-2 or so, but it has a supercell going right over me in Tarrant around 4. Right when school would let out, so yay for that. NAM doesn't really fire anything in DFW. But, I am leaning on SPC for their expertise.

[WacoWx]

Some blue skies are showing up in Las Colinas rn at 10:30a.

[snownado]

The last few runs of the HRRR, which has the most bullish of all the Hi-Res models for DFW, seem pretty consistent with keeping the severe activity south of I-20 and west of I-35.

[cheezyWXguy]

Things getting active early, the severe warned storm out west is 3 hours early, in location and severity, in comparison to the latest hrrr. Not sure what if any downstream impacts that has

[HockeyTx82]

That one storm is turning right, I'm surprised it's not Tor Warned. Looks to have some rotation.

North of Graham

[bubba hotep]

The cell out near Jacksboro needs to be watched if it makes a right turn toward DFW.