Dennis
Unoffically, it's OVER! OFFICALLY, it's a BUST!
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- azsnowman
 - Category 5

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 - Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
 - Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)
 
Unoffically, it's OVER! OFFICALLY, it's a BUST!
WELL....July, precip wise, was a HUGE BUST O' RAMA 
 I'm sticking my neck out and UNOFFICALLY declaring the 2004 NONSOON, MONSOON season OVER for all intents and purposes! God Help US!
Dennis
			
									
						Dennis
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						- NWIASpotter
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 - Location: Terril, Iowa & Ames, Iowa
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- NWIASpotter
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- Aslkahuna
 - Professional-Met

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 - Location: Tucson, AZ
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I would call July a dudsoon rather than a nonsoon but the monsoon is not over just yet. In fact, we are getting a monsoon surge down here today-not intense but a surge nonetheless. Also have to remember that although the monsoon usually brings rain, it doesn't necessarily bring a lot of rain-there are many factors involved in how effective a monsoon is which is why even the Asian monsoon, which is much more intense, is so unpredictable. For July we got 1.62in of rain which is 2.20 below normal. In character, July was much like July 2002 only a bit drier than the earlier July-since 2002 was our driest monsoon on record at my house, I am not optimistic about the remainder of this year's monsoon either. Interestingly, I went against the tide of those who called for a wet monsoon but didn't go enough against it it seems.
Steve
 
			
									
						Steve
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						- CaptinCrunch
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- azsnowman
 - Category 5

 - Posts: 8591
 - Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
 - Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)
 
I could have told the NWS FLAG this....I'm tellin' ya, the dudsoon is OVER for all intents and purposes 
 
BY THE WEEKEND THE 500 MB RIDGE TAKES A POSITION ALONG THE AZ/NEW
MEXICO BORDER WITH A MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE INVERSION FORMING OVER THE
AREA. WE TAKE THE PRECIP CHC'S DOWN TO A LOW GRADE MONSOON BY THEN
AS THIS PATTERN IS NOT AS FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
Dennis
			
									
						BY THE WEEKEND THE 500 MB RIDGE TAKES A POSITION ALONG THE AZ/NEW
MEXICO BORDER WITH A MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE INVERSION FORMING OVER THE
AREA. WE TAKE THE PRECIP CHC'S DOWN TO A LOW GRADE MONSOON BY THEN
AS THIS PATTERN IS NOT AS FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.
Dennis
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						- azsnowman
 - Category 5

 - Posts: 8591
 - Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 8:56 pm
 - Location: Pinetop Arizona. Elevation 7102' (54 miles west of NM border)
 
For the record, I was WRONG and I'll be the first to admit it....it's only been 12 days, that's counting today, without a drop of rain. I've done some research and this is, according to all the records I could find, the DRIEST monsoon, dudsoon, nonsoon season this mountain has experienced since records have been kept 
 and the outlook for any precip within the next 8 days is NON existent 
 I try NOT to complain, to think about it but when you walk thru the woods, smell the pine sap and watch the sap bleeding from the Ponderosa Pines, it's VERY depressing to say the very least! I know there's nuthin' I can do about it..but DAM, this is TERRIBLE
Dennis
			
									
						Dennis
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