NWS Storm Prediction Center Convective Outlook for FL

[ColdFront77]

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0501 AM CST MON FEB 23 2004


...FL AREA...

EXPECT BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS TO RISE INTO THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70
F ACROSS FL FROM DAY 2 INTO DAY 3...WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
POTENTIALLY MODERATE INSTABILITY. ADDITIONALLY...DEEP LAYER WIND
FIELDS AND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE SRN STREAM TROUGH WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE SPECIFIC MODE /CLUSTERS VERSUS LINE/ AND TIMING OF THE
CONVECTION ACROSS FL. THE MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO IS FOR SEVERAL
CLUSTERS OF STORMS ACROSS N FL FROM DAY 2 INTO EARLY DAY 3...WHILE A
TRAILING BAND OF STORMS /SOME SEVERE/ MOVES EWD ACROSS THE PENINSULA
DURING THE DAY IN ADVANCE OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT.

[Josephine96]

That is for tomorrow or Wednesday..?

[weatherlover427]

Day 3 at 5:01 am EST would mean Wednesday most likely.

[Josephine96]

Thank you Joshua.. I thought it meant Wednesday lol

[ColdFront77]

Sure, it means Wednesday; but some activity is possible tomorrow... some showers and possible thunderstorms for the west-central portion of Florida toward morning, too.

[weatherlover427]

No problem John.

Looking at Tom's avatar/radar it certainly does look like North FL is getting some storms/rain at this time.