DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION IN FLORIDA

[Josephine96]

I hate to start a new thread. {Please don't kill me} But I think we have a developing weather situation here in Central Florida.

NWS Melbourne graphics have us under a MODERATE risk for winds hail and even tornadoes today. Tornadoes are even the main threat from our storms.

They even said they'll be doing an update on NOAA radio at 2pm eastern. If any of you get the update.. please pass it along.

I'm a little scared as I always get. I'm actually a little excited too because I like watching these develop. I just pray that it doesn't get too strong.

To all other Central Florida posters.. stay safe.. I'll keep checking in as the afternoon goes on.. By the way.. here's the text of the 1st warning of the day.. It was for Orange and Seminole County
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1151 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY
IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA

* UNTIL 1230 PM EST

* AT 1141 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ONE WEST OF THE ATTRACTIONS AREA AND ONE
NORTH OF ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THESE STORM WERE MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH AND WILL PASS OVER THE SOUTH PART OF THE ORLANDO
METRO AREA AND INTO EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BAY HILL...PINE CASTLE...
BELLE ISLE...DOCTOR PHILLIPS...SEA WORLD...WET N WILD WATER
PARK...UNION PARK AND UNIVERSAL STUDIOS

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING. GO TO
A SAFE PLACE IF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH YOUR AREA...ESPECIALLY
IF YOU LIVE IN A MOBILE HOME.

This is actually the 2nd warning.. it was reissued.. I hope nobody's at the attractions today

[Josephine96]

The atmosphere is definitely setting up for a fun afternoon around here

[yoda]

Have fun down there with the storms....

KEEP SAFE!!!

[Josephine96]

LOL Thank you for your words of encouragement lol

[yoda]

LOL.. I just really want to see a tornado. I have heard all about them and I have seen funnel clouds before... but I just want one to touch down so I can watch it... as long as it is not moving toward me...

Yes, please stay safe!

[Josephine96]

Yoda.. I have seen several twisters before and even have a scar on my kneecap from the one in 1998 lol.. They are a marvel to watch form.. But they can get pretty scary..

{rolls eyes because I've probably talked about my kneecap scar at least 100 times since I joined storm 2k lol }

[yoda]

Yes that is true! I just want to watch one form and move away from me... LOL maybe I will go chase it in my car!

But yes that is true that it is very scary...

[Josephine96]

Maybe you should become a storm chaser lol

[yoda]

I just might!! As long as the twister is not headed toward me...

[Anonymous]

Looks like there is a continued threat through tomorrow for severe weather across the Peninsula as well as very heavy rainfall (up to 5inches) and possible coastal wind/surf problems with MECS/Nor'easter...

Severe outlook Day1...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TO THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA...

...GULF COAST/FL PENINSULA...

LEADING BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS HAS WEAKENED AS IT PROPAGATES
SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TRAILING
THIS ACTIVITY...THICKENING CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION ARE NOW
OCCURRING ACROSS THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO...NORTH OF SFC BOUNDARY
WITHIN INCREASING ZONE OF ASCENT. THIS ASCENT APPEARS CORRELATED
WITH AN APPARENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS FROM SRN LA...SWWD
INTO THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO. LATEST GUIDANCE AND OBSERVATIONAL
DATA SUGGEST A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY...MULTIPLE MCS'S...WILL DEVELOP EWD ACROSS NRN HALF OF FL
DURING THE NEXT 6-18HRS. MUCH OF THIS CONVECTION WILL OCCUR
ALONG/NORTH OF THE NEARLY STATIONARY SFC BOUNDARY.

UPSTREAM...A DEVELOPING MCS IS ORGANIZING OFF THE MIDDLE TX COAST AS
IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY MOIST/DEEPENING BOUNDARY LAYER. NRN
EXTENTION OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP TOWARD THE LA COAST LATER
TONIGHT. NWD LIFT OF WARM FRONT AHEAD OF SFC LOW MAY ULTIMATELY BE
RETARDED DUE TO ONGOING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS OVER THE NRN GULF.

WITH THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OFFSHORE...IT APPEARS THE GREATEST RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE WARM FRONT OVER THE FL
PENINSULA WITH ANY DISCRETE STORM ELEMENTS.

Flooding....

FLOOD WATCH
FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-251100-

BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
300 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH VALID
UNTIL 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
ALACHUA...BAKER...BRADFORD...CLAY...COLUMBIA...DUVAL...FLAGLER...
GILCHRIST...HAMILTON...MARION...NASSAU...PUTNAM...SAINT JOHNS...
SUWANNEE AND UNION.

A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA...IN
COMBINATION WITH A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES...WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA
TONIGHT. AVERAGE EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE AROUND 2 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. SINCE 4 PM MONDAY...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE TOTALLED AROUND 2 INCHES OVER THE SUWANNEE
VALLEY...AS WELL AS SOUTH OF A SAINT AUGUSTINE TO GAINESVILLE LINE.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
AREAS...AS WELL AS FURTHER RISES IN LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS RAPIDLY RISING WATER OR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK
PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK
ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A WARNING IS ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO OR TELEVISION
STATIONS...OR CABLE TELEVISION FOR ANY UPDATES OR WARNINGS. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

$$

CARROLL/PC





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLOOD WATCH
FLZ041-044>046-141-144-252000-

BULLETIN...IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
300 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

...A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 3 PM WEDNESDAY FOR LAKE...
ORANGE...SEMINOLE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

HEAVY RAIN PRODUCED WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS
LAKE...VOLUSIA AND ORANGE COUNTIES ON TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK INTO THE WATCH AREA OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE
INTO WEDNESDAY WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION
EXPECTED. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH 5 INCHES IN SOME
AREAS. AS A RESULT...A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING TO DEVELOP.
RESIDENTS IN THE WATCH AREA...PARTICULARLY THOSE LIVING IN THE MORE
FLOOD PRONE...LOWER LYING LOCATIONS...SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ACT
QUICKLY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR
BECOMES IMMINENT. BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LISTEN FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS...AND POSSIBLY WARNINGS
FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE BY LISTENING TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS.

Marine Advisory...

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
AMZ435-450-452-454-470-472-474-251000-

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
403 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

...STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SURF DEVELOPING WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING
INTO FRI NIGHT...

A SERIES OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL
DEVELOP BEHIND THESE SYSTEMS SUPPORTING STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS. WINDS OF 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD
RAPIDLY EARLY WEDNESDAY TO 8 TO 10 FEET...REACHING UP TO 13 FEET BY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WELL OFFSHORE. THE HIGH SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE DAY FRIDAY.

ALONG THE COAST...THE LONG FETCH OF STRONG EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL GENERATE SURF REACHING 6 FEET DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. MINOR
BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE STARTING WEDNESDAY ESPECIALLY AT TIMES
OF HIGH TIDE.

MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER
CONDITIONS...FUTURE STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

$$

CAMP

[Josephine96]

Thank you for that Jekye

[ColdFront77]

Jeromy, I posted those Flood Watches (the Ruskin, FL [Tampa Bay Area]) statement, too in another thread.

[Josephine96]

LOL all the severe weather threads are getting a lot of TLC today lol

[Josephine96]

By the way.. about how long are we going to be in this lull.. I just went outside and it's somewhat eerie.. It's not dead still out there.. But the winds have calmed considerably and there is only an occasional light rain drop with gray clouds overhead

[ColdFront77]

This lull will last at least 6 to 8 hours in total... with the forecast calling for the potential of strong to severe storms late tonight into tomorrow. 2:00 pm to 8:00 pm will be one to four hours before late evening and overnight.

At the moment I am getting a moderate to heavy rain with some lightning flashes in the distance, an occassional rumble of thunder can be heard (obviously thundering with lightning).

[Josephine96]

Ok.. so that explains the lull a little better. 6 to 8 hours sounds about right.. Guess while we sleep the thunder will rumble..

I have to stop at the store on my way home. Maybe I'll pick up some batteries for my weather radio. I think it runs on a 9 volt.

Only problem is I don't know if it'd work lol My 3 year old nephew screwed up the antenna like last year lol

[ColdFront77]

I am usually up during the overnight hours, so will be awake even more so knowing that the chance of thunderstorms (even weak) are in the forecast.

You don't have a NOAA Weather Radio that doesn't run on batteries. I have three or four of them... use my police scanner just about exclusively. No need of using the others most of the time.

[Josephine96]

No Tom.. My radio's busted lol.. We have some rain here.. No wind or lightning.. just rain

[chadtm80]

Time to get the boat out

http://storm2k.nhcwx.com/cgi-bin/hw3.cg ... one=FLZ041


I got three inches today

[Josephine96]

LOL.. I think we have got about an inch so far