EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
230 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 2004
.DISCUSSION...WITH DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE OVERNIGHT AND CLEAR
SKIES/LIGHT WINDS...MINS WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER/MID 50S ACROSS
MOST OF CWA. ONLY EXCEPTIONS MAY BE RURAL NW REGIONS WHICH COULD DIP
INTO THE UPPER 40S AROUND SUNRISE...AND THE SOUTH HUTCHISON ISLAND
WHICH SHOULD FALL ONLY TO AROUND 60.
SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER ROUND OF 50S AT DAYBREAK WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE PENINSULA
EARLY IN THE DAY WILL SLIDE NE OVER THE ATLANTIC WITH ONSHORE RETURN
FLOW BECOMING ESTABLISHED BY THE AFTERNOON. COOL MORNING TEMPS WILL
REBOUND QUICKLY...REACHING THE MID 80S INTERIOR AND A CAT LOWER NEAR
THE COAST. DEW POINTS WL CLIMB TO LOW/MID 60S. A CONTINUED ONSHORE
COMPONENT AND SLOW MODIFICATION OF THE AIR MASS SHOULD KEEP MIN
TEMPS A LITTLE HIGHER SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH 60S MOST AREAS.
MON THRU SAT...CONSENSUS OF MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW
EARLY IN THE WEEK WITH THE ATLANTIC RIDGE AXIS OVER THE
CENTRAL/NORTHERN PENINSULA. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WL PREVAIL WITH
MOISTURE LEVELS TOO LOW FOR INTRODUCTION OF ANY RAIN CHANCES THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. TREND AFTER MIDWEEK AMPLIFIES UPPER
FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL US WITH VEERING OF MEAN LOW LEVEL WINDS
LOCALLY. A SLIGHT RAIN CHANCE MAY MATERIALIZE AROUND NEXT WEEKEND
DEPENDING ON TIMING OR DEVELOPMENT OF FEATURES UPSTREAM OVER THE MS
VALLEY. WL KEEP FORECAST DRY FOR NOW WITH TEMPS AROUND AVG.
People all over the place are remarking that this weather is just what we need to forget the tropics and all our trouble this year.
This weather is exactly why we live here. I believe there are more days like this than our yucky tropical days.
Fair trade.
